483
Views
7
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Environmental Sciences

Simulating the Impacts of Projected Climate Change on Streamflow Hydrology for the Chesapeake Bay Watershed

Pages 627-648 | Received 01 May 2014, Accepted 01 Aug 2014, Published online: 14 Jun 2015

References

  • Anderson, J. R., E. E. Hardy, J. T. Roach, and R. E. Witmer. 1976. A land use and land cover classification system for use with remote sensor data. Geological Survey Professional Paper 964, A revision of the land use classification system as presented in U.S. Geological Survey Circular 671, U.S. Geological Survey, Washington, DC.
  • Arnell, N. W., and S. N. Gosling. 2013. The impacts of climate change on river flow regimes at the global scale. Journal of Hydrology 486:351–64.
  • Barbosa, S. M., and M. E. Silva. 2009. Low-frequency sea-level change in Chesapeake Bay: Changing seasonality and long-term trends. Estuarine, Coastal, and Shelf Science 83:30–38.
  • Brush, G. S. 2001. Natural and anthropogenic changes in Chesapeake Bay during the last 1000 years. Human and Ecological Risk Assessment 7:1283–95.
  • Bureau of Reclamation. 2013. Downscaled CMIP3 and CMIP5 climate and hydrology projections: Release of downscaled CMIP5 projections, comparison with preceding information, and summary of user needs. Denver, CO: U.S. Department of the Interior, Bureau of Reclamation, Technical Services Center.
  • Chesapeake Bay Program (CBP). 2008. Climate change and the Chesapeake Bay: State-of-the-science review and recommendations. Chesapeake Bay Program Science and Technical Advisory Committee Report, Chesapeake Bay Foundation, Annapolis, MD.
  • ———. 2014. Chesapeake Bay Program: Facts and figures. http://www.chesapeakebay.net/discover/bay101/facts (last accessed 19 March 2014).
  • Cronin, T. M., K. Hayo, R. C. Thunell, G. S. Dwyer, C. Saenger, and D. A. Willard. 2010. The medieval climate anomaly and Little Ice Age in Chesapeake Bay and the North Atlantic Ocean. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimtology, Palaeoecology 297:299–310.
  • Ellis, A. W., T. W. Hawkins, R. C. Balling, Jr., and P. Gober. 2008. Estimating future runoff levels for a semi-arid fluvial system in central Arizona, USA. Climate Research 35:227–39.
  • Frei, A., R. L. Armstrong, M. P. Clark, and M. C. Serreze. 2002. Catskill Mountain water resources: Vulnerability, hydroclimatology, and climate-change sensitivity. Annals of the Association of American Geographers 92:203–24.
  • Fu, G., S. P. Charles, and F. H. Chiew. 2007. A two-parameter climate elasticity of streamflow index to assess climate change effects on annual streamflow. Water Resources Research 43:W11419.
  • Glick, P., J. Clough, and B. Nunley. 2008. Sea-level rise and coastal habitats in the Chesapeake Bay region. National Wildlife Federation Technical Report, National Wildlife Federation, Merrifield, VA.
  • Gosling, S. N., R. G. Taylor, N. W. Arnell, and M. C. Todd. 2011. A comparative analysis of projected impacts of climate change on river runoff from global and catchment-scale hydrological models. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 15:279–94.
  • Groves, D. G., D. Yates, and C. Tebaldi. 2008. Developing and applying uncertain global climate change projections for regional water management planning. Water Resources Research 44:W12413.
  • Hamon, W. R. 1961. Estimating potential evapotranspiration. Proceedings of the American Society of Civil Engineers 87:107–20.
  • Hawkins, T. W., and B. J. Austin. 2012. Simulating streamflow and the effects of projected climate change on the Savage River, Maryland, USA. Journal of Water and Climate Change 3:28–43.
  • Hobbins, M. T., A. Dai, M. L. Roderick, and G. D. Farquhar. 2008. Revisiting the parameterization of potential evaporation as a driver of long-term water balance trends. Geophysical Research Letters 35E:L12403.
  • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). 2000. Emissions scenarios. In Special report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, ed. N. Nakicenovic and R. Swart. Cambridge UK: Cambridge University Press.
  • ———. 2013. Climate change 2013: The physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
  • Maryland Commission on Climate Change (MCCC). 2008. Comprehensive assessment of climate change impacts in Maryland. Report of the Scientific and Technical Working Group. Annapolis, MD: MCCC.
  • Mather, J. R. 1978. The climatic water budget in environmental analysis. Lexington, MA: Lexington Books.
  • Mauer, E. P., L. Brekke, T. Pruitt, and P. B. Duffy. 2007. Fine resolution climate projections enhance regional climate change impact studies. EOS Transactions of AGU 88:504.
  • McCabe, G. J., and S. L. Markstrom. 2007. A monthly water-balance model driven by a graphical user interface. U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2007–1088, U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA.
  • McCabe, G. J., and D. M. Wolock. 1999. Future snowpack conditions in the western United States derived from gen­eral circulation model climate simulations. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 35:1473–84.
  • ———. 2011. Century-scale variability in global annual runoff examined using a water balance model. International Journal of Climatology 31:1739–48.
  • Meehl, G. A., C. Covey, T. Delsworth, M. Latif, B. McAvaney, J. F. B. Mitchell, R. J. Stouffer, and K. E. Taylor. 2007. The WCRIP CMIP3 multimodel dataset: A new era in climate change research. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 88:1383–94.
  • Miller, D. A., and R. A. White. 1998. A conterminous United States multi-layer soil characteristics data set for regional climate and hydrology modeling. Earth Interactions 2:1–26.
  • Milly, P. C. D., J. Betancourt, M. Falkenmark, R. M. Hirsch, Z. W. Kundzewicz, D. P. Lettenmaier, and D. J. Stouffer. 2008. Stationarity is dead: Whither water managment. Nature 319:573–74.
  • Milly, P. C. D., K. A. Dunne, and A. V. Vecchia. 2011. Global pattern of trends in streamflow and water availability in a changing climate. Nature 438:347–50.
  • Najar, R., L. Patterson, and S. Grahm. 2009. Climate simulations of major estuarine watersheds in the Mid-Atlantic region of the US. Climatic Change 95:139–68.
  • Najar, R. G., C. R. Pyke, M. B. Adams, D. Breitburg, C. Hershner, M. Kemp, R. Howarth, et al. 2010. Potential climate-change impacts on the Chesapeake Bay. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 86:1–20.
  • Nash, J. E., and J. V. Sutcliffe. 1970. River flow forecasting through conceptual models Part I: A discussion of principles. Journal of Hydrology 10:282–90.
  • Scully, M. E. 2010. The importance of climate variability to wind-driven modulation of hypoxia in Chesapeake Bay. Journal of Physical Oceanography 40:1435–40.
  • Sorg, A., T. Bolch, M. Stoffel, O. Solomina, and M. Beniston. 2012. Climate change impacts on glaciers and runoff in Tien Shan (Central Asia). Nature Climate Change 2:725–31.
  • Sun, F., M. L Roderick, W. H. Lim, and G. D. Farquhar. 2011. Hydroclimatic projections for the Murray–Darling Basin based on an ensemble derived from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change AR4 climate models. Water Resources Research 47:W00G02.
  • Taylor, K. E., R. J. Stouffer, and G. A. Meehl. 2012. An overview of CMIP5 and the experiment design. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 93:485–98.
  • Thornthwaite, C. W. 1948. An approach towards rational classification of climate. The Geographical Review 38:55–94.
  • U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). 2010. Chesapeake Bay Phase 5.3 Community Watershed Model. EPA Report 903S10002-CBP/TRS-303-10, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Chesapeake Bay Program Office, Annapolis, MD.
  • Willmott, C. J. 1981. On the validation of models. Physical Geography 2:184–94.

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.