982
Views
13
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Original Articles

The Impacts of Climate Change on the Autumn North Atlantic Wave Climate

, , , &
Pages 491-509 | Received 31 Jan 2015, Accepted 14 Aug 2015, Published online: 08 Dec 2015

References

  • Anderson, D., Hodges, K. I., & Hoskins, B. J. (2003). Sensitivity of feature-based analysis methods of storm tracks to the form of background field removal. Monthly Weather Review, 131, 565–573. doi:10.1175/1520-0493(2003)131<0565:SOFBAM>2.0.CO;2
  • Bacon, S., & Carter, D. J. T. (1993). A connection between mean wave height and atmospheric pressure gradient in the North Atlantic. International Journal of Climatology, 13, 423–436. doi: 10.1002/joc.3370130406
  • Caires, S., & Sterl, A. (2003). Validation of ocean wind and wave data using triple collocation. Journal of Geophysical Research, 108, 3098. doi:10.1029/2002JC001491
  • Caires, S., Sterl, A., Bidlot, J.-R., Graham, N., & Swail, V. (2004). Intercomparison of different wind-wave reanalysis. Journal of Climate, 17, 1893–1913. doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<1893:IODWR>2.0.CO;2
  • Caya, D., & Biner, S. (2004). Internal variability of RCM simulations over an annual cycle. Climate Dynamics, 22, 33–46. doi: 10.1007/s00382-003-0360-2
  • Caya, D., & Laprise, R. (1999). A semi-implicit semi-Lagrangian regional climate model: The Canadian RCM. Monthly Weather Review, 127, 341–362. doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1999)127<0341:ASISLR>2.0.CO;2
  • Charles, E., Idier, D., Delecluse, P., Déqué, M., Le Cozaanet, G. (2012). Climate change impact on waves in the Bay of Biscay, France. Ocean Dynamics, 62, 831–848. doi: 10.1007/s10236-012-0534-8
  • Chawla, A., Spindler, D. M., and Tolman, H. L. (2013). Validation of a thirty year wave hindcast using the climate forecast system reanalysis winds. Ocean Modelling, 70, 189–206. doi:10.1016/j.ocemod.2012.07.005
  • Chin, T. M., Milliff, R. F., & Large, W. G. (1998). Basin-scale high-wavenumber sea surface wind fields from multiresolution analysis of scatterometer data. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 15, 741–763. doi: 10.1175/1520-0426(1998)015<0741:BSHWSS>2.0.CO;2
  • Church, J. A., Clark, P. U., Cazenave, A., Gregory, J. M., Jevrejeva, S., Levermann, A., … Unnikrishnan, A. S. (2013). Sea level change. In T. F. Stocker, D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S. K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex, & P. M. Midgley (Eds.), Climate change 2013: The physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the fifth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (pp. 65–69). Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA: Cambridge University Press.
  • Debernhard, J., & Røed, L. P. (2008). Future wind, wave and storm surge climate in the Northern Seas: A revisit. Tellus A, 60, 427–438. doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0870.2008.00312.x
  • Debernard, J., Sætra, Ø., & Røed, L. P. (2003). Future wind, wave and storm surge climate in the northern North Atlantic. Climate Research, 23, 39–49. doi: 10.3354/cr023039
  • Fan, Y., Held, I. M., Lin, S.-J., & Wang, X. L. (2013). Ocean warming effect on surface gravity wave climate change for the end of the twenty-first century. Journal of Climate, 26, 6046–6066. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00410.1
  • Fan, Y., Lin, S.-J., Griffies, S. M., & Hemer, M. A. (2014). Simulated global swell and wind-sea climate and their responses to anthropogenic climate change at the end of the twenty-first century. Journal of Climate, 27, 3516–3536. doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00198.1 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00198.1
  • Fan, Y., Lin, S., Held, I., Yu, Z., & Tolman, H. (2012). Global ocean surface wave simulation using a coupled atmosphere-wave model. Journal of Climate, 25, 6233–6252. doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00621.1 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00621.1
  • Fyfe, J. (2003). Extratropical southern hemisphere cyclones: Harbingers of climate change. Journal of Climate, 16, 2802–2805. doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016<2802:ESHCHO>2.0.CO;2
  • Gal-Chen, T., & Somerville, R. C. J. (1975). On the use of a coordinate transformation for the solution of Navier-Stokes. Journal of Computational Physics, 17, 209–228. doi: 10.1016/0021-9991(75)90037-6
  • Grabemann, I., & Weisse, R. (2008). Climate change impact on extreme wave conditions in the North Sea: An ensemble study. Ocean Dynamics, 58, 199–212. doi:10.1007/s10236-008-0141-x
  • Griffies, S. M., Harrison, M. J., Pacanowski, R. C., & Rosati, A. (2004). A technical guide to MOM4. GFDL Ocean Group Technical Report No. 5. NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory. Version prepared on August 23, 2004. Retrieved from https://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/bibliography/related_files/smg0301.pdf.
  • Hanley, K. E., Belcher, S. E., & Sullivan, P. P. (2010). A global climatology of wind–wave interaction. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 40, 1263–1282. doi:10.1175/2010JPO4377.1
  • Hart, R., & Evans, J. L. (2001). A climatology of the extratropical transition of Atlantic tropical cyclones. Journal of Climate, 14, 546–564. doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<0546:ACOTET>2.0.CO;2
  • Hemer, M. A., Church, J. A., & Hunter, J. R. (2010b). Variability and trends in the directional wave climate of the southern hemisphere. International Journal of Climatology, 30, 475–491.
  • Hemer, M. A., Katzfey, J., & Trenham, C. E. (2013). Global dynamical projections of surface ocean wave climate for a future high greenhouse gas emission scenario. Ocean Modelling, 70, 221–245. doi: 10.1016/j.ocemod.2012.09.008
  • Hemer, M. A., McInnes, K. L., & Ranasinghe, R. (2012b). Exploring uncertainty in regional east Australian wave climate projections. International Journal of Climatology, 33(7), 1615–1632. doi:10.1002/joc.3537
  • Hemer, M. A., Wang, X. L., Church, J. A., & Swail, V. R. (2010a). Modelling proposal: Coordinated global ocean wave projections. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 91, 451–454. doi:10.1175/2009BAMS2951.1
  • Hemer, M. A., Wang, X. L., Weisse, R., & Swail, V. R. (2012a). Community advancing wind-wave climate science: The COWCLIP project. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93, 791–796. doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00184.1
  • Hoskins, B. J., & Hodges, K. I. (2002). New perspectives on the northern hemisphere winter storm tracks. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 59, 1041–1061. doi:10.1175/1520-0469(2002)059<1041:NPOTNH>2.0.CO;2
  • IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). (2007). Summary for policymakers. In S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K. B. Averyt, M. Tignor, & H. L. Miller (Eds.), Climate change 2007: The physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the fourth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (pp. 1–18). Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY USA: Cambridge University Press.
  • IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). (2012). Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation. In C. B. Field, V. Barros, T. F. Stocker, D. Qin, D. J. Dokken, K. L. Ebi, M. D. Mastrandrea, K. J. Mach, G.-K. Plattner, S. K. Allen, M. Tignor, & P. M. Midgley (Eds.), A special report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (pp. 25–108). Cambridge, UK, and New York, NY, USA: Cambridge University Press.
  • Jiang, J., & Perrie, W. (2007). The impacts of climate change on autumn North Atlantic midlatitude cyclones. Journal of Climate, 20, 1174–1187. doi: 10.1175/JCLI4058.1
  • Kalnay, E., Kanamitsu, M., Kistler, R., Collins, W., Deaven, D., Gandin, L., … Joseph, D. (1996). The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 77, 437–471. doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477(1996)077<0437:TNYRP>2.0.CO;2
  • Kushnir, Y., Cardone, V. J., Greenwood, J. G., & Cane, M. A. (1997). The recent increase in North Atlantic wave heights. Journal of Climate, 10, 2107–2113. doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(1997)010<2107:TRIINA>2.0.CO;2
  • Lambert, S. J., & Fyfe, J. C. (2006). Changes in winter cyclone frequencies and strengths simulated in enhanced greenhouse warming experiments: Results from the models participating in the IPCC diagnostic exercise. Climate Dynamics, 26, 713–728. doi:10.1007/s00382-006-0110-3
  • Laprise, R., Caya, D., Frigon, A., & Paquin, D. (2003). Current and perturbed climate as simulated by the second-generation Canadian Regional Climate Model (CRCM-II) over northwestern North America. Climate Dynamics, 21, 405–421. doi: 10.1007/s00382-003-0342-4
  • Long, Z., Perrie, W., Gyakum, J., Laprise, R., & Caya, D. (2009). Scenario changes in the climatology of winter midlatitude cyclone activity over eastern North America and the Northwest Atlantic. Journal of Geophysical Research, 114, D12111. doi:10.1029/2008JD010869
  • Mizuta, R., Matsueda, M., Endo, H., & Yukimoto, S. (2011). Future change in extratropical cyclones associated with change in the upper troposphere. Journal of Climate, 24, 6456–6470. doi:10.1175/2011JCLI3969.1
  • Moore, G. W. K. (2003). Gale force winds over the Irminger Sea to the east of Cape Farewell, Greenland. Geophysical Research Letters, 30, 1894. doi:10.1029/2003GLO18012
  • Moore, G. W. K., & Renfrew, I. A. (2005). Tip jets and barrier winds: A QuikSCAT climatology of high wind speed events around Greenland. Journal of Climate, 18, 3713–3725. doi: 10.1175/JCLI3455.1
  • Mori, N., Shimura, T., Yasuda, T., & Mase, H. (2013). Multi-model climate projections of ocean surface variables under different climate scenarios- Future change of waves, sea level and wind. Ocean Engineering, 71, 122–129. doi: 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2013.02.016
  • Mori, N., Yasuda, T., Mase, H., Tom, T., & Oku, Y. (2010). Projection of extreme wave climate change under global warming. Hydrological Research Letters, 4, 15–19. doi:10.3178/hrl.4.15
  • Moss, R. H., Edmonds, J. A., Hibbard, K. A., Manning, M. R., Rose, S. K., van Vuuren, D. P., … Wilbanks, T. J. (2010). The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment. Nature, 463, 747–756. doi: 10.1038/nature08823
  • Nakićenović, N., & Swart, R. (Eds.). (2000). Special report on emissions scenarios: A special report of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
  • Pickart, R. S., Spall, M. A., Ribergaard, M. H., Moore, G. W. K., & Milliff, R. F. (2003). Deep convection in the Irminger Sea forced by the Greenland tip jet. Nature, 424, 152–156. doi: 10.1038/nature01729
  • Riette, S., & Caya, D. (2002). Sensitivity of short simulations to the various parameters in the new CRCM spectral nudging. Research activities in Atmospheric and Oceanic Modelling, H. Ritchie (Ed.), WMO/TD – No. 1105, Report No. 32: pp. 7.39–7.40.
  • Saha, S. Moorthi, S., Pan, H.-L., Wu, X., Wang, J., Nadiga, S., … Goldberg, M. (2010). The NCEP climate forecast system reanalysis. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 91, 1015–1057. doi:10.1175/2010BAMS3001.1
  • Saha, S., Nadiga, S., Thiaw, C., Wang, J., Wang, W., Zhang, Q., … Xie, P. (2006). The NCEP climate forecast system. Journal of Climate, 19, 3483–3517. doi:10.1175/JCLI3812.1
  • Sasaki, W., Iwasaki, S. I., Matsuura, T., & Iizuka, S. (2005). Recent increase in summertime extreme wave heights in the western North Pacific. Geophysical Research Letters, 32, L15607. doi:10.1029/2005GL023722
  • Semedo, A., Weisse, R., Behrens, A., Sterl, A., Bengtsson, L., & Günther, H. (2013). Projection of global wave climate change toward the end of the twenty-first century. Journal of Climate, 26, 8269–8288. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00658.1
  • Shimura, T., Mori, N., & Mase, H. (2015). Future projection of ocean wave climate: Analysis of SST impacts on wave climate changes in the western North Pacific. Journal of Climate, 28, 3171–3190. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00187.1
  • Simmons, A. (2001). Development of ERA-40 data assimilation system. ERA-40 Proj. Rep. Ser., 3, pp. 11–30, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting, Reading, UK.
  • Sinclair, M. R., & Watterson, I. G. (1999). Objective assessment of extratropical weather systems in simulated climates. Journal of Climate, 12, 3467–3485. doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012<3467:OAOEWS>2.0.CO;2
  • Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Chen, Z., Marquis, M., Averyt, K. B. … Miller, H. L. (2007). Climate change: The physical science basis. Contributions of Working Group I to the fourth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA: Cambridge University Press.
  • Tanguay, M., Robert, A., & Laprise, R. (1990). A semi-implicit semi-Lagrangian fully compressible regional forecast model. Monthly Weather Review, 118, 1970–1980. doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1990)118<1970:ASISLF>2.0.CO;2
  • Teng, H., Washington, W. M., & Meehl, G. A. (2008). Interannual variations and future change of wintertime extratropical cyclone activity over North America in CCSM3. Climate Dynamics, 30, 673–686. doi:10.1007/s00382-007-0314-1
  • Tolman, H. L. (2009). User manual and system documentation of WAVEWATCH III™ version 3.14. Tech. Note 276. Camp Springs, MD: NOAA, USA. Retrieved from http://nopp.ncep.noaa.gov/mmab/papers/tn276/MMAB_276.pdf
  • Uppala, S. M., Kållberg, P. W., Simmons, A. J., Andrae, U., da Costa Bechtold, V., Fiorino, M., … Woollen, J. (2005). The ERA-40 reanalysis. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 131, 2961–3012. doi: 10.1256/qj.04.176
  • Våge, K., Spengler, T., Davies, H. C., & Pickart, R. S. (2009). Multi-event analysis of the westerly Greenland tip jet based upon 45 winters in ERA-40. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 135, 1999–2011. doi:10.1002/qj.488
  • van Vuuren, D. P., Edmonds, J., Kainuma, M., Riahi, K., Thomson, A., Hibbard, K., … Rose, S. K. (2011). The representative concentration pathways: An overview. Climatic Change, 109, 5–31. doi: 10.1007/s10584-011-0148-z
  • Wang, X. L., Feng, Y., & Swail, V. R. (2014). Changes in global ocean wave heights as projected using multimodel CMIP5 simulations. Geophysical Research Letters, 41, 1026–1034. doi: 10.1002/2013GL058650
  • Wang, X. L., Feng, Y., & Swail, V. R. (2015). Climate change signal and uncertainty in CMIP5-based projections of global ocean surface wave heights. Journal of Geophysical Research, 120(5), 3859–3871. doi:10.1002/2015JC010699
  • Wang, X. L., & Swail, V. R. (2001). Changes of extreme wave heights in northern hemisphere oceans and related atmospheric circulation regimes. Journal of Climate, 14, 2204–2221. doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<2204:COEWHI>2.0.CO;2
  • Wang, X. L., & Swail, V. R. (2006a). Climate change signal and uncertainty in projections of ocean wave heights. Climate Dynamics, 26, 109–126. doi: 10.1007/s00382-005-0080-x
  • Wang, X. L., & Swail, V. R. (2006b). Historical and possible future changes of wave heights in northern hemisphere oceans. In W. A. Perrie (Ed.), Atmosphere ocean interactions (Vol. 2, pp. 185–219). Southampton, UK: WIT Press.
  • Wang, X. L., Zwiers, F. W. & Swail, V. R. (2004). North Atlantic Ocean wave climate change scenarios for the twenty-first century. Journal of Climate, 17, 2368–2383. doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<2368:NAOWCC>2.0.CO;2
  • Yin, J. H. (2005). A consistent poleward shift of the storm tracks in simulations of 21st century climate. Geophysical Research Letters, 32, L18701. doi:10.1029/2005GL023684
  • Zacharioudaki, A., Pan, S., Simmonds, D., Magar, V., & Reeve, D. E. (2011). Future wave climate over the west-European shelf seas. Ocean Dynamics, 61, 807–827. doi: 10.1007/s10236-011-0395-6

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.