References
- Acerbi, C., Tasche, D. (2002), Expected Shortfall: A Natural Coherent Alternative to Value at Risk, Economic Notes. 31, 379–385.
- American Planner's Association (2005), “,” available at http:/www.planning.org/newsreleases/2005/ftp040705.htm.April7.
- Andradottir, S., Bier, V. (2000), Applying Bayesian Ideas in Simulation, Simulation Practice and Theory, 8, 253–280.
- Association for the Advancement of Cost Engineering International (2006), “,” available at http://www.aacei.org/right.shtml.
- Billot, A., Gilboa, I., Samet, D., Schmeidler, D. (2005), Probabilities as Similarity-Weighted Frequencies, Econometrica, 73, 1125–1136.
- De Rocquigny, E. (2012), Modeling Under Uncertainty and Risk: An Introduction to Statistical, Phenomenological and Computational Methods, Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics, New York: Wiley.
- (2006), From Nobel Prize to Project Management: Getting Risks Right, Project Management Journal, 373, 5–15.
- (2008), Curbing Optimism Bias and Strategic Representation in Practice: Reference Class Forecasting in Practice, European Planning Studies, 16, 13–21.
- Gilboa, I., Lieberman, O., Schmeidler, D. (2006a), Empirical Similarity, The Review of Economics and Statistics, 88, 433–444.
- ——— (2006b), A Similarity-Based Approach to Prediction, The Journal of Econometrics, 162, 124–131.
- ——— (2006c), On the Definition of Objective Probabilities by Empirical Similarity, Synthese, 172, 79–95.
- Greenberger, M. (1981), “Humanizing Policy Analysis: Confronting the Paradox in Energy Modeling,” in Validation and Assessment of Energy Models, ed. S. Gauss, Maryland: National Bureau of Standards, Special Publication 616.
- Kahneman, D. (2002), Maps of Bounded Rationality: A Perspective on Intuitive Judgement and Choice, Nobel Prize Address.
- ——— (2011), Thinking Fast and Slow, New York: Ferrar, Strauss and Giroux, p. 251.
- Kulahci, M., Bisgard, S. (2005), The Use of Plackett-Burman Designs to Construct Split-Plot Designs, Technometrics, 47, 495–501.
- Lieberman, O. (2010), Asymptotic Theory for Empirical Similarity Models, Econometric Theory, 26, 1032–1059.
- Lovallo, D. (2007), “Eliminating Bias Through Reference-Class Forecasting and Corporate Governance,” in Concept Papers, ed. Bent Flyvbjerg, Trondheim, Norway: Institutt for Bygg.
- Lovallo, D., Kahneman, D. (2003), Delusions of Success: How Optimism Bias Undermines Executive Decisions, Harvard Business Review, July, 55–63.
- Lutz, R. (2011), Car Guys vs. Bean Counters: The Battle for the Soul of American Business, Penguin Group: New York.
- Morgan, G., and Henrion, M. (1990), Uncertainty: A Guide to Dealing With Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis, Cambridge, United Kingdom: Cambridge University Press.
- Nelson, B. (1985), An Illustration of the Sample Space Definition of Simulation and Variance Reduction, Transaction of the Society for Computer Simulation, 2, 237–247.
- ——— (1987), A Perspective on Variance Reduction in Dynamic Simulation Experiments, Communications in Statistics, B16, 385–426.
- ——— (1984), Sample Space Definition of Simulation, Proceedings of the 16th Winter Conference on Simulation, 2, 168–169.
- Nelson, B., Schmeiser, B. (1986), Decomposition of Some Well-Known Variance Reduction Techniques, Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation, 23, 183–209.
- O’Connor, B. (2007, September 27), Most Call VEBA a Good Deal, Detroit News.
- Press, J. (1992), Subjective and Objective Bayesian Statistics (1st ed.), Wiley Series in Statistics and Probability, New York: Wiley.
- Schmeiser, B. (1990), “Simulation Experiments,” in Handbook of Operations Research and Management Science (Vol. 68, eds. D. Heynman and R. Sobol, North-Holland: Elsevier Science Publishers.
- Stiglitz, J. (2001), Information and the Change in the Paradigm of Economics, Nobel Prize Lecture.
- Strong, M. Oakley, J.E., and Chilcott, (2012), Managing Structural Uncertainty in Health Economic Decision Models: A Discrepancy Approach, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series C, 61, 25–45.
- Wand, P., and Jones, M. (1995), Kernel Smoothing, Boca Raton, FL: Chapman and Hall/CRC Press.