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Applied Economics Letters Volume 26, 2019 - Issue 11
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Articles

Do jet fuel price movements help forecast airline fares and the demand for air travel?

Bebonchu AtemsEconomics and Financial Studies, School of Business, Clarkson University, Potsdam, NY, USACorrespondence[email protected]
,
Lance BachmeierDepartment of Economics, Kansas State University, Manhattan, KS, USA
&
Corey WilliamsEconomics and Financial Studies, School of Business, Clarkson University, Potsdam, NY, USA
Pages 877-882 | Published online: 12 Sep 2018

References

  • Alquist, R., L. Kilian, and R. Vigfusson. 2013. “Forecasting the Price of Oil.” In Handbook of Economic Forecasting, 2, edited by G. Elliott, and A. Timmermann, 427–507. Amsterdam: North-Holland.
  • Baumeister, C., and L. Kilian. 2017. “Lower Oil Prices and The U.s. Economy: Is This Time Different?.” In Brookings Papers on Economic Activity. Fall 2016: 287–336.
  • Baumeister, L., L. Kilianutz, and T. Lee. 2017. “Inside The Crystal Ball: New Approaches to Predicting The Gasoline Price at The Pump.” Journal of Applied Econometrics 32 (2): 275–295. doi: 10.1002/jae.2510.
  • Kilian, L. 2009. “Not All Oil Price Shocks are Alike: Disentangling Demand and Supply Shocks in the Crude Oil Market.” American Economic Review 99: 1053–1069. doi:10.1257/aer.99.3.1053.
  • Kilian, L., and Lütkepohl. 2017. Structural Vector Autoregressive Analysis. Cambridge University Press. http://www-personal.umich.edu/lkilian/book.html
  • Kilian, L., and R. Vigfusson. 2013. “Do Oil Prices Help Forecast U.S. Real GDP? the Role of Nonlinearities and Asymmetries.” Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 31: 78–93. doi:10.1080/07350015.2012.740436.
  • Koopmans, C., and R. Lieshout. 2016. “Airline Cost Changes: To What Extent Are They Passed Through To The Passenger.” Journal of Air Transport Management 53: 1–11. doi:10.1016/j.jairtraman.2015.12.013.
  • Lutz., K., and X. Zhou. 2017. Modeling Fluctuations in the Global Demand for Commodities. University of Michigan. Manuscript. http://www.personal.umich.edu/lkilian/kz1_082517.pdf
  • Stalnaker, T., K. Usman, and A. Taylor. 2016. Airline Economic Analysis, 1–68. New York, NY: Oliver Wyman.

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