Research on hindsight bias: A rich past, a productive present, and a challenging future

References

• Blank , H. , Fischer , V. and Erdfelder , E. 2003 . Hindsight bias in political elections . Memory , 11 : 491 – 504 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Christensen-Szalanski , J. J. J. and Willham , C. F. 1991 . The hindsight bias: A meta-analysis . Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes , 48 : 147 – 168 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Erdfelder , E. and Buchner , A. 1998 . Decomposing the hindsight bias: An integrative multinomial processing tree model . Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition , 24 : 387 – 414 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Fischhoff , B. 1975 . Hindsight ≠ foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty . Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance , 1 : 288 – 299 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Forer , B. R. 1949 . The fallacy of personal validation: A classroom demonstration of gullibility . Journal of Abnormal and Social Psychology , 44 : 118 – 123 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hardt , O. and Pohl , R. F. 2003 . Hindsight bias as a function of anchor distance and anchor plausibility . Memory , 11 : 379 – 394 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hawkins , S. A. and Hastie , R. 1990 . Hindsight: Biased judgments of past events after the outcomes are known . Psychological Bulletin , 107 : 311 – 327 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hertwig , R. , Fanselow , C and Hoffrage , U. 2003 . Hindsight bias: How knowledge and heuristics affect our reconstruction of the past . Memory , 11 : 357 – 377 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hertwig , R. , Gigerenzer , G. and Hoffrage , U. 1997 . The reiteration effect in hindsight bias . Psychological Review , 104 : 194 – 202 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hoch , S. J. and Loewenstein , G. F. 1989 . Outcome feedback: Hindsight and information . Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition , 15 : 605 – 619 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hoffrage , U. , Hertwig , R. and Gigerenzer , G. 2000 . Hindsight bias: A by-product of knowledge-updating? . Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition , 26 : 566 – 581 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Loftus , E. F. and Loftus , G. R. 1980 . On the permanence of stored information in the human brain . American Psychologist , 35 : 409 – 420 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Mark , M. M. , Boburka , R. R. , Eyssell , K. M. , Cohen , L. L. and Mellor , S. 2003 . “I couldn't have seen it coming”: The impact of negative self-relevant outcomes on retrospections about foreseeability . Memory , 11 : 443 – 454 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• McCloskey , M. and Zaragoza , M. S. 1985 . Misleading postevent information and memory for events: Arguments and evidence against memory impairment hypotheses . Journal of Experimental Psychology: General , 114 : 1 – 16 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Musch , J. 2003 . Personality differences in hindsight bias . Memory , 11 : 473 – 489 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Pezzo , M. V. 2003 . Surprise, defence, or making sense: What removes the hindsight bias? . Memory , 11 : 421 – 441 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Pohl , R. F. 1995 . “ Disenchanting hindsight bias ” . In Contributions to decision making , Edited by: Caverni , J.-P. , Bar-Hillel , M. , Barron , F. H. and Jungermann , H. 323 – 334 . Amsterdam : Elsevier .
   Google Scholar
• Pohl , R. F. , Eisenhauer , M. and Hardt , O. 2003 . SARA: A cognitive process model to simulate the anchoring effect and hindsight bias . Memory , 11 : 337 – 356 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Renner , B. 2003 . Hindsight bias after receiving self-relevant health risk information: A motivational perspective . Memory , 11 : 455 – 472 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Schwarz , S. and Stahlberg , D. 2003 . Strength of hindsight bias as a consequence of meta-cognitions . Memory , 11 : 395 – 410 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Stahlberg , D. and Maass , A. 1998 . “ Hindsight bias: Impaired memory or biased reconstruction? ” . In European review of social psychology , Edited by: Stroebe , W. and Hewstone , M. Vol. 8 , 105 – 132 . Chichesler, , UK : Wiley .
   Google Scholar
• Tulving , E. 1991 . Memory research is not a zero-sum game . American Scientist , 46 : 41 – 42 .
   Google Scholar
• Werth , L. and Strack , F. 2003 . An inferential approach to the knew-it-all-along phenomenon . Memory , 11 : 411 – 419 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Winman , A. , Juslin , P. and Björkman , M. 1998 . The confidence-hindsight mirror effect in judgment: An accuracy-assessment model for the knew-it-all-along phenomenon . Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition , 24 : 415 – 431 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar