Probabilistic forecasts. The case of population projections

References

• Alho , J. M. 1983 . Uncertain population forecasting. , Evanston : Northwestern University . Doctoral dissertation
   Google Scholar
• Box , G. E. P. and Jenkins , G. M. 1976 . Time‐series analysis. Forecasting and control. , San Francisco : Holden‐Day .
   Google Scholar
• Castro , L. J. and Rogers , A. 1981 . “Model migration schedules: A simplified formulation and an alternative parameter estimation method” . Working Paper WP‐81–63 Laxenburg : I.I.A.S.A. .
   Google Scholar
• Central Bureau of Statistics of Norway . 1982 . Population Projections 1982–2025. , Oslo : Norges Officielle Statistikk . B317
   Google Scholar
• Central Statistical Office of Finland . 1979 . Population Projections 1978–2020. Helsinki Statistical Surveys No. 64
   Google Scholar
• Frauenthal , J. C. and Swick , K. E. 1983 . “Limit cycle oscillations of the human population” . Demography , 20 ( 3 ) : 258 – 298 .
   Google Scholar
• Hoem , J. M. 1973 . “Levels of error in population forecasts” . Oslo : Central Bureau of Statistics of Norway . Artikler 61.
   Google Scholar
• Hyppölä , J. , Tunkelo , A. and Tomqvist , L. 1949 . Calculations on the population of Finland, its renewal, and its future development. , Helsinki : Central Statistical Office of Finland . Tilastollisia tiedonantoja 38. (In Finnish.)
   Google Scholar
• I.N.E.D. 1976 . Natalité et politique démographique. , Paris : Presses Universitaires de France .
   Google Scholar
• Morgenstem , O. 1963 . On the accuracy of economic observations, , 2nd ed. , Princeton : Princeton University Press .
   Google Scholar
• Sacks , J. and Ylvisaker , D. 1978 . “Linear estimation for approximately linear models”, . Annals of Statistics , 6 : 1122 – 1137 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Shryock , H. S. and Siegel , J. S. 1976 . The methods and materials of demography. , Edited by: Stockwell , E. G. New York : Academic Press . associates, condensed
   Google Scholar
• Stoto , M. 1983 . “The accuracy of population projections”, . Journal of the American Statistical Association , 78 : 13 – 20 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• U.S. Bureau of the Census . 1973 . Estimates of the coverage of population by sex, race, and age: demographic analysis. Census of Population and Housing: 1970. , Washington D.C. : Evaluation and Research Program . PHC(E)‐4.
   Google Scholar
• _____ . 1982a . Coverage of the national population in the 1980 census by age, sex, and race: preliminary estimates by demographic analysis. , Series P‐23 Washington D.C. : Current Population Reports . No. 115.
   Google Scholar
• _____ . 1982b . Projections of population of the United States, 1982 to 2050 (advance report). , Series P‐25 Washington D.C. : Current Population Reports . No. 922.
   Google Scholar
• Vinod , H. D. and Ullah , A. 1981 . Recent advances in regression methods. , New York : Marcel .
   Google Scholar
• Dekker , Warren R. 1982 . “Estimation of the size of the illegal alien population in the United States” . Washington D.C. : U.S. Bureau of the Census . Unpublished memorandum
   Google Scholar
• Whelpton , P. C. 1947 . Forecasts of the population of the United States, 1945–1975. , Washington D.C. : U.S. Bureau of the Census .
   Google Scholar