103
Views
1
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Review Article

Reference points for getting a target in a soccer competition. A probabilistic model with applications to the Spanish and English Premier League

&
Pages 2075-2087 | Received 10 May 2017, Accepted 19 Mar 2018, Published online: 10 Nov 2018

References

  • Baio, G., and M. Blangiado. 2010. Bayesian hierarchical model for the prediction of football result. Journal of Applied Statistics 37 (2):253–64.
  • Brillinger, D. 2008. Modelling game outcome of the Brazilian 2006 series a championship as ordinalvalued. Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics 22:89–104.
  • Consul, P. C. 1990. On some properties and applications of quasi-binomial distribution. Communications in Statistics—Theory and Methods 19 (2):477–504.
  • Díaz, I., and V. Núñez. 2010. On the use of simulation methods to compute probabilities: Application to the first division Spanish soccer league. SORT 34 (2):181–200.
  • Johnson, N., A. Kemp, and S. Kotz. 2005. Univariate discrete distributions. New York: Wiley, INC.
  • Karlis, D., and I. Ntzoufras. 2000. On modelling soccer data. Student 3 (4):229–44.
  • Karlis, D., and I. Ntzoufras. 2003. Analysis of sports data by using bivariate Poisson models. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series D, The Statistician 52 (3):133–45.
  • Karlis, D., and I. Ntzoufras. 2009. Bayesian modelling of football outcomes: Using the Skellam’s distribution for the goal difference. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics 20 (2):133–45.
  • Koopman, S., and R. Lit. 2015. A dynamic bivariate Poisson model for analysing and forecasting match results in the English Premier League. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A 178 (1):167–86.
  • Lee, A. 1997. Modeling scores in the er league: Is manchester united really the best? Chance 10 (1):15–19.
  • Louzada, F., A. Suzuki, and L. B. Salasar. 2014. Predicting match outcomes in the English er league: Which will be the final rank? Journal of Data Science 12:235–54.
  • Philippe, J. 2006. Value at Risk: The new benchmark for managing financial risk. New York: McGraw-Hill.
  • Rue, H., and Ø. Salvesen. 2006. Prediction and retrospective analysis of soccer matches in a league. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series D. The Statistician 49 (3):399–418.
  • Shenton, L. 2006. Quasibinomial distributions. Encyclopedia of statistical sciences. New York: Wiley.

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.