1,619
Views
12
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Articles

The role of macro-economic indicators in explaining direct commercial real estate returns: evidence from South Africa

, &
Pages 28-52 | Received 30 Sep 2016, Accepted 02 Nov 2017, Published online: 05 Dec 2017

References

  • Aguiar, M., & Gopinath, G. (2007). Emerging market business cycles: The cycle is the trend. Journal of Political Economy, 115(1), 69–102.10.1086/511283
  • Akinsomi, O., Pahad, R., Nape, L., & Margolis, J. (2015). Geographic diversification issued in real estate markets in Africa. Journal of Real Estate Literature, 23(2), 261–295.
  • Akinsomi, O., Kola, K., Ndlovu, T., & Motloung, M. (2016). The performance of the Broad Based Black Economic Empowerment compliant listed property firms in South Africa. Journal of Property Investment & Finance, 34(1), 3–26.10.1108/JPIF-09-2014-0061
  • Baum, A.  (2008). Unlisted property funds: Supplying capital to developing property markets? International Real Estate Research Symposium. Kaula Lumpur.
  • Baum, A. (2009). Commercial real estate investment (2nd ed.). London: Routledge.
  • Bond, M. T., & Seiler, M. J. (1998). Real estate returns and inflation: An added variable approach. Journal of Real Estate Research, 15(3), 327–338.
  • Boshoff, D. (2014). The impact of the commercial real estate sector on the South African economy. Johannesburg: SAPOA.
  • Bouchouicha, R., & Ftiti, Z. (2012). Real estate markets and the macroeconomy: A dynamic coherence framework. Economic Modelling, 29, 1820–1829.10.1016/j.econmod.2012.05.034
  • Brooks, C., & Tsolacos, S. (1999). The impact of economic and financial factors on UK property performance. Journal of Property Research, 16(2), 139–152.10.1080/095999199368193
  • Case, B., Goetzmann, W. N., & Rouwenhorst, K. G. (2000, February). Global real estate marketsCycles and fundamentals. National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series, Working Paper 7566. 1–22.
  • Chaney, A., & Hoesli, M. (2012). Transaction-based and appraisal-based capitalization rate determinants. Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper No. 12-28. 1–39
  • Chui, L., & Chau, K. (2005). An empirical study of the relationship between economic growth, real estate prices and real estate investments in Hong Kong. Surveying and Built Environment, 16(2), 19–32.
  • Crowe, C., & Dell’Ariccia, G. (2012). Policies for macrofinancial stability: Managing real estate booms and busts. Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund.
  • De Wit, I. (2007). Peformance and peformance drivers in global property markets (Doctoral thesis). Maastricht University.
  • De Wit, I., & Van Dijk, R. (2003). The global determinants of direct office real estate returns. Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 26(1), 24–45.
  • DiPasquale, D., & Wheaton, W. C. (1992). The markets for real estate assets and space: A conceptual framework. Real Estate Economics, 20(2), 181–198.10.1111/reec.1992.20.issue-2
  • DiPasquale, D., & Wheaton, W. C. (1996). Urban economics and real estate markets. Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey: Prentice Hall.
  • Fuerst, F., & Matysiak ,G. (2013). Analyzing the performance on non-listed real estate funds: A panel data analysis. Applied Economics, 45(14), 1777–1788.
  • Georgiev, G., Gupta, B., & Kunkel, T. (2003). Benefits of real estate investment. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 29(5), 28–33.10.3905/jpm.2003.319903
  • Grover, R., & Grover, C. (2013). Property cycles. Journal of Property Investment & Finance, 31(5), 502–516.10.1108/JPIF-05-2013-0030
  • Hartzell, D., Shulman, D., & Wurtzebach, C. (1987). Refining the analysis of regional diversification for income-producing real estate. Journal of Real Estate Research, 2(2), 85–95.
  • Hin, K., & Addae-Dapaah, D. H. (2014). Real estate market cyclical dynamics: The prime office sectors of Kuala Lumpur, Singapore and Hong Kong. International Journal of Managerial Finance, 10(2), 241–262.
  • Ho, K. H., & Faishal bin Ibrahim, M. (2010). Explaining the macro-economy and retail real estate sector dynamic interaction between prime and suburban retail real estate sectors. Journal of Property Investment & Finance, 28(2), 77–108.
  • Huidrom, R., Kose, A. M., & Ohnsorge, F. L. (2016, September). Finance and development: IMF. Retrieved February 8, 2017, from The International Monetary Fund Website http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2016/09/huidrom.htm
  • Karakozova, O. (2005). Modelling and forecasting property rents and returns (Doctoral thesis). Swedish School of Economics and Business Administration, Helsinki, Finland.
  • Kofoed-Phil, T. (2009, March 4). Macroeconomic determinants of real estate returns: An econometric analysis of the macroeconomic influence on the United States commercial real estate returns (Unpublished Master’s Thesis). Department of Economics, Copenhagen Business School.
  • Kohlert, D. (2010). The determinants of regional real estate returns in the United Kingdom: A vector error correction approach. Journal of Property Research, 27(1), 87–117.10.1080/09599916.2010.500816
  • Koon, H., & Lee, N. (2013). A cointegration analysis of inflation and real estate returns. Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management, 19(3), 207–223.
  • Korotkov, N., Occhiocupo, N., & Simkin, L. (2013). Simulated test marketing in emerging markets: The need to re-think. Marketing Intelligence & Planning, 31(7), 807–822.10.1108/MIP-01-2013-0010
  • Liang, Y., & McIntosh, W. (1998). Employment growth and real estate return: Are they linked? Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management, 4(2), 125–168.
  • Lieser, K., & Groh, P. A. (2014). The determinants of international commercial real estate investment. The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 48(4), 611–659.10.1007/s11146-012-9401-0
  • Liow, K. H. (2000). The dynamics of the Singapore commercial property market. Journal of Property Research, 17(4), 279–291.10.1080/09599910010001402
  • Liow, K. H. (2004). Time-varying macroeconomic risk and commercial real estate: An asset pricing perspective. Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management, 10(1), 47–57.
  • Liow, K. H., & Webb, J. (2008). Nonlinear return dependence in major real estate markets. Journal of Property Research, 25(4), 285–319.10.1080/09599910902837036
  • Macgregor, B. D., & Schwann, G. M. (2003). Common features in UK commercial real estate returns. Journal of Property Research, 20(1), 23–48.10.1080/09599910210155518
  • MSCI. (2015). IPD global annual property index. New York: Author.
  • Mueller, Glenn. (1993). Refining economic diversification strategies for real estate portfolios. Journal of Real Estate Research, 8(1), 55–68.
  • Onder, Z. (2000). High inflation and returns on residential real estate: Evidence from Turkey. Applied Economics, 32, 917–931.10.1080/000368400322255
  • Park, Y. W., & Bang, D. W. (2012). Direct commercial real estate as an inflation hedge: Korean evidence. Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management, 18(2), 187–203.
  • Quan, D. C., & Titman, S. (1999). Do real estate prices and stock prices move together? An international analysis Real Estate Economics, 27(2), 183–207.10.1111/reec.1999.27.issue-2
  • Reddy, W., Higgins, D., & Wakefield, R. (2014). An investigation of property-related decision practice of Australian fund managers. Journal of Property Investment & Finance, 32(3), 282–305.10.1108/JPIF-02-2014-0014
  • Salem, M., & Baum, A. (2016). Determinants of foreign direct real estate investment in selected MENA countries. Journal of Property Investment & Finance, 34(2), 116–142.10.1108/JPIF-06-2015-0042
  • Schindler, F. (2011). Market efficiency and return predictability in the emerging securitized real estate market. Journal of Real Estate Literature, 19(1), 111–150.
  • Shimizu, C. (2014). How are property investment returns determined?. Tokyo: Reitaku University & University of British Columbia.
  • Stevenson, S., & Murray, L. (1999). An examination of the inflation hedging ability of Irish real estate. Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management, 5(1), 59–69.
  • Ucal, M. S., & Gokkent, G. (2009). Macroeconomic factors affecting real estate markets in Turkey: A VAR analysis approach. Briefing Notes in Economics, 80, 1–10.
  • Van den Heuvel, T., & Morawski, J. (2014). Performance drivers of German institutional property funds. Journal of Property Investment & Finance, 32(2), 154–167.10.1108/JPIF-03-2013-0017
  • West, T., & Worthington, A. C. (2006). Macroeconomic risk factors in Australian commercial real estate, listed property trust and property sector stock returns: A comparative analysis using GARCH-M. Journal of Financial Management of Property and Construction, 11(2), 21–31.
  • Xu, Y. (2012). The effects of rental growth expectation on real estate return : A term structure model and an empirical test in Hong Kong (Thesis). University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong SAR.10.5353/th_b5137959

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.