Publication Cover
Physiotherapy Theory and Practice
An International Journal of Physical Therapy
Volume 39, 2023 - Issue 3
190
Views
0
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Research Report

Human resource challenges for physical therapists in Japan: a hybrid time-series and system dynamics analyses for the near, mid and long-term horizons

, PhD, RPT
Pages 504-517 | Received 11 Jun 2020, Accepted 24 Nov 2021, Published online: 18 Jan 2022

References

  • Barlas Y 1996 Formal aspects of model validity and validation in system dynamics. System Dynamics Review 12: 183–210. 10.1002/(SICI)1099-1727(199623)12:3<183::AID-SDR103>3.0.CO;2-4
  • Boling P 2008 Demography, culture, and policy: Understanding Japan’s low fertility. Population and Development Review 34: 307–326. 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2008.00221.x
  • Boumans MJ 2009 Grey-box understanding in economics. In: de Regt HW, Leonelli S, Eigner K, (Eds) Scientific understanding: Philosophical perspectives, pp. 210–229. Chicago: University of Pittsburgh Press.
  • Darabi N, Hosseinichimeh N 2020 system dynamics modeling in health and medicine: A systematic literature review. System Dynamics Review 36: 29–73. 10.1002/sdr.1646
  • Dow JC, Dicks-Mireaux LA 1958 The excess demand for labour. A study of conditions in Great Britain 1946-56. Oxford Economic Papers 10: 1–33. 10.1093/oxfordjournals.oep.a040791
  • e-Stat, e-Stat (Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan) 31 May 2017 Population estimates. Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications. Tokyo, Japan. https://www.e-stat.go.jp/stat-search/files?page=1&layout=datalist&toukei=00200524&tstat=000000090001&cycle=0&tclass1=000000090004&tclass2=000001051180 Accessed 31 May 2020.
  • e-Stat, e-Stat (Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan). 2018 Population estimates. Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications. Tokyo, Japan. https://www.e-stat.go.jp/stat-search/files?page=1&layout=datalist&toukei=00200524&tstat=000000090001&cycle=0&tclass1=000000090004&tclass2=000000090005 Accessed 31 May 2020.
  • e-Stat, e-Stat (Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan) 2020 Labor force survey/basic tabulation historical data. Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications. Tokyo, Japan. https://www.e-stat.go.jp/stat-search/files?page=1&query=完全失業率&layout=dataset&toukei=00200531&tstat=000000110001&stat_infid=000031831364&metadata=1&data=1 Accessed 31 May 2020
  • eHealth Net, e-Health Net 2020 Elderly people. Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare: eHealth Net. Tokyo, Japan. https://www.e-healthnet.mhlw.go.jp/information/dictionary/alcohol/ya-032.html Accessed 31 May 2020
  • Faruqee H, Mühleisen M 2003 Population aging in Japan: Demographic shock and fiscal sustainability. Japan and the World Economy 15: 185–210. 10.1016/S0922-1425(02)00017-8
  • Forrester JW 2007 System dynamics - A personal view of the first fifty years. System Dynamics Review 23: 345–358. 10.1002/sdr.382
  • Hewitt PS 2003 The demographic dilemma: Japan’s aging society Asia Program Special Report 107: 1–24.
  • Hursh SR, Silberberg A 2008 Economic demand and essential value. Psychological Review 115: 186–198. 10.1037/0033-295X.115.1.186
  • Japanese Physical Therapy Association, Japanese Physical Therapy Association 2020 Changes in the number of people who passed the physical therapist exam. Tokyo, Japan: Japanese Physical Therapy Association. http://www.japanpt.or.jp/about/data/statistics/ Accessed 31 May 2020
  • Japanese Physical Therapy Association 2016 Data about Physical Therapist. White Paper on Physical Therapy 2016. Sagamihara: Nisso Press.
  • Landry MD, Hack LM, Coulson E, Freburger J, Johnson MP, Katz R, Sinnott PL, Smith MH, Wessman HCB, Venskus DG 2016 Workforce projections 2010–2020: Annual supply and demand forecasting models for physical therapists across the United States. Physical Therapy 96: 71–80. 10.2522/ptj.20150010
  • Landry MD, Ricketts TC, Fraher E, Verrier MC 2009 Physical therapy health human resource ratios: A comparative analysis of the United States and Canada. Physical Therapy 89: 149–161. 10.2522/ptj.20080075
  • McFadden B, Jones Mcgrath K, Lowe T, Thiessen C, Irinici S, Shah T, Bath B 2016 Examining the supply of and demand for physiotherapy in Saskatchewan: The relationship between where physiotherapists work and population health need. Physiotherapy Canada 68: 335–345. 10.3138/ptc.2015-70
  • Morii Y, Ishikawa T, Suzuki T, Tsuji S, Yamanaka M, Ogasawara K, Yamashina H 2019 Projecting future supply and demand for physical therapists in Japan using system dynamics. Health Policy and Technology 8: 118–127. 10.1016/j.hlpt.2019.05.003
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, National Institute of Population and Social Security Research 2017 Population projections for Japan: 2016-2065. Tokyo, Japan: Sato Publishing. http://www.ipss.go.jp/pp-zenkoku/j/zenkoku2017/pp29_ReportALL.pdf Accessed 31 May 2020
  • Okamoto Y 1992 Health care for the elderly in Japan: Medicine and welfare in an aging society facing a crisis in long term care British Medical Journal 3056850: 403. 10.1136/bmj.305.6850.403
  • Richardson J 2001 Supply and demand for medical care: Or, is the health care market perverse? Australian Economic Review 34: 336–352. 10.1111/1467-8462.00203
  • Rommel A, Kroll LE 2017 Individual and regional determinants for physical therapy utilization in Germany: Multilevel analysis of national survey data. Physical Therapy 97: 512–523. 10.1093/ptj/pzx022
  • Soyiri IN, Reidpath DD 2013 An overview of health forecasting. Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine 18: 1–9. 10.1007/s12199-012-0294-6
  • World Confederation for Physical Therapy, World Confederation for Physical Therapy 2020 Member organisations. London, United Kingdom: World Confederation for Physical Therapy. https://www.wcpt.org/members Accessed 31 May 2020
  • Yashiro N 1997 Aging of the population in Japan and its implications to the other Asian countries. Journal of Asian Economics 8: 245–261. 10.1016/S1049-0078(97)90019-1

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.