Stochastic population models hindcast population trajectory and breeding history of an endangered parrot

References

• Bird, J. P., Martin, R., Akçakaya, H. R., Gilroy, J., Burfield, I. J., Garnett, S. T., and Symes, A., et al. (2020). Generation lengths of the world’s birds and their implications for extinction risk. Conservation Biology 34(5), 1252–1261. doi:10.1111/cobi.13486
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Brook, B. W., Burgman, M. A., Akçakaya, H. R., O’Grady, J. J., and Frankham, R. (2002). Critiques of PVA ask the wrong questions: Throwing the heuristic baby out with the numerical bath water. Conservation Biology 16(1), 262–263. doi:10.1046/j.1523-1739.2002.01426.x
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Casagrande, D. G., and Beissinger, S. R. (1997). Evaluation of four methods for estimating parrot population size. The Condor 99(2), 445–457. doi:10.2307/1369951
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Chaudhary, V., and Oli, M. K. (2020). A critical appraisal of population viability analysis. Conservation Biology 34(1), 26–40. doi:10.1111/cobi.13414
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water. (2023). ‘Cyanoramphus Cookii in Species Profile and Threats Database.’ (Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water: Canberra.)
   Google Scholar
• Director of National Parks. (2010). ‘Norfolk Island Region Threatened Species Recovery Plan.’ (Department of the Environment, Water, Heritage and the Arts: Canberra.)
   Google Scholar
• Fraser, H., Legge, S. M., Garnett, S. T., Geyle, H., Silcock, J., Nou, T., and Collingwood, T., et al. (2022). Application of expert elicitation to estimate population trajectories for species prioritized in Australia’s first threatened species strategy. Biological Conservation 274, 109731. doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2022.109731
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Gautschi, D., Heinsohn, R., Crates, R., Macgregor, N. A., Wilson, M., and Stojanovic, D. (2022). Utilization of modified and artificial nests by endemic and introduced parrots on Norfolk Island. Restoration Ecology 30(5), e13586. doi:10.1111/rec.13586
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Heinsohn, R., Lacy, R., Elphinstone, A., Ingwersen, D., Pitcher, B. J., Roderick, M., and Schmelitschek, E., et al. (2022). Population viability in data deficient nomadic species: What it will take to save regent honeyeaters from extinction. Biological Conservation 266, 109430. doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2021.109430
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Heinsohn, R., and Legge, S. (2003). Breeding biology of the reverse-dichromatic, co-operative parrot Eclectus roratus. Journal of Zoology 259(2), 197–208. doi:10.1017/S0952836902003138
   Google Scholar
• Heinsohn, R., Murphy, S., and Legge, S. (2003). Overlap and competition for nest holes among eclectus parrots, palm cockatoos and sulphur-crested cockatoos. Australian Journal of Zoology 51(1), 81–94. doi:10.1071/ZO02003
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Heinsohn, R., Olah, G., Webb, M., Peakall, R., Stojanovic, D. (2019). Sex ratio bias and shared paternity reduce individual fitness and population viability in a critically endangered parrot. Journal of Animal Ecology 88(4), 502–510. doi:10.1111/1365-2656.12922
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Heinsohn, R., Webb, M., Lacy, R., Terauds, A., Alderman, R., and Stojanovic, D. (2015). A severe predator-induced population decline predicted for endangered, migratory swift parrots (Lathamus discolor). Biological Conservation 186, 75–82. doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2015.03.006
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hermes, N., Evans, O., and Evans, B. (1986). Norfolk Island birds: A review 1985. Notornis 33, 141–149.
   Google Scholar
• Hicks, J., and Greenwood, D. (1989). Rescuing Norfolk Island’s parrot. Birds International 1, 34–47.
   Google Scholar
• Hicks, J., and Preece, M. (1991). Green parrot. 1991 recovery plan. Unpublished Report, Australian Parks and Wildlife Service, Canberra.
   Google Scholar
• Hill, R. (2002). ‘Recovery Plan for the Norfolk Island Green Parrot (Cyanoramphus novaezelandiae cookii).’ (Natural Resource Management, Environment Australia: Canberra.)
   Google Scholar
• Lacy, R. C. (1993). VORTEX: A computer simulation model for population viability analysis. Wildlife Research 20(1), 45–65. doi:10.1071/WR9930045
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Lacy, R. C., and Pollak, J. P. (2021). ‘Vortex: A Stochastic Simulation of the Extinction Process.’ (Chicago Zoological Society: Brookfield, IL.)
   Google Scholar
• Lande, R., Engen, S., and Saether, B. (2003). ‘Stochastic Population Dynamics in Ecology and Conservation.’ (Oxford University Press: Oxford, UK.)
   Google Scholar
• Leonard, S. A., Risley, C. L., and Turvey, S. T. (2013). Could brown bears (Ursus arctos) have survived in Ireland during the last glacial maximum? Biology Letters 9(4), 20130281. doi:10.1098/rsbl.2013.0281
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Melbourne, B. A., and Hastings, A. (2008). Extinction risk depends strongly on factors contributing to stochasticity. Nature 454, 100–103. doi:10.1038/nature06922
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• O’Grady, J. J., Brook, B. W., Reed, D. H., Ballou, J. D., Tonkyn, D. W., and Frankham, R. (2006). Realistic levels of inbreeding depression strongly affect extinction risk in wild populations. Biological Conservation 133(1), 42–51. doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2006.05.016
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Ortiz-Catedral, L. (2013). ‘The Population and Status of Green Parrot (Tasman Parakeet) Cyanoramphus cookii on Norfolk Island 2013.’ (Institute of Natural and Mathematical Sciences, Massey University: Auckland, New Zealand.)
   Google Scholar
• Ortiz-Catedral, L., Kearvell, J. C., Hauber, M. E., and Brunton, D. H. (2010). Breeding biology of the critically endangered malherbe’s parakeet on Maud Island, New Zealand, following the release of captive-bred individuals. Australian Journal of Zoology 57(6), 433–439. doi:10.1071/ZO09098
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Ortiz-Catedral, L., Nias, R., Fitzsimons, J., Vine, S., and Christian, M. (2018). Back from the brink–again: The decline and recovery of the Norfolk Island green parrot. In ‘Recovering Australian Threatened Species: A Book of Hope.’ (Eds S. Garnett, J. Woinarski, D. Lindenmayer, and P. Latch.) pp. 105–114. (CSIRO Publishing: Clayton South, Australia.)
   Google Scholar
• Ovaskainen, O., and Meerson, B. (2010). Stochastic models of population extinction. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 25(11), 643–652. doi:10.1016/j.tree.2010.07.009
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Prowse, T. A. A., Johnson, C. N., Lacy, R. C., Bradshaw, C. J. A., Pollak, J. P., Watts, M. J., Brook, B. W. (2013). No need for disease: Testing extinction hypotheses for the thylacine using multi-species metamodels. Journal of Animal Ecology 82(2), 355–364. doi:10.1111/1365-2656.12029
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Saunders, D., White, N., Dawson, R., and Mawson, P. (2018). Breeding site fidelity, and breeding pair infidelity in the endangered Carnaby’s Cockatoo Calyptorhynchus latirostris. Nature Conservation 27, 59–74. doi:10.3897/natureconservation.27.27243
   Google Scholar
• Skirrow, M. J. A. (2018). Estimating the population size of two critically endangered South Pacific parakeets: The Tasman Parakeet and Malherbe’s Parakeet. Thesis, Massey University, New Zealand.
   Google Scholar
• Toft, C. A., and Wright, T. F. (2015). ‘Parrots of the Wild: A Natural History of the World’s Most Captivating Birds.’ (University of California Press: Oakland, CA.)
   Google Scholar
• Turvey, S. T., and Risley, C. L. (2006). Modelling the extinction of Steller’s sea cow. Biology Letters 2(1), 94–97. doi:10.1098/rsbl.2005.0415
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar