References
- Aitchison , J. and Dunsmore , I. R. 1975 . Statistical Prediction Analysis , Cambridge , , UK : Cambridge University Press .
- Aitkin , M. 1991 . “Posterior Bayes Factors” . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society , 53 : 111 – 142 . (with discussion), Ser. B
- Akaike , H. “Information Theory and an Extension of the Maximum Likelihood Principle,” . Second International Symposium on Information Theory . Edited by: Petrox , B. N. and Caski , F. pp. 267 Budapest : Akademiai Kiado .
- Akaike , H. 1977 . “On Entropy Maximization Principle,” . In Applications of Statistics , Edited by: Krishaiah , R. 27 – 41 . Amsterdam : North-Holland .
- Akaike , H. 1983 . “Information Measures and Model Selection,” . Bulletin of the International Statistical Institute , 50 : 277 – 290 .
- Akman , V. E. and Raftery , A. E. 1986a . “Bayes Factors for Non-Homogeneous Poisson Processes With Vague Prior Information,” . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society , 48 : 322 – 329 . Ser. B
- Akman , V. E. and Raftery , A. E. 1986b . “Asymptotic Analysis of a Change-Point Poisson Process,” . The Annals of Statistics , 14 : 1583 – 1590 .
- Albert , J. H. 1990 . “A Bayesian Test for a Two-Way Contingency Table Using Independence Priors,” . Canadian Journal of Statistics , 4 : 347 – 363 .
- Atkinson , A. C. 1978 . “Posterior Probabilities for Choosing a Regression Model,” . Biometrika , 65 : 39 – 48 .
- Banfield , J. D. and Raftery , A. E. 1993 . “Model-Based Gaussian and Non-Gaussian Clustering,” . Biometrics , 49 : 803 – 821 .
- Bartlett , M. S. 1957 . “Comment on “A Statistical Paradox” . Biometrika , 44 : 533 – 534 . by D. V. Lindley
- Berger , J. O. 1985 . Statistical Decision Theory and Bayesian Analysis , New York : Springer-Verlag .
- Berger , J. O. and Berry , D. A. 1988 . “The Relevance of Stopping Rules in Statistical Inference,” . In Statistical Decision Theory and Related Topics IV , Edited by: Gupta , S. S. and Berger , J. O. Vol. 1 , 29 – 47 . New York : Springer-Verlag .
- Berger , J. O. and Delampady , M. 1987 . “Testing Precise Hypotheses,” . Statistical Science , 3 : 317 – 352 .
- Berger , J. O. and Mortera , J. 1991 . “Interpreting the Stars in Precise Hypothesis Testing,” . International Statistical Review , 59 : 337 – 353 .
- Berger , J. O. and Perrichi , L. R. 1993 . “The Intrinsic Bayes Factor for Model Selection and Prediction,” , Purdue University, Dept. of Statistics . technical report
- Berger , J. O. and Sellke , T. 1987 . “Testing a Point Null Hypothesis: The Irreconcilability of P Values and Evidence,” . Journal of the American Statistical Association , 82 : 112 – 122 .
- Berger , J. O. and Wolpert , R. L. 1984 . The Likelihood Principle , Hayward , CA : Institute of Mathematical Statistics . IMS Monograph Vol. 6
- Berry , D. A. , Evett , I. W. and Pinchin , R. 1992 . “Statistical Inference in Crime Investigations Using Deoxyribonucleic Acid Profiling” . Applied Statistics , 41 : 499 – 531 . (with discussion)
- Box , G. E. P. 1980 . “Sampling and Bayes's Inference in Scientific Modeling” . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society , 143 : 383 – 430 . (with discussion), Ser. A
- Box , G. E. P. and Tiao , G. C. 1962 . “A Further Look at Robustness via Bayes's Theorem,” . Biometrika , 49 : 419 – 432 .
- Broemeling , L. L. 1985 . Bayesian Inference for Linear Models , New York : Marcel Dekker .
- Carlin , B. P. and Chib , S. 1993 . Bayesian Model Choice via Markov Chain Monte Carlo,” , University of Minnesota, Division of Biostatistics . Research Report 93–006
- Carlin , B. P. , Kass , R. E. , Lerch , J. and Huguenard , B. 1992 . “Predicting Working Memory Failure: A Subjective Bayesian Approach to Model Selection,” . Journal of the American Statistical Association , 87 : 319 – 327 .
- Carlin , B. P. and Poison , N. G. 1991 . “Inference for Nonconjugate Bayesian Models Using the Gibbs Sampler,” . Canadian Journal of Statistics , 19 : 399 – 405 .
- Chen , M.-H. 1992 . “Importance Weighted Marginal Bayesian Posterior Density Estimation,” , Purdue University, Dept. of Statistics . technical report
- Chow , G. C. 1981 . “A Comparison of the Information and Posterior Probability Criteria for Model Selection,” . Journal of Econometrics , 16 : 21 – 33 .
- Cooper , G. and Herskovits , E. 1992 . “A Bayesian Method for the Induction of Probabilistic Networks From Data,” . Machine Learning , 9 : 309 – 347 .
- Cornfield , J. 1966a . “A Bayesian Test of Some Classical Hypotheses, With Applications to Sequential Clinical Trials,” . Journal of the American Statistical Association , 61 : 577 – 594 .
- Cornfield , J. 1966b . “Sequential trials, sequential analysis, and the likelihood principle,” . The American Statistician , 20 : 18 – 23 .
- Cowell , R. G. , Dawid , A. P. and Spiegelhalter , D. J. 1993 . “Sequential Model Criticism in Probabilistic Expert Systems,” . IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence , 15 : 209 – 219 .
- Cox , D. R. 1961 . “Tests of Separate Families of Hypotheses,” . Proceedings of the Fourth Berkeley Symposium , 1 : 105 – 123 .
- Cox , D. R. 1962 . “Further Results on Tests of Separate Families of Hypotheses,” . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society , 24 : 406 – 424 . Ser. B
- Dawid , A. P. 1984 . “Present Position and Potential Developments: Some Personal Views. Statistical Theory. The Prequential Approach” . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society , 147 : 178 – 292 . (with discussion), Ser. A
- Dawid , A. P. 1992 . “Prequential Analysis, Stochastic Complexity and Bayesian Inference,” . In Bayesian Statistics 4 , Edited by: Bernardo , J. M. 109 – 125 . Oxford , , UK : Oxford Science Publications .
- Dayal , H. H. and Dickey , J. M. 1976 . “Bayes Factors for Behrens-Fisher Problems,” . Sankhya , 38 : 315 – 328 .
- De Bruijn , N. G. 1970 . Asymptotic Methods in Analysis , Amsterdam : North-Holland .
- DeGroot , M. H. 1970 . Optimal Statistical Decisions , New York : McGraw-Hill .
- Delampady , M. and Berger , J. O. 1990 . “Lower Bounds on Bayes Factors for Multinomial Distribution, With Application to Chi-Squared Tests of Fit,” . The Annals of Statistics , 18 : 1295 – 1316 .
- Dempster , A. P. 1971 . “Model Searching and Estimation in the Logic of Inference,” . In Foundations of Statistical Inference , Edited by: Godambe , V. P. and Sprott , D. A. Toronto : Holt, Rinehart and Winston .
- Dickey , J. M. 1971 . “The Weighted Likelihood Ratio, Linear Hypotheses on Normal Location Parameters,” . Annals of Mathematical Statistics , 42 : 204 – 223 .
- Dickey , J. M. 1975 . “Bayesian Alternatives to the F-Test and Least Squares Estimate in the Normal Linear Model,” . In Studies in Bayesian Econometrics and Statistics , Edited by: Fieberg , S. E. and Zellner , A. 515 – 554 . Amsterdam : North-Holland .
- Dickey , J. M. 1976 . “Approximate Posterior Distributions,” . Journal of the American Statistical Association , 71 : 680 – 689 .
- Dickey , J. M. 1980 . “Approximate Coherence for Regression Model Inference,” . In Bayesian Analysis in Econometrics and Statistics , Edited by: Zellner , A. 334 – 354 . Amsterdam : North-Holland .
- Dickey , J. M. and Kadane , J. B. 1980 . “Bayesian Decision Theory and the Simplification of Models,” . In Evaluation of Econometric Models , Edited by: Kmenta , J. and Ramsey , J. 245 – 268 . New York : Academic Press .
- Dickey , J. M. and Lientz , B. P. 1970 . “The Weighted Likelihood Ratio, Sharp Hypotheses About Chances, the Order of a Markov Chain,” . Annals of Mathematical Statistics , 41 : 214 – 226 .
- Draper , D. 1995 . “Assessment and Propagation of Model Uncertainty” . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society , 57 : 45 – 98 . (with discussion), Ser. B
- Draper , N. R. and Guttman , I. 1987 . “A Common Model Selection Criterion,” . In Probability and Bayesian Statistics , Edited by: Viertl , R. 139 – 150 . New York : Plenum .
- Edwards , W. , Lindman , H. and Savage , L. J. 1963 . “Bayesian Statistical Inference for Psychological Research,” . Psychological Review , 70 : 193 – 242 .
- Evans , M. and Swartz , T. 1995 . “Methods for Approximating Integrals in Statistics With Special Emphasis on Bayesian Integration problems,” . Statistical Science , to appear
- Evett , I. W. “Implementing Bayesian Methods in Forensic Science,” . paper presented at the Fourth Valencia International Meeting on Bayesian Statistics .
- Fairley , D. 1989 . “Comment,” . Statistical Science , 4 : 381 – 383 .
- Fienberg , S. E. and Mason , W. M. M. 1979 . “Identification and Estimation of Age-Period-Cohort Effects in the Analysis of Discrete Archival Data,” . In Sociological Methodology 1979 , Edited by: Schuessler , K. F. 1 – 67 . San Francisco : Jossey-Bass .
- Findley , D. F. 1991 . “Counterexamples to Parsimony and BIC,” . Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics , 43 : 505 – 514 .
- Fornell , C. and Rust , R. T. 1989 . “Incorporating Prior Theory in Co-variance Structure Analysis: A Bayesian Approach,” . Biometrika , 54 : 249 – 259 .
- Freedman , D. A. 1983 . “A Note on Screening Regression Equations,” . The American Statistician , 37 : 152 – 155 .
- Garthwaite , P. H. 1992 . “Preposterior Expected Loss as a Scoring Rule for Prior Distributions,” , University of Aberdeen, Dept. of Statistics . technical report
- Geisser , S. and Eddy , W. F. 1979 . “A Predictive Approach to Model Selection,” . Journal of the American Statistical Association , 74 : 153 – 160 .
- Gelfand , A. E. and Dey , D. K. 1994 . “Bayesian Model Choice: Asymptotics and Exact Calculations,” . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society , 56 : 501 – 514 . Ser. B
- Gelfand , A. E. , Dey , D. K. and Chang , H. 1992 . “Model Determination Using Predictive Distributions With Implementations via Sampling-Based Methods,” . In Bayesian Statistics 4 , Edited by: Bernardo , J. M. 147 – 167 . Oxford , , UK : Oxford University Press .
- Genz , A. and Kass , R. E. 1993 . “Subregion Adaptive Integration of Functions Having a Dominant Peak,” , Carnegie Mellon University, Dept. of Statistics . technical report
- Geweke , J. 1989 . “Bayesian Inference in Econometric Models Using Monte Carlo Integration,” . Econometrica , 57 : 1317 – 1340 .
- George , E. I. and McCulloch , R. E. 1993 . “Variable Selection via Gibbs Sampling,” . Journal of the American Statistical Association , 88 : 881 – 889 .
- Gilovich , T. , Vallone , R. and Tversky , A. 1985 . “The Hot Hand in Basketball: On the Misperception of Random Sequences,” . Cognitive Psychology , 17 : 295 – 314 .
- Good , I. J. 1950 . Probability and the Weighing of Evidence , London : Griffin .
- Good , I. J. 1952 . “Rational Decisions,” . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society , 14 : 107 – 114 . Ser. B
- Good , I. J. 1958 . “Significance Tests in Parallel and in Series,” . Journal of the American Statistical Association , 53 : 799 – 813 .
- Good , I. J. 1967 . “A Bayesian Significance Test for Multinomial Distributions,” . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society , 29 : 399 – 431 . Ser. B
- Good , I. J. 1983 . “Explicativity, Corroboration, and the Relative Odds of Hypotheses (#846),” . In Good Thinking–The Foundations of Probability and Its Applications , Minneapolis : University of Minnesota Press .
- Good , I. J. 1985 . “Weight of Evidence: A Brief Survey,” . In Bayesian Statistics 2 , Edited by: Bernardo , J. M. , DeGroot , M. H. , Lindley , D. V. and Smith , A. F.M. 249 – 269 . New York : Elsevier .
- Good , I. J. 1992 . “The Bayes/non-Bayes Compromise: A Brief Review,” . Journal of the American Statistical Association , 87 : 597 – 606 .
- Good , I. J. and Crook , J. F. 1987 . “The Robustness and Sensitivity of the Mixed Dirichlet Bayesian Test for ‘Independence’ in Contingency Tables,” . The Annals of Statistics , 15 : 670 – 693 .
- Greaney , V. and Kelleghan , T. 1984 . Equality of Opportunity in Irish Schools , Dublin : Educational Company .
- Groenewald , P. C. N. and deWaall , D. J. 1989 . “Bayesian Tests for Some Precise Hypotheses on Multi-Normal Means,” . Australian Journal of Statistics , 31 : 393 – 408 .
- Grusky , D. B. and Hauser , R. M. 1984 . “Comparative Social Mobility Revisited: Models of Convergence and Divergence in 16 Countries,” . American Sociological Review , 49 : 19 – 38 .
- Gunel , E. and Dickey , J. 1974 . “Bayes Factors for Independence in Contingency Tables,” . Biometrika , 61 : 545 – 557 .
- Hammersley , J. M. and Handscomb , D. C. 1964 . Monte Carlo Methods , London : Chapman and Hall .
- Hartigan , J. A. 1992 . “Locally Uniform Prior Distributions,” , Yale University, Dept. of Statistics . technical report
- Haughton , D. M. A. 1988 . “On the Choice of a Model to Fit Data From an Exponential Family,” . The Annals of Statistics , 16 : 342 – 355 .
- Hodges , J. S. 1987 . “Uncertainty, Policy Analysis and Statistics,” . Statistical Science , 2 : 259 – 291 .
- Hsiao , K. 1994 . “Bayesian Tests of Extra-Binomial Variability With Emphasis on the Boundary Case,” , Ph.D. dissertation Carnegie Mellon University, Dept. of Statistics .
- Jeffreys , H. 1935 . “Some Tests of Significance, Treated by the Theory of Probability,” . Proceedings of the Cambridge Philosophy Society , 31 : 203 – 222 .
- Jeffreys , H. 1961 . Theory of Probability, , 3rd ed. , Oxford , , UK : Oxford University Press .
- Kadane , J. B. and Dickey , J. M. 1980 . “Bayesian Decision Theory and the Simplification of Models,” . In Evaluation of Econometric Models , Edited by: Kmenta , J. and Ramsey , J. 245 – 268 . New York : Academic Press .
- Kadane , J. B. , Dickey , J. , Winkler , R. , Smith , W. and Peters , S. 1980 . “Interactive Elicitation of Opinion for A Normal Linear Model,” . Journal of the American Statistical Association , 75 : 845 – 854 .
- Kass , R. E. 1993 . “Bayes Factors in Practice,” . Statistician , 42 : 551 – 560 .
- Kass , R. E. and Greenhouse , J. B. 1989 . Comment on “Investigating Therapies of Potentially Great Benefit: ECMO,” . Statistical Science , 4 : 310 – 317 . by Ware (1989)
- Kass , R. E. and Raftery , A. E. 1993 . “Bayes Factors and Model Uncertainty,” , Carnegie Mellon University, Dept. of Statistics . Technical Report 571
- Kass , R. E. and Steffey , D. L. 1989 . “Approximate Bayesian Methods in Conditionally Independent Hierarchical Models (Parametric Empirical Bayes Models),” . Journal of the American Statistical Association , 84 : 717 – 726 .
- Kass , R. E. , Tierney , L. and Kadane , J. B. 1990 . “The Validity of Posterior Asymptotic Expansions Based on Laplace's Method,” . In Bayesian and Likelihood Methods in Statistics and Econometrics , Edited by: Geisser , S. , Hodges , J. S. , Press , S. J. and Zellner , A. New York : North-Holland .
- Kass , R. E. and Vaidyanathan , S. 1992 . “Approximate Bayes Factors and Orthogonal Parameters, With Application to Testing Equality of Two Binomial Proportions,” . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society , 54 : 129 – 144 . Ser. B
- Kass , R. E. and Wasserman , L. 1992a . “Improving the Laplace Approximation Using Posterior Simulation,” , Carnegie Mellon University, Dept. of Statistics . Technical Report 566
- Kass , R. E. and Wasserman , L. 1995 . “A Reference Bayesian Test for Nested Hypotheses and Its Relationship to the Schwarz Criterion,” . Journal of the American Statistical Association , to appear
- Katz , R. W. 1981 . “On Some Criteria for Estimating the Order of a Markov Chain,” . Technometrics , 23 : 243 – 249 .
- Le , N. D. , Raftery , A. E. and Martin , R. D. 1990 . “Robust Order Selection for Autoregressive Models Using Robust Bayes Factors,” , University of Washington, Dept. of Statistics . Technical Report 194
- Learner , E. E. 1978 . Specification Searches: Ad Hoc Inference With Non-experimental Data , New York : John Wiley .
- Learner , E. E. 1983 . “Model Choice and Specification Analysis,” . In Handbook of Econometrics , Edited by: Griliches , Z. and Intriligator , M. D. Vol. 1 , Amsterdam : North-Holland .
- Leonard , T. 1982 . Comment on “A Simple Predictive Density Function,” . Journal of the American Statistical Association , 77 : 657 – 658 .
- Lempers , F. B. 1971 . Posterior Probabilities of Alternative Linear Models , Rotterdam : University Press .
- Lewis , S. M. and Raftery , A. E. 1994 . “The Laplace-Metropolis Estimator for Bayes Factors via Posterior Simulation,” , University of Washington, Dept. of Statistics . Technical Report 279
- Lindley , D. V. 1957 . “A Statistical Paradox,” . Biometrika , 44 : 187 – 192 .
- Lindley , D. V. “The Use of Prior Probability Distributions in Statistical Inference and Decisions,” . Proceedings of the Fourth Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Prob. Edited by: Neyman , J. pp. 453 – 468 . Berkeley , CA : University of California Press .
- Lindley , D. V. 1988 . “Statistical Inference Concerning Hardy-Weinberg Equilibrium,” . In Bayesian Statistics 3 , Edited by: Bernardo , J. M. , DeGroot , M. H. , Lindley , D. V. and Smith , A. F.M. 307 – 326 . Oxford , , UK : Oxford University Press .
- Linhart , H. and Zucchini , W. 1986 . Model Selection , New York : John Wiley .
- Madigan , D. and Raftery , A. E. 1994 . “Model Selection and Accounting for Model Uncertainty in Graphical Models Using Occam's Window,” . Journal of the American Statistical Association , 89 : 1535 – 1546 .
- Madigan , D. , Raftery , A. E. , York , J. C. , Bradshaw , J. M. and Almond , R. G. 1994 . “Strategies for Graphical Model Selection,” . In Selecting Models From Data: AI and Statistics IV , Edited by: Cheeseman , P. and Oldford , R. W. 91 – 100 . New York : Springer-Verlag .
- Madigan , D. and York , J. 1992 . “Bayesian graphical models for discrete data,” , University of Washington, Dept. of Statistics . Technical Report 259
- McCulloch , R. E. and Rossi , P. E. 1991 . “A Bayesian Approach to Testing the Arbitrage Pricing Theory,” . Journal of Econometrics , 49 : 141 – 168 .
- McCulloch , R. E. and Rossi , P. E. 1993 . “Bayes Factors for Nonlinear Hypotheses and Likelihood Distributions,” . Biometrika , 79 : 663 – 676 .
- Meng , X. L. and Wong , W. H. 1993 . “Simulating Ratios of Normalizing Constants via a Simple Identity,” , University of Chicago, Dept. of Statistics . Technical Report 365
- Miller , A. J. 1984 . “Selection of Subsets of Regression Variables” . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society , 147 : 389 – 425 . (with discussion), Ser. A
- Miller , A. J. 1990 . Subset Selection in Regression , London : Chapman and Hall .
- Mitchell , T. J. and Beauchamp , J. J. 1988 . “Bayesian Variable Selection in Regression,” . Journal of the American Statistical Association , 83 : 1023 – 1032 .
- Mosteller , F. and Wallace , D. L. 1964 . Inference and Disputed Authorship: The Federalist , Reading , MA : Addison-Wesley. Reprinted in 1985 by Springer-Verlag .
- Moulton , B. R. 1991 . “A Bayesian Approach to Regression Selection and Estimation, With Application to a Price Index for Radio Services,” . Journal of Econometrics , 49 : 169 – 193 .
- Neal , R. M. 1992 . “Probabilistic Inference for Artificial Intelligence Using Monte Carlo Methods Based on Markov Chains,” , University of Toronto, Dept. of Computer Science . technical report
- Newton , M. A. and Raftery , A. E. 1994 . “Approximate Bayesian Inference by the Weighted Likelihood Bootstrap” . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society , 56 : 3 – 48 . (with discussion), Ser. B
- O'Hagan , A. 1991 . Contribution to the discussion of “Posterior Bayes Factors,” . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society , 53 : 137 Ser. B
- O'Hagan , A. 1995 . “Fractional Bayes Factors for Model Comparison” . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society , 57 (with discussion), Ser. B
- Parzen , E. 1974 . “Some Recent Advances in Time Series Modeling,” . IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control , 19 : 723 – 730 .
- Pena , D. and Guttman , I. 1992 . “Comparing Probabilistic Methods for Outlier Detection in Linear Models,” , University of Toronto, Dept. of Statistics . technical report
- Pettit , L. I. and Young , K. D. S. 1990 . “Measuring the Effect of Observations on Bayes Factors,” . Biometrika , 77 : 455 – 466 .
- Poirier , D. J. 1985 . “Bayesian Hypothesis Testing in Linear Models With Continuously Induced Conjugate Priors Across Hypotheses,” . In Bayesian Statistics 2 , Edited by: Bernardo , J. M. , DeGroot , M. H. , Lindley , D. V. and Smith , A. F.M. 711 – 722 . New York : Elsevier .
- Poison , N. G. and Roberts , G. O. 1994 . “Bayes Factors for Discrete Observations From Diffusion Processes,” . Biometrika , 81 : 11 – 26 .
- Racine , A. , Grieve , A. P. , Fluhler , H. and Smith , A. F. M. 1986 . “Bayesian Methods in Practice: Experiences in the Pharmaceutical Industry” . Applied Statistics , 35 : 93 – 150 . (with discussion)
- Raftery , A. E. 1986a . “A Note on Bayes Factors for Log-Linear Contingency Table Models With Vague Prior Information,” . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society , 48 : 249 – 250 . Ser. B
- Raftery , A. E. 1986b . “Choosing Models for Cross-Classifications,” . American Sociological Review , 51 : 145 – 146 .
- Raftery , A. E. 1987 . “Inference and Prediction for a General Order Statistic Model With Unknown Population Size,” . Journal of the American Statistical Association , 82 : 1163 – 1168 .
- Raftery , A. E. 1988a . “Analysis of a Simple Debugging Model.” . Applied Statistics , 37 : 12 – 22 .
- Raftery , A. E. 1988b . “Approximate Bayes Factors for Generalized Linear Models,” , University of Washington, Dept. of Statistics . Technical Report 121
- Raftery , A. E. 1989 . “Are Ozone Exceedance Rates Decreasing?,” . Statistical Science , 4 : 378 – 381 .
- Raftery , A. E. 1992 . “ Discussion of “Model Determination Using Predictive Distributions With Implementations via Sampling-Based Methods,” . In Bayesian Statistics 4 , Edited by: Bernardo , J. M. 160 – 163 . Oxford , , UK : Oxford University Press .
- Raftery , A. E. 1993a . “Discussion of Three Papers on the Gibbs Sampler and Other Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods,” . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society , 53 : 85 Ser. B
- Raftery , A. E. 1993b . “Bayesian Model Selection in Structural Equation Models,” . In Testing Structural Equation Models , Edited by: Bollen , K. A. and Long , J. S. 163 – 180 . Beverly Hills , CA : Sage .
- Raftery , A. E. 1993c . “Approximate Bayes Factors and Accounting for Model Uncertainty in Generalized Linear Models,” , University of Washington, Dept. of Statistics . Technical Report 255
- Raftery , A. E. 1995a . “Hypothesis Testing and Model Selection with Posterior Simulation,” . In Practical Markov Chain Monte Carlo , Edited by: Gilks , W. R. , Spiegelhalter , D. J. and Richardson , S. London : Chapman and Hall .
- Raftery , A. E. 1995b . “Bayesian Model Selection in Social Research (with Discussion),” . In Sociological Methodology 1995 , Edited by: Marden , P. V. Cambridge , MA : Blackwells .
- Raftery , A. E. and Akman , V. E. 1986 . “Bayesian Analysis of a Poisson Process With a Change-Point,” . Biometrika , 73 : 85 – 89 .
- Raftery , A. E. and Banfield , J. D. 1990 . “Stopping the Gibbs Sampler, the Use of Morphology and Other Issues in Spatial Statistics,” . Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics , 43 : 32 – 43 .
- Raftery , A. E. , Givens , G. H. and Zeh , J. E. 1995 . “Inference From a Deterministic Population Dynamics Model About Bowhead Whale, Balaena mysticetus, Replacement Yield” . Journal of the American Statistical Association , 90 : 402 – 416 . (with discussion)
- Raftery , A. E. and Hout , M. 1985 . “Does Irish Education Approach the Meritocratic Ideal? A Logistic Analysis,” . Economic and Social Review , 16 : 115 – 140 .
- Raftery , A. E. and Hout , M. 1993 . “Maximally Maintained Inequality: Expansion, Reform and Opportunity in Irish Education, 1921–1975,” . Sociology of Education , 66 : 41 – 62 .
- Raftery , A. E. , Madigan , D. M. and Hoeting . 1993 . “Model Selection and Accounting for Model Uncertainty in Linear Regression Models,” , University of Washington, Dept. of Statistics . Technical Report 262
- Raftery , A. E. , Madigan , D. and Volinsky , C. T. 1995 . “Accounting for Model Uncertainty in Survival Analysis Improves Predictive Performance (with discussion),” . In Bayesian Statistics 5 , Edited by: Bernardo , J. M. Oxford , , UK : Oxford University Press .
- Raftery , A. E. and Zeh , J. E. 1993 . “Estimation of Bowhead Whale, Balaena mysticetus, Population Size” . In Bayesian Statistics in Science and Technology: Case Studies , Edited by: Gatsonis , C. , Hodges , J. S. , Kass , R. E. and Singpurwalla , D. 163 – 240 . New York : Springer-Verlag . (with discussion)
- Rissanen , J. 1987 . “Stochastic Complexity,” . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society , 49 : 223 – 239 . Ser. B
- Robert , C. P. 1993 . “A Note on Jeffreys–Lindley Paradox,” . Statistica Sinica , 3 : 601 – 608 .
- Robert , C. P. and Caron , N. 1991 . “Noninformative Bayesian Testing and Neutral Bayes Factors,” , Laboratoire de Statistique Théorique et Appliquée, Université de Paris VI . Technical Report 148
- Rosenkranz , S. 1992 . “The Bayes Factor for Model Evaluation in a Hierarchical Poisson Model for Area Counts,” , Ph.D. dissertation University of Washington, 1992, Dept. of Biostatistics .
- Rossi , P. E. 1985 . “Comparison of Alternative Functional Forms in Production,” . Journal of Econometrics , 30 : 345 – 361 .
- Rossi , P. E. “Comparison of Dynamic Factor Demand Models: Dynamic Econometric Modeling,” . Proceedings of the Third International Symposium in Economic Theory & Econometrics . Edited by: Barnett , W. A. , Berndt , E. R. and White , H. pp. 357 – 376 . Cambridge , , UK : Cambridge University Press .
- Rubin , D. B. 1984 . “Bayesianly Justifiable and Relevant Frequency Calculations for the Applied Statistician,” . The Annals of Statistics , 12 : 1151 – 1172 .
- Schotman , P. and vanDijk , H. 1991 . “A Bayesian Analysis of the Unit Root in Real Exchange Rates,” . Journal of Econometrics , 49 : 195 – 238 .
- Schwarz , G. 1978 . “Estimating the Dimension of a Model,” . The Annals of Statistics , 6 : 461 – 464 .
- Shibata , R. 1976 . “Selection of the Order of an Autoregressive Model by Akaike's Information Criterion,” . Biometrika , 63 : 117 – 126 .
- Shibata , R. 1980 . “Asymptotically Efficient Selection of the Order of the Model for Estimating Parameters of a Linear Process,” . The Annals of Statistics , 8 : 147 – 164 .
- Shibata , R. 1981 . “Optimal Selection of Regression Variables,” . Biometrika , 68 : 45 – 54 .
- Sklar , R. and Strauss , B. 1980 . “Role of the uvrE Gene Product and of Inducible 0*-Methylguanine Removal in the Induction of Mutations by N-methyl-N'-nitro-N-nitrosoguanidine in Escherichia coli,” . Journal of Molecular Biology , 143 : 345 – 363 .
- Slate , E. 1994 . “Parameterizations for Natural Exponential Families With Quadratic Variance Functions,” . Journal of the American Statistical Association , 89 : 1471 – 1482 .
- Smith , A. F. M. 1991 . Contribution to the discussion of “Posterior Bayes Factors,” . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society , 53 : 132 – 133 . Ser. B
- Smith , A. F. M. and Roberts , G. O. 1993 . “Bayesian Computation via the Gibbs Sampler and Related Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods,” . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society , 55 : 3 – 23 . Ser. B
- Smith , A. F. M. and Spiegelhalter , D. J. 1980 . “Bayes Factors and Choice Criteria for Linear Models,” . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society , 42 : 213 – 220 . Ser. B.
- Smith , A. F. M. and Spiegelhalter , D. J. 1981 . “Bayesian Approaches to Multivariate Structure,” . In Interpreting Multivariate Data , Edited by: Barnett , V. Chichester , , UK : John Wiley .
- Smith , R. L. 1989 . “Extreme Value Analysis of Environmental Time Series: An Application to Trend Detection in Ground-Level Ozone” . Statistical Science , 4 : 367 – 377 . (with discussion)
- Spiegelhalter , D. J. and Smith , A. F. M. 1982 . “Bayes Factors for Linear and Log-Linear Models With Vague Prior Information,” . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society , 44 : 377 – 387 . Ser. B
- Stewart , L. 1987 . “Hierarchical Bayesian Analysis Using Monte Carlo Integration: Computing Posterior Distributions When There are Many Possible Models,” . The Statistician , 36 : 211 – 219 .
- Stone , M. 1979 . “Comments on Model Selection Criteria of Akaike and Schwarz,” . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society , 41 : 276 – 278 . Ser. B
- Tanner , M. and Wong , W. 1987 . “The Calculation of Posterior Distributions by Data Augmentation” . Journal of the American Statistical Association , 82 : 528 – 550 . (with discussion)
- Thompson , E. A. and Wijsman , E. M. 1990 . “The Gibbs Sampler on Extended Pedigrees: Monte Carlo Methods for the Genetic Analysis of Complex Traits,” , University of Washington, Dept. of Statistics . Technical Report 193
- Tierney , L. “Bayesian Analysis in New-S and Lisp,” . Proceedings of the Section on Statistical Computing, American Statistical Association.
- Tierney , L. 1990 . Lisp-Stat , New York : John Wiley .
- Tierney , L. and Kadane , J. B. 1986 . “Accurate Approximations for Posterior Moments and Marginal Densities,” . Journal of the American Statistical Association , 81 : 82 – 86 .
- Tierney , L. , Kass , R. E. and Kadane , J. B. 1989 . “Fully Exponential Laplace Approximations to Expectations and Variances of Nonpositive Functions,” . Journal of the American Statistical Association , 84 : 710 – 716 .
- Verdinelli , I. and Wasserman , L. 1993a . “Bayes Factors, Nuisance Parameters and Imprecise Tests,” , Carnegie Mellon University, Dept. of Statistics . Technical Report 570
- Verdinelli , I. and Wasserman , L. 1993b . “A Note on Generalizing the Savage-Dickey Density Ratio,” , Carnegie Mellon University, Dept. of Statistics . Technical Report 573
- Worsley , K. J. 1986 . “Confidence Regions and Tests for a Change-Point in a Sequence of Exponential Family Random Variables,” . Biometrika , 73 : 91 – 104 .
- Zellner , A. 1971 . An Introduction to Bayesian Inference in Econometrics , New York : John Wiley .
- Zellner , A. 1978 . “Jeffreys-Bayes Posterior Odds Ratio and the Akaike Information Criterion for Discriminating Between Models,” . Economics Letters , 1 : 337 – 342 .
- Zellner , A. 1984 . “Posterior Odds Ratios for Regression Hypotheses: General Considerations and Some Specific Results,” . In Basic Issues in Econometrics , 275 – 305 . Chicago : University of Chicago Press .
- Zellner , A. 1987 . “Comment,” . Statistical Science , 2 : 339 – 341 .
- Zellner , A. and Siow . 1980 . “Posterior Odds for Selected Regression Hypotheses,” . In Bayesian Statistics 1 , Edited by: Bernardo , J. M. 638 – 643 . Valencia , , Spain : Valencia University Press, pp. 585–603. Reply .