Predicting recidivism in a scottish prison sample

References

• Andrews , D. A. , Zinger , I. , Hoge , R. D. , Bonta , J. , Gendreau , P. and Cullen , F. T. 1990a . Does correctional treatment work? A clinically relevant and psychologically informed meta‐analysis . Criminology , 28 ( 3 ) : 369 – 404 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Andrews , D. A. , Bonta , J. and Hodge , R. D. 1990b . Classification for effective rehabilitation: rediscovering psychology . Criminal Justice and Behavior , 17 : 19 – 52 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Baldessarini , R. J. , Finklestein , S. and Arana , G. W. 1983 . The predictive power of diagnostic tests and the effect of prevalence of illness . Archives of General Psychiatry , 40 : 569 – 573 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Blackburn , R. 1993 . The Psychology of Criminal Conduct: Theory Research and Practice , 1st ed. , Chichester : Wiley .
   Google Scholar
• Cooke , D. J. 1994 . Psychological Disturbance in the Scottish Prison System: Prevalence Precipitants and Policy , Edinburgh : SHHD .
   Google Scholar
• Cooke , D. J. 1996 . Predicting offending in prison: the predictive validity of the prison behaviour rating scale . Legal and Criminological Psychology , 1 : 65 – 82 .
   Google Scholar
• Copas , J. and Loeber , R. 1990 . Relative improvement over chance (RIOC) for 2 × 2 tables . British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology , 43 : 293 – 307 .
   Google Scholar
• Copas , J. , Marshall , P. and Tarling , R. 1996 . Predicting Reoffending for Discretionary Conditional Release , London : HMSO .
   Google Scholar
• Endicott , J. and Spitzer , R. L. 1978 . A diagnostic intervíew: the schedule for affective disorders and schizophrenia . The Archives of General Psychiatry , 35 : 837 – 844 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Farrington , D. P. and Loeber , R. 1989 . Relative improvement over chance (RIOC) and Phi as measures of predictive efficiency and strength of association in 2 × 2 tables . Journal of Quantitative Criminology , 5 : 201 – 213 .
   Google Scholar
• Hart , S. D. , Kropp , P. R. and Hare , R. D. 1988 . The performance of male psychopaths following conditional release from prison . Journal of Consulting in Clinical Psychology , 57 : 227 – 232 .
   Google Scholar
• Havlicek , L. L. and Peterson , N. P. 1974 . Robustness of the t‐test: A guide for researchers on effects of violations on the assumptions . Psychological Reports , 34 : 1095 – 1114 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Jackson , J. and Rothstein , M. 1993 . Evaluating personality testing in personnel selection . The Psychologist , 6 : 5 – 11 .
   Google Scholar
• Lloyd , C. , Mair , C. and Hough , M. 1994 . Explaining Reconviction Rates: A Critical Analysis , 1st ed. , London : HMSO .
   Google Scholar
• Loeber , R. and Dishion , T. 1983 . Early predictors of male delinquency: a review . Psychological Bulletin , 94 : 68 – 99 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• MacKenzie , D. L. , Posey , C. D. and Rapaport , K. R. 1988 . A theoretical revolution in corrections: varied purposes for classification . Criminal Justice and Behavior , 15 : 125 – 136 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Mannheim , H. and Wilkins , L. 1955 . Prediction Methods in Relation to Borstal Training , London : HMSO .
   Google Scholar
• Martin , S. L. and Terris , W. 1991 . Predicting infrequent behavior: misconceptions surrounding misclassification errors . Forensic Reports , 4 : 141 – 148 .
   Google Scholar
• Mayhew , P. , Mirrlees‐Black , C. and Maung , N. A. 1994 . Trends in crime: findings from the 1994 British Crime Survey , Home Office Research and Statistics Department Research Findings, No. 14
   Google Scholar
• Meehl , P. E. 1954 . Clinical versus Statistical Prediction: A Theoretical Analysis and a Review of the Evidence , 1st ed. , Minneapolis : University of Minnesota Press .
   Google Scholar
• Monahan , J. 1981 . The Clinical Prediction of Violent Behaviour , Washington, DC : Government Printing Office .
   Google Scholar
• Monahan , J. 1984 . The prediction of violent behaviour: towards a second generation of theory and policy . American Journal of Psychiatry , 141 : 10 – 15 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Monahan , J. and Steadman , H. 1994 . Violence and Mental Disorder: Developments in Risk Assessment , 1st ed. , Chicago : The University of Chicago Press .
   Google Scholar
• Murphy , J. R. 1983 . The relationship of relative risk and positive predictive value in 2 × 2 tables . American Journal of Epidemiology , 117 : 86 – 89 .
   Google Scholar
• Otto , R. K. 1992 . Prediction of dangerous behaviour: a review and analysis of “second‐generation” research . Forensic Reports , 5 : 103 – 133 .
   Google Scholar
• Pritchard , D. A. 1979 . Stable predictors of recidivism: a summary . Criminology , 17 : 15 – 21 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Schimdt , P. and Witte , A. D. 1988 . Predicting Recidivism Using Survival Models , 1st ed. , New York : Springer‐Verlag .
   Google Scholar
• Shields , I. W. and Simourd , D. J. 1991 . Predicting predatory behaviour in a population of incarcerated young offenders . Criminal Justice and Behavior , 18 : 180 – 194 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Ward , D. 1987 . The Validity of the Reconviction Prediction Score , London : HMSO .
   Google Scholar
• Webster , C. D. , Harris , G. T. , Rice , M. E. , Cormier , C. and Quinsey , V. L. 1994 . The Violence Prediction Scheme: Assessing Dangerousness in High Risk Men. , 1st ed. , Toronto : University of Toronto .
   Google Scholar