A spatio-temporal model for assessing winter damage risk to east coast vineyards

References

• R. Blair, B. Fitzharris, and K. Richards, Interpolation of growing degree-days in non-homogeneous terrain, Proceedings 14th Annual Colloquium of the Spatial Information Research Centre, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand, December 3–5, 2002, pp 9–18.
   Google Scholar
• V. Bonnardot, V.A. Carey, M. Madelin, S. Cautenet, Z. Coetzee, and H. Quénol, Spatial variability of night temperatures at a fine scale over the Stellenbosch wine district, south africa, J. Int. des Sci. Vigne Vin 46 (2012), pp. 1–13.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• C.K. Carter and R. Kohn, Markov chain monte carlo in conditionally Gaussian state space models, Biometrika 83 (1996), pp. 589–601. doi: 10.1093/biomet/83.3.589
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• J.C. Ferguson, J.M. Tarara, L.J. Mills, G.G. Grove, and M. Keller, Dynamic thermal time model of cold hardiness for dormant grapevine buds, Ann. Botany 107(3) (2011), pp. 389–396. doi: 10.1093/aob/mcq263
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• S. Frühwirth-Schnatter, Data augmentation and dynamic linear models, J. Time Ser. Anal. 15 (1994), pp. 183–202. doi: 10.1111/j.1467-9892.1994.tb00184.x
   Google Scholar
• M.C. Goffinet, Anatomy of grapevine winter injury and recovery, Departmental Research Paper, Department of Horticultural Services, Cornell University, Geneva, 2004.
   Google Scholar
• G. Huerta, B. Sanso, and J.R. Stroud, A spatiotemporal model for Mexico City ozone levels, J. R. Statist. Soc: Ser. C (Appl. Stat.) 53 (2004), pp. 231–248. doi: 10.1046/j.1467-9876.2003.05100.x
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• S. Lavee and P. May, Dormancy of grapevine buds-facts and speculation, Aust. J. Grape Wine Res. 3 (1997), pp. 31–46. doi: 10.1111/j.1755-0238.1997.tb00114.x
   Google Scholar
• M. Madelin and G. Beltrando, Spatial interpolation-based mapping of the spring frost hazard in the champagne vineyards, Meteorol. Appl. 12 (2005), pp. 51–56. doi: 10.1017/S1350482705001568
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• D. McKenney, M. Hutchinson, J. Kesteven, and L. Venier, Canada's plant hardiness zones revisited using modern climate interpolation techniques, Can. J. Plant Sci. 81 (2001), pp. 129–143. doi: 10.4141/P00-030
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• D.W. McKenney, M.H. Pia Papadopol, K. Campbell, and K. Lawrence, The generation of USDA-equivalent extreme minimum temperature models and a comparison with Canada's plant hardiness zones, Can. J. Plant Sci. 86 (2006), pp. 511–523. doi: 10.4141/P05-070
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• P. Palonen and D. Buszard, Current state of cold hardiness research on fruit crops, Can. J. Plant Sci. 77 (1997), pp. 399–420. doi: 10.4141/P96-013
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• G. Petris, S. Petrone, and P. Campagnoli, Dynamic Linear Models with R, Springer, New York, 2009.
   Google Scholar
• H.R. Podio, M. Fabini, R. Badini, C. Inga, H. Ostera, and M. Cagnoni, Meso-scale future climate modeling (5 km resolution): Application over french wine regions under the sres a2 scenario (2041–2050), J. Enol. Viticulture 26 (2007), p. 33.
   Google Scholar
• J.R. Stroud, P. Muller and B. Sanso, Dynamic models for spatiotemporal data, J. R. Statist. Soc: Ser. B (Statist. Methodol.) 63 (2001), pp. 673–689. doi: 10.1111/1467-9868.00305
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• S.M. Thorsen and M. Höglind, Modelling cold hardening and dehardening in timothy. Sensitivity analysis and Bayesian model comparison, Agricul. Forest Meteorol. 150 (2010), pp. 1529–1542. doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2010.08.001
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• C. Velasco-Cruz, S.C. Leman, M. Hudy, and E.P. Smith, Assessing the risk of rising temperature on brook trout: A spatial dynamic linear risk model, J. Agricul. Biol. Environ. Stat. 17 (2012), pp. 246–264. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13253-012-0088-8. doi: 10.1007/s13253-012-0088-8
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• M. West and J. Harrison, Bayesian Forecasting and Dynamic Models, Springer, Berlin, 1997.
   Google Scholar
• T.K. Wolf, Crop yield effects on cold hardiness of ‘Cabernet Sauvignon'dormant buds, XXVI International Horticultural Congress: Viticulture-Living with Limitations 640, 2002, pp. 177–187. Available at http://www.actahort.org/books/640/640_19.htm
   Google Scholar
• T.K. Wolf and M.K. Cook, Cold hardiness of dormant buds of grape cultivars: Comparison of thermal analysis and field survival, HortScience 29 (1994), pp. 1453–1455.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar