Resiliency, robustness and rationality of probability judgements

References

• Adler , J. 1991 . “ An optimist's pessimism: conversation and conjunction ” . In Probability and Rationality: Studies on L.J. Cohen's Philosophy of Science , Edited by: Eells , E. and Maruszewski , T. Amsterdam : Rodopi .
   Google Scholar
• Blackburn , S. 1981 . Rational animal? . Behavioral and Brain Sciences , 4/3 : 331 – 332 .
   Google Scholar
• Cohen , L.J. 1979 . On the psychology of prediction: whose is the fallacy? . Cognition , 7 : 385 – 407 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Cohen , L.J. 1981 . Can human irrationality be experimentally demonstrated? . Behavioral and Brain Sciences , 4/3 : 317 – 330 .
   Google Scholar
• Cohen , L.J. 1991 . “ Some remarks by L.J.C. ” . In Probability and Rationality: Studies on L.J. Cohen's Philosophy of Science , Edited by: Eells , E. and Maruszewski , T. Amsterdam : Rodopi .
   Google Scholar
• Dawid , A.P. 1982 . The well‐calibrated Bayesian . Journal of the American Statistical Association , 77 : 605 – 613 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• de Finetti , B. 1974 . Theory of Probability , Vol. 1 , New York : Wiley .
   Google Scholar
• Eells , E. and Maruszewski , T. 1991 . Probability and Rationality: Studies on L.J. Cohen's Philosophy of Science , Amsterdam : Rodopi .
   Google Scholar
• Gigerenzer , G. 1991 . “ On cognitive illusions and rationality ” . In Probability and Rationality: Studies on L.J. Cohen's Philosophy of Science , Edited by: Eells , E. and Maruszewski , T. 226 – 249 . Amsterdam : Rodopi .
   Google Scholar
• Gigerenzer , G. , Hell , W. and Blank , H. 1988 . Presentation and content: the use of base rates as a continuous variable . Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance , 14 : 513 – 525 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Jeffrey , R.C. 1983 . De Finetti's probabilism . Synthese , 60 : 73 – 90 .
   Google Scholar
• Kahneman , D. and Tversky , A. 1972 . Subjective probability: a judgment of representativeness . Cognitive Psychology , 3 : 430 – 454 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Kahneman , D. and Tversky , A. 1973 . On the psychology of prediction . Psychological Review , 80 : 237 – 251 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Kahneman , D. and Tversky , A. 1974 . Judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases . Science , 185 : 1124 – 1131 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Kahneman , D. and Tversky , A. 1979 . On the interpretation of intuitive probability: a reply to Jonathan Cohen . Cognition , 7 : 409 – 411 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Kahneman , D. and Tversky , A. 1982 . Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases , New York : Cambridge University Press .
   Google Scholar
• Koehler , J. 1996 . The base rate fallacy reconsidered . Behavioral and Brain Sciences , 19 : 1 – 17 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Logue , J. 1995 . Projective Probability , Oxford : Clarendon Press .
   Google Scholar
• Lopes , L. and Oden , G. 1991 . “ The rationality of intelligence ” . In Probability and Rationality: Studies on L.J. Cohen's Philosophy of Science , Edited by: Eells , E. and Maruszewski , T. Amsterdam : Rodopi .
   Google Scholar
• Nisbett , R.E. , Krantz , D.H. , Jepson , C. and Kunda , Z. 1983 . The use of statistical heuristics in everyday inductive reasoning . Psychological Review , 90 : 339 – 363 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Nisbett , R.E. and Borgida , E. 1975 . Attribution and the psychology of prediction . Journal of Personality and Social Psychology , 32 : 932 – 943 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Oaksford and Chater . 1995 . A rational analysis of the selection task as optimal data selection . Psychological Review , 103 : 1 – 28 .
   Google Scholar
• Phillips , L. and Edwards , W. 1966 . Conservatism in a simple probability inference task . Journal of Experimental Psychology , 72 : 364 – 354 .
   Google Scholar
• Savage , L.J. 1954 . The Foundations of Statistics , New York : Wiley .
   Google Scholar
• Ungar , S. and Shev'er , A. 1989 . ‘Say it ain't so, Ben’: attributions for a fallen hero . Social Psychology Quarterly , 52 : 207 – 212 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Wason , P.C. 1966 . “ Reasoning ” . In New Horizons in Psychology , Edited by: Foss , B. London : Penguin .
   Google Scholar