Statistical Projections of Ocean Climate Indices off Newfoundland and Labrador

References

• Buren, A. D., Koen-Alonso, M., Pepin, P., Mowbray, F. K., Nakashima, B. S., Stenson, G. B., … Montevecchi, W. A. (2014). Bottom-up regulation of capelin, a keystone forage species. PLoS One, 9, e87589. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0087589
   Google Scholar
• Collins, M., Knutti, R., Arblaster, J., Dufresne, J.-L., Fichefet, T., Friedlingstein, P., … Wehner, M. (2013). Long-term climate change: Projections, commitments and irreversibility. In T. F. Stocker, D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S. K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, … P. M. Midgley (eds.), Climate change 2013: The physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the fifth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (pp. 1029–1136). Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA: Cambridge University Press.
   Google Scholar
• Cheung, W. W. L., Lam, V. W. Y., Sarmiento, J. L., Kearney, K., Watson, R., & Pauly, D. (2009). Projecting global marine biodiversity impacts under climate change scenarios. Fish and Fisheries, 10, 235–251. doi:10.1111/j.1467-2979.2008.00315.x
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Chylek, P., Li, J., Dubey, M. K., Wang, M., & Lesins, G. (2011). Observed and model simulated 20th century Arctic temperature variability: Canadian Earth System Model CanESM2. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions, 11, 22893–22907. doi: 10.5194/acpd-11-22893-2011
   Google Scholar
• Colbourne, E., Craig, J., Fitzpatrick, C., Senciall, D., Stead, P., & Bailey, W. (2013). An assessment of the physical oceanographic environment on the Newfoundland and Labrador Shelf during 2012. (DFO Can. Sci. Advis. Sec. Res. Doc. 2013/052. Ottawa, ON: DFO).
   Google Scholar
• Department of Fisheries and Oceans (DFO). (2014). Short-term stock prospects for cod, crab and shrimp in the Newfoundland and Labrador region (Divisions 2J3KL). Canadian Science Advisory Secretariat Science Response, 049 (p. 18). Ottawa, ON: DFO.
   Google Scholar
• Deser, C., Holland, M., Reverdin, G., & M. Timlin. (2002). Decadal variations in Labrador sea ice and North Atlantic sea surface temperatures. Journal of Geophysical Research, 107. doi:10.1029/2000JC000683.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Dunne, J. P., John, J. G., Adcroft, A. J., Griffies, S. M., Hallberg, R. W., Shevliakova, E., … Zadeh, N. (2012). GFDL's ESM2 global coupled climate–carbon Earth System Models. Part I: Physical formulation and baseline simulation characteristics. Journal of Climate, 25, 6646–6665. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00560.1
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Flato, G., Marotzke, J., Abiodun, B., Braconnot, P., Chou, S. C., Collins, W., Cox, P., … Rummukainen, M. (2013). Evaluation of climate models. In T. F. Stocker, D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S. K. Allen, J. Boschung, … P. M. Midgley (Eds.), Climate change 2013: The physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the fifth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (pp. 741–866). Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
   Google Scholar
• Galbraith, P. S., Hebert, D., Colbourne, E., & Pettipas, R. (2013). Trends and variability in eastern Canada sub-surface ocean temperatures and implications for sea ice. Ch.1. In Loder, J.W., G. Han, P.S. Galbraith, J. Chassé, & A. van der Baaren (Eds.), Aspects of climate change in the Northwest Atlantic off Canada (pp. 1–18) (Can. Tech. Rep. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 3045). Ottawa, ON: DFO.
   Google Scholar
• Guo, L., Perrie, W., Long, Z., Chassé, J., Zhang, Y., & Huang, A. (2013). Dynamical downscaling over the Gulf of St. Lawrence using the Canadian regional climate model. Atmosphere-Ocean, 51(3), 265–283. doi:10.1080/07055900.2013.798778
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Han, G. (2005). Wind-driven barotropic circulation off Newfoundland and Labrador. Continental Shelf Research, 25, 2084–2106. doi: 10.1016/j.csr.2005.04.015
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Han, G. (2007). Satellite observations of seasonal and interannual changes of sea level and currents over the Scotian Slope. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 37, 1051–1065. doi: 10.1175/JPO3036.1
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Han, G., Chen, N., & Ma, Z. (2014). Is there a north-south phase shift in the surface Labrador Current on interannual-to-decadal scales? Journal of Geophysical Research – Oceans, 119: doi:10.1002/2013JC009102
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Han, G., Colbourne, E., Pepin, P., & Tang, R. (2013). Statistical projections of physical oceanographic variables over the Newfoundland and Labrador Shelf. Ch. 6. In J. W. Loder, G. Han, P.S. Galbraith, J. Chassé, & A. van der Baaren (Eds.), Aspects of climate change in the Northwest Atlantic off Canada (pp. 73–84) (Can. Tech. Rep. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 3045). Ottawa, ON: DFO.
   Google Scholar
• Han, G., & Kulka, D. (2009). Dispersion of eggs, larvae and pelagic juveniles of white hake (Urophycis tenuis) in relation to ocean currents of the Grand Bank: A modelling approach. Journal of Northwest Atlantic Fishery Science, 41, 183–196. doi: 10.2960/J.v41.m627
   Google Scholar
• Han, G., Ohashi, K., Chen, N., Myers, P. G., Nunes, N., & Fischer, J. (2010). Decline and partial rebound of the Labrador Current 1993–2004: Monitoring ocean currents from altimetric and CTD data. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115, C12012. doi:10.1029/2009JC006091
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hurrell, J. W. (1995). Decadal trends in the North Atlantic Oscillation: Regional temperatures and precipitation. Science, 269, 676–679. doi: 10.1126/science.269.5224.676
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Loder, J. W., Petrie, B. D., & Gawarkiewicz, G. (1998). The coastal ocean off northeastern North America: A large-scale view. In K. H. Brink & A. R. Robinson (Eds.), The Sea: Vol. 11. The global coastal ocean–Regional studies and synthesis. (pp. 105–133). New York: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
   Google Scholar
• Loder, J. W., & van der Baaren, A. (2013). Climate change projections for the Northwest Atlantic from six CMIP5 Earth System Models (Can. Tech. Rep. Hydrogr. Ocean. Sci. No. 286). Ottawa, ON: DFO.
   Google Scholar
• Loder, J. W., Wang, Z., & Morrison, J. (2013). Projected air temperature changes for Canada from eight NARCCAP model combinations. In J. W. Loder, G. Han, P.S. Galbraith, J. Chassé, & A. van der Baaren (Eds.), Aspects of climate change in the Northwest Atlantic off Canada (pp. 151–172) (Can. Tech. Rep. Fish. Aquat. Sci. No. 3045). Ottawa, ON: DFO.
   Google Scholar
• Mueter, F. J., Dawe, E. G., & Palsson, O. K. (2012). Subarctic fish and crustacean populations - climate effects and trophic dynamics. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 469, 191–193. doi:10.3354/meps10154
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Mullowney, D. R. J., Dawe, E. G., Colbourne, E. B., & Rose, G. A. (2014). A review of factors contributing to the decline of Newfoundland and Labrador snow crab (Chionoecetes opilio). Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries, 24, 639–657. doi:10.1007/s11160-014-9349-7
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Pepin, P., Han, G., & Head, D. (2013). Modelling the dispersal of Calanus finmarchicus on the Newfoundland Shelf: Implications for the analysis of population dynamics from a high frequency monitoring site. Fisheries Oceanography, 22, 371–387. doi:10.1111/fog.12028
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Pepin, P., & Helbig, J. A. (1997). Distribution and drift of Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) eggs and larvae on the northeast Newfoundland Shelf. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 54, 670–685. doi: 10.1139/f96-317
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Petrie, B. (2007). Does the North Atlantic Oscillation affect hydrographic properties on the Canadian Atlantic continental shelf? Atmosphere-Ocean, 45, 141–151. doi: 10.3137/ao.450302
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Rahmstorf, S. (2007). A semi-empirical approach to projecting future sea-level rise. Science, 315, 368–370. doi: 10.1126/science.1135456
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Schlesinger, M. E. (1994). An oscillation in the global climate system of period 65–70 years. Nature, 367(6465), 723–726. doi: 10.1038/367723a0
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Shackell, N., Greenan, B. J. W., Pepin, P., Chabot, D., & Warburton, A. (2013). Climate change impacts, vulnerabilities and opportunities analysis of the Atlantic marine basin. (Canadian Manuscript Report of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, No. 3012). Ottawa, ON: DFO.
   Google Scholar
• Stroeve, J. C., Kattsov, V., Barrett, A., Serreze, M., Pavlova, T., Holland, M., & Meier, W. N. (2012). Trends in Arctic sea ice extent from CMIP5, CMIP3 and observations. Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L16502. doi:10.1029/2012GL052676
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Wu, Y. S., Peterson, I. K., Tang, C. C. L., Platt, T., Sathyendranath, S., & Fuentes-Yaco, C. (2007). The impact of sea ice on the initiation of the spring bloom on the Newfoundland and Labrador Shelves. Journal of Plankton Research, 29(6), 509–514. doi: 10.1093/plankt/fbm035
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Zhao, H., Han, G., & Wang, D. (2013). Timing and magnitude of spring bloom and effects of physical environments over the Grand Banks of Newfoundland. Journal of Geophysical Research – Biogeosciences. 118: doi:10.1002/jgrg.20041
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar