References
- Aguirre , A. and González , E. 1992 . Forecast of acute respiratory infections: expected nonepidemic morbidity in cuba . Memorias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz , 87 : pp. 433 – 436 .
- Alonso , A. M. , Peña , D. and Romo , J. 2002 . Forecasting time series with sieve bootstrap . Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference , 100 : pp. 1 – 11 .
- Box , G. E. P. and Jenkins , G. M. 1976 . Time Series Analysis Forecasting and Control, , 1st edn , Oakland, CA : Holden-Day .
- Bühlmann , P. 1997 . Sieve bootstrap for time series . Bernoulli , 8 : pp. 123 – 148 .
- Cao , R. , Febrero-Bande , M. , González-Manteiga , W. , Prada-Sánchez , J. M. and García-Jurado , I. 1997 . Saving computer time in constructing consistent bootstrap prediction intervals for autoregressive processes . Communications in Statistics. Simulation and Computation , 26 : pp. 961 – 978 .
- Cardinal , M. , Roy , R. and Lambert , J. 1999 . On the application of integer-valued time series models for the analysis of diseases incidence . Statistics in Medicine , 18 : pp. 2025 – 2039 .
- Choi , K. and Thacker , S. B. 1981 . An evaluation of influenza mortality surveillance 1962–1979. I Time series forecast of expected pneumonia and influenza deaths . American Journal of Epidemiology , 113 : pp. 215 – 226 .
- Helfentein , U. 1986 . Box–Jenkins modelling of some viral infectious diseases . Statistics in Medicine , 5 : pp. 37 – 47 .
- Hurvich , C. M. and Tsai , C.-L. 1989 . Regression and time series model selection in small samples . Biometrika , 76 : pp. 297 – 307 .
- Pascual , L. , Romo , J. and Ruiz , E. 2001 . Effects of parameter estimation on prediction densities: a bootstrap approach . International Journal of Forecasting , 17 : pp. 83 – 103 .
- Serfling , R. E. 1963 . Methods for current statistical analysis of excess pneumonia-influenza deaths . Public Health Reports , 78 : pp. 494 – 450 .
- Thacker , S. B. and Berkelman , R. L. 1988 . Public health surveillance in the United States . Epidemiologic Reviews , 10 : pp. 164 – 190 .
- Thombs , L. A. and Schucany , W. R. 1990 . Bootstrap prediction intervals for autoregression . Journal of the American Statistical Association , 85 : pp. 486 – 492 .
- Williamson , G. D. and Hudson , G. W. 1999 . A monitoring system for detecting aberrations in public health surveillance reports . Statistics in Medicine , 18 : pp. 3283 – 3298 .
- Watier , L. , Richarson , S. and Hubert , B. 1991 . A time series construction of an alert threshold with application to S. Bovimorbificans in France . Statistics in Medicine , 10 : pp. 1493 – 1509 .
- Zaidi , A. A. , Schnell , D. J. and Reynolds , G. H. 1989 . Time series analysis of syphilis surveillance data . Statistics in Medicine , 8 : pp. 353 – 362 .