References
- Abrishamchi, A. and Tajrishi, M., 2005. Interbasin water transfer in Iran. In: Water conservation, reuse, and recycling: proceeding of an Iranian American workshop. Washingon, DC: The National Academies Press, 252–271.
- Andersen, T., et al., 2009. Ecological thresholds and regime shifts: approaches to identification. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 24 (1), 49–57. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2008.07.014.
- Basok, T., 1993. Keeping heads above water: Salvadorean refugees in Costa Rica. Montreal: McGill-Queen’s Press-MQUP.
- Bauch, C.T., et al., 2016. Early warning signals of regime shifts in coupled human–environment systems. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 113 (51), 14560–14567. doi:https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1604978113.
- Biggs, R., Carpenter, S.R., and Brock, W.A., 2009. Turning back from the brink: detecting an impending regime shift in time to avert it. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 106 (3), 826–831. doi:https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0811729106.
- Biggs, R., Peterson, G.D., and Rocha, J.C., 2018. The regime shifts database: a framework for analyzing regime shifts in social-ecological systems.
- Black, R., et al., 2011. The effect of environmental change on human migration. Global Environmental Change, 21, S3–S11. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.10.001
- Boazar, M., Yazdanpanah, M., and Abdeshahi, A., 2019. Response to water crisis: how do iranian farmers think about and intent in relation to switching from rice to less water-dependent crops? Journal of Hydrology, 570, 523–530. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.01.021
- Bonacci, O., Buzjak, N., and Roje-Bonacci, T., 2016. Changes in hydrological regime caused by human intervention in karst: the case of the rumin springs. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 61 (13), 2387–2398. doi:https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2015.1111518.
- Bury, T.M., Bauch, C.T., and Anand, M., 2019. Charting pathways to climate change mitigation in a coupled socio-climate model. PLoS Computational Biology, 15 (6), e1007000. doi:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007000.
- Carpenter, S.R. and Brock, W.A., 2006. Rising variance: a leading indicator of ecological transition. Ecology Letters, 9 (3), 311–318. doi:https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2005.00877.x.
- Carpenter, S.R. and Kinne, O., 2003. Regime shifts in lake ecosystems: pattern and variation. Vol. 15. Oldendorf/ Luhe, Germany: International Ecology Institute.
- Coutinho, R.M., Kraenkel, R.A., and Prado, P.I., 2015. Catastrophic regime shift in water reservoirs and São Paulo water supply crisis. PloS One, 10 (9), e0138278. doi:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0138278.
- Cressman, R. and Tao, Y., 2014. The replicator equation and other game dynamics. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 111 (Supplement_3), 10810–10817. doi:https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1400823111.
- Deyoung, B., et al., 2008. Regime shifts in marine ecosystems: detection, prediction and management. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 23 (7), 402–409. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2008.03.008.
- Folke, C., et al., 2004. Regime shifts, resilience, and biodiversity in ecosystem management. Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics, 35 (1), 557–581. doi:https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.ecolsys.35.021103.105711.
- Gohari, A., et al., 2013a. Climate change impacts on crop production in Iran’s Zayandeh-Rud River Basin. Science of the Total Environment, 442, 405–419. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2012.10.029
- Gohari, A., et al., 2013b. Water transfer as a solution to water shortage: a fix that can backfire. Journal of Hydrology, 491, 23–39.
- Gunderson, L., et al., 2017. Regime shifts and panarchies in regional scale social-ecological water systems. Ecology and Society: A Journal of Integrative Science for Resilience and Sustainability, 22 (1), 1. doi:https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-08879-220131.
- Haug, G.H., et al., 2003. Climate and the collapse of maya civilization. Science, 299 (5613), 1731–1735. doi:https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1080444.
- Hengl, S., et al., 2007. Data-based identifiability analysis of non-linear dynamical models. bioinformatics, 23 (19), 2612–2618. doi:https://doi.org/10.1093/bioinformatics/btm382.
- Hodell, D.A., Curtis, J.H., and Brenner, M., 1995. Possible role of climate in the collapse of classic maya civilization. Nature, 375 (6530), 391–394. doi:https://doi.org/10.1038/375391a0.
- Hofbauer, J. and Sigmund, K., 2003. Evolutionary game dynamics. Bulletin of the American Mathematical Society, 40 (4), 479–519. doi:https://doi.org/10.1090/S0273-0979-03-00988-1.
- Jägerskog, A. and Swain, A., 2016. Water, migration and how they are interlinked. Content.
- Jolliffe, I.T. and Cadima, J., 2016. Principal component analysis: a review and recent developments. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences, 374 (2065), 20150202.
- Lade, S.J., et al., 2013. Regime shifts in a social-ecological system. Theoretical Ecology, 6 (3), 359–372. doi:https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-013-0187-3.
- Lafuite, A.-S., De Mazancourt, C., and Loreau, M., 2017. Delayed behavioural shifts undermine the sustainability of social–ecological systems. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 284 (1868), 20171192. doi:https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2017.1192.
- Madani, K., 2014. Water management in iran: what is causing the looming crisis? Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences, 4 (4), 315–328. doi:https://doi.org/10.1007/s13412-014-0182-z.
- Mantua, N., 2004. Methods for detecting regime shifts in large marine ecosystems: a review with approaches applied to north pacific data. Progress in Oceanography, 60 (2–4), 165–182. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2004.02.016.
- Mittal, N., et al., 2016. Impact of human intervention and climate change on natural flow regime. Water Resources Management, 30 (2), 685–699. doi:https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-015-1185-6.
- Montanari, A., et al., 2013. “panta rhei—everything flows”: change in hydrology and society—the iahs scientific decade 2013–2022. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 58 (6), 1256–1275. doi:https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2013.809088.
- Muneepeerakul, R. and Anderies, J.M., 2017. Strategic behaviors and governance challenges in social-ecological systems. Earth’s Future, 5 (8), 865–876. doi:https://doi.org/10.1002/2017EF000562.
- Muneepeerakul, R. and Anderies, J.M., 2020. The emergence and resilience of self-organized governance in coupled infrastructure systems. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 117 (9), 4617–4622. doi:https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1916169117.
- Muradian, R., 2001. Ecological thresholds: a survey. Ecological Economics, 38 (1), 7–24. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/S0921-8009(01)00146-X.
- Nayak, P.K. and Armitage, D., 2018. Social-ecological regime shifts (sers) in coastal systems. Ocean & Coastal Management, 161, 84–95. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2018.04.020
- Nowak, M.A., 2006. Evolutionary dynamics: exploring the equations of life. Cambridge: Harvard University Press.
- Querner, E., 2000. The effects of human intervention in the water regime. Ground Water, 38 (2), 167–171. doi:https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1745-6584.2000.tb00327.x.
- Rodionov, S., 2005. A brief overview of the regime shift detection methods. Large-scale disturbances (regime shifts) and recovery in aquatic ecosystems: challenges for management toward sustainability, 17–24.
- Rudnick, D.L. and Davis, R.E., 2003. Red noise and regime shifts. Deep Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers, 50 (6), 691–699. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/S0967-0637(03)00053-0.
- Scheffer, M., et al., 2001. Catastrophic shifts in ecosystems. Nature, 413 (6856), 591–596. doi:https://doi.org/10.1038/35098000.
- Schröder, A., Persson, L., and De Roos, A.M., 2005. Direct experimental evidence for alternative stable states: a review. Oikos, 110 (1), 3–19. doi:https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0030-1299.2005.13962.x.
- Schuster, P. and Sigmund, K., 1983. Replicator dynamics. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 100 (3), 533–538. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-5193(83)90445-9.
- Selby, J. and Hoffmann, C., 2012. Water scarcity, conflict, and migration: a comparative analysis and reappraisal. Environment and Planning C: Government and Policy, 30 (6), 997–1014. doi:https://doi.org/10.1068/c11335j.
- Sivapalan, M., Savenije, H.H., and Blöschl, G., 2012. Sociohydrology: a new science of people and water. Hydrological Processes, 26 (8), 1270–1276. doi:https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.8426.
- Thompson, S., et al., 2013. Developing predictive insight into changing water systems: use-inspired hydrologic science for the anthropocene. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 17 (12), 5013–5039. doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-5013-2013.
- Tilman, A.R., Watson, J.R., and Levin, S., 2017. Maintaining cooperation in social-ecological systems:. Theoretical Ecology, 10 (2), 155–165. doi:https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-016-0318-8.
- Van De Meene, S., Brown, R.R., and Farrelly, M.A., 2011. Towards understanding governance for sustainable urban water management. Global Environmental Change, 21 (3), 1117–1127. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.04.003.
- Wang, H., et al., 2017. Impacts of the dam-orientated water-sediment regulation scheme on the lower reaches and delta of the yellow river (huanghe): a review. Global and Planetary Change, 157, 93–113. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2017.08.005.
- Warziniack, T., 2013. The effects of water scarcity and natural resources on refugee migration. Society & Natural Resources, 26 (9), 1037–1049. doi:https://doi.org/10.1080/08941920.2013.779339.
- Yu, D.J., et al., 2014. The effect of infrastructure on social-ecological system dynamics: provision thresholds and asymmetric access.
- Zeileis, A., et al., 2003. Testing and dating of structural changes in practice. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 44 (1–2), 109–123. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-9473(03)00030-6.