852
Views
19
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Application Papers

Precipitation downscaling in Canadian Prairie Provinces using the LARS-WG and GLM approaches

, , &
Pages 311-332 | Received 19 Nov 2012, Accepted 11 Jul 2013, Published online: 18 Nov 2013

References

  • Bonsal, B. R. 2011. Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulation Patterns and Severe Droughts on the Canadian Prairies. In Drought Research Initiative, edited by R. Stewart and R. Lawford, 25–28. Winnipeg, MB: University of Manitoba.
  • Bonsal, B.R., and E.E. Wheaton. 2005. “Atmospheric Circulation Comparisons between the 2001 and 2002 and the 1961 and 1988 Canadian Prairie Droughts.” Atmosphere-Ocean 43(2): 163–172.
  • Bonsal, B.R., E.E. Wheaton, A.C. Chipanshi, C. Lin, D.J. Sauchyn, and L. Wen. 2011. “Drought Research in Canada: A Review.” Atmosphere-Ocean 49(4): 303–319.
  • Canadian Daily Climate Data (CDCD). www.climate.weatheroffice.gc.ca. Accessed 6 July 2012.
  • Chandler, R. E. 2006. GLIMCLIM: Generalized Linear Modelling for Daily Climate Time Series (Software and User Guide). London, UK: University College London (UCL).
  • Chandler, R. E., and H. Wheater. 1998a. Climate Change Detection Using Generalized Linear Models for Rainfall: A Case Study from the West of Ireland. I: Preliminary Analysis and Modelling of Rainfall Occurrence. London: University College London.
  • Chandler, R. E., and H. Wheater. 1998b. Climate Change Detection Using Generalized Linear Models for Rainfall: A Case Study from the West of Ireland. II: Modelling of Rainfall Amounts on Wet days. London: University College London.
  • Chandler, R.E., and H.S. Wheater. 2002. “Analysis of Rainfall Variability Using Generalized Linear Models: A Case Study from the West of Ireland.” Water Resources Research 38(10): 1192.
  • Christensen, J.H., F. Boberg, O.B. Christensen, and P. Lucas-Picher. 2008. “On the Need for Bias Correction of Regional Climate Change Projections of Temperature and Precipitation.” Geophysical Research Letters 35(20): L207091–6.
  • Chun, K. P. 2011. Statistical Downscaling of Climate Model Outputs for Hydrological Extremes. PhD diss., Imperial College London.
  • Chun, K.P., H. Wheater, and C. Onof. 2012. “Prediction of the Impact of Climate Change on Drought: An Evaluation of Six UK Catchments Using Two Stochastic Approaches.” Hydrological Processes 27(11): 1600–1614.
  • Chun, K.P., H. Wheater, and C. Onof. 2013. “Comparison of Drought Projections Using Two UK Weather Generators.” Hydrological Sciences Journal 58(2): 1–15.
  • Coe, R., and R.D. Stern. 1982. “Fitting Models to Daily Rainfall Data.” Journal of Applied Meteorology 21(7): 1024–1031.
  • Dai, A. 2011. “Drought under Global Warming: A Review.” Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change 2(1): 45–65.
  • Di Luca, A., R. de Elía, and R. Laprise. 2012. “Potential for Added Value in Precipitation Simulated by High-Resolution Nested Regional Climate Models and Observations.” Climate Dynamics 38(5): 1229–1247.
  • Durman, C.F., J.M. Gregory, D.C. Hassell, R.G. Jones, and J.M. Murphy. 2001. “A Comparison of Extreme European Daily Precipitation Simulated by a Global and a Regional Climate Model for Present and Future Climates.” Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 127(573): 1005–1015.
  • Flato, G.M., and G.J. Boer. 2001. “Warming Asymmetry in Climate Change Simulations.” Geophysical Research Letters 28(1): 195–198.
  • Fowler, H.J., S. Blenkinsop, and C. Tebaldi. 2007. “Linking Climate Change Modelling to Impacts Studies: Recent Advances in Downscaling Techniques for Hydrological Modelling.” International Journal of Climatology 27(12): 1547–1578.
  • Frost, A. J. 2007. Australian Application of a Statistical Downscaling Technique for Multi-Site Daily Rainfall: GLIMCLIM. In MODSIM 2007 International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, edited by Oxley L, Kulasiri D, 553–9. Christchurch: Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand.
  • Furrer, E.M., and R.W. Katz. 2007. “Generalized Linear Modeling Approach to Stochastic Weather Generators.” Climate Research 34(2): 129–144.
  • Giorgi, F., and L.O. Mearns. 1991. “Approaches to the Simulation of Regional Climate Change: a Review.” Reviews of Geophysics 29(2): 191–216.
  • Giorgi, F., and L. O. Mearns. 1999. Introduction to Special Section: Regional Climate Modeling Revisited. Journal of Geophysical Research 104 (D6): 6335–52.
  • Gires, A., C. Onof, C. Maksimovic, D. Schertzer, I. Tchiguirinskaia, and N. Simoes. 2012. “Quantifying the Impact of Small Scale Unmeasured Rainfall Variability on Urban Runoff through Multifractal Downscaling: A Case Study.” Journal of Hydrology 442–3: 117–128.
  • Hughes, J.P., D.P. Lettenmaier, and P. Guttorp. 1993. “A Stochastic Approach for Assessing the Effect of Changes in Synoptic Circulation Patterns on Gauge Precipitation.” Water Resources Research 29(10): 3303–3315.
  • Jones, P.D., C.G. Kilsby, C. Harpham, V. Glenis, and A. Burton. 2009. UK Climate Projections Science Report: Projections of Future Daily Climate for the UK from the Weather Generator. Newcastle, UK: University of Newcastle.
  • Kalnay, E., M. Kanamitsu, R. Kistler, W. Collins, D. Deaven, L. Gandin, M. Iredell, S. Saha, G. White, and J. Woollen. 1996. “The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project.” Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 77(3): 437–471.
  • Katz, R.W., and M.B. Parlange. 1998. “Overdispersion Phenomenon in Stochastic Modeling of Precipitation.” Journal of Climate 11(4): 591–601.
  • Kenabatho, P. K., N. R. McIntyre, and H. S. Wheater. 2008. Application of Generalised Linear Models for Rainfall Simulations in Semi Arid Areas: A Case Study from the Upper Limpopo Basin in Northeast Botswana. In Sustainable Hydrology for the 21st Century: Proceedings 10th BHS National Hydrology Symposium (Exeter) edited by British Hydrological Society,, 437–44. Exeter, UK: British Hydrological Society.
  • Kendon, E.J., R.G. Jones, E. Kjellström, and J.M. Murphy. 2010. “Using and Designing GCM-RCM Ensemble Regional Climate Projections.” Journal of Climate 23(24): 6485–6503.
  • Leith, N. 2005. Using generalised linear models to simulate daily rainfall under scenarios of climate change. Technical Report. UK: University London College. http://www.ucl.ac.uk/stats/research/Rainfall/reports. Accessed July 2011.
  • Maraun, D., F. Wetterhall, A. M. Ireson, R. E. Chandler, E. J. Kendon, M. Widmann, S. Brienen et al. 2010. Precipitation Downscaling Under Climate Change: Recent Developments to Bridge the Gap Between Dynamical Models and the End User. Reviews of Geophysics 48 (3): RG3003.
  • McKague, K., R. Rudra, and J. Ogilvie. 2003. CLIMGEN-A convenient Weather Generation Tool for Canadian Climate Stations. Paper (03–118). Montréal, QC: The Canadian Society for Engineering in Agricultural, Food and Biological Systems.
  • Mearns, L. O., F. Giorgi, P. Whetton, D. Pabon, M. Hulme, and M. Lal. 2003. Guidelines for Use of Climate Scenarios Developed from Regional Climate Model Experiments. http://www.ipcc-data.org/guidelines/. Data Distribution Centre of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Accessed July 2012.
  • Meehl, G., C. Covey, T. Delworth, M. Latif, B. McAvaney, J. Mitchell, R. Stouffer, and K. Taylor. 2007. “The WCRP CMIP3 Multi-Model Dataset: a New Era in Climate Change Research.” Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 88: 1383–1394.
  • Mirshahi, B., C. Onof, and H. Wheater. 2008. Spatial-Temporal Daily Rainfall Simulation for a Semi-Arid Area in Iran: A Preliminary Evaluation of Generalised Linear Models. Paper presented at Sustainable Hydrology for the 21st Century, Proceedings of the 10th BHS National Hydrology Symposium, Exeter, UK.
  • Mladjic, B., L. Sushama, M.N. Khaliq, R. Laprise, D. Caya, and R. Roy. 2011. “Canadian RCM Projected Changes to Extreme Precipitation Characteristics over Canada.” Journal of Climate 24(10): 2565–2584.
  • Nakicenovic, N., J. Alcamo, G. Davis, B. de Vries, J. Fenhann, S. Gaffin, et al. 2000. Special report on emissions scenarios: a special report of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
  • PaiMazumder, D., L. Sushama, R. Laprise, M.N. Khaliq, and D. Sauchyn. 2012. “Canadian RCM Projected Changes to Short-and Long-Term Drought Characteristics over the Canadian Prairies.” International Journal of Climatology 33: 1409–1423.
  • Phillips, I.D., and G.R. McGregor. 1998. “The Utility of a Drought Index for Assessing the Drought Hazard in Devon and Cornwall, Southwest England.” Meteorological Applications 5(4): 359–372.
  • Poitras, V., L. Sushama, F. Seglenieks, M.N. Khaliq, and E. Soulis. 2011. “Projected Changes to Streamflow Characteristics over Western Canada as Simulated by the Canadian RCM.” Journal of Hydrometeorology 12(6): 1395–1413.
  • Prömmel, K., B. Geyer, J.M. Jones, and M. Widmann. 2010. “Evaluation of the Skill and Added Value of a Reanalysis-Driven Regional Simulation for Alpine Temperature.” International Journal of Climatology 30(5): 760–773.
  • Qian, B., S. Gameda, and H. Hayhoe. 2008. “Performance of Stochastic Weather Generators LARS-WG and AAFC-WG for Reproducing Daily Extremes of Diverse Canadian Climates.” Climate Research 37: 17–33.
  • Qian, B., H. Hayhoe, and S. Gameda. 2004. “Evaluation of the Stochastic Weather Generators LARS-WG and AAFC-WG for Climate Change Impact Studies.” Climate Research 29: 3–21.
  • Racsko, P., L. Szeidl, and M. Semenov. 1991. “A Serial Approach to Local Stochastic Weather Models.” Ecological Modelling 57(1): 27–41.
  • Richardson, C. W., and D. A. Wright. 1984. WGEN: A Model for Generating Daily Weather Variables. Report ARS-8 August 1984.83. Springfield, VA: U. S. Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Research Service.
  • Segond, M.L., C. Onof, and H. Wheater. 2006. “Spatial–Temporal Disaggregation of Daily Rainfall from a Generalized Linear Model.” Journal of Hydrology 331(3): 674–689.
  • Semenov, M.A., and E.M. Barrow. 1997. “Use of a Stochastic Weather Generator in the Development of Climate Change Scenarios.” Climatic Change 35(4): 397–414.
  • Semenov, M.A., and E.M. Barrow. 2002. LARS-WG: A Stochastic Weather Generator for Use in Climate Impact Studies. Hertfordshire, UK: Rothamsted Research.
  • Semenov, M.A., and R.J. Brooks. 1999. “Spatial Interpolation of the LARS-WG Stochastic Weather Generator in Great Britain.” Climate Research 11: 137–148.
  • Semenov, M.A., R.J. Brooks, E.M. Barrow, and C.W. Richardson. 1998. “Comparison of the WGEN and LARS-WG Stochastic Weather Generators for Diverse Climates.” Climate Research 10: 95–107.
  • Semenov, M.A., and P. Stratonovitch. 2010. “Use of Multi-Model Ensembles from Global Climate Models for Assessment of Climate Change Impacts.” Climate Research 41: 1–14.
  • Seth, A., S.A. Rauscher, S.J. Camargo, J.H. Qian, and J.S. Pal. 2007. “RegCM3 Regional Climatologies for South America Using Reanalysis and ECHAM Global Model Driving Fields.” Climate Dynamics 28(5): 461–480.
  • Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K. B. Averyt et al. 2007. Climate change 2007: the physical science basis: contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
  • Stöckle, C.O., G.S. Campbell, and R. Nelson. 1998. ClimGen Manual. Pullman, WA: Biological Systems Engineering Department Washington State University.
  • Tank, A., F.W. Zwiers, and X. Zhang. 2009. Guidelines on Analysis of Extremes in a Changing Climate in Support of Informed Decisions for Adaptation. Geneva: World Meteorological Organization.
  • Vrac, M., M.L. Stein, K. Hayhoe, and X.Z. Liang. 2007. “A General Method for Validating Statistical Downscaling Methods under Future Climate Change.” Geophysical Research Letters 34(18): L18701.
  • Wheater, H. 2006. “Flood Hazard and Management: a UK Perspective.” Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 364(1845): 2135–2145.
  • Widmann, M., C.S. Bretherton, and E. Salathe. 2003. “Statistical Precipitation Downscaling over the Northwestern United States Using Numerically Simulated Precipitation as a Predictor.” Journal of Climate 16: 799–816.
  • Wilby, R. L., S. P. Charles, E. Zorita, B. Timbal, P. Whetton, and L. O. Mearns. 2004. Guidelines for Use of Climate Scenarios Developed from Statistical Downscaling Methods. http://www.ipcc-data.org/guidelines/. IPCC Task Group on Data and Scenario Support for Impacts and Climate Analysis. Accessed July 2012.
  • Wilby, R.L., and T.M.L. Wigley. 1997. “Downscaling General Circulation Model Output: a Review of Methods and Limitations.” Progress in Physical Geography 21(4): 530–548.
  • Wilcoxon, F. 1945. “Individual Comparisons by Ranking Methods.” Biometrics Bulletin 1(6): 80–83.
  • Yang, C., R.E. Chandler, V.S. Isham, and H. Wheater. 2005. “Spatial-Temporal Rainfall Simulation Using Generalized Linear Models.” Water Resources Research 41(11): W11415.
  • Yang, C., R.E. Chandler, V.S. Isham, and H. Wheater. 2006. “Quality Control for Daily Observational Rainfall Series in the UK.” Water and Environment Journal 20(3): 185–193.
  • Zhang, H., G.H. Huang, D. Wang, and X. Zhang. 2011. “Uncertainty Assessment of Climate Change Impacts on the Hydrology of Small Prairie Wetlands.” Journal of Hydrology 396(1): 94–103.

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.