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Original Articles

Predicting Attrition to Prevent Service Gaps in Serving Juvenile Offenders

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Pages 67-79 | Published online: 23 Aug 2012
 

Abstract

Objective: The purpose of this study was to: (a) investigate differences in demographic variables, previous delinquent/criminal behavior variables, family system variables, juvenile court system variables, and subsequent delinquent behavior variables between youth who received services and those who did not among court-involved juvenile delinquent youth; and (b) create a predictive model that would correctly identify youth at the greatest risk of not receiving services.

Method: The study employed an analysis of 244 youth, 182 (75%) service recipients and 62 (25%) non-recipients, randomly selected from a larger pool of 500 juvenile court-involved youth.

Results: Analysis indicated that very few of the demographic variables, delinquent/criminal behavior variables, family system variables, and juvenile court system variables differentiated between service recipients and non-recipients. However, a logistic regression model was developed that correctly predicted service receipt for 78% of the sample, which represented a 52.4% improvement over chance.

Conclusion: Implications of the findings for identifying court-involved youth at risk of receiving no services were explored and discussed.

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