173
Views
0
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Original Articles

Quantifying stochastic error propagation in Bayesian parametric estimates using non-linear parameters of Anopheles gambiae s.l. habitats

, , , , , & show all
Pages 6585-6601 | Received 25 Nov 2007, Accepted 11 Aug 2009, Published online: 14 Dec 2010

References

  • Augustin , N.H. , Mugglestone , M.A. and Buckland , S.T. 1996 . An autologistic model for the spatial distribution of wildlife . Journal of Applied Ecology , 33 : 339 – 347 .
  • Avery , T.E. and Burkhart , H.E. 1994 . Forest Measurements , 4th , New York : McGraw Hill Book Co .
  • Beck , L.R. , Rodriguez , M.H. , Dister , S.W. , Rodriguez , A.D. , Rejmankova , E. , Ulloa , A. , Meza , R.A. , Roberts , D.R. , Paris , J.F. and Spanner , M.A . 1994 . Remote sensing as a landscape epidemiologic tool to identify villages at high risk for malaria transmission . American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene , 51 : 271 – 280 .
  • Chinery , W.A. 1995 . Impact of rapid urbanization on mosquitoes and their disease transmission potential in Accra and Tema, Ghana . East African Journal of Medical Science , 24 : 179 – 188 .
  • Diggle , P. , Moyeed , R. , Rowlingson , B. and Thomson , M. 2002 . Childhood malaria in the Gambia: a case-study in model-based geostatistics . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics) , 51 : 493 – 506 .
  • Diuk-Wasser , M.A. , Toure , M.B. , Dolo , G. , Bagayoko , M. , Sogoba , N. , Sissoko , I. , Traore , S.F. and Taylor , C.E. 2007 . Effect of rice cultivation patterns on malaria vector abundance in rice-growing villages in Mali . American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene , 76 : 869 – 874 .
  • Gelman , A. and Rubin , D.B. 1992 . Inference from iterative simulation using multiple sequences . Statistical Sciences , 7 : 457 – 511 .
  • Gelman , A. , Chew , G.L. and Shnaidman , M. 2004 . Bayesian analysis of serial dilution assays . Biometrics , 60 : 407 – 417 .
  • Gilks , W.R. , Richardson , S. and Spiegelhalter , D.J. , eds. 1996 . Markov Chain Monte Carlo in Practice , London : Chapman & Hall .
  • Gimnig , J.E. , Ombok , M. , Otieno , S. , Kaufman , M.G. , Vulule , J.M. and Walker , E.D. 2002 . Density-dependent development of Anopheles gambiae (Diptera: Culicidae) larvae in artificial habitats . Journal of Medical Entomology , 39 : 162 – 172 .
  • Githeko , A. , Service , M.W. , Mbogo , C.M. , Atieli , F.K. and Juma , F.O. 1993 . Plasmodium falciparum sporozoite and entomological inoculation rates at the Ahero rice irrigation scheme and the Miwani sugar-belt in western Kenya . Annals of Tropical Medicine and Parasitology , 87 : 379 – 388 .
  • Griffith , D.A. 2003 . Spatial Autocorrelation and Spatial Filtering: Gaining Understanding Through Theory and Scientific Visualization , Berlin : Springer-Verlag .
  • Griffith , D.A. 2005 . A comparison of six analytical disease mapping techniques as applied to West Nile Virus in the coterminous United States . International Journal of Health Geographics , 4 : 18 – 32 .
  • Gu , W. and Novak , R.J. 2005 . Habitat-based modeling of impacts of mosquito larval interventions on entomological inoculation rates, incidence, and prevalence of malaria . American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene , 73 : 546 – 552 .
  • Gu , W. , Utzinger , J. and Novak , R.J. 2008 . Habitat-based larval interventions: a new perspective for malaria control . American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene , 78 : 2 – 6 .
  • Haight , F.A. 1967 . Handbook of the Poisson Distribution , New York : Wiley .
  • Heikkinen , R.K. , Luoto , M. , Kuussaari , M. and Poyry , J. 2005 . New insights into butterfly-environment relationships using partitioning methods . Proceedings, Biological Sciences/The Royal Society , 272 : 2203 – 2210 .
  • Hubbell , S.P. 2001 . A Unified Neutral Theory of Biodiversity and Biogeography , Princeton : Princeton University Press .
  • Hugh-Jones , M. 1991 . The remote recognition of tick habitats . Journal of Agricultural Entomology , 8 : 309 – 315 .
  • Jacob , B.G. , Regens , J.L. , Mbogo , C. , Githeko , A. , Keating , J. , Swalm , C. , Gunter , J. , Githure , J. and Beier , J.C. 2003 . Occurrence and distribution of Anopheles (Diptera: Culicidae) larval habitats on land cover change sites in urban Kisumu and urban Malindi, Kenya . Journal of Medical Entomology , 40 : 777 – 786 .
  • Jacob , B.G. , Arheart , K.L. , Griffith , D.A. , Mbogo , C.M. , Githeko , A.K. , Regens , J.L. , Githure , J.I. , Novak , R. and Beier , J.C. 2005 . Evaluation of environmental data for identification of Anopheles (Diptera: Culicidae) aquatic larval habitats in Kisumu and Malindi, Kenya . Journal of Medical Entomology , 42 : 751 – 755 .
  • Jacob , B.G. , Muturi , E.J. , Funes , J.E. , Shililu , J.I. , Githure , J.I. , Kakoma , I.I. and Novak , R.J. 2006 . A grid-based infrastructure for ecological forecasting of rice land Anopheles arabiensis aquatic larval habitats . Malaria Journal , 5 : 41 – 47 .
  • Jacob , B.G. , Muturi , E.J. , Mwangangi , J.M. , Funes , J. , Caamano , E.X. , Muriu , S. , Shililu , J. , Githure , J. and Novak , R.J. 2007a . Remote and field level quantification of vegetation covariates for malaria mapping in three rice agro-village complexes in Central Kenya . International Journal of Health Geographics , 6 : 21 – 28 .
  • Jacob , B.G. , Muturi , E.J. , Funes , J. , Githure , J. and Novak , R.J. 2007b . Association between land cover and habitat productivity of malaria vectors in central Kenyan ricelands . Acta Parasitology and Medical Entomology of China , 14 : 86 – 97 .
  • Jacob , B.G. , Griffith , D.A. , Gunter , J.T. , Muturi , E.J. , Caamano , E.X. , Shililu , J.I. , Githure , J.I. , Regens , J.L. and Novak , R.J. 2008a . A spatial filtering specification for an autonegative binomial model of Anopheles arabiensis aquatic habitat . Transactions in GIS , 12 : 515 – 539 .
  • Jacob , B.G. , Griffith , D.A. and Novak , R.J. 2008b . Decomposing malaria mosquito aquatic habitat data into spatial autocorrelation eigenvectors in a SAS/GIS module . Transactions in GIS , 12 : 341 – 364 .
  • Jacob , B.G. , Muturi , E.J. , Caamano , E.X. , Gunter , J.T. , Mpanga , E. , Ayine , R. , Okelloonen , J. , Nyeko , J.P. , Shililu , J.I. , Githure , J.I. , Regens , J.L. , Novak , R.J. and Kakoma , I. 2008c . Hydrological modeling of geophysical parameters of arboviral and protozoan disease vectors in internally displaced people in Gulu, Uganda . International Journal of Health Geographics , 7 : 11 – 18 .
  • Keating , J. , Macintyre , K. , Mbogo , C. , Githure , J. and Beier , J. 2004 . Characterization of potential larval habitats for Anopheles mosquitoes in relation to urban land-use in Malindi, Kenya . International Journal of Health Geography , 3 : 9 – 17 .
  • Khambea , B.M. , Mutani , A. and Bett , M.K. 1994 . Studies of anopheline mosquitoes transmitting malaria in a newly developed highland urban area: a case study of Moi University and its environs . East African Journal of Medical Science , 71 : 159 – 164 .
  • Lawson , A.B. , Browne , W.J. and Vidal Rodeiro , C.L. 2003 . Disease Mapping with WinBUGS and MLwiN , Chichester : Wiley .
  • Legendre , P. 1993 . Spatial autocorrelation: trouble or new paradigm? . Ecology , 74 : 1659 – 1673 .
  • Lyimo , E.O. and Takken , W. 1993 . Effects of adult body size on fecundity and the pre-gravid rate of Anopheles gambiae females in Tanzania . Medical and Veterinary Entomology , 7 : 328 – 332 .
  • Mbogo , C.N. , Snow , R.W. , Khamala , C.P. , Kabiru , E.W. , Ouma , J.H. , Githure , J.I. , Marsh , K. and Beier , J.C. 1995 . Relationships between Plasmodium falciparum transmission by vector populations and the incidence of severe disease at nine sites on the Kenyan coast . American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene , 52 : 201 – 206 .
  • Minakawa , N. , Seda , P. and Yan , G. 2002 . Influence of host and larval habitat distribution on the abundance of African malaria vectors in western Kenya . American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene , 67 : 32 – 38 .
  • Minakawa , N. , Omukunda , E. , Zhou , G. , Githeko , A. and Yan , G. 2006 . Malaria vector productivity in relation to the highland environment in Kenya . American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene , 75 : 448 – 453 .
  • Muturi , E.J. , Muriu , S. , Shililu , J. , Mwangangi , J.M. , Jacob , B.G. , Mbogo , C. , Githure , J. and Novak , R.J. 2008 . Blood feeding patterns of Culex quinquefasciatus and other culicines and implications for disease transmission in Mwea rice scheme, Kenya . Parasitology Research , 102 : 1329 – 1335 .
  • Muturi , E.J. , Mwangangi , J. , Shililu , J. , Muriu , S. , Jacob , B. , Kabiru , E. , Gu , W. , Mbogo , C. , Githure , J. and Novak , R. 2007a . Mosquito species succession and physicochemical factors affecting abundance in rice fields in Mwea, Kenya . Journal of Medical Entomology , 44 : 336 – 344 .
  • Muturi , E.J. , Shililu , J.I. , Gu , W. , Jacob , B.G. , Githure , J.I. and Novak , R.J. 2007b . Larval habitat dynamics and diversity of Culex mosquitoes in rice agro-ecosystem in Mwea, Kenya . American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene , 76 : 95 – 102 .
  • Mutero , C. , Blank , H. , Konradse , F. , Der , Van and Hoek , W. 2000 . Water management for controlling the breeding of Anopheles mosquitoes in rice irrigation schemes in Kenya . Acta Tropica , 76 : 253 – 263 .
  • Mwangangi , J.M. , Muturi , E.J. , Shililu , J. , Muriu , S. , Jacob , B. , Kabiru , E. , Mbogo , C. , Githure , J. and Novak , R. 2007 . Environmental covariates of Anopheles arabiensis in a rice agroecosystem . Journal of the American Mosquito Control Association , 23 : 13 – 22 .
  • Mwangangi , J.M. , Muturi , E.J. , Shililu , J.I. , Jacob , B. , Kabiru , E.W. , Mbogo , C.M. , Githure , J.I. and Novak , R.J. 2008 . Distribution of mosquito larvae within the paddy and its implication in larvicidal application in Mwea rice irrigation scheme, Central Kenya . Journal of the American Mosquito Control Association , 24 : 36 – 41 .
  • Okech , B.A. , Gouagna , L.C. , Yan , G. , Githure , J.I. and Beier , J.C. 2007 . Larval habitats of Anopheles gambiae s.s. (Diptera: Culicidae) influences vector competence to Plasmodium falciparum parasites . Malaria Journal , 6 : 1 – 7 .
  • Omumbo , J.A. , Hay , S.I. , Goetz , S.J. , Snow , R.W. and Rogers , J. 2002 . Updating historical maps of malaria transmission intensity in east Africa using remote sensing . Photogrammatic Engineering and Remote Sensing , 68 : 161 – 166 .
  • Pope , K.O. , Rejmankova , E. , Savage , H. , Arredonde-Jimenez , J.I. , Rodriguez , M.H. and Roberts , D.R. 1994 . Remote sensing of tropical wetlands for malaria control in Chiapas, Mexico . Ecology Applications , 4 : 81 – 90 .
  • Rejmankova , E. , Savage , H.M. , Rejmanek , E. , Arredondo-Jimenez , J.I. and Roberts , V. 1991 . Multivariate analysis of relationships between habitats, environmental factors and occurrence of anopheline mosquito larvae Anopheles albimanus and A. pseudopunctipennis in southern Chiapas, Mexico . Journal of Applied Ecology , 28 : 827 – 841 .
  • Rodriguez , A.D. , Rodriguez , M.H. , Meza , R.A. , Hernandez , J.E. , Rejmankova , E. , Savage , H.M. , Roberts , D.R. , Pope , K.O. and Legters , L. 1993 . Dynamics of population densities and vegetation associations of Anopheles albimanus larvae in a coastal area of southern Chiapas, Mexico . Journal of the American Mosquito Control Association , 9 : 46 – 58 .
  • Seone , J. , Vinuela , J. , Diaz-Delgado , R. and Bustamante , J. 2003 . The effects of land use and climate on red kite distribution in the Iberian peninsula . Biological Conservation , 111 : 401 – 414 .
  • Snow , R.W. , Peshu , N. , Forster , D. , Bomu , G. , Mitzanke , E. , Ngumbao , E. , Chisengwa , R. , Schellenberg , J.R. , Hayes , R.J. , Newbold , C.I. and Marsh , K. 1998 . Environmental and entomological risk factors for the development of clinical malaria among children on the Kenyan coast . Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene , 92 : 381 – 385 .
  • Sota , T. and Mogi , M. 2008 . Effectiveness of zooprophylaxis in malaria control: a theoretical inquiry, with a model for mosquito populations with two bloodmeal hosts . Medical and Veterinary Entomology , 3 : 337 – 345 .
  • Spiegelhalter , D.J. , Best , N.G. , Carlin , B.P. and Van Der Linde , A. 2002 . Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society , 64 : 583 – 639 .
  • Takken , W. and Knols , B. 1999 . Odor-mediated behavior of Afrotropical malaria mosquitoes . Annual Review of Entomology , 44 : 131 – 157 .
  • Tierney , L. 1994 . Markov chains for exploring posterior distributions . Annals of Statistics , 22 : 1701 – 1762 .
  • Tuno , N. , Miki , K. , Minakawa , N. , Githeko , A. , Yan , G. and Takagi , M. 2004 . Diving ability of Anopheles gambiae (Diptera: Culicidae) larvae . Journal of Medical Entomology , 41 : 810 – 812 .
  • Washino , R. and Tempelis , C. 1983 . Mosquito host bloodmeal identification: methodology and data analysis . Annual Review of Entomology , 28 : 179 – 201 .
  • Wood , B. , Washino , R. , Beck , L. , Hibbard , K. , Pitcairn , M. , Roberts , D. , Rejmankova , E. , Paris , J. , Hacker , C. , Salute , J. , Sebesta , P. and Legters , L. 1991 . Distinguishing high and low anopheline-producing rice fields using remote sensing and GIS technologies . Preventive Veterinary Medicine , 11 : 277 – 288 .

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.