References
- Clements, M. P. 1997. “Evaluating the Rationality of Fixed-event Forecasts.” Journal of Forecasting 16 (4): 225–239. doi:10.1002/(SICI)1099-131X(199707)16:4<225::AID-FOR656>3.0.CO;2-L.
- Kashin, K., G. King, and S. Soneji. 2015. “Systematic Bias and Nontransparency in US Social Security Administration Forecasts.” Journal of Economic Perspectives 29 (2): 239–258. doi:10.1257/jep.29.2.239.
- Lahiri, K., and X. Sheng. 2007. “Evolution of Forecast Disagreement in a Bayesian Learning Model.” Journal of Econometrics 144 (2008): 325–340. doi:10.1016/j.jeconom.2008.02.002.
- Nordhaus, W. D. 1987. “Forecasting Efficiency: Concepts and Applications.” The Review of Economics and Statistics 69 (4): 667–674. doi:10.2307/1935962.
- Social Security and Medicare Board of Trustees. 2021. Status of the Social Security and Medicare Programs: A summary of the 2021 Annual Reports. Washington, DC.