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- Senior Researcher, Centre for Conflict Resolution, University of Cape Town; also Co ordinator of the Centre's Project on Peace and Security, and Project Manager of the Southern African Centre for Defence Information, a joint initiative between the Centre for Conflict Resolution and Idasa's Budget Information Service. This article was origi nally commissioned by Idasa's Budget Information Service, and their financial support is gratefully acknowledged. The author wishes to thank Warren Krafchik, Tanya Ajam and two anonymous referees for their comments on an earlier version of this article, as well as those who commented on this article.