291
Views
3
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Articles

A discrete-time and finite-state Markov Chain model for association football matches

, , &
Pages 2476-2485 | Received 16 Jun 2016, Accepted 22 Jun 2017, Published online: 10 Aug 2017

References

  • Baio, G., Blangiardo, M. (2010). Bayesian hierarchical model for the prediction of football results. Journal of Applied Statistics 37(2):253–264.
  • Constantinou, A. C., Fenton, N. E., Neil, M. (2012). pi-football: A Bayesian network model for forecasting Association Football match outcomes. Knowledge-Based Systems 36:322–339.
  • Dixon, M. J., Coles, S. G. (1997). Modelling association football scores and inefficiencies in the football betting market. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics) 46(2):265–280.
  • Dixon, M., Robinson, M. (1998). A birth process model for association football matches. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician) 47(3):523–538.
  • Fahrmeir, L., Tutz, G. (1994). Dynamic stochastic models for time-dependent ordered paired comparison systems. Journal of the American Statistical Association 89(428):1438–1449.
  • Goddard, J. (2005). Regression models for forecasting goals and match results in association football. International Journal of Forecasting 21(2):331–340.
  • Hill, I. D. (1974). Association football and statistical inference. Applied statistics 23(2):213–227.
  • Hvattum, L. M., Arntzen, H. (2010). Using ELO ratings for match result prediction in association football. International Journal of forecasting 26(3):460–470.
  • Joseph, A., Fenton, N.E., Neil, M. (2006). Predicting football results using Bayesian nets and other machine learning techniques. Knowledge-Based Systems 19(7):544–553.
  • Maher, M. J. (1982). Modelling association football scores. Statistica Neerlandica 36(3):109–118.
  • McHale, I. G., Scarf, P. A. (2011). Modelling the dependence of goals scored by opposing teams in international soccer matches. Statistical Modelling 11(3):219–236.
  • Moroney, M. J. (1956). Facts From Figures. 3rd edition, reprinted 1969. United Kingdom:Penguin Books.
  • Reep, C., Pollard, R., Benjamin, B. (1971). Skill and chance in ball games. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (General) 134(4):623–629.
  • Rue, H., Salvesen, O. (2000). Prediction and retrospective analysis of soccer matches in a league. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician) 49(3):399–418.
  • Volf, P. (2009). Random point process model for the score in sport matches. Journal of Management Mathematics 20:121–131.

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.