247
Views
21
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Articles

Updating beliefs in light of uncertain evidence: Descriptive assessment of Jeffrey's rule

&
Pages 288-307 | Received 30 Jun 2010, Published online: 13 Oct 2010

References

  • Adams , E. W. 1991 . On the meaning of conditionals . Philosophical Topics , XV : 5 – 21 .
  • Chan , H. and Darwiche , A. 2005 . On the revision of probabilistic beliefs using uncertain evidence . Artificial Intelligence , 163 : 67 – 90 .
  • Dawes , R. , Mirels , H. L. , Gold , E. and Donahue , E. 1993 . Equating inverse probabilities in implicit personality judgements . Psychological Science , 4 : 396 – 400 .
  • Döring , F. 1999 . Why Bayesian psychology is incomplete . Philosophy of Science , 66 : 379 – 389 .
  • Evans , J. S. B. T. , Handley , S. J. , Neilens , H. and Over , D. E. 2007 . Thinking about conditionals: A study of individual differences . Memory and Cognition , 35 : 1759 – 1771 .
  • Gärdenfors , P. 1988 . Knowledge in flux: Modeling the dynamics of epistemic states , Cambridge, MA : MIT Press .
  • Hacking , I. 2001 . An introduction to probability and inductive logic , Cambridge, , UK : Cambridge University Press .
  • Hahn , U. and Oaksford , M. 2007 . The rationality of informal argumentation: A Bayesian approach to reasoning fallacies . Psychological Review , 114 : 704 – 732 .
  • Harman , G. 1999 . Reasoning, meaning and mind , Oxford, , UK : Oxford University Press .
  • Jeffrey , R. C. 1983 . The logic of decision , 2nd ed. , Chicago, IL : The University of Chicago Press .
  • Jeffrey , R. C. 2004 . Subjective probability: The real thing , Cambridge, , UK : Cambridge University Press .
  • Oaksford , M. and Chater , N. 2007 . Bayesian rationality: The probabilistic approach to human reasoning , Oxford, , UK : Oxford University Press .
  • Oberauer , K. and Wilhelm , O. 2003 . The meaning(s) of conditionals: Conditional probabilities, mental models and personal utilities . Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory and Cognition , 29 : 688 – 693 .
  • Osherson , D. 2002 . Order dependence and Jeffrey conditionalisation Available via http://www.princeton.edu/osherson/papers/jeff3.pdf
  • Over , D. and Hadjichristidis , C. 2009 . Uncertain premises and Jeffrey's rule . Behavioral and Brain Sciences , 32 : 97 – 98 .
  • Over , D. , Hadjichristidis , C. , Evans , J. S. B. T. , Handley , S. J. and Sloman , S. A. 2007 . The probability of causal conditionals . Cognitive Psychology , 54 : 62 – 97 .
  • Pearl , J. 1988 . Probabilistic reasoning in intelligent systems , San Mateo, CA : Morgan Kaufmann .
  • Sloman , S. A. and Lagnado , D. 2004 . “ Causal invariance in reasoning and learning ” . In The psychology of learning and motivation , Edited by: Ross , B . 287 – 325 . San Diego, CA : Academic Press .
  • Stanovich , K. 2010 . Decision making and rationality in the modern world , Oxford, , UK : Oxford University Press .
  • Wagner , C. G. 2002 . Probability kinematics and commutativity . Philosophy of Science , 69 : 266 – 278 .
  • Williams , P. M. 1980 . Bayesian conditionalisation and the principle of minimum information . British Journal for the Philosophy of Science , 31 : 131 – 144 .
  • Zhao , J. , Shah , A. and Osherson , D. 2009 . On the provenance of judgements of conditional probability . Cognition , 113 : 26 – 36 .

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.