272
Views
0
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Articles

A Crowded Room? The Destabilising Effect of Oversized Coalitions on Cabinet Survival in Southern Europe

ORCID Icon

References

  • Angelucci, D., & De Sio, L. (2021). Issue Characterization of Electoral Change (And How Recent Elections in Western Europe Were Won on Economic Issues. Italian Journal of Electoral Studies, 84(1), 45–67. https://doi.org/10.36253/qoe-10836
  • Beck, N., & Katz, J. N. (1995). What to Do (and not to Do) with Time-Series Cross-Section Data. The American Political Science Review, 89(3), 634–647. https://doi.org/10.2307/2082979
  • Bergman, T., Bäck, H., & Hellström, J. (Eds.). (2021). Coalition Governance in Western Europe. Oxford University Press.
  • Bosco, A., & Verney, S. (2012). Electoral Epidemic: The Political Cost of Economic Crisis in Southern Europe, 2010-11. South European Society & Politics, 17(2), 129–154. https://doi.org/10.1080/13608746.2012.747272
  • Box-Steffensmeier, J. M., & Jones, B. S. (2004). Event History Modeling: A Guide for Social Scientists. Cambridge University Press.
  • Browne, E. C., Frendreis, J. P., & Gleiber, D. W. (1984). An “Events” Approach to the Problem of Cabinet Stability. Comparative political studies, 17(2), 167–197. https://doi.org/10.1177/0010414084017002003
  • Browne, E. C., Frendreis, J. P., & Gleiber, D. W. (1986). The Process of Cabinet Dissolution: An Exponential Model of Duration and Stability in Western Democracies. American Journal of Political Science, 30(1), 628–650. https://doi.org/10.2307/2111093
  • Casal Bértoa, F. (2021) Database on Who Governs in Europe and Beyond, PSGo, available at: www.whogoverns.eu.
  • Chiaramonte, A. (2023). Italy at the polls. Four lessons to learn from the 2022 general election. Contemporary Italian Politics, 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1080/23248823.2022.2163453
  • Chiaramonte, A., & Emanuele, V. (2017). Party System Volatility, Regeneration and De-Institutionalization in Western Europe (1945–2015). Party Politics, 23(4), 376–388. https://doi.org/10.1177/1354068815601330
  • Chiaramonte, A., Emanuele, V., Maggini, N., & Paparo, A. (2023). Radical-Right Surge in a Deinstitutionalised Party System: The 2022 Italian General Election. South European Society & Politics. https://doi.org/10.1080/13608746.2022.2160088
  • Chiru, M. (2015). Early Marriages Last Longer: Pre-electoral Coalitions and Government Survival in Europe. Government and Opposition, 50(2), 165–188. https://doi.org/10.1017/gov.2014.8
  • Christensen, E. (1987). Multivariate Survival Analysis using Cox’s Regression Model. Hepatology, 7(6), 1346–1358. https://doi.org/10.1002/hep.1840070628
  • Cioffi-Revilla, C. (1984). The Political Reliability of Italian Governments: An Exponential Survival Model. The American Political Science Review, 78(2), 318–337. https://doi.org/10.2307/1963367
  • Cox, D. R. (1972). Regression Models and Life Tables (with Discussion). Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, 34(2), 187–220. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2517-6161.1972.tb00899.x
  • Cruz, M. (1994). O Presidente da República na Evolução e Genese do Sistema do Governo Português. Análise Social, 29(1–2), 237–265.
  • Curini, L., & Pinto, L. (2017). L’Arte di Fare (e Disfare) i Governi. Da De Gasperi a Renzi, 70 Anni di Politica Italiana. Egea.
  • Dalton, R. J. (2008). The Quantity and Quality of Party Systems. Party System polarization, its measurement, and its consequence. Comparative political studies, 41(7), 899–920. https://doi.org/10.1177/0010414008315860
  • Damgaard, E. (2008). Cabinet Termination. In K. Strøm, W. C. Müller, & T. Bergman (Eds.), Cabinets and Coalition Bargaining (pp. 301–326). Oxford University Press.
  • Diamond, L., & Morlino, L. (2004). The quality of democracy: An overview. Journal of Democracy, 15(4), 20–31. https://doi.org/10.1353/jod.2004.0060
  • Dodd, L. C. (1976). Coalitions in Parliamentary Government. Princeton University Press.
  • Dolvik, J. E., & Martin, A., Eds. (2015). European Social Models from Crisis to Crisis. In Employment and Inequality in the Era of Monetary Integration Oxford University Press 20–48 .
  • Döring, H., & Manow, P. (2021) Parliaments and Governments Database, available at: www.parlgov.org
  • Dumont, P., De Winter, L., & Andeweg, R. B. (2011). From Coalition Theory to Coalition Puzzles. Routledge.
  • Emanuele, V., Improta, M., Marino, B., & Verzichelli, L. (2022). Going technocratic? Diluting governing responsibility in electorally turbulent times. West European Politics, 1–29. https://doi.org/10.1080/01402382.2022.2095494
  • Field, B. N., & Martin, S. (2022). Minority Governments in Comparative Perspective. Oxford University Press.
  • Fox, J., & Laughton, C. D. (2002). Cox Proportional-Hazards Regression for Survival Data Fox, J. In An R and S-PLUS Companion to Applied Regression. Sage Publications 214–230 .
  • Freire, A., Lisi, M., Andreadis, I., & Leite Viegas, J. M. (2014). Political Representation in Bailed-Out Southern Europe: Greece and Portugal Compared. South European Society & Politics, 19(4), 413–433. https://doi.org/10.1080/13608746.2014.984381
  • Golder, S. (2010). Bargaining delays in the government formation process. Comparative political studies, 43(1), 3–32. https://doi.org/10.1177/0010414009341714
  • Granadino, A., Karamouzi, E., & Kullaa, R. (2021). Rethinking Southern Europe: Society, Networks and Politics. Contemporary European History, 30(3), 439–448. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0960777320000557
  • Gunther, R., Nikiforos Diamandouros, P., & Puhle, H. J. (1995). The Politics of Democratic Consolidation: Southern Europe in Comparative Perspective. Johns Hopkins University Press.
  • Hibbs, D. A. (1979). The Mass Public and Macroeconomic Performance: The Dynamics of Public Opinion Toward Unemployment and Inflation. American Journal of Political Science, 23(4), 705–731. https://doi.org/10.2307/2110803
  • Huber, J. D. (1998). How does Cabinet Instability affect Political Performance? Portfolio Volatility and Health Care Cost Containment in Parliamentary Democracies. The American Political Science Review, 92(3), 577–591. https://doi.org/10.2307/2585482
  • Huntington, S. P. (1991). The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century. University of Oklahoma Press.
  • Improta, M. (2022). Unpacking government instability. Cabinet duration, innovation, and termination events in Italy between 1948 and 2021. Quaderni di scienza politica, 29(2), 151–180.
  • King, G., Alt, J. E., Burns, N. E., & Laver, M. (1990). A Unified Model of Cabinet Dissolution in Parliamentary Democracies. American Journal of Political Science, 34(1), 846–871. https://doi.org/10.2307/2111401
  • Krauss, S. (2018). Stability through Control? The Influence of Coalition Agreements on the Stability of Coalition Cabinets. West European Politics, 41(6), 1282–1304. https://doi.org/10.1080/01402382.2018.1453596
  • Krauss, S., & Thürk, M. (2021). Stability of Minority Governments and the Role of Support Agreements. West European Politics, 45(4), 1–23. https://doi.org/10.1080/01402382.2021.1890455
  • Laakso, M., & Taagepera, R. (1979). Effective Number of Parties: A Measure with Application to West Europe. Comparative political studies, 12(1), 3–27. https://doi.org/10.1177/001041407901200101
  • Laver, M. (1974). Dynamic Factors in Government Coalition Formation. European Journal of Political Research, 2(3), 259–270. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-6765.1974.tb00753.x
  • Laver, M. (2003). Government Termination. Annual Review of Political Science, 6(1), 23–40. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.polisci.6.121901.085530
  • Lewis-Beck, M. S., & Paldam, M. (2000). Economic voting: An introduction. Electoral studies, 19(2–3), 113–121. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0261-3794(99)00042-6
  • Lijphart, A. (1981). Consociational Theory: Problems and Prospects. A Reply. Comparative Politics, 13(3), 355–360. https://doi.org/10.2307/421902
  • Lijphart, A. (1984). Measures of Cabinet Durability: A Conceptual and Empirical Evaluation. Comparative political studies, 17(2), 265–279. https://doi.org/10.1177/0010414084017002006
  • Lijphart, A. (1999). Patterns of Democracy. Yale University Press.
  • Linz, J. (1978). The Breakdown of Democratic Regimes: Crisis, Breakdown, and Re-equilibration. Johns Hopkins University Press.
  • Lisi, M., Sanches, E. R., & dos Santos Maia, J. (2020). Party System Renewal or Business as Usual? Continuity and Change in Post-Bailout Portugal. South European Society & Politics, 25(2), 181–205. https://doi.org/10.1080/13608746.2020.1862498
  • Lowell, A. L. (1896). Government and Politics of Continental Europe. Houghton Mifflin.
  • Lupia, A., & Strøm, K. (1995). Coalition Termination and the Strategic Timing of Parliamentary Elections. The American Political Science Review, 89(3), 648–665. https://doi.org/10.2307/2082980
  • Mair, P. (2013). Ruling the void: The hollowing of Western democracy. Verso.
  • Malefakis, E. (1995). The Political and Socioeconomic Contours of Southern European History. In G. Diamandouros & H. J. Puhle (Eds.), The Politics of Democratic Consolidation: Southern Europe in Comparative Perspective (pp. 33–76). J Hopkins University Press.
  • Marangoni, F. (2013). Provare a governare, cercando di sopravvivere. Esecutivi e attività legislativa nella seconda repubblica. Pisa University Press.
  • Martínez-Cantó, J., & Bergmann, H. (2020). Government Termination in Multilevel Settings. How Party Congruence Affects the Survival of Sub-National Governments in Germany and Spain. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties, 30(3), 379–399. https://doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2019.1666272
  • Mazurek, J. (2016). The Evaluation of Recession Magnitudes in EU Countries during the Great Recession, 2008-2010. Review of Economic Perspectives, 16(3), 231–244. https://doi.org/10.1515/revecp-2016-0014
  • Morlino, L., & Sottilotta, C. E. (2019). Southern Europe and the Eurozone Crisis Negotiations: Preference Formation and Contested Issues. South European Society & Politics, 24(1), 1–28. https://doi.org/10.1080/13608746.2019.1603697
  • Müller, W. C., Bergman, T., & Strøm, K. (2008). Coalition Theory and Cabinet Governance: An Introduction. In K. Strøm, W. C. Müller, & T. Bergman (Eds.), Cabinets and Coalition Bargaining (pp. 1–50). Oxford University Press.
  • Muro, D., & Vidal, G. (2017). Political Mistrust in Southern Europe since the Great Recession. Mediterranean Politics, 22(2), 197–217. https://doi.org/10.1080/13629395.2016.1168962
  • Nordhaus, W. D. (1975). The Political Business Cycle. The Review of Economic Studies, 42(2), 169–190. https://doi.org/10.2307/2296528
  • Payne, S. (1986). The Concept of Southern Europe and Political Development. Mediterranean Historical Review, 1(1), 100–116. https://doi.org/10.1080/09518968608569504
  • Pinto, L. (2018). Like Leaves in the Wind? Economic Conditions and Government Survival in Italy (1946-2015). South European Society & Politics, 23(3), 341–364. https://doi.org/10.1080/13608746.2017.1398626
  • Plescia, C., & Kritzinger, S. (2022). When Marriage Gets Hard: Intra-Coalition Conflict and Electoral Accountability. Comparative political studies, 55(1), 32–59. https://doi.org/10.1177/00104140211024307
  • Reuters. (2011) ‘New Italian government seen within days’. Available at: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-italy-idUSTRE7A72NG20111110. Last accessed: August 22, 2022.
  • Riker, W. H. (1962). The Theory of Political Coalitions. Yale University Press.
  • Robertson, J. D. (1983). Inflation, Unemployment, and Government Collapse: A Poisson Application. Comparative political studies, 15(4), 425–444. https://doi.org/10.1177/0010414083015004003
  • Rubabshi-Shitrit, A., & Hasson, S. (2022). The Effect of the Constructive Vote of No-Confidence on Government Termination and Government Stability. West European Politics, 45(3), 1–15. https://doi.org/10.1080/01402382.2021.1914421
  • Saalfeld, T. (2008). Institutions, Chance, and Choices: The Dynamics of Cabinet Survival. In K. Strøm, W. C. Müller, & T. Bergman (Eds.), Cabinets and Coalition Bargaining (pp. 327–368). Oxford University Press.
  • Salmon, K. (2017). A Decade of Lost Growth: Economic Policy in Spain through the Great Recession. South European Society & Politics, 22(2), 239–260. https://doi.org/10.1080/13608746.2017.1301065
  • Sapello, G. (1995). Southern Europe since 1945: Tradition and Modernity in Portugal. Greece and Turkey, Longman.
  • Sartori, G. (1976). Parties and Party Systems. A Framework for Analysis. Cambridge University Press.
  • Sartori, G. (1997). Comparative constitutional engineering: An inquiry into structures, incentives, and outcomes. New York University Press.
  • Schoenfeld, D. (1982). Partial Residuals for the Proportional Hazards Regression Model. Biometrika, 69(1), 239–241. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/69.1.239
  • Shomer, Y., Rasch, B. E., & Akirav, O. (2022). Termination of parliamentary governments: Revised definitions and implications. West European Politics, 45(3), 550–575. https://doi.org/10.1080/01402382.2021.1997498
  • Simón, P. (2020). Two-bloc Logic, Polarisation and Coalition Government: The November 2019 General Election in Spain. South European Society & Politics, 25(3–4), 535–565. https://doi.org/10.1080/13608746.2020.1857085
  • Skoulariki, A. (2020). Political Polarisation in Greece: The Prespa Agreement, Left/Right Antagonism and the Nationalism/Populism Nexus. South European Society & Politics, 25(3–4), 413–441. https://doi.org/10.1080/13608746.2020.1932020
  • Somer-Topcu, Z., & Williams, L. K. (2008). Survival of the Fittest? Cabinet Duration in Postcommunist Europe. Comparative Politics, 40(3), 313–329. https://doi.org/10.5129/001041508X12911362383075
  • Sonntag, L. (2015) Politica, available at: http://www.kolumbus.fi/taglarsson/
  • Strøm, K. (1984). Minority Governments in Parliamentary Democracies: The Rationality of Nonwinning Cabinet Solutions. Comparative political studies, 17(2), 199–227. https://doi.org/10.1177/0010414084017002004
  • Strøm, K. (1990). Minority Government and Majority Rule. Cambridge University Press.
  • Strøm, K., Browne, E. C., Frendreis, J. P., & Gleiber, D. W. (1988). Contending Models of Cabinet Stability. The American Political Science Review, 82(3), 923–941. https://doi.org/10.2307/1962499
  • Strøm, K., Müller, W. C., & Bergman, T. (Eds.). (2008). Cabinets and Coalition Bargaining: The Democratic Life Cycle in Western Europe. Oxford University Press.
  • Strøm, K., & Swindle, S. (2002). Strategic parliamentary dissolution. The American Political Science Review, 96(3), 575–591. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055402000345
  • Taylor, M., & Herman, V. M. (1971). Party Systems and Government Stability. The American Political Science Review, 65(1), 28–37. https://doi.org/10.2307/1955041
  • Verzichelli, L., & Cotta, M. (2018). Shades of Technocracy: The Variable Use of Non-partisan Ministers in Italy. In A. C. Pinto & M. Cotta (Eds.), Technocratic Ministers and Political Leadership in European Democracies (pp. 77–110). Tavares de Almeida, Palgrave.
  • Warwick, P. (1979). The Durability of Coalition Governments in Parliamentary Democracies. Comparative political studies, 11(4), 465–498. https://doi.org/10.1177/001041407901100402
  • Warwick, P. (1992a). Economic Trends and Government Survival in West European Parliamentary Democracies. The American Political Science Review, 86(4), 875–887. https://doi.org/10.2307/1964341
  • Warwick, P. (1992b). Ideological Diversity and Government Survival in Western European Parliamentary Democracies. Comparative political studies, 25(3), 332–361. https://doi.org/10.1177/0010414092025003003
  • Warwick, P. (1994). Government Survival in Parliamentary Democracies. Cambridge University Press.
  • Zorn, C. J. (2000). Modeling Duration Dependence. Political Analysis, 8(4), 367–380. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordjournals.pan.a029821

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.