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Original Articles

The Distorted Nature of Hindsight

Pages 25-29 | Received 16 Dec 1980, Published online: 30 Jun 2010

References

  • Fischhoff , B. 1975 . The silly certainty of hindsight . Psychol. Today , April : 71 – 76 .
  • Fischhoff , B. 1975 . Hindsight is not equal to foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty . J. Exper. Psychol.: Hum. Percept., & Perform. , 1 : 288 – 299 .
  • Fischhoff , B. and Beyth , J. 1975 . “I knew it would happen”—Remembered probabilities of once-future things . Organiz. Behav., & Hum. Perform. , 13 : 1 – 16 .
  • Goffman , E. 1959 . The Presentation of Self in Everyday Life , New York : Doubleday .
  • Schlenker , B. R. 1980 . Impression Management: The Self-Concept, Social Identity, and Interpersonal Relations , Belmont, Calif. : Brooks/Cole .
  • Tversky , A. and Kahneman , D. 1974 . Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases . Science , 185 : 1124 – 1131 .
  • Walster , E. 1967 . Second-guessing important events . Hum. Relat. , 20 : 239 – 249 .

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