Advanced search
Publication Cover
Postgraduate Medicine Volume 134, 2022 - Issue 7
Submit an article Journal homepage
2,331
Views
5
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Clinical Features - Original Research

Prediction of the severity of acute pancreatitis using machine learning models

You Zhoua Pancreatic Center, Department of Gastroenterology, Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, China;b Yangzhou Key Laboratory of Pancreatic Disease, Institute of Digestive Diseases, Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, ChinaORCID Iconhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-1352-0211View further author information
ORCID Icon,
Fei Hana Pancreatic Center, Department of Gastroenterology, Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, China;b Yangzhou Key Laboratory of Pancreatic Disease, Institute of Digestive Diseases, Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, ChinaORCID Iconhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-3914-1073View further author information
ORCID Icon,
Xiao-Lei Shia Pancreatic Center, Department of Gastroenterology, Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, China;b Yangzhou Key Laboratory of Pancreatic Disease, Institute of Digestive Diseases, Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, ChinaORCID Iconhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-7617-4881View further author information
ORCID Icon,
Jun-Xian Zhanga Pancreatic Center, Department of Gastroenterology, Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, China;b Yangzhou Key Laboratory of Pancreatic Disease, Institute of Digestive Diseases, Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, ChinaORCID Iconhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-4725-1854View further author information
ORCID Icon,
Guang-Yao Lia Pancreatic Center, Department of Gastroenterology, Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, China;b Yangzhou Key Laboratory of Pancreatic Disease, Institute of Digestive Diseases, Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, ChinaORCID Iconhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-0067-7391View further author information
ORCID Icon,
Chen-Chen Yuana Pancreatic Center, Department of Gastroenterology, Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, China;b Yangzhou Key Laboratory of Pancreatic Disease, Institute of Digestive Diseases, Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, ChinaORCID Iconhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-0551-0718View further author information
ORCID Icon,
Guo-Tao Lua Pancreatic Center, Department of Gastroenterology, Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, China;b Yangzhou Key Laboratory of Pancreatic Disease, Institute of Digestive Diseases, Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, ChinaORCID Iconhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-8325-0405View further author information
ORCID Icon,
Liang-Hao Huc Department of Gastroenterology, First Affiliated Hospital of Naval Medical University, Shanghai, ChinaORCID Iconhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-7535-7475View further author information
ORCID Icon,
Jia-Jia Panb Yangzhou Key Laboratory of Pancreatic Disease, Institute of Digestive Diseases, Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, China;d Department of Intensive Care Unit, Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, ChinaCorrespondence[email protected]
ORCID Iconhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-4055-4131View further author information
ORCID Icon,
Wei-Ming Xiaoa Pancreatic Center, Department of Gastroenterology, Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, China;b Yangzhou Key Laboratory of Pancreatic Disease, Institute of Digestive Diseases, Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, ChinaCorrespondence[email protected]
ORCID Iconhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-8893-9076View further author information
ORCID Icon &
Guang-Huai Yaoa Pancreatic Center, Department of Gastroenterology, Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, China;b Yangzhou Key Laboratory of Pancreatic Disease, Institute of Digestive Diseases, Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, ChinaCorrespondence[email protected]
ORCID Iconhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-3055-3787View further author information
ORCID Icon show all
Pages 703-710 | Received 27 Feb 2022, Accepted 07 Jun 2022, Published online: 12 Jul 2022

References

  • Iannuzzi JP, King JA, and Leong JH, et al. Global incidence of acute pancreatitis is increasing over time: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Gastroenterology. 2022;162(1):122–134. DOI: 10.1053/j.gastro.2021.09.043.
  • Matta B, Gougol A, and Gao X, et al. Worldwide variations in demographics, management, and outcomes of acute pancreatitis. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2020;18(7):1567–1575.e2. DOI: 10.1016/j.cgh.2019.11.017.
  • Li C-L, Jiang M, and Pan C-Q, et al. The global, regional, and national burden of acute pancreatitis in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019. BMC Gastroenterol. 2021;21(1):332 DOI: 10.1186/s12876-021-01906-2.
  • Forsmark CE, Vege SS, and Wilcox CM. Acute pancreatitis. N Engl J Med. 2016;375(20):1972–1981. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMra1505202.
  • Banks PA, Bollen TL, and Dervenis C, et al. Classification of acute pancreatitis–2012: revision of the Atlanta classification and definitions by international consensus. Gut. 2013;62(1):102–111. DOI: 10.1136/gutjnl-2012-302779.
  • Wu BU, Johannes RS, and Sun X, et al. The early prediction of mortality in acute pancreatitis: a large population-based study. Gut. 2008;57(12):1698–1703 DOI: 10.1136/gut.2008.152702 .
  • Gao W, Yang H-X, and Ma C-E. The value of BISAP score for predicting mortality and severity in acute pancreatitis: a systematic review and meta-analysis. PloS one. 2015;10(6):e0130412. DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0130412.
  • Yang Y-X LL. Evaluating the ability of the Bedside Index for severity of acute pancreatitis score to predict severe acute pancreatitis: a meta-analysis. Med Princ Pract. 2016;25(2):137–142. DOI: 10.1159/000441003.
  • Mounzer R, Langmead CJ, and Wu BU, et al. Comparison of existing clinical scoring systems to predict persistent organ failure in patients with acute pancreatitis. Gastroenterology. 2012;142(7):1476–82. DOI: 10.1053/j.gastro.2012.03.005.
  • Papachristou GI, Muddana V, and Yadav D, et al. Comparison of BISAP, Ranson’s, APACHE-II, and CTSI scores in predicting organ failure, complications, and mortality in acute pancreatitis. Am J Gastroenterol. 2010;105(2):435–41. DOI: 10.1038/ajg.2009.622.
  • Saria S, Butte A, and Sheikh A. Better medicine through machine learning: what’s real, and what’s artificial? PLoS Med. 2018;15(12):e1002721. DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002721.
  • Tenner S, Baillie J, and DeWitt J, et al. American College of Gastroenterology guideline: management of acute pancreatitis. Am J Gastroenterol. 2013;108(9):1400–15; 1416. DOI: 10.1038/ajg.2013.218.
  • Liu M, Zhou C, and Zhang Z, et al. Inverse association between riboflavin intake and new-onset hypertension: a nationwide cohort study in China. Hypertension. 2020;76(6):1709–1716. DOI: 10.1161/HYPERTENSIONAHA.120.16211.
  • American Diabetes Association. 2. Classification and Diagnosis of Diabetes. Diabetes Care. 2021;44(Suppl 1):S15–S33. DOI: 10.2337/dc21-S002.
  • Shi L, Shu X-O, and Li H, et al. Physical activity, smoking, and alcohol consumption in association with incidence of type 2 diabetes among middle-aged and elderly Chinese men. PloS one. 2013;8(11):e77919. DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0077919.
  • Jin X, Ding Z, and Li T, et al. Comparison of MPL-ANN and PLS-DA models for predicting the severity of patients with acute pancreatitis: an exploratory study. Am J Emerg Med. 2021;44:85–91. DOI: 10.1016/j.ajem.2021.01.044.
  • Lin Q, Ji YF, and Chen Y, et al. Radiomics model of contrast-enhanced MRI for early prediction of acute pancreatitis severity. J Magn Reson Imaging. 2020;51(2):397–406. DOI: 10.1002/jmri.26798.
  • Cho JH, Kim TN, and Chung HH, et al. Comparison of scoring systems in predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis. World J Gastroenterol. 2015;21(8):2387–2394. DOI: 10.3748/wjg.v21.i8.2387.
  • Harshit Kumar A, and Singh Griwan M. A comparison of APACHE II, BISAP, Ranson’s score and modified CTSI in predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis based on the 2012 revised Atlanta classification. Gastroenterol Rep (Oxf). 2018;6(2):127–131. DOI: 10.1093/gastro/gox029.
  • Arques S. Human serum albumin in cardiovascular diseases. Eur J Intern Med. 2018;52:8–12. DOI: 10.1016/j.ejim.2018.04.014.
  • Komara NL, Paragomi P, and Greer PJ, et al. Severe acute pancreatitis: capillary permeability model linking systemic inflammation to multiorgan failure. Am J Physiol Gastrointest Liver Physiol. 2020;319(5):G573–G583. DOI 10.1152/ajpgi.00285.2020.
  • Elder ASF, Saccone GTP, and Dixon D-L. Lung injury in acute pancreatitis: mechanisms underlying augmented secondary injury. Pancreatology. 2012;12(1):49–56. DOI: 10.1016/j.pan.2011.12.012.
  • Xu X, Ai F, and Huang M. Deceased serum bilirubin and albumin levels in the assessment of severity and mortality in patients with acute pancreatitis. Int J Med Sci. 2020;17(17):2685–2695. DOI: 10.7150/ijms.49606.
  • Wang X, Cui Z, and Li H, et al. Nosocomial mortality and early prediction of patients with severe acute pancreatitis. J Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2010;25(8):1386–1393. DOI: 10.1111/j.1440-1746.2010.06376.x.
  • Hong W, Lin S, and Zippi M, et al. Serum albumin is independently associated with persistent organ failure in acute pancreatitis. Can J Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2017;2017:5297143. DOI: 10.1155/2017/5297143.
  • Yin X, Xu J, and Zhang Q, et al. Quantification analysis of lactate dehydrogenase and C-reactive protein in evaluation of the severity and prognosis of the acute pancreatitis. Cell Mol Biol (Noisy-le-grand). 2020;66(1):122–125. PMID: 32359394.
  • Zrnić IK, Milić S, and Fisić E, et al. [C-reactive protein and lactate dehydrogenase as single prognostic factors of severity in acute pancreatitis]. Lijec Vjesn. 2007;129(1–2):1–4. PMID: 17489509.
  • Tian F, Li H, and Wang L, et al. The diagnostic value of serum C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, interleukin-6 and lactate dehydrogenase in patients with severe acute pancreatitis. Clin Chim Acta. 2020;510:665–670. DOI: 10.1016/j.cca.2020.08.029.
  • Murthy P, Singhi AD, and Ross MA, et al. Enhanced neutrophil extracellular trap formation in acute pancreatitis contributes to disease severity and is reduced by chloroquine. Front Immunol. 2019;10:28. DOI: 10.3389/fimmu.2019.00028.
  • Yang Z-W, and Meng X-X XP. Central role of neutrophil in the pathogenesis of severe acute pancreatitis. J Cell Mol Med. 2015;19(11):2513–2520. DOI: 10.1111/jcmm.12639.
  • He -S-S, Li D, and He Q-Y, et al. Establishment of early multi-indicator prediction models of moderately severe acute pancreatitis and severe acute pancreatitis. Gastroenterol Res Pract. 2022;2022:5142473. DOI: 10.1155/2022/5142473.
  • Liu G-H, Chen J, and Li L-Q, et al. Development and validation of a nomogram for early assessment the severity of acute pancreatitis. Scand J Gastroenterol. 2022:1–6. DOI: 10.1080/00365521.2022.2050293.
  • He F, Zhu H-M, and Li B-Y, et al. Factors predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis in elderly patients. Aging Clin Exp Res. 2021;33(1):183–192. DOI: 10.1007/s40520-020-01523-1. .

Related research

People also read lists articles that other readers of this article have read.

Recommended articles lists articles that we recommend and is powered by our AI driven recommendation engine.

Cited by lists all citing articles based on Crossref citations.
Articles with the Crossref icon will open in a new tab.