513
Views
20
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Review Article

Use of backcasting to integrate indicators with principles of sustainability

Pages 189-197 | Published online: 14 May 2010

References

  • Ahlroth , S and Höjer , M. 2007 . Sustainable energy prices and growth: comparing macroeconomic and backcasting scenarios . Ecol Econ. , 63 ( 4 ) : 722 – 731 .
  • Australian Bureau of Statistics . 2001 . Measuring wellbeing: frameworks for Australian Social Statistics (ABS Cat. No. 4160.0). ,
  • Becker , J. 2004 . Making sustainable development evaluations work . Sustain Dev. , 12 ( 4 ) : 200 – 211 .
  • Becker , J. 2005 . Measuring progress towards sustainable development: an ecological framework for selecting indicators . Local Environ. , 10 ( 1 ) : 87 – 101 .
  • Becker , J. 2007a . Improving community health through evaluations . Community Dev J. , 42 ( 3 ) : 348 – 364 .
  • Becker , J. 2007b . How frameworks can help operationalize sustainable development indicators . World Futures. , 63 ( 2 ) : 137 – 150 .
  • Bell , S and Morse , S. 2003 . Measuring sustainability: learning by doing , London : Earthscan .
  • Bossel , H. 1998 . Earth at a crossroads: paths to a sustainable future , Cambridge, MA : Cambridge University Press .
  • Boulding , KE. 1966 . “ The economics of the coming spaceship Earth ” . In Environmental quality in a growing economy , Edited by: Jarrett , H . 3 – 14 . Baltimore, MD : Resources for the Future/Johns Hopkins University Press .
  • Brugmann , J. 1997 . Is there a method in our measurement? The case of indicators in local sustainable development planning . Local Environ. , 2 ( 1 ) : 59 – 72 .
  • Cairns , J , McCormick , P and Niederlehner , N. 1993 . A proposed framework for developing indicators of ecosystem health . Hydrobiologica. , 263 : 1 – 44 .
  • Capra , F. 1996 . The web of life: a new synthesis of mind and matter , London : Harper Collins .
  • Carlsson-Kanyama , A , Dreborg , K-H , Eenkhorn , BR , Engström , R , Falkena , B , Gatersleben , B , Henriksson , G , Kok , R , Moll , HC Padovan , D . 2003 . “ Images of everyday life in the future sustainable city: experiences of back-casting with stakeholders in five European cities ” . In Fms-report 182 , Stockholm, Sweden : Environmental Strategies Research Group, ToolSust Project .
  • Cobb , CW and Rixford , C. 1998 . Lessons , Oakland, CA : Redefining Progress . learned from the history of social indicators
  • Conway , GR and McCracken , JA. 1990 . “ Rapid rural appraisal and agroecosystem analysis ” . In Agroecology and small farm development , Edited by: Altieri , MA and Hecht , S . 221 – 235 . Boston : CRC Press .
  • Daly , HE. 1973 . Towards a steady-state economy , San Francisco : W.H. Freeman and Co .
  • Daly , HE. 1990 . Towards some operational principles of sustainable development . Ecol Econ. , 2 ( 1 ) : 1 – 6 .
  • Daly , HE , Cobb , CW and Cobb , JB. 1989 . For the common good: redirecting the economy toward community, the environment and a sustainable future , London : Beacon Press .
  • Dreborg , KH. 1996 . Essence of backcasting . Futures. , 28 : 813 – 828 .
  • Dreborg , KH , Hunhammar , S , Kemp-Benedict , E and Raskin , P. 1999 . Scenarios for the Baltic Sea region: a vision of sustainability . Int J Sustain Dev World Ecol. , 6 ( 1 ) : 34 – 44 .
  • Giovannini , E. 2004 . “ Accounting frameworks for sustainable development: what have we learnt? ” . In OECD measuring sustainable development: integrated economic, environmental and social frameworks , 7 – 15 . Paris : OECD .
  • Goodland , R and Daly , HE . 1992 . Population, technology lifestyle: the transition to sustainability , Edited by: El Serafy , S . Washington, DC : Island Press .
  • Grin , J , Felix , F and Bos , B. 2004 . Practices for reflexive design: lessons from a Dutch programme on sustainable agriculture . Int J Foresight Innov Policy. , 1 : 126 – 149 .
  • Grin , J and Grunwald , A. 2000 . Vision assessment, shaping technology in the 21st century: towards a repertoire for technology assessment , Berlin : Springer-Verlag .
  • Guitterez-Espeleta , EE. 1995 . Aportes para el Análisis del Desarrollo Hunan Sostenible , San Jose, Costa Rica : Lara Seguara y Asociados . S.A
  • Hardi , P , Barg , S , Hodge , T and Pinter , L. 1997 . “ Measuring sustainable development: review of current practice ” . In Occasional Paper No. 17 , Ottawa : Industry Canada .
  • Hjorth , P and Bagheri , A. 2006 . Navigating towards sustainable development: a system dynamics approach . Futures. , 38 ( 1 ) : 74 – 92 .
  • Höjer , M and Mattsson , L. 2000 . Determinism and backcasting in future studies . Futures. , 32 : 613 – 634 .
  • Holmberg , J. 1995 . Socio-ecological principles and indicators for sustainability [PhD thesis] , Göteborg, , Sweden : Institute of Physical Resource Theory, Chalmers University of Technology .
  • Holmberg , J and Karlsson , S. 1992 . “ On designing socio-ecological indicators ” . In Society and environment: a Swedish research perspective , Edited by: Svedin , U and Hägerhäll Aniansson , B . Dordrecht : Kluwer Academic Publishers .
  • Holmberg , J and Robèrt , K-H. 2000 . Backcasting from non-overlapping sustainability principles – a framework for strategic planning . Int J Sustain Dev World Ecol. , 7 ( 4 ) : 291 – 308 .
  • IUCN/UNEP/WWF . 1991 . Caring for the Earth: second report on world conservation and development , London : Earthscan .
  • Lawrence , JG. 1999 . Getting the future that you want: the role of sustainability indicators , Edited by: Warburton , D . 68 – 80 . London : Earthscan .
  • Leichter , HM and Tyrens , J. 2002 . Achieving better health outcomes: the Oregon benchmark experience , New York : Milbank Memorial Fund .
  • Lewin , R. 1994 . Complexity: life on the edge of chaos , New York : MacMillan Publishing .
  • Lovins , A. 1976 . Energy strategy: the road not taken? Foreign Aff. , 55 : 63 – 96 .
  • Meadows , D. 1998 . Indicators and information systems for sustainable development. Report to the Balaton group , Hartland, Vermont : The Sustainability Institute .
  • Meadows , D , Meadows , D , Randers , J and Behrens , W. 1972 . Limits to growth , New York : Universe Books .
  • Mingers , J. 1995 . Self-producing systems: implications and applications of autopoiesis , New York : Plenum Press .
  • Mitchell , G. 1996 . Problems and fundamentals of sustainable development . Sustain Dev. , 4 ( 1 ) : 1 – 11 .
  • Mitchell , G , May , A and McDonald , A. 1995 . PICABUE: a methodological framework for the development of indicators of sustainable development . Int J Sustain Dev World Ecol. , 2 ( 2 ) : 104 – 123 .
  • Nattrass , B and Altomare , M. 1999 . The natural step for business: wealth, ecology and the evolutionary corporation , Gabriola Island, BC : New Society Publishers .
  • Neave , P , Kirwood , V and Dumanski , J. 1995 . Review and assessment of available indicators for evaluating sustainable land management , Ottawa, , Canada : Centre for Land and Biological Resources Research Agriculture & Agri-Food Canada .
  • Odum , HT. 1971 . Environment, power and society , New York : Wiley-Interscience .
  • OECD . 1994 . Measuring sustainable development: integrated economic, environmental and social frameworks , Paris : OECD .
  • Shines , Oregon . 2003 . “ Is Oregon making progress? ” . In The 2003 benchmark performance report , Report to the Legislative Assembly, Oregon Progress Board, March 2003 .
  • Packard , N. 1988 . “ Adaptations toward the edge of chaos ” . In Technical report. Center for Complex Systems Research , 88 – 5 . University of Illinois. CCSR- .
  • Pearce , D , Hamilton , K and Atkinson , G. 1996 . Measuring sustainable development: progress of indicators . Environ Dev Econ. , 1 : 85 – 101 .
  • Pezzey , J. 1992 . “ Sustainable development concepts: an economic analysis ” . In World Bank Environment Paper No. 2 , Washington, DC : World Bank .
  • Pinter , L , Hardi , P and Bartelmus , P. 2005 . Indicators of sustainable development: proposals for a way forward , New York : United Nations Division for Sustainable Development .
  • Prigogine , I. 1989 . The philosophy of instability . Futures. , 21 ( 4 ) : 396 – 400 .
  • Prigogine , I and Glansdorff , P. 1967 . Thermodynamic theory of structure, stability and fluctuations , New York : Wiley .
  • Quist , J. 2007 . Backcasting for a sustainable future: the impact after ten years , Delft : Eburon Academic Publishers .
  • Quist , J , Knot , M , Young , W , Green , K and Vergragt , P. 2001 . Strategies towards sustainable households using stakeholder workshops and scenarios . Int J Sustain Dev. , 4 ( 1 ) : 75 – 89 .
  • Quist , J and Vergragt , PJ. 2004 . Backcasting for industrial transformations and system innovations toward sustainability: relevance for governance? In: Jacob K, Binder M, Wieczorek A, editors. Governance for industrial transformation . Proceedings of the 2003 Berlin Conference on the Human Dimensions of Global Environmental Change. Berlin (Germany): Environmental Policy Research Centre. , : 409 – 437 .
  • Quist , J and Vergragt , P. 2006 . Past and future of backcasting: the shift to stakeholder participation and a proposal for a methodological framework . Futures. , 38 : 1027 – 1045 .
  • Robèrt , M. 2005 . Backcasting and econometrics for sustainable planning information technology and individual preferences of travel . J Cleaner Prod. , 13 : 841 – 851 .
  • Robèrt , KH , Daly , H , Hawken , P and Holmberg , J. 1997 . A compass for sustainable development . Int J Sustain Dev World Ecol. , 4 ( 1 ) : 79 – 92 .
  • Robinson , JB. 1982 . Energy backcasting: a proposed method of policy analysis . Energy Policy. , 10 : 337 – 344 .
  • Robinson , JB. 1988 . Unlearning and backcasting: rethinking some of the questions we ask about the future . Technol Forecast Soc Change. , 33 : 325 – 338 .
  • Robinson , JB. 1990 . Future under glass – a recipe for people who hate to predict . Futures. , 22 ( 8 ) : 820 – 842 .
  • Robinson , JB. 2003 . Future subjunctive: backcasting as social learning . Futures. , 35 : 839 – 856 .
  • Romm , J. 1993 . “ Sustainable forestry: an adaptive process ” . In Defining sustainable forestry , Edited by: Aplet , G , Johnson , N , Olson , J and Sample , A . 280 – 293 . Washington, DC : Island Press .
  • Schiller , A , Hunsaker , CT , Kane , MA , Wolfe , AK , Dale , VH , Suter , GW , Russell , CS , Pion , G , Jensen , MH and Konar , VC. 2001 . Communicating ecological indicators to decision makers and the public . Conserv Ecol. , 5 ( 1 ) : 19
  • Schmidheiny , S. 1992 . Changing course, Business Council for Sustainable Development (BCSD) , Cambridge, MA : MIT Press .
  • Sikor , T and Norgaard , RB. 1999 . “ Principles for sustainability: protection, investment, cooperation and innovation ” . In Sustainability in question , Edited by: Kohn , J , Gowdy , J , Hinterberger , F and Van Der Straaten , J . 49 – 67 . Cheltenham : Edward Elgar .
  • Sustainable Seattle . 1993 . Indicators of sustainable community , Seattle, WA : Sustainable Seattle .
  • Sustainable Seattle . 1998 . Indicators of a sustainable community , Washington : Sustainable Seattle Network and Civic Forum .
  • UK Audit Commission . 2005 . “ Local quality of life indicators – supporting local communities to become sustainable ” . In A guide to local monitoring to complement the indicators in the UK sustainable development strategy , London, , UK : Audit Commission .
  • United Nations. 2003. Integrated environmental and economic accounting 2003 [internet]. http://unstats.un.org/unsd/environment/seea2003.htm (http://unstats.un.org/unsd/environment/seea2003.htm) (Accessed: 12 June 2008 ).
  • [UNCSD] United Nations Commission on Sustainable Development . 1996 . Indicators of sustainable development framework and methodologies , New York : United Nations .
  • [UNDP] United Nations Development Programme . 1990 . Human development report 1990 , New York : United Nations Development Program .
  • Van den Bergh , J. 1996 . Ecological economics and sustainable development: theory, methods and applications , Cheltenham : Edward Elgar .
  • Van de Kerkhof , M. 2004 . Debating climate change: a study of stakeholder participation in an integrated assessment of long-term climate policy in the Netherlands [PhD thesis]. [Amsterdam]: Free University , Utrecht : Lemma Publishers .
  • Varela , F , Maturana , H and Uribe , R . 1974 . Autopoiesis: the organization of living systems, its characterization and a model . Biosystems. , : 187 – 196 .
  • Wackernägel , M and Rees , W. 1996 . Our ecological footprint: reducing human impact on the earth , Gabriola Island, BC : New Society Publishers .
  • Wegener , M. 1996 . “ Reduction of CO2 emissions of transport by re-organisation of urban activities ” . In Transport, land-use and the environment , Edited by: Hayashi , IY and Roy , J . 103 – 124 . Dordrecht : Kluwer Academic Publishers .
  • [WCED] World Commission on Environment and Development . 1987 . Our common future , Oxford : Oxford University Press .

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.