Is mathematical modelling an instrument of knowledge co-production?

References

• Abdellaoui, Mohammed. 2004. “Rational Choice under Uncertainty.” In Cognitive Economics: An Interdisciplinary Approach, edited by Paul Bourgine, and Jean-Pierre Nadal, 15–32. Berlin: Springer.
   Google Scholar
• Adler, Matthew, David Anthoff, Valentina Bosetti, Greg Garner, Klaus Keller, and Nicolas Treich. 2017. “Priority for the Worse-off and the Social Cost of Carbon.” Nature Climate Change 7 (6): 443–449. doi:https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3298.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Atkinson, Giles, Simon Dietz, Cameron Hepburn, Jennifer Helgeson, and Håkon Sælen. 2009. “Siblings, Not Triplets: Social Preferences for Risk, Inequality and Time in Discounting Climate Change.” Economics: The Open-Access 3: 1–28.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Bäckstrand, Karin. 2003. “Civic Science for Sustainability: Reframing the Role of Experts, Policy-Makers and Citizens in Environmental Governance.” Global Environmental Politics 3 (4): 24–41. doi:https://doi.org/10.1162/152638003322757916.
   Google Scholar
• Basili, Marcello. 2006. “A Rational Decision Rule with Extreme Events.” Risk Analysis 26 (6): 1721–1728. doi:https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2006.00826.x.
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Bather, J. 2000. Decision Theory: an Introduction to Dynamic Programming and Sequential Decisions. Chichester: Wiley.
   Google Scholar
• Beck, Marisa, and Tobias Krueger. 2016. “The Epistemic, Ethical, and Political Dimensions of Uncertainty in Integrated Assessment Modeling.” Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change 7 (5): 627–645. doi:https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.415.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Beckert, Jens. 2016. Imagined Futures. Fictional Expectations and Capitalist Dynamics. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
   Google Scholar
• Berger, Gaston. 1964. Phénoménologie du temps et prospective. Paris: P.U.F.
   Google Scholar
• Berger, James O., and Leonard A. Smith. 2019. “On the Statistical Formalism of Uncertainty Quantification.” Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application 6 (1): 433–460. doi:https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-statistics-030718-105232.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Boltanski, Luc, and Laurent Thévenot. 2006. On Justification: Economies of Worth. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
   Google Scholar
• Boudon, Raymond. 2010. “The Cognitive Approach to Morality.” In Handbook of the Sociology of Morality, edited by Steven Hitlin, and Stephen Vaisey, 15–33. New York: Springer.
   Google Scholar
• Callon, Michel. 2006. “What Does it Mean to Say that Economics is Performative?” halshs-00091596.
   Google Scholar
• Chateauneuf, A., and M. Cohen. 2009. “Cardinal Extensions of the EU Model based on the Choquet Integral.” In Decision-making Process: Concepts and Methods, edited by D. Bouyssou, D. Dubois, M. Pirlot, and H. Prade, 401–433. London: Wiley-ISTE.
   Google Scholar
• Chichilnisky, G. 2000. “An Axiomatic Approach to Choice Under Uncertainty with Catastrophic Risks.” Resource and Energy Economics 22: 221–231.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Chilvers, Jason, and Noel Longhurst. 2016. “Participation in Transition(s): Reconceiving Public Engagements in Energy Transitions as Co-Produced, Emergent and Diverse.” Journal of Environmental Policy & Planning 18 (5): 585–607. doi:https://doi.org/10.1080/1523908X.2015.1110483.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Choquet, G. 1953. “Theory of Capacities.” Annales de l'Institut Fourier 5: 131–195.
   Google Scholar
• Clark, William C., Lorrae van Kerkhoff, Louis Lebel, and Gilberto C. Gallopin. 2016. “Crafting Usable Knowledge for Sustainable Development.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 113 (17): 4570–4578. doi:https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1601266113.
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Cointe, Béatrice, Christophe Cassen, and Alain Nadaï. 2019. “Organising Policy-Relevant Knowledge for Climate Action: Integrated Assessment Modelling, the IPCC, and the Emergence of a Collective Expertise on Socioeconomic Emission Scenarios.” Science & Technology Studies 32 (4): 36–57. doi:https://doi.org/10.23987/sts.65031.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• David, Paul A. 2007. “Path Dependence: A Foundational Concept for Historical Social Science.” Cliometrica 1 (2): 91–114. doi:https://doi.org/10.1007/s11698-006-0005-x.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Desroisières, Alain. 1998. The Politics of Large Numbers. A History of Statistical Reasoning. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
   Google Scholar
• Dewey, John. 1927. The Public and its Problems. Athens, OH: Swallow Press.
   Google Scholar
• Dietz, Simon. 2011. “Title.” Economics for Equity and the Environment (E3 Network).
   Google Scholar
• Dietz, Simon, and Cameron Hepburn. 2010. On Non-Marginal Cost-Benefit Analysis. Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment Working Paper.
   Google Scholar
• Douglas, Heather. 2000. “Inductive Risk and Values in Science.” Philosophy of Science 67 (4): 559–579.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Entradas, Marta, Joana Marcelino, Martin W. Bauer, and Bruce Lewenstein. 2019. “Public Communication by Climate Scientists: What, with Whom and why?” Climatic Change 154: 69–85. doi:https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02414-9.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Funtowicz, Silvio O., and Jerome R. Ravetz. 1993. “Science for the Post-Normal age.” Futures 25 (7): 739–755. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/0016-3287(93)90022-L.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Haimes, Y. Y. 2016. Risk Modelling, Assessment and Management. 4th ed. Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons.
   Google Scholar
• Havstad, Joyce C., and Matthew J. Brown. 2017. “Inductive Risk, Deferred Decisions, and Climate Science Advising.” In Exploring Inductive Risk, edited by Kevin C. Elliott and Ted Richards, 101–123. New York: Oxford University Press.
   Google Scholar
• Hou, Z., J. A. Filar, and A. Chen, eds. 2002. Markov Processes and Controlled Markov Chains. Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic Publishers.
   Google Scholar
• Howarth, Candice, and Irene Monasterolo. 2016. “Understanding Barriers to Decision Making in the UK Energy-Food-Water Nexus: The Added Value of Interdisciplinary Approaches.” Environmental Science & Policy 61: 53–60. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2016.03.014.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Intemann, Kristen. 2015. “Distinguishing Between Legitimate and Illegitimate Values in Climate Modeling.” European Journal for Philosophy of Science 5 (2): 217–232. doi:https://doi.org/10.1007/s13194-014-0105-6.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Jasanoff, Sheila. 2003. “Technologies of Humility: Citizen Participation in Governing Science.” Minerva 41 (3): 223–244. doi:https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1025557512320.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Jasanoff, Sheila. 2004a. “The Idiom of Co-Production.” In States of Knowledge, edited by Sheila Jasanoff, 1–12. Oxon: Routledge.
   Google Scholar
• Jasanoff, Sheila. 2004b. “Ordering Knowledge, Ordering Society.” In States of Knowledge, edited by Sheila Jasanoff, 13–45. Oxon: Routledge.
   Google Scholar
• Jasanoff, Sheila. 2005. Designs on Nature. Science and Democracy in Europe and the Unites States. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
   Google Scholar
• Knight, F. H. 1921. Risk, Uncertainty and Profit. Boston: Houghton Mifflin.
   Google Scholar
• Lempert, R. J. 2019. “Robust Decision Making (RDM).” In Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice, edited by Vincent A. W. J. Marchau, Warren E. Walker, Pieter J. T. M. Bloemen, and Steven W. Popper, 23–51. Cham: Springer International Publishing.
   Google Scholar
• Lloyd, Elisabeth A., and Vanessa J. Schweizer. 2014. “Objectivity and a Comparison of Methodological Scenario Approaches for Climate Change Research.” Synthese 191 (10): 2049–2088. doi:https://doi.org/10.1007/s11229-013-0353-6.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Merton, Robert K. 1948. “The Self-Fulfilling Prophecy.” Antioch Review 8: 193–210.
   Google Scholar
• Miller, Clark A., and Carina Wyborn. 2020. “Co-production in Global Sustainability: Histories and Theories.” Environmental Science & Policy 113: 88–95. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2018.01.016.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• von Neumann, John, and Oskar Morgenstern. 1944. Theory of Games and Economic Behaviour. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
   Google Scholar
• Nikas, Alexandros, Haris Doukas, and Andreas Papandreou. 2019. “A Detailed Overview and Consistent Classification of Climate-Economy Models.” In Understanding Risks and Uncertainties in Energy and Climate Policy: Multidisciplinary Methods and Tools for a Low Carbon Society, edited by Haris Doukas, Alexandros Flamos, and Jenny Lieu, 1–54. Cham: Springer International Publishing.
   Google Scholar
• O’Neill, Brian C., Elmar Kriegler, Kristie L. Ebi, Eric Kemp-Benedict, Keywan Riahi, Dale S. Rothman, Bas J. van Ruijven, et al. 2017. “The Roads Ahead: Narratives for Shared Socioeconomic Pathways Describing World Futures in the 21st Century.” Global Environmental Change 42: 169–180. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.01.004
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Papadakis, G., Z. Chalabi, S. Khare, A. Bone, S. Hajat, and S. Kovats. 2018. “Health Protection Planning for Extreme Weather Events and Natural Disasters.” American Journal of Disaster Medicine 13: 227–236.
   PubMedGoogle Scholar
• Parker, Wendy. 2014. “Values and Uncertainties in Climate Prediction, Revisited.” Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A 46: 24–30. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.shpsa.2013.11.003.
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Parker, Wendy S., and Eric Winsberg. 2018. “Values and Evidence: How Models Make a Difference.” European Journal for Philosophy of Science 8 (1): 125–142. doi:https://doi.org/10.1007/s13194-017-0180-6.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Pierson, Paul. 2000. “Increasing Returns, Path Dependence, and the Study of Politics.” American Political Science Review 94 (2): 251–267.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Pindyck, Robert S. 2015. “The Use and Misuse of Models for Climate Policy.” National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series No. 21097.
   Google Scholar
• Puterman, M. L. 1994. Markov Decision Processes: Discrete Stochastic Dynamic Programming. New York: Wiley.
   Google Scholar
• Ravetz, J. R. 2006. “Post-Normal Science and the Complexity of Transitions Towards Sustainability.” Ecological Complexity 3 (4): 275–284. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecocom.2007.02.001.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Ravetz, Jerome R. 1987. “Usable Knowledge, Usable Ignorance: Incomplete Science with Policy Implications.” Knowledge 9 (1): 87–116. doi:https://doi.org/10.1177/107554708700900104.
   Google Scholar
• Rudner, Richard. 1953. “The Scientist Qua Scientist Makes Value Judgments.” Philosophy of Science 20 (1): 1–6.
   Google Scholar
• Saelen, Hakon, Giles Atkinson, Simon Dietz, Jennifer Helgeson, and Cameron Hepburn. 2008. Risk, Inequality and Time in the Welfare Economics of Climate Change: Is the Workhorse Model Underspecified? Economics Series Working Papers 400. University of Oxford, Department of Economics
   Google Scholar
• Saltelli, Andrea. 2020. “Ethics of Quantification or Quantification of Ethics?” Futures 116: 102509. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2019.102509.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Saltelli, Andrea, Ângela Guimarães Pereira, Jeroen P. Van der Sluijs, and Silvio Funtowicz. 2013. “What Do I Make of Your Latinorum? Sensitivity Auditing of Mathematical Modelling.” International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy 9 (2/3/4): 213–234.
   Google Scholar
• von Schomberg, Rene. 2012. “Prospects for Technology Assessment in a framework of responsible research and innovation.” In Technikfolgen abschätzen lehren: Bildungspotenziale transdisziplinärer Methode, 39-61. Wiesbaden: Springer VS. https://renevonschomberg.wordpress.com/definition-of-responsible-innovation/.
   Google Scholar
• Setterfield, Mark. 2009. “Path Dependency, Hysteresis and Macrodynamics.” In Path Dependency and Macroeconomics, edited by Philip Arestis, and Malcolm Sawyer, 37–79. London: Palgrave Macmillan.
   Google Scholar
• Shackley, Simon, James Risbey, Peter Stone, and Brian Wynne. 1999. “Adjusting to Policy Expectations in Climate Change Modeling: An Interdisciplinary Study to Flux Adjustments in Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean General Circulation Model.” Climatic Change 43: 413–454.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Shackley, Simon, and Brian Wynne. 1996. “Representing Uncertainty in Global Climate Change Science and Policy: Boundary-Ordering Devices and Authority.” Science, Technology & Human Values 21 (3): 275–302. doi:https://doi.org/10.1177/016224399602100302.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• van der Sluijs, J. P. 2006. “Uncertainty, Assumptions, and Value Commitments in the Knowledge Base of Complex Environmental Problems.” In Interfaces Between Science and Society, edited by Ângela Guimarães Pereira, Sofia Guedes Vaz, and Sylvia Tognetti, 67–84. Sheffield, UK: Greenleaf Publishing.
   Google Scholar
• van der Sluijs, Jeroen P. 2012. “Uncertainty and Dissent in Climate Risk Assessment: A Post-Normal Perspective.” Nature and Culture 7 (2): 174–195. doi:https://doi.org/10.3167/nc.2012.070204.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• van der Sluijs, Jeroen P., and J. Arjan Wardekker. 2015. “Critical Appraisal of Assumptions in Chains of Model Calculations Used to Project Local Climate Impacts for Adaptation Decision Support—the Case of Baakse Beek.” Environmental Research Letters 10 (4): 045005. doi:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/4/045005.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Spangenberg, Joachim H., and Lia Polotzek. 2019. “Like Blending Chalk and Cheese – The Impact of Standard Economics in IPCC Scenarios.” Real-World Economics Review, no. 87: 196–211.
   Google Scholar
• Tuana, Nancy. 2010. “Leading with Ethics, Aiming for Policy: new Opportunities for Philosophy of Science.” Synthese 177 (3): 471–492. doi:https://doi.org/10.1007/s11229-010-9793-4.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Turner, Frederick. 1997. “Chaos and Social Science.” In Chaos, Complexity, and Sociology. Myths, Models, and Theories, edited by Raymond A. Eve, Sara Horsfall, and Mary E. Lee, xi–xxv. Thousand Oaks, CA: SAGE Publications, Inc.
   Google Scholar
• Urbinati, Nadia. 2014. Democracy Disfigured. Opinion, Truth, and the People. Cambridge: Harvard University Press.
   Google Scholar
• Vecchione, Elisa. 2012. Deliberating beyond evidence: lessons from Integrated Assessment Modeling. Iddri Working Papers 13.
   Google Scholar
• van Vuuren, Detlef P., Keywan Riahi, Katherine Calvin, Rob Dellink, Johannes Emmerling, Shinichiro Fujimori, Samir Kc, Elmar Kriegler, and Brian O’Neill. 2017. “The Shared Socio-economic Pathways: Trajectories for Human Development and Global Environmental Change.” Global Environmental Change 42: 148–152. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.10.009
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• White, D. J. 1993. Markov Decision Processes. Chichester: Wiley.
   Google Scholar
• White, Hayden. 1987/1996. “The Value of Narrativity in the Representation of Reality.” In Knowledge and Postmodernism in Historical Perspective, edited by Joyce Appleby, Elizabeth Covington, David Hoyt, Michael Latham, and Allison Sneider, 393–407. New York: Routledge.
   Google Scholar
• Winsberg, Eric. 2012. “Values and Uncertainties in the Predictions of Global Climate Models.” Kennedy Institute of Ethics Journal 22 (2): 111–137.
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Winsberg, Eric, Naomi Oreskes, and Elisabeth A. Lloyd. 2019. Severe Weather Event Attribution: Why values won’t go away [preprint].
   Google Scholar
• Wynne, Brian. 2007. “Public Participation in Science and Technology: Performing and Obscuring a Political–Conceptual Category Mistake.” East Asian Science, Technology and Society: an International Journal 1 (1): 99–110. doi:https://doi.org/10.1007/s12280-007-9004-7.
   Google Scholar
• Wynne, Brian. 2014. “Further Disorientation in the Hall of Mirrors.” Public Understanding of Science 23 (1): 60–70. doi:https://doi.org/10.1177/0963662513505397.
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar