638
Views
53
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Theoretical Papers Supply Chain Planning

Incorporating demand uncertainty and forecast error in supply chain planning models

&
Pages 483-500 | Received 01 Mar 2009, Accepted 01 Mar 2010, Published online: 21 Dec 2017

References

  • AvivYThe effect of collaborative forecasting on supply chain performanceMngt Sci2001471326134310.1287/mnsc.47.10.1326.10260
  • AvivYGaining benefits from joint forecasting and replenishment processes: the case of autocorrelated demandManuf Serv Ops Mngt200245574
  • BabaiMZDalleryYDynamic versus static control policies in single stage production-inventory systemsInt J Prod Res20094741543410.1080/00207540802426383
  • BoxGEPMüllerMEA note on the generation of random normal deviatesAnn Math Stat19582861061110.1214/aoms/1177706645
  • ChenFDreznerZRyanJSimchi-LeviDQuantifying the bullwhip effect in a simple supply chain: The impact of forecasting, lead times, and informationMngt Sci20004643644310.1287/mnsc.46.3.436.12069
  • ChenFRyanJSimchi-LeviDThe impact of exponential smoothing forecasts on the bullwhip effectNav Res Log200047271286
  • De BodtMAVan WassenhoveLCost increases due to demand uncertainty in MRP lot sizingDecis Sci19831434536110.1111/j.1540-5915.1983.tb00190.x
  • De BodtMAVan WassenhoveLLot sizing and safety stocks in MRP: A case studyProduction and Inventory Mngt1983241116
  • DolguiAProdhonCSupply planning under uncertainties in MRP environments: A state of the artAnnu Rev Control20073126927910.1016/j.arcontrol.2007.02.007
  • EnnsSTMRP performance effects due to forecast bias and demand uncertaintyEur J Opl Res20021388710210.1016/S0377-2217(01)00134-5
  • FildesRBeardCForecasting systems for production and inventory controlInt J Ops Prod Mngt199212542710.1108/01443579210011381
  • FildesRGoodwinPAgainst your better judgment: Do organizations follow best practice when applying management judgement to forecasting?Interfaces20073757057610.1287/inte.1070.0309
  • Fildes R and Kingsman B (1997). Demand uncertainty in MRP systems: The value of forecasting. Department of Management Science Working Paper 01/97, Lancaster University.
  • FildesRHibonMMakridakisSMeadeNGeneralising about univariate forecasting methods: Further empirical evidenceInt J Forecasting19981433935810.1016/S0169-2070(98)00009-0
  • FildesRGoodwinPLawrenceMNikolopoulosKEffective forecasting and judgmental adjustments: An empirical evaluation and strategies for improvement in supply-chain planningInt J Forecasting20092532310.1016/j.ijforecast.2008.11.010
  • ForresterJWIndustrial Dynamics1961
  • GardnerESJrEvaluating forecast performance in an inventory control systemMngt Sci19903649049910.1287/mnsc.36.4.490
  • JeunetJDemand forecast accuracy and performance of inventory policies under multi-level rolling schedule environmentsInt J Prod Econ200610340141910.1016/j.ijpe.2005.10.003
  • JohnstonFRTaylorSJOliveriaRMMCSetting company stock levelsJ Opl Res Soc198839152110.1057/jors.1988.3
  • LawAMKeltonWDSimulation Modelling and Analysis2000
  • LeeHLPadmanabhanVWhangSThe bullwhip effect in supply chainsSloan Mngt Review199738393102
  • LeeHSoKCTangCSThe value of information sharing in a two-level supply chainMgmt Sci20004662664310.1287/mnsc.46.5.626.12047
  • LeeTSAdamEEJrForecasting error evaluation in material requirements planning (MRP) production-inventory systemsMngt Sci1986321186120510.1287/mnsc.32.9.1186
  • LeeTSAdamEEEbertRJAn evaluation of forecast error in master production scheduling for material requirements planning systemsDecis Scis19871829230710.1111/j.1540-5915.1987.tb01523.x
  • LeeTSCooperFWAdamEEJrThe effects of forecasting errors on the total cost of operationsOmega19932154155010.1016/0305-0483(93)90022-D
  • MakridakisSHibonMThe M-3 competition: results, conclusions and implicationsInt J Forecasting20001645147610.1016/S0169-2070(00)00057-1
  • NewboldPBosTOn exponential smoothing and the assumption of deterministic trend plus white noise data-generating modelsInt J Forecasting1989552352710.1016/0169-2070(89)90007-1
  • OrlickyJMaterial Requirements Planning1975
  • RitzmanLPKingBEThe relative significance of forecast errors in multistage manufacturingJ Ops Mngt199311516510.1016/0272-6963(93)90033-L
  • SilverEAPykeDFPetersonRInventory Management and Production Planning and Scheduling1998
  • VargasGADearRGManaging uncertainty in multilevel manufacturing systemsIntegr Manufac Syst199124142610.1108/EUM0000000002081
  • VossSWoodruffDLIntroduction to Computational Optimization Models for Production Planning in a Supply Chain2006
  • WemmerlövUA time-phased order-point system in environments with and without demand uncertainty: A comparative analysis of non-monetary performance variablesInt J Prod Res19862434335810.1080/00207548608919733
  • WemmerlövUThe behavior of lot-sizing procedures in the presence of forecast errorsJ Ops Mngt198981374610.1016/S0272-6963(89)80004-X
  • WemmerlövUWhybarkDCLot-sizing under uncertainty in a rolling schedule environmentInt J Prod Res19842246748410.1080/00207548408942467
  • XieJLeeTSZhaoXImpact of forecasting error on the performance of capacitated multi-item production systemsComput Ind Eng20044620521910.1016/j.cie.2003.12.020
  • XuKDongYEversPTTowards better coordination of the supply chainTransport Res Part E: Logist Transport Rev2001371355410.1016/S1366-5545(00)00010-7
  • ZhaoXXieJLauRSMImproving the supply chain performance: Use of forecasting models versus early order commitmentsInt J Prod Res2001393923392910.1080/00207540110072236
  • ZhaoXXieJLeungJThe impact of forecasting model selection on the value of information sharing in a supply chainEur J Opl Res200214232134410.1016/S0377-2217(01)00300-9
  • ZiliakSTMcCloskeyDNSize matters: The standard error of regressions in the American Economic ReviewJ Socio Econ20043352767510.1016/j.socec.2004.09.024

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.