350
Views
28
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Special Issue Paper

Probability distribution fitting of schedule overruns in construction projects

, , , &
Pages 1231-1247 | Received 01 Dec 2011, Accepted 01 Jan 2013, Published online: 21 Dec 2017

References

  • AckermannFEdenCWilliamsTHowickSSystemic risk assessment: A case studyJournal of the Operational Research Society2007581395110.1057/palgrave.jors.2602105
  • AibinuAAOdeyinkaHAConstruction delays and their causative factors in NigeriaASCE Journal of Construction Engineering and Management2006132766767710.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(2006)132:7(667)
  • AlreckPLSettleRBThe Survey Research Handbook1985
  • AnastasopoulosPLabiSMcCullouchBAnalyzing the duration and prolongation of performance-based contracts through hazard-based duration and zero-inflated random parameters Poisson modelsTransportation Research Record20092136111910.3141/2136-02
  • AnastasopoulosPLabiSBhargavaABordatCManneringFFrequency of change orders in highway construction using alternate count-data modeling methodsASCE Journal of Construction Engineering and Management2010136888689310.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0000198
  • AnastasopoulosPLabiSBhargavaAManneringFEmpirical assessment of the likelihood and duration of highway project time delaysASCE Journal of Construction Engineering and Management2012138339039810.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0000437
  • AshanKGunawanIAnalysis of cost and schedule performance of international development projectsInternational Journal of Project Management2010281687810.1016/j.ijproman.2009.03.005
  • AshkerFMahdiSFitting the log-logistic distribution by generalized momentsJournal of Hydrology20063283/469470310.1016/j.jhydrol.2006.01.014
  • AssafSAAl-HejjiSCauses of delay in large construction projectsInternational Journal of Project Management200624434935710.1016/j.ijproman.2005.11.010
  • BedfordTCookeRProbabilistic Risk Analysis: Foundations and Methods2001
  • BennettSLog-logistic regression models for survival dataApplied Statistics, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society1983322165171
  • BhargavaAAnastasopoulosPLabiSSinhaKCManneringFLThree-stage least-squares analysis of time and cost overruns in construction contractsASCE Journal of Construction, Engineering and Management2010136111207121810.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0000225
  • BromilowFJContract time performance expectations and the realityBuilding Forum1969137080
  • BromilowFJMeasurement and scheduling of construction time and cost performance in the building industryThe Chartered Builder1974109189196
  • BurrIWCumulative frequency functionsAnnals of Mathematical Statistics194213221523210.1214/aoms/1177731607
  • ChanAPCModelling building durations in Hong KongConstruction Management and Economics199917218919610.1080/014461999371682
  • ChanDWMKumaraswamyMMA comparative study of causes of time overruns in Hong Kong construction projectsInternational Journal of Project Management1997151556310.1016/S0263-7863(96)00039-7
  • CioffiDFKhamooshiHA practical method of determining project risk contingency budgetsJournal of the Operational Research Society200960456557110.1057/palgrave.jors.2602586
  • EdenCWilliamsTMAckermannFHowickSThe role of feedback dynamics in disruption and delay on the nature of disruption and delay (D&D) in major projectsJournal of the Operational Research Society200051329130010.1057/palgrave.jors.2600919
  • Galway L (2004). Quantitative risk analysis for project management: A critical review. RAND Corporation, Working Paper, WR-112-RC, http://www.rand.org/pubs/working_papers, accessed 27 August 2012.
  • GrubbsFEAttempts to validate certain PERT statistics or ‘picking on PERT’Operations Research196210691291510.1287/opre.10.6.912
  • HegazyTSaidMKassabMIncorporating rework into construction schedule analysisAutomation in Construction20112081051105910.1016/j.autcon.2011.04.006
  • HowickSEdenCOn the nature of discontinuities in system dynamics modelling of disrupted projectsJournal of the Operational Research Society200455659860510.1057/palgrave.jors.2601720
  • Ireland V (1983). The role of managerial actions in the cost, time and quality performance of high rise commercial building projects. Unpublished PhD Thesis, University of Sydney, Australia.
  • JahrenCAsheAMPredictors of cost overrun-ratesASCE Journal of Construction Engineering and Management1990116354855210.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(1990)116:3(548)
  • JergeasGFRuwanpuraJWhy cost and schedule overruns on mega oil sands projects?ASCE Practice Periodical on Structural Design and Construction2010151404310.1061/(ASCE)SC.1943-5576.0000024
  • KakaAPriceADFRelationship between value and duration of construction projectsConstruction Management and Economics19919438440010.1080/01446199100000030
  • KamingPFOlomolaiyePOHoltGDHarrisFCFactors influencing construction time and cost performance on high-rise projects in IndonesiaConstruction Management and Economics1997151839410.1080/014461997373132
  • KeeferDLVerdiniWABetter estimation of PERT activity time parametersManagement Science19933991086109110.1287/mnsc.39.9.1086
  • Kennett S (2009). RICS tool to aim to cut time overruns. http://www.building.co.uk/rics-tool-to-cut-time-overruns/3136910.article, accessed 11 October 2011.
  • KogYCChuaDKHLohPKJaselskisEJKey determinants for construction schedule performanceInternational Journal of Project Management199917635135910.1016/S0263-7863(98)00058-1
  • LeedyPDOmrodJEPractical Research: Planning and Design2010
  • LovePEDInfluence of project type and procurement method on rework costs in building construction projectsASCE Journal of Construction Engineering and Management20021281182910.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(2002)128:1(18)
  • LovePEDTseRYCEdwardsDJTime-cost relationships in Australian building construction projectsASCE Journal of Construction Engineering and Management2005131218719410.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(2005)131:2(187)
  • LovePEDEdwardsDSmithJContract documentation and the incidence of rework in projectsArchitectural Engineering and Design Management20061424725910.1080/17452007.2005.9684596
  • LovePEDEdwardsDJSmithJWalkerDHTDivergence or congruence? A path model of rework in building and civil engineering projectsASCE Journal of Performance of Constructed Facilities200923648048810.1061/(ASCE)CF.1943-5509.0000054
  • LovePEDEdwardsDJIraniZWalkerDHTProject pathogens: The anatomy of omission errors in construction and resource engineering projectsIEEE Transactions on Engineering Management200956342543510.1109/TEM.2008.927774
  • LovePEDCheungSOIraniZDavisPRCausal discovery and inference of project disputesIEEE Transactions on Engineering Management201158340041110.1109/TEM.2010.2048907
  • Love PED, Wang X, Sing C-P and Tiong R (2013). Probability of project cost overruns in Australian construction and engineering projects. ASCE Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, doi: 10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0000575.
  • LuuVTKimS-YTuanNVOgunlanaSOQuantifying schedule risk in construction projects using Bayesian belief networksInternational Journal of Project Management2009271395010.1016/j.ijproman.2008.03.003
  • MansfieldNRUgwuOODoranTCauses of delay and cost overruns in Nigerian construction projectsInternational Journal of Project Management199412425426010.1016/0263-7863(94)90050-7
  • MatsumotoMNishimuraTMersenne twister: A 623-dimensionally equidistributed uniform pseudo-random number generatorACM Transactions on Modelling and Computer Simulation19988133010.1145/272991.272995
  • MulhollandBChristianJRisk assessment in construction schedulesASCE Journal of Construction Engineering and Management1999125181510.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(1999)125:1(8)
  • OdeckJCost overruns in road construction—What are their sizes and determinants?Transport Policy2004111435310.1016/S0967-070X(03)00017-9
  • OgunsemiDRJagboroGOTime-cost model for building projects in NigeriaConstruction Management and Economics200624325325810.1080/01446190500521041
  • OppenheimANQuestionnaire Design, Interviewing and Attitude Measurement1992
  • ShenharAJDvirDLevyOMatzACProject success: A multidimensional strategic conceptLong Range Planning200134669972510.1016/S0024-6301(01)00097-8
  • SkitmoreRMNgSTForecast models for actual construction time and costBuilding and Environment2003881075108310.1016/S0360-1323(03)00067-2
  • WestneyRDobsonKCAPEX VaR: Key to improving predictabilityWorld Energy20069226
  • Westney Advisor (2008a). Are stages and gates destroying predictability? The unintended consequences of front-end loading. Westney Consulting Group, http://www.westney.com, accessed 14 October 2011.
  • Westney Advisor (2008b). Why projects overrun, and what to do about it? http://www.westney.com, accessed 14 October 2011.
  • WilliamsTMPractical use of distributions in network analysisJournal of the Operational Research Society199243326527010.1057/jors.1992.35
  • WilliamsTMEdenCAckermannFTaitAThe effects of design changes and delays on project costsJournal of the Operational Research Society199546780981810.1057/jors.1995.114
  • WilliamsTMEdenCAckermannFTaitAVicious circles of parallelismInternal Journal of Project Management199513315115510.1016/0263-7863(95)00034-N

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.