A Simulation Model of Katouzian's Theory of Arbitrary State and Society

References

• Alamdari, K. (2010). Chera Iran Aghab Mand va Gharb Pish Raft? [Why Iran lagged behind & West moved forward?] (17th ed.). Tehran: Nashre Towse'e.
   Google Scholar
• Amuzegar, J. (1997a). Iran's economy under the Islamic Republic. London: IB Tauris Publishers.
   Google Scholar
• Amuzegar, J. (1997b). Iran's economy and the US sanctions. Middle East Journal, 51, 185–199.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Arianpour, A. (2003). Marahel Tarikh Iran [Stages of Iranian history]. In Ketabe Towse'e (Handbook of Development) (Vol. 12). Tehran: Nashre Towse'e.
   Google Scholar
• Ashraf, A. (1980). Mavane Tarikhi Roshd Sarmayedari dar Iran Doreye Qajar [Historical barriers to capitalism in Iran during Qajar Era). Tehran: Zamineh Press.
   Google Scholar
• Aslaksen, S. (2010). Oil and democracy: More than a cross-country correlation? Journal of Peace Research, 47, 421–431. doi:10.1177/0022343310368348.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Bapat, N. A., Heinrich, T., Kobayashi, Y., & Morgan, T. C. (2013). Determinants of sanctions effectiveness: Sensitivity analysis using new data. International Interactions, 39, 79–98. doi:10.1080/03050629.2013.751298.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Barlas, Y. (1992). Comments on ‘on the very idea of a system dynamics model of Kuhnian science’. System Dynamics Review, 8, 43–47. doi:10.1002/sdr.4260080105.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Barlas, Y. (1996). Formal aspects of model validity and validation in system dynamics. System Dynamics Review, 12, 183–210.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Basedau, M., & Lacher, W. (2006). A paradox of plenty? Rent distribution and political stability in oil states GIGA Working Paper Series 21 : GIGA German Institute of Global and Area Studies. Retrieved from http://econpapers.repec.org/paper/gigwpaper/21.htm.
   Google Scholar
• Becker, T. (1999). Common trends and structural change: A dynamic macro model for the pre-and postrevolution Islamic Republic of Iran. IMF eLibrary: International Monetary Fund.
   Google Scholar
• Beharie, N. O. (1973). Economic policy and development strategy in Iran: A macro-simulation approach  (Ph.D. Dissertation). University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, IL.
   Google Scholar
• Bharier, Julian (1971). Economic development in Iran 1900–1970. London: Oxford University Press.
   Google Scholar
• Brunnschweiler, C. N. (2008). Cursing the blessings? Natural resource abundance, institutions, and economic growth. World Development, 36, 399–419. doi:10.1016/j.worlddev.2007.03.004.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Brunnschweiler, C. N., & Bulte, E. H. (2008). The resource curse revisited and revised: A tale of paradoxes and red herrings. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 55, 248–264. doi:10.1016/j.jeem.2007.08.004.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Central Bank of Iran. (2014). Economic Time Series Database. Economic Time Series Database, Central Bank of Islamic Republic of Iran. Retrieved from http://tsd.cbi.ir/.
   Google Scholar
• Cesari, A. (2011). SSRN Scholarly Paper ID 1872827 Retrieved from http://papers.ssrn.com/abstract = 1872827 Oil and democracy. Rochester, NY: Social Science Research Network.
   Google Scholar
• Chenoweth, E., & Stephan, M. J. (2011). Why civil resistance works: The strategic logic of nonviolent conflict. New York, NY: Columbia University Press.
   Google Scholar
• Cortright, D., & Lopez, G. A. (2000). The sanctions decade: Assessing UN strategies in the 1990s. Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner.
   Google Scholar
• Cortright, D., & Lopez, G. A. (2002). Smart sanctions: Targeting economic statecraft. Lanham, MD: Rowman & Littlefield.
   Google Scholar
• Daoudi, M. S., & Dajani, M. S. (1983). Economic sanctions: Ideals and experience. London: Routledge & Kegan Paul.
   Google Scholar
• Elliott, K. A., & Uimonen, P. P. (1993). The effectiveness of economic sanctions with application to the case of Iraq. Japan and the World Economy, 5, 403–409. doi:10.1016/0922-1425(93)90007-Q.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Escribà-Folch, A., & Wright, J. (2010). Dealing with tyranny: International sanctions and the survival of authoritarian rulers. International Studies Quarterly, 54, 335–359. doi:10.1111/j.1468-2478.2010.00590.x.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Esfahani, H. S., Mohaddes, K., & Pesaran, M. H. (2013). Oil exports and the Iranian economy. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 53, 221–237. doi:10.1016/j.qref.2012.07.001.
   Google Scholar
• Fayazmanesh, S. (2003). The politics of the U.S. economic sanctions against Iran. Review of Radical Political Economics, 35, 221–240. doi:10.1177/0486613403254535.
   Google Scholar
• Floor, W. M. (1998). A fiscal history of Iran in the Safavid and Qajar periods, 1500–1925. New York, NY: Bibliotheca Persica.
   Google Scholar
• Forrester, J. W. (1973). Confidence in models of social behavior-with emphasis on system dynamics models. Memo. Cambridge, MA: M. I. T. System Dynamics Group.
   Google Scholar
• Forrester, J. W., & Senge, P. M. (1980). Tests for building confidence in system dynamics models. In Augusto A. Legasto Jr. and et al. (Eds.), System dynamics (pp. 209–228). New York: North-Holland: TIMS Studies in the Management Sciences.
   Google Scholar
• Frankel, J. A. (2012). The natural resource curse: A survey of diagnoses and some prescriptions. Retrieved from http://dash.harvard.edu/handle/1/8694932.
   Google Scholar
• Habib-Agahi, H. (1971). A macro model for Iranian economy: 1338–1349. Tehran: Plan & Budget Organization.
   Google Scholar
• Heiat, A. (1987). Econometric study of an oil-exporting country: The case of Iran  (Ph.D. Dissertation). Portland State University, OR, USA.
   Google Scholar
• Hoffmann, F. (1967). The functions of economic sanctions: A comparative analysis. Journal of Peace Research, 4, 140–159. doi:10.1177/002234336700400204.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hufbauer, G. C., Elliott, K. A., Cyrus, T., & Winston, E. (1997). US economic sanctions: Their impact on trade, jobs, and wages. Working Paper Series Working Paper Special (2). Peterson Institute for International Economics. Retrieved from http://econpapers.repec.org/paper/iiewpaper/wpsp-2.htm.
   Google Scholar
• Hufbauer, G. C., Schott, J. J., & Elliott, K. A. (1990). Economic sanctions reconsidered: History and current policy. Washington, DC: Peterson Institute for International Economics.
   Google Scholar
• Issawi, C. (1971). Economic history of Iran, 1800–1914. Chicago: University of Chicago Press Economics Books.
   Google Scholar
• Karl, T. L. (1997). The paradox of plenty: Oil booms and petro-states. Berkeley: University of California Press.
   Google Scholar
• Katouzian, H. (1978). Oil versus agriculture a case of dual resource depletion in Iran. The Journal of Peasant Studies, 5, 347–369. doi:10.1080/03066157808438052.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Katouzian, H. (1979). The political economy of development in oil exporting countries. Peuples Mediterraneens, 8, 3–22.
   Google Scholar
• Katouzian, H. (1981). The political economy of modern Iran: Despotism and pseudo-modernism, 1926–1979. London: Macmillan.
   Google Scholar
• Katouzian, H. (1983). The aridisolatic society: A model of long-term social and economic development in Iran. International Journal of Middle East Studies, 15, 259–281. doi:10.1017/S0020743800052314.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Katouzian, H. (1997). Arbitrary rule: A comparative theory of state, politics and society in Iran. British Journal of Middle Eastern Studies, 24, 49–73. doi:10.1080/13530199708705638.
   Google Scholar
• Katouzian, H. (2003). Iranian history and politics: The dialectic of state and society. London: Routledge.
   Google Scholar
• Katouzian, H. (2004). The short-term society: A study in the problems of long-term political and economic development in Iran. Middle Eastern Studies, 40, 1–22. doi:10.1080/00263200412331301867.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Katouzian, H. (2005). The significance of economic history, and the fundamental features of the economic history of Iran. Iranian Studies, 38, 149–166. doi:10.1080/0021086042000336573.
   Google Scholar
• Katouzian, H. (2009). The Persians: Ancient, medieval, and modern Iran. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.
   Google Scholar
• Katouzian, H. (2010). The Iranian revolution at 30: The dialectic of state and society. Middle East Critique, 19, 35–53. doi:10.1080/19436141003594575.
   Google Scholar
• Katouzian, H. (2011). The revolution for law: A chronographic analysis of the constitutional revolution of Iran. Middle Eastern Studies, 47, 757–777. doi:10.1080/00263206.2011.588797.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Knorr, K. E. (1973). Power and Wealth. http://agris.fao.org/agris-search/search.do?recordID = US201300495782.
   Google Scholar
• Krain, M. (2014). The effect of economic sanctions on the severity of genocides or politicides. typescript.
   Google Scholar
• Langarudi, S. P., & Radzicki, M. J. (2013). Resurrecting a forgotten model: Updating Mashayekhi's model of Iranian economic development. In Hassan Qudrat-Ullah (Ed.), Energy policy modeling in the 21st century Understanding Complex Systems (pp. 197–233). New York: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-8606-0_11 Springer.
   Google Scholar
• Lektzian, D., & Souva, M. (2007). An institutional theory of sanctions onset and success. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 51, 848–871. doi:10.1177/0022002707306811.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Marinov, N. (2005). Do economic sanctions destabilize country leaders? American Journal of Political Science, 49, 564–576. doi:10.1111/j.1540-5907.2005.00142.x.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Martin, L. L. (1993). Coercive cooperation: Explaining multilateral economic sanctions. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
   Google Scholar
• Mashayekhi, A. N. (1978). Strategy of economic development in Iran: A case of development on exhaustible resources [Book]. (Ph.D. Dissretattion). MIT, Sloan School of Management, Cambridge.
   Google Scholar
• Mass, N. J., & Senge, P. M. (1978). IEEE transactions on alternative tests for the selection of model variables. Systems, Man and Cybernetics, 8, 450–460. doi:10.1109/TSMC.1978.4309998.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Morgan, T. C., & Schwebach, V. L. (1997). Fools suffer gladly: The use of economic sanctions in international crises. International Studies Quarterly, 41, 27–50. doi:10.1111/0020-8833.00032.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Nincic, M., & Wallensteen, P. (1983). Dilemmas of economic coercion: Sanctions in world politics. New York, NY: Praeger Publishers.
   Google Scholar
• Oliva, R. (2003). Model calibration as a testing strategy for system dynamics models. European Journal of Operational Research, 151, 552–568. doi:10.1016/S0377-2217(02)00622-7.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Pape, R. A. (1997). Why economic sanctions do not work. International Security, 22, 90–136. doi:10.1162/isec.22.2.90.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Peksen, D., & Drury, A. C. (2010). Coercive or corrosive: The negative impact of economic sanctions on democracy. International Interactions, 36, 240–264. doi:10.1080/03050629.2010.502436.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Peterson, D. W. (1975). Hypothesis, estimation, and validation of dynamic social models: Energy demand modeling. Cambridge, MA: Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
   Google Scholar
• Peterson, D. W. (1980). Statistical tools for system dynamics. In Jørgen Randers (Ed.), Elements of the system dynamics method (pp. 224–241). Cambridge, MA: Productivity Press.
   Google Scholar
• Peyman, H. (2003). Avamel Baztolid Hokoumathaye Khodkameh dar Iran [Determinants of the reproduction of arbitrary states in Iran]. In Ketabe Towse'e [Handbook of development] (Vol. 14). Tehran: Nashre Towse'e.
   Google Scholar
• Piran, P. (2005). Nazarieh Rahbord va Siasat Sarzamini Jame'e Iran [State strategy & policy for Iranian Society]. Andishe Iranshahr, 6, 23–34.
   Google Scholar
• Radzicki, M. J. (1988). Institutional dynamics: An extension of the institutionalist approach to socioeconomic analysis. Journal of Economic Issues, 22, 633–665.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Radzicki, M. J. (1990a). Institutional dynamics, deterministic chaos, and self-organizing systems. Journal of Economic Issues, 24, 57–102.
   Google Scholar
• Radzicki, M. J. (1990b). Methodologia Oeconomiae et Systematis Dynamis. System Dynamics Review, 6, 123–147. https://doi.org/10.1002/sdr.4260060202.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Radzicki, M. J. (1992). Reflections on “on the very idea of a system dynamics model of Kuhnian science”. System Dynamics Review, 8, 49–53. doi:10.1002/sdr.4260080106.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Radzicki, M. J. (2004). Expectation formation and parameter estimation in uncertain dynamical systems: The system dynamics approach to post keynesian-institutional economics. In Proceedings of the international system dynamics conference. Albany, NY: System Dynamics Society.
   Google Scholar
• Radzicki, M. J. (2009). System dynamics and its contribution to economics and economic modeling. In Robert A. Meyers (Ed.), Encyclopedia of complexity and systems science (pp. 8990–9000). New York: Springer. doi:10.1007/978-0-387-30440-3_539.
   Google Scholar
• Ross, M. L. (1999). The political economy of the resource curse. World Politics, 51, 297–322  doi:10.1017/S0043887100008200.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Ross, M. L. (2001). Does oil hinder democracy? World Politics, 53, 325–361. doi:10.1353/wp.2001.0011.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Ross, M. L. (2008). But seriously: Does oil really hinder democracy? Working Paper, UCLA Department of Political Science.
   Google Scholar
• Sachs, J. D., & Warner, A. M. (1995). Retrieved from: http://papers.ssrn.com/abstract = 225459 Natural resource abundance and economic growth SSRN Scholarly Paper ID 225459. Rochester, NY: Social Science Research Network.
   Google Scholar
• Sachs, J. D., & Warner, A. M. (2001). The Curse of Natural Resources. European Economic Review, 15th Annual Congress of the European Economic Association, 45, 827–838. doi:10.1016/S0014-2921(01)00125-8.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Saeed, K. (1986). The dynamics of economic growth and political instability in developing countries. System Dynamics Review, 2, 20–35. doi:10.1002/sdr.4260020103.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Saeed, K. (1992). Slicing a complex problem for system dynamics modeling. System Dynamics Review, 8, 251–261. doi:10.1002/sdr.4260080305.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Shiozawa, K. (1966). Marx's view of Asian society and his “Asiatic mode of production”. The Developing Economies, 4, 299–315. doi:10.1111/j.1746-1049.1966.tb00480.x.
   Google Scholar
• Søreide, T. (2014). Drivers of corruption: A brief review. World Bank studies. Washington, DC. doi:10.1596/978-1-4648-0401-4 World Bank.
   Google Scholar
• Sterman, J. D. (1984). Appropriate summary statistics for evaluating the historical fit of system dynamics models. Dynamica, 10, 51–66.
   Google Scholar
• Sterman, J. D. (1992). Response to “on the very idea of a system dynamics model of Kuhnian science”. System Dynamics Review, 8, 35–42. doi:10.1002/sdr.4260080104.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Stijns, J.-P. C. (2005). Natural resource abundance and economic growth revisited. Resources Policy, 30, 107–130. doi:10.1016/j.resourpol.2005.05.001.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Tabatabaei, J. (2001). Dibachei bar Nazarieh Enhetat Iran [An introduction to Iranian retrogradation theory]. Tehran: Negahe Moaser.
   Google Scholar
• Torbat, A. E. (2005). Impacts of the US trade and financial sanctions on Iran. World Economy, 28, 407–434. doi:10.1111/j.1467-9701.2005.00671.x.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Tsebelis, G. (1990). Are sanctions effective?: A game-theoretic analysis. The Journal of Conflict Resolution, 34, 3–28. doi:10.1177/0022002790034001001.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Tsui, K. K. (2011). More oil, less democracy: Evidence from worldwide crude oil discoveries. The Economic Journal, 121, 89–115. doi:10.1111/j.1468-0297.2009.02327.x.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Valadkhani, A. (1997). A macroeconometric model for the Iranian economy. (Ph.D. Dissertation). The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia.
   Google Scholar
• Weber, M. (1947). The theory of social and economic organization. New York, NY: Oxford University Press.
   Google Scholar
• Wittenberg, J. (1992). On the very idea of a system dynamics model of Kuhnian science. System Dynamics Review, 8, 21–33. doi:10.1002/sdr.4260080103.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Wittenberg, J., & Sterman, J. D. (1992). Modeling the dynamics of scientific revolutions. System Dynamics Group D-4334 (Vol. 25). Cambridge, MA: Sloan School of Management, MIT.
   Google Scholar
• Wittfogel, K. (1957). Oriental despotism: A comparative study of total power. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.
   Google Scholar