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Articles

Measure of rotatability of modified five-level second-order rotatable design using supplementary difference sets

Pages 40-47 | Received 17 Jan 2018, Accepted 27 Oct 2018, Published online: 13 Nov 2018

ABSTRACT

Rotatability is a desirable quality of fitting response surface experimental designs. The property states that the variance of the estimated response made from the Taylor’s series expansion are constant on circles, spheres and hyper-spheres about the centre of the design. In this article, a measure of rotatability of modified second-order rotatable design is presented. The variance function of a second-order response design and an infinite class of supplementary difference sets is used in coming up with the design.

SUBJECT CLASSIFICATION CODES:

1. Introduction

Response surface methodology is used in situation where the form of the relationship between the response and independent variables is unknown. Therefore, the first step in Response Surface Methodology is to find a suitable approximation for the true functional relationship between the response variable and the set of independent variables. The technique to be used is to fit a low order polynomial to the response and if it is inadequate then we graduate it to a higher order polynomial. We use a second-order model when the response of interest has curvature.

Response surface methodology is useful for the modelling and analysis of problems in which a response is influenced by several variables and the objective is to optimise this response. The property of rotatability is a desirable quality of an experimental design and requires that the variances of the estimated response made from the Taylor’s series are constant on circles, spheres and hyper-spheres about the centre of the design. The article presents a measure of rotatability of modified second-order rotatable designs.

The construction method is based on the work of Das (Citation1961) where he obtained rotatable design for both second and third orders up to eight factors as a fractional replicate of factorial design. The work was extended by Das and Narasimham (Citation1962), where they constructed rotatable design through balanced incomplete block design. Most recently, Koukouvinos, Mylona, Skountzou, and Goos (Citation2013) gave a general construction method for five-level second-order rotatable designs. The construction of five-level rotatable design using supplementary difference sets was done by Mutiso, Kerich, and Ng’eno (Citation2016a, Citation2016b). The article presents a measure of rotatability of modified five-level rotatable designs using an infinite class of supplementary difference sets.

2. Model and design criteria

Suppose we want to use second-order response surface design D = ((xiu)) to fit the surface yu=bo+i=1Vbixiu+i=1Vbiixiu2+i=1vj=1vbijxiuxju+Eu,where yu is the response observed at the u-th design point, xiu denotes the level of the ith factor i = (1, 2, … , v) in the u-th run and u = (1, 2, … , N) of the experiment and Eu’s are uncorrelated random error with mean zero and variance δ2.

Here bo, bi, bii, bij are parameters of the model and yu is the response observed at the uth design point. The parameters in the response relation are estimated using least squares techniques.

Box and Hunter (Citation1957) developed the following symmetry conditions (Moments conditions) for a second-order response surface to form a rotatable arrangement.

  1. u=iNi=1vxiuαi=0 if any αi is odd for αi4,

  2. u=1Nxiu2=Constant=Nλ2 for i = 1, 2, … , v,

  3. u=1Nxiu4=Constant=cNλ4 for i = 1, 2, …, v,

  4. u=1Nxiu2xju2=Constant=Nλ4,

  5. u=1Nxiu4u=1NXiu2xju2=c for ij,

where c, λ2 and λ4 are constants.

Using these symmetry conditions the variance and the covariance of the estimates are obtained and are shown below

  1. V(b0)=(c+v1)λ4δ2N[(c+v1)λ4--vλ22],

  2. V(bi)=δ2Nλ2,

  3. V(bij)=δ2Nλ4,

  4. V(bii)=δ2N(c1)λ4(c+v2)λ4λ22(v1)(c+v1)λ4vλ22,

  5. Cov(b0,bii)=λ2δ2N[(c+v1)λ4vλ22],

  6. Cov(bii,bij)=δ2Nλ4(c1)λ22λ4(c+v1)λ4vλ22,

and all other covariances are zero.

An inspection of the variances shows that a necessary condition for the existence of a non-singular second-order design is (c+v1)λ4vλ22>0 which leads to the following non-singularity condition first developed by Box and Hunter (Citation1957): λ4λ22>vc+v1.

Hader and Park (Citation1978) studied estimates in response at two different points in the factor space. They introduced the analogous form of Box Hunter rotatability and termed it as slope rotatability. The technique utilises the concept of partial derivatives to estimate the response surface at two different points in a factor space. Hader and Park (Citation1978) and Park (Citation1987) stated that the necessary and sufficient condition for slope rotatability is 4V(bii)=V(bij). The condition was simplified by Victorbabu and Narasimham (Citation1991) where they developed the necessary and sufficient condition for a second-order design to be slope rotatable and expressed the relationship as λ4[v(5c)(c3)2]+λ22[v(c5)+4]=0,where c=u=1Nxiu4u=1Nxiu2xju2.

3. Modified second-order rotatable design

A design is said to be a second-order rotatable if it satisfy moment’s conditions and non-singularity conditions. The usual method of constructing a second-order rotatable design is by putting some restrictions indicating some relations among second-order moments. The paper explores modified condition of rotatability which is obtained by solving the equation below which is the necessary and sufficient condition for a second-order design to be slope rotatable. λ4[v(5c)(c3)2]+λ22[v(c5)+4]=0.

The equation gives a solution of c=5 if and only ifλ22=λ4. In particular, we investigate the restriction λ22=λ4,i.e.,u=1Nxiu2=Nu=1Nxiu2xju2.

The restriction λ22=λ4 and c=5 are similar conditions and gives another series of rotatable designed called modified second-order rotatable designs. The modified symmetry condition therefore becomes u=1Nxiu4=5u=1Nxiu2xju2=5Nλ4.

4. Construction of the design

The construction method of second and third order rotatable design using Balanced Incomplete Block Design was presented by Das and Narasimham (Citation1962). In constructing the design, they considered each point in the design as essentially a combination of levels of different factors. First, we have unknown level denoted by a, b, c etc. Secondly, we have another design in v factors of the form 2v where the two levels of each factor are +1and1. Thirdly, we can get another combination when any combination of the first design is associated with the second design by multiplication.

Seberry (Citation1973) defined supplementary difference sets (SDS) and stated that the parameters of e-[v;k1,k2, … ,ke,λ] SDS satisfies λ(v1)=i=1eki(ki1).

If k1=k2=ke=k, we shall write e-[v;k;λ] to denote the e SDS and the equation becomes λ(v1)=ek(k1).

In this paper we use the supplementary difference sets developed by Koukouvinos, Manta, and Mylona (Citation2008). Let C1, C2, … , Ce be two-subsets of Zv (or any finite abelian group of order v) where v=n1=2e+1,Ci=[i,vi]i=1,2,,(v1)/2 = 1, 2, …, e. Then the sets C1, C2, … , Ce will be an e-[v;2;1] SDS. Based on this SDS we construct rotatable second-order design in m-factors, constituted of a factorial part with level combinations (−1,1,0) plus a set of 2 m axial points at a distance b from the origin plus centre points denoted by n0. Therefore, the total number of experimental points is given as N=m.2t(m)+2m+n0.

Koukouvinos et al. (Citation2013) came up with the following useful relationships which are utilised in this study.

  1. u=1Nx1u=u=1Nx2u=u=1Nx3u=u=1Nx4u=0,

  2. u=1Nxiu2=2t(m)(e1)+2b2=Nλ2,

  3. u=1Nxiu4=2t(m)(e1)+2b4=cNλ4,

  4. u=1Nxiu2xju2=2t(m)(e2)=Nλ4.

From the above equation, we have xiu2=Nλ2andxiu2xju2=Nλ4.

Therefore λ2=xiu2/N and λ4=xiu2xju2/N.

Mutiso et al. (Citation2016a) stated in a theorem that supplementary difference sets with parameters e-[v:2:1] gives a five-level modified second-order rotatable design in b4=2t(m)(4e9)2 and,N=[(e1)2t(m)+2b2]2(e2)2t(m),and n0=N2t(m)2m.

The modified restriction under investigation is λ22=λ4 which is equivalent to (xiu2)2N2=xiu2xju2N.

Hence N=(xiu2)2xiu2xju2,but u=1Nxiu2=2t(m)(e1)+2b2,and u=1Nxiu2xju2=2t(m)(e2).

Therefore, N=[2t(m)(e1)+2b2]22t(m)(e2).

The modified symmetry condition for modified second-order rotatability is expressed as u=1Nxiu4=5u=1Nxiu2xju2,where u=1Nxiu4=2t(m)(e1)+2b4 andu=1Nxiu2xju2=2t(m)(e2).

On simplification we obtain 2t(m)(e1)+2b4=5[2t(m)(e2)],2b4=5[2t(m)(e2)2t(m)(e1),2b4=2t(m)[5(e2)(e1)],2b4=2t(m)(4e9),b4=2t(m)(4e9)2.

Example 1

Consider a 3-(7:2:1) SDS therefore v = 9 m = (v1)/2=3, e = (v1)/2=3 b4=2t(m)(4e9)2=22[4(3)9]2=6,b2=6=2.4495,u=1Nxiu4=2t(m)(e1)+2b4=2(22)+2(6)2=20,u=1Nxiu2xju2=2t(m)(e2)=(32)22=4,u=1Nxiu4u=1Nxiu2xju2=204=5,hence the design forms a rotatable arrangement.

Also, N=[2t(m)(e1)+2b2]22t(m)(e2)=[(31)22+26]2(32)22=166.38374=41.595942,and n0=N2t(m)2m=423(22)2(3)=24 centre points.

For rotatability, we need to check if non-singularity condition is satisfied. λ4λ22>mc+m1,where λ4=2t(m)(e2)N=424=0.1666,λ2=2t(m)(e1)+2b2N=12.898924=0.5375,m=v12=3,e=v12=3,c=5.

Thus λ4λ22=0.16660.53752=0.5767,also mc+m1=37=0.4286.

Since 0.5767>0.4286 the non-singularity condition is satisfied hence the design constructed using supplementary difference sets is second-order rotatable. A list of modified second-order rotatable designs is tabulated in Table A1 in Appendix.

5. Proposed method: measure of rotatability of modified second-order rotatable design

A design whose moments do not conform to the moment conditions of rotatability is said to be non-rotatable. Quite often, a non-rotatable design may exhibit surface of constant prediction variances that are nearly spherical. In this case, a design is described as near rotatable. If circumstances are such that exact rotatability is unattainable, it is still a good idea to make the design nearly rotatable as stated by Park, Lim, and Baba (Citation1993). Thus it is important to know if a particular design is rotatable or, if it is not, to know how rotatable it is.

The traditional way of measuring rotatability was to inspect contour plots of constant prediction variance to see how close they are to being circular. This practice, however, in addition to being subjective had a number of limitations when the number of input variables exceeds 3.

Khuri (Citation1988) proposed a quantitative measure of response surface design which attracted further studies and other measures were developed by Draper and Guttman (Citation1988) and Draper and Pukelsheim (Citation1990). In this article, the author uses the measure that was developed by Park and Kim (Citation1992). The measure is expressed as follows Qv(D)=1δ4[4V(bii)V(bij)]2.

Theorem 5.1:

The measure of rotatability of five-level modified second-order rotatable design is given as Qm(D)=(λ22λ4)Nλ4[λ4(4+m)mλ222.

Proof:

Qv(D)=1δ4[4V(bii)V(bij)]2,V(bii)=δ2N(c1)λ4(c+v2)λ4λ22(v1)(c+v1)λ4vλ22,V(bij)=δ2Nλ4.

We therefore substitute v(bii)andv(bij) in Qv(D) and proceed as follows: Qv(D)=1δ4[4V(bii)V(bij)]2,=1δ44δ2N(c1)λ4×(c+v2)λ4λ22(v1)(c+v1)λ4vλ22δ2Nλ42,=41N(c1)λ4×(c+v2)λ4λ22(v1)(c+v1)λ4vλ221Nλ42,=4[(c+v2)λ4λ22(v1)]N(c1)λ4(c+v1)λ4vλ221Nλ42,=4[(c+v2)λ4λ22(v1)](c1)[(c+v1)λ4vλ22]N(c1)λ4(c+v1)λ4vλ222,=4(c+v2)λ44λ22(v1)(c1)(c+v1)λ4+(c1)vλ22Nλ4(c1)[(c+v1)λ4vλ22]2,=4(c+v2)λ4(c1)(c+v1)λ44λ22(v1)+(c1)vλ22Nλ4(c1)[(c+v1)λ4vλ22]2,=[4(c+v2)(c1)(c+v1)]λ4[4(v1)+(c1)v]λ22Nλ4(c1)[(c+v1)λ4vλ22]2,on simplification we have =Qv(D)=λ4[v(5c)(c3)2]λ22[v(c5)+4](c1)Nλ4[λ4(c+v1)vλ22]2.

Particularly for modified condition we fix c = 5 and therefore we have Qv(D)=4λ4+4λ224Nλ4[λ4(4+V)Vλ222,=4(λ22λ4)4Nλ4[λ4(4+V)Vλ222,=(λ22λ4)Nλ4[λ4(4+V)Vλ22]2.

For our construction technique we have m factors. We therefore replace v with m to obtain Qm(D)=(λ22λ4)Nλ4[λ4(4+m)mλ22]2,where N=[(e1)2t(m)+2b2]2(e2)2t(m),λ4=2t(m)(e2)N and λ2=2t(m)(e1)+2b2N. but for modified rotatability λ22=λ4 meaning that the numerator of the measure is zero. Hence Qm(D)=0 meaning that Qm(D) takes the value of zero if the design is rotatable and otherwise if the design in not rotatable.

Example 2

Suppose we want to construct an experimental design with four factors and nine treatments. In this case e=m=(v1)/2 and v=2e+1 = 9. Ci=[i,vi] i=1,2,,(v1)/2 = 1, 2, … , e. The experimental set becomes C1=[1,8], C2=[2,7], C3=[3,6], C4=[4,5]. The Ci’s, i=1,,4 are 4-[9:2:1] SDS.

Step 1

We consider the sets C1=[1,8], C2=[2,7], C3=[3,6], C4=[4,5] which are 4-[9:2:1] supplementary difference sets.

The incidence matrix produced by the above SDS is 10000100001000010001001001001000and its mirror image obtained by replacing 0 with 1 and 1 with 0 is 01111011110111101110110110110111

Step 2

We consider the first (v1)/2 column of the above matrix, i.e., 0111101111011110and this produces an array with e rows and e columns where e = (v1)/2 whose every column has one zero element and e-1 elements equal to 1.

Step 3

We consider a fractional fraction 241 with 8 runs and superimpose one column of the fraction onto each 1 of the array. We also superimpose 241×1=8×1 vector of 0’s into each zeros. Step three is what was referred to by Das and Narasimham (Citation1962) as association by multiplication. A three-level design is obtained which has the form 0±1±1±1±10±1±1±1±10±1±1±1±10where 0 represents a column vector of eight 0’s and (±1,±1,±1,±1,±1) represent a 241 fractional factorial.

Step 4

In order to attain rotatability we add an axial point ±b in every column of the design leading to 0±1±1±1±10±1±1±1±10±1±1±1±10±b0000±b0000±b0000±b

Let’s take the first column to be x1u, second column to be x2u, third column to be x3u and fourth column to be x4u.

The measure of rotatability developed in this article is expressed as Qm(D)=(λ22λ4)Nλ4[λ4(4+m)mλ22]2,where N=[(e1)2t(m)+2b2]2(e2)2t(m),λ4=2t(m)(e2)N,λ2=2t(m)(e1)+2b2N, and b2=2t(m)(4e9)2.

Therefore, b2=2t(m)(4e9)2=241(4×49)2=8(169)2=28=5.2915,N=[(e1)2t(m)+2b2]2(e2)2t(m)=[(41)23+2(5.2915)]2(42)23=74.7375,λ4=2t(m)(e2)N=23(42)75=0.2133,λ2=2t(m)(e1)+2b2N=23(41)+2(5.2915)75=0.4611,Qm(D)=(λ22λ4)Nλ4[λ4(4+m)mλ22]2=(0.461120.2133)75(0.2133)[0.2133(4+4)4(0.46112)]2,=0.000713.69222=2.6×1090.

The measure Qm(D) takes the value of zero if the design is rotatable and otherwise if the design in not rotatable. Thus a design consisting of four factors and nine treatment constructed using supplementary difference sets exits. The design will require 75 experimental units.

The computation of the measures for different class of supplementary difference sets is tabulated in Tables A2–A10 in Appendix.

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author.

Additional information

Notes on contributors

Haron Mutai Ng’eno

Haron Mutai Ng’eno is a PhD student at Moi University, Kenya.

References

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  • Mutiso, J. M., Kerich, G. K., & Ng’eno, H. M. (2016a). Construction of five level modified second order rotatable designs using supplementary difference sets. Far East Journal of Theoretical Statistics, 52, 333–343.
  • Mutiso, J. M., Kerich, G. K., & Ng’eno, H. M. (2016b). Construction of five level second order rotatable designs using supplementary difference sets. Advances and Applications in Statistics, 49, 21–30.
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Appendix

Table A1. Five-level modified second-order rotatable designs constructed using SDS.

Table A2. Measure of rotatability of five-level modified SORD using 3-[7:2:1] SDS.

Table A3. Measure of rotatability of five-level modified SORD using 4-[9:2:1] SDS.

Table A4. Measure of rotatability of five-level modified SORD using 5-[11:2:1] SDS.

Table A5. Measure of rotatability of five-level modified SORD using 6-[13:2:1] SDS.

Table A6. Measure of rotatability of five-level modified SORD using 7-[15:2:1] SDS.

Table A7. Measure of rotatability of five-level modified SORD using 8-[17:2:1] SDS.

Table A8. Measure of rotatability of five-level modified SORD using 9-[19:2:1] SDS.

Table A9. Measure of rotatability of five-level modified SORD using 10-[21:2:1] SDS.

Table A10. Measure of rotatability of five-level modified SORD using 11-[23:2:1] SDS.

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