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Original Articles

Climate Change Related Rise of Extreme Typhoon Power and Duration Over South-East Asia Seas

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Pages 205-222 | Received 02 Nov 2007, Published online: 10 Jan 2018
 

Abstract

The paper presents an analysis of 40 years of measurements of geographic location (longitude, latitude) and power (wind speed) of tropical storms and typhoons over South-East Asia seas, mainly the South China Sea and the Philippine Sea. The results demonstrate the growing intensity of duration of the most severe events. The analysis includes singular spectrum analysis of wind speed series in the period 1960–2000 to identify two sub-periods of roughly similar behavior. Then, the recorded events and occurrences are classified statistically. The most extreme ones from the 1st and 2nd sub-period are plotted as functions of their geographic co-ordinates to assess the spatial evolution of their location. Next, the escalating power and mostly duration of the most extreme typhoons are examined with extreme probability distributions to quantify the resulting climate change consequences in the studied region. Finally, all results are reiterated in the form of conclusions and suggestions for potential follow-up research.

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