970
Views
47
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Original Articles

Time series forecasts of the construction labour market in Hong Kong: the Box‐Jenkins approach

, &
Pages 979-991 | Published online: 17 Feb 2007

References

  • Abdelhamid , T. S. and Everett , J. G. 1999 . Time series analysis for construction productivity experiments. . Construction Engineering and Management , 125 (2) : 87 – 95 .
  • Agapiou , A. 1996 . “ Forecasting the supply of construction labour, doctoral thesis, Loughborough University, Loughborough ” .
  • Agapiou , A. , Price Andrew , D. F. and McCaffer , R. 1995 . Planning future construction skill requirements: understanding labour resource issues. . Construction Management and Economics , 13 (2) : 149 – 61 .
  • Ball , M. and Wood , A. 1995 . How many jobs does construction expenditure generate? . Construction Management Economics , 13 (4) : 307 – 18 .
  • Bowerman , B. L. and O'Connell , R. T. 1993 . Forecasting and time series an applied approach , Pacific Grove, CA : Duxbury Thomson Learning . 3rd edn
  • Box , G. E. P. and Jenkins , G. M. 1976 . Time series analysis, Forecasting and Control , San Francisco : Holden‐Day .
  • Briscoe , G. and Wilson , R. 1991 . Explanations of the demand for labour in the United Kingdom engineering sector. . Applied Economics , 23 (5) : 913 – 26 .
  • Briscoe , G. and Wilson , R. 1993 . Employment forecasting in the construction industry , Aldershot : Avebury .
  • Bryant , D. R. , Maggard , M. J. and Taylor , R. P. 1973 . Manpower planning models and techniques: a descriptive survey. . Business Horizon , 16 (2) : 69 – 78 .
  • C&SD . 2003 . Quarterly Report on General Household Survey , Hong Kong : Census and Statistics Department, Hong Kong Government Printer . 4th Quarter 2003
  • C&SD. 2004. Unemployment Rate by Previous Industry, Census and Statistics Department, Hong Kong Government, Hong Kong available online: http://www.info.gov.hk/censtatd/eng/hkstat/fas/labour/ghs/unemp_by_p_ind_index.html
  • C&SD (various years) . various years . Report on the Quarterly Survey of Construction Output , Hong Kong : Census and Statistics Department, the HKSAR Government .
  • Campbell , C. P. 1997 . Workforce requirement: the basis for relevant occupational training. . Journal of European Industrial Training , 21 (8) : 279 – 97 .
  • Chan , A. P. C. , Wong , J. M. W. and Chiang , Y. H. 2003 . Modelling labour demand at project level – an empirical study in Hong Kong. . Journal of Engineering, Design and Technology , 1 (2) : 135 – 50 .
  • CIRC . 2001 . Construct for Excellence , Hong Kong : HKSAR . Report of the Construction Industry Review Committee
  • Dickey , D. A. and Fuller , W. A. 1979 . Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with unit roots. . Journal of American Statistical Association , 74 : 427 – 31 .
  • Dolado , J. J. , Jenkinson , T. J. and Sosvilla‐Rivero , S. 1990 . Cointegration and unit roots: a survey. . 4 (3) : 249 – 73 . Journal of Economic Surveys
  • Edwards , D. J. , Nicholas , J. and Sharp , R. 2001 . Forecasting UK construction plant sales. . Engineering Construction and Architectural Management , 8 (3) : 171 – 6 .
  • Ehrenberg , R. G. and Smith , S. R. 2003 . Modern Labor Economics: Theory and Public Policy , 8 , New York : Addison‐Wesley .
  • Fitzgerald , E. and Akintoye , A. 1995 . The accuracy and optimal linear correction of UK construction tender price index forecasts. . Construction Management and Economics , 13 (6) : 493 – 500 .
  • FSB . 2000 . Report on Manpower Projection to 2005 , Hong Kong : Economic Analysis Division, FSB of HKSAR .
  • Giles , D. E. A. , Giles , J. A. and McCann , E. 1992 . Causality, unit roots and export‐led growth: The New Zealand experience. . Journal of International Trade and Economic Development , 1 (2) : 195 – 218 .
  • Goh , B. H. 1998 . Forecasting residential construction demand in Singapore: a comparative study of time series, regression and artificial neural network techniques. . Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management , 5 (3) : 261 – 75 .
  • Goh , B. H. 1999 . An evaluation of the accuracy of the multiple regression approach in forecasting sectoral construction demand in Singapore. . Construction Management and Economics , 17 (2) : 231 – 41 .
  • Goh , B. H. and Teo , H. P. 2000 . Forecasting construction industry demand, price and productivity in Singapore: the Box‐Jenkins approach. . Construction Management and Economics , 18 (5) : 607 – 18 .
  • Lowe , J. G. 1987 . The measurement of productivity in the construction industry. . Construction Management and Economics , 5 (2) : 101 – 13 .
  • Maddala , G. S. 2001 . Introduction to Econometrics , 3 , London : John Wiley & Sons Ltd .
  • O'Donovan , T. M. 1983 . Short Term Forecasting: An Introduction to the Box‐Jenkins Approach , New York : Wiley .
  • Pindyck , R. S. and Rubinfeld , D. L. 1997 . Econometric models and economic forecast , 4 , New York : Irwin McGraw‐Hill .
  • Rosenfeld , Y. and Warszawski , A. 1993 . Forecasting methodology of national demand for construction labour. . Construction Management and Economics , 11 (1) : 18 – 29 .
  • Rowlinson , S. M. and Walker , A. 1995 . The construction Industry in Hong Kong , Hong Kong : Longman .
  • Rumberger , R. W. and Levin , H. M. 1985 . Forecasting the impact of new technologies on the future job market. . Technological Forecasting and Social Change , 27 : 399 – 417 .
  • Said , E. S. and Dickey , D. A. 1984 . Testing for unit roots in autoregressive‐moving average models of unknown order. . Biometrika , 71 (3) : 599 – 607 .
  • Schmidt , S. L. , Schömann , K. and Terssaring , M. 2003 . Early Identification of skill needs in Europe Cedefop Reference series; 40, Luxembourg
  • Tang , J. C. S. , Karasudhi , P. and Tachopiyagoon , P. 1990 . Thai construction industry: demand and projection. . Construction Management and Economics , 18 (3) : 249 – 57 .
  • Tessaring , M. 2003 . “ Identification of future skill requirements: activities and approaches for European cooperation ” . In Early Identification of skill needs in Europe Edited by: Schmidt , S. L , Schömann , K and Tessaring , M . Cedefop Reference series; 40, Luxemburg
  • Theil , H. 1978 . Introduction to Econometrics , Englewood Cliffs, NJ : Prentice‐Hall, Inc. .
  • Uwakweh , B. O. and Maloney , W. F. 1991 . Conceptual models for manpower planning for the construction industry in developing countries. . Construction Management and Economics , 9 (5) : 451 – 65 .
  • Watson , P. K. and Teelucksingh , S. S. 2002 . Practical Introduction to Econometric Methods , Jamaica : University of the West Indies Press .

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.