The Role of Large-Scale Climate Modes in Regional Streamflow Variability and Implications for Water Supply Forecasting: A Case Study of the Canadian Columbia River Basin

References

• Barnston , A. G. and Livezey , R. E. 1987 . Classification, seasonality and persistence of low-frequency atmospheric circulation patterns . Monthly Weather Review , 15 : 1083 – 1126 . (doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1987)115<1083:CSAPOL>2.0.CO;2)
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Bond , N. A. , Overland , J. E. , Spillane , M. and Stabeno , P. 2003 . Recent shifts in the state of the North Pacific . Geophysical Research Letters , 30 : 2183 doi:10.1029/2003GL018597 (doi:10.1029/2003GL018597)
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Bonsal , B. R. , Shabbar , A. and Higuchi , K. 2001 . Impacts of low frequency variability modes on Canadian winter temperature . International Journal of Climatology , 21 : 95 – 108 . (doi:10.1002/joc.590)
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Di Lorenzo , E. , Cobb , K. M. , Furtado , J. C. , Schneider , N. , Anderson , B. T. , Bracco , A. , Alexander , M. A. and Vimont , D. J. 2010 . Central Pacific El Niño and decadal climate change in the North Pacific Ocean . Nature Geoscience , 3 : 762 – 765 . doi:10.1038/ngeo984 (doi:10.1038/ngeo984)
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Di Lorenzo , E. , Schneider , N. , Cobb , K. M. , Franks , P. J. S. , Chhak , K. , Miller , A. J. , Mcwilliams , J. , Bograd , S. J. , Arango , H. , Curchitser , E. , Powell , T. M. and Rivière , P. 2008 . North Pacific Gyre Oscillation links ocean climate and ecosystem change . Geophysical Research Letters , 35 : L08607 doi:10.1029/2007GL032838 (doi:10.1029/2007GL032838)
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Fleming , S. W. , Moore , R. D. and Clarke , G. K. C. 2006 . Glacier-mediated streamflow teleconnections to the Arctic Oscillation . International Journal of Climatology , 26 : 619 – 636 . (doi:10.1002/joc.1273)
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Fleming , S. W. and Whitfield , P. H. 2010 . Spatiotemporal mapping of ENSO and PDO surface meteorological signals in British Columbia, Yukon, and southeast Alaska . Atmosphere-Ocean , 48 : 122 – 131 . (doi:10.3137/AO1107.2010)
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Fleming , S. W. , Whitfield , P. H. , Moore , R. D. and Quilty , E. J. 2007 . Regime-dependent streamflow sensitivities to Pacific climate modes across the Georgia–Puget transboundary ecoregion . Hydrological Processes , 21 : 3264 – 3287 . (doi:10.1002/hyp.6544)
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Gan , T. Y. , Gobena , A. K. and Wang , Q. 2007 . Precipitation of southwestern Canada: Wavelet, scaling, multifractal analysis, and teleconnection to climate anomalies . Journal of Geophysical Research , 112 : D10110 doi:10.1029/2006JD007157 (doi:10.1029/2006JD007157)
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Garen , D. C. 1992 . Improved techniques in regression-based streamflow volume forecasting . Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, ASCE , 118 : 654 – 670 . (doi:10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9496(1992)118:6(654))
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Gershunov , A. 1998 . ENSO influence on intraseasonal extreme rainfall and temperature frequencies in the contiguous United States: Implications for long-range predictability . Journal of Climate , 11 : 3192 – 3203 . (doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1998)011<3192:EIOIER>2.0.CO;2)
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Gobena , A. K. and Gan , T. Y. 2006 . Low-frequency variability in southwestern Canadian stream flow: Links with large-scale climate anomalies . International Journal of Climatology , 26 : 1843 – 1869 . (doi:10.1002/joc.1336)
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hoerling , M. P. , Kumar , A. and Zhong , M. 1997 . El Niño, La Niña, and the nonlinearity of their teleconnections . Journal of Climate , 10 : 1769 – 1786 . (doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1997)010<1769:ENOLNA>2.0.CO;2)
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hsieh , W. W. and Tang , B. 2001 . Interannual variability of accumulated snow in the Columbia basin, British Columbia . Water Resources Research , 37 : 1753 – 1760 . (doi:10.1029/2000WR900410)
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Jay , D. A. and Naik , P. K. 2011 . Distinguishing human and climate influences on hydrological disturbance processes in the Columbia River, USA . Hydrological Sciences Journal , 56 : 1186 – 1209 . (doi:10.1080/02626667.2011.604324)
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Knox , J. L. and Lawford , R. G. 1990 . The relationship between Canadian Prairie dry and wet months and circulation anomalies in the mid-troposphere . Atmosphere-Ocean , 28 : 189 – 215 . (doi:10.1080/07055900.1990.9649374)
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Mantua , N. and Hare , S. 2002 . The Pacific Decadal Oscillation . Journal of Oceanography , 58 : 35 – 44 . (doi:10.1023/A:1015820616384)
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Mantua , N. J. , Hare , S. R. , Zhang , Y. , Wallace , J. M. and Francis , R. C. 1997 . A Pacific interdecadal climate oscillation with impacts on salmon production . Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society , 78 : 1069 – 1079 . (doi:10.1175/1520-0477(1997)078<1069:APICOW>2.0.CO;2)
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Moore , R. D. and McKendry , I. G. 1996 . Spring snowpack anomaly patterns and winter climatic variability, British Columbia, Canada . Water Resources Research , 32 : 623 – 632 . (doi:10.1029/95WR03640)
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Ntale , H. K. and Gan , T. Y. 2004 . East African rainfall anomaly patterns in association with El Niño/Southern Oscillation . Journal of Hydrologic Engineering , 9 : 1 – 12 . (doi:10.1061/(ASCE)1084-0699(2004)9:4(257))
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Piechota , T. C. and Dracup , J. A. 1996 . Drought and regional hydrologic variation in the United States: Associations with El Niño/Southern Oscillation . Water Resources Research , 32 : 1359 – 1373 . (doi:10.1029/96WR00353)
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Rodenhuis , D. , Bennett , K. E. , Werner , A. T. , Murdock , T. Q. and Bronaugh , D. 2007 . Climate overview 2007 , Victoria , , BC, Canada : Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium .
   Google Scholar
• Shabbar , A. , Bonsal , B. and Khandekar , M. 1997 . Canadian precipitation patterns associated with the Southern Oscillation . Journal of Climate , 10 : 3016 – 3027 . (doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1997)010<3016:CPPAWT>2.0.CO;2)
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Shabbar , A. and Khandekar , M. 1996 . The impact of El Niño-Southern Oscillation on the temperature field over Canada . Atmosphere-Ocean , 34 : 402 – 416 . (doi:10.1080/07055900.1996.9649570)
   Google Scholar
• Stahl , K. , Moore , R. D. and McKendry , I. G. 2006 . The role of synoptic circulation in the linkage between large-scale ocean-atmosphere indices and winter surface climate in British Columbia, Canada . International Journal of Climatology , 26 : 541 – 560 . (doi:10.1002/joc.1268)
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Thompson , D. W. J. and Wallace , J. M. 2000 . Annular modes in the extratropical circulation. Part I: Month-to-month variability . Journal of Climate , 13 : 1000 – 1016 . (doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013<1000:AMITEC>2.0.CO;2)
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Wallace , J. M. and Gutzler , D. S. 1981 . Teleconnections in the geopotential height field during the northern hemisphere winter . Monthly Weather Review , 109 : 784 – 812 . (doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1981)109<0784:TITGHF>2.0.CO;2)
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Weng , H. , Behera , S. K. and Yamagata , T. 2009 . Anomalous winter climate conditions in the Pacific Rim during recent El Niño Modoki and El Niño events . Climate Dynamics , 32 : 663 – 674 . doi:10.1007/s00382-008-0394-6 (doi:10.1007/s00382-008-0394-6)
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Weng , H. Y. , Ashok , K. , Behera , S. , Rao , A. S. and Yamagata , T. 2007 . Impacts of recent El Niño Modoki on dry/wet conditions in the Pacific Rim during boreal summer . Climate Dynamics , 29 : 113 – 129 . doi:10.1007/s00382–007-0234-0 (doi:10.1007/s00382-007-0234-0)
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Woo , M. and Thorne , R. 2003 . Comment on “Detection of hydrologic trends and variability” by Burn, D. H. and M. A. Hag Elnur, 2002 . Journal of Hydrology , 277 : 150 – 160 . (doi:10.1016/S0022-1694(03)00079-9)
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Wu , A. and Hsieh , W. W. 2004 . The nonlinear northern hemisphere winter atmospheric response to ENSO . Geophysical Research Letters , 31 : L02203 doi:10.1029/2003GL018885 (doi:10.1029/2003GL018885)
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar