The economic impact of the lifting of sanctions on tourism in Iran: a computable general equilibrium analysis

References

• Adams, P. D., & Parmenter, B. R. (1992). The medium term significance of international tourism for the state economies: Centre of policy studies. Melbourne: Monash University.
   Google Scholar
• Afesorgbor, S. K., & Mahadevan, R. (2016). The impact of economic sanctions on income inequality of target states. World Development, 83, 1–11. doi: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2016.03.015
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Alipour, H., & Heydari, R. (2005). Tourism revival and planning in Islamic Republic of Iran: Challenges and prospects. Anatolia, 16(1), 39–61. doi: 10.1080/13032917.2005.9687164
   Google Scholar
• Allen, S. H., & Lektzian, D. J. (2013). Economic sanctions: A blunt instrument? Journal of Peace Research, 50(1), 121–135. doi: 10.1177/0022343312456224
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• AlShehabi, O. H. (2013). Modelling energy and labour linkages: A CGE approach with an application to Iran. Economic Modelling, 35, 88–98. doi: 10.1016/j.econmod.2013.06.047
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Andreasson, G. (2008). Evaluating the effects of economic sanctions against Burma. Retrieved February 4, 2016, from http://lup.lub.lu.se/luur/download?func=downloadFile&recordOId=1335119&fileOId=1646821
   Google Scholar
• Berck, P., Golan, E., & Smith, B. (1996). Dynamic revenue analysis for California. California Department of Finance. Retrieved March 24, 2008, from http://www.dof.ca.gov/HTML/FS_DATA/DYNA-REV/DYNREV.HTM
   Google Scholar
• Berrittella, M., Bigano, A., Roson, R., & Tol, R. S. J. (2006). A general equilibrium analysis of climate change impacts on tourism. Tourism Management, 27(5), 913–924. doi: 10.1016/j.tourman.2005.05.002
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Blake, A., Arbache, J. S., Sinclair, M. T., & Teles, V. (2008). Tourism and poverty relief. Annals of Tourism Research, 35(1), 107–126. doi: 10.1016/j.annals.2007.06.013
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Blake, A., & Sinclair, M. T. (2003). Tourism crisis management US response to September 11. Annals of Tourism Research, 30(4), 813–832. doi: 10.1016/S0160-7383(03)00056-2
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Blanke, J., & Chiesa, T. (2013). The travel & tourism competitiveness report 2013: Reducing barriers to economic growth and job creation. Retrieved April 14, 2016, from http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_TT_Competitiveness_Report_2013.pdf
   Google Scholar
• Burfisher, M. E. (2011). Introduction to computable general equilibrium models. New York: Cambridge University Press.
   Google Scholar
• Butler, R., O'Gorman, K. D., & Prentice, R. (2012). Destination appraisal for European cultural tourism to Iran. International Journal of Tourism Research, 14(4), 323–338. doi: 10.1002/jtr.862
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Dowell, L. M. (2011). The potential impact of United States tourists on the Cuban market if travel sanctions are lifted; as well as the identification of their push-pull travel motivational factors. Retrieved April 14, 2016, from http://scholarworks.umass.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1030&context=gradconf_hospitality
   Google Scholar
• Dwyer, L., Forsyth, P., & Dwyer, W. (2009). Tourism and economic development three tools of analysis. Tourism Recreation Research, 34(3), 307–318. doi: 10.1080/02508281.2009.11081605
   Google Scholar
• Dwyer, L., Forsyth, P., Madden, J., & Spurr, R. (2000). Economic impacts of inbound tourism under different assumptions regarding the macroeconomy. Current Issues in Tourism, 3(4), 325–363. doi: 10.1080/13683500008667877
   Google Scholar
• Dwyer, L., Forsyth, P., & Spurr, R. (2004). Evaluating tourism’s economic effects: New and old approaches. Tourism Management, 25(3), 307–317. doi: 10.1016/S0261-5177(03)00131-6
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Dwyer, L. (2015). Computable general equilibrium modelling: An important tool for tourism policy analysis. Tourism and Hospitality Management, 21(2), 111–126. doi: 10.20867/thm.21.2.1
   Google Scholar
• Elliott, K. A., Hufbauer, G. C., & Oegg, B. (2008). Sanctions. The Concise Encyclopedia of Economics. Retrieved April 14, 2016, from http://www.econlib.org/library/Enc/Sanctions.html
   Google Scholar
• Esmaeili, A., Karami, A., & Najafi, B. (2013). Welfare effects of alternative targeted food subsidy programs in Iran. Food Security, 5(3), 451–456. doi: 10.1007/s12571-013-0261-0
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Farahani, B. M., & Shabani, M. (2013). The impact of sanctions on Iran’s tourism. The Open Access Journal of Resistive Economics (OAJRE), 33, 1–13. Retrieved May 5, 2015, from http://idochp2.irandoc.ac.ir/FulltextManager/fulltext15/se/151/151117.pdf
   Google Scholar
• Forsyth, P., Dwyer, L., & Spurr, R. (2014). Is Australian tourism suffering Dutch disease? Annals of Tourism Research, 46(0), 1–15. doi: 10.1016/j.annals.2013.12.003
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Forsyth, P., Dwyer, L., Spurr, R., & Pham, T. (2014). The impacts of Australia's departure tax: Tourism versus the economy? Tourism Management, 40, 126–136. doi: 10.1016/j.tourman.2013.05.011
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Galtung, J. (1967). On the effects of international economic sanctions: With examples from the case of rhodesia. World Politics, 19(3), 378–416. doi: 10.2307/2009785
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Garshasbi, A., & Yusefi, M. (2016). Assessment of international sanctions on Iranian macroeconomic variables. Journal of Research in Economic Modeling, 7(25), 129–182. doi: 10.18869/acadpub.jemr.7.25.129
   Google Scholar
• Ghaderi, Z., & Henderson, J. C. (2012). Sustainable rural tourism in Iran: A perspective from hawraman village. Tourism Management Perspectives, 2-3, 47–54. doi: 10.1016/j.tmp.2012.03.001
   Google Scholar
• Habibi, N. (2008). The Iranian economy in the shadow of economic sanctions. Middle East Brief. Retrieved February 16, 2016, from http://www.brandeis.edu/crown/publications/meb/MEB31.pdf
   Google Scholar
• Habibi, N. (2012). Turkey and Iran: Growing economic relations despite western sanctions. Middle East Brief, 62.
   Google Scholar
• Hegel, G. W. F. (2004). The philosophy of history. Mineola: Dover Publications.
   Google Scholar
• Hufbauer, G. C., Schott, J. J., Elliott, K. A., & Oeggm, B. (2008). Economic sanctions reconsidered (3rd ed.). Washington, DC: The Peterson Institute for International Economics.
   Google Scholar
• Inchausti-Sintes, F. (2015). Tourism: Economic growth, employment and Dutch disease. Annals of Tourism Research, 54, 172–189. doi: 10.1016/j.annals.2015.07.007
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Karami, A., Esmaeili, A., & Najafi, B. (2012). Assessing effects of alternative food subsidy reform in Iran. Journal of Policy Modeling, 34(5), 788–799. doi: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2011.08.002
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Khazeni-Rad, D. (2016). Iran tourism has potential but visitors still underwhelmed. Retrieved May 5, 2016, from http://www.intellinews.com/iran-tourism-has-potential-but-visitors-still-underwhelmed-95727/#.VyCXE4UC3qw.twitter
   Google Scholar
• Khodadadi, M. (2016). A new Dawn? The Iran nuclear deal and the future of the Iranian tourism industry. Tourism Management Perspectives, 18, 6–9. doi: 10.1016/j.tmp.2015.12.019
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Khodadadi, M., & O’Donnell, H. (2017). UK press and tourist discourses of Iran: A study in multiple realities. Leisure Studies, 36(1), 53–64. doi: 10.1080/02614367.2015.1085591
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Kim, S. S., Timothy, D. J., & Han, H.-C. (2007). Tourism and political ideologies: A case of tourism in North Korea. Tourism Management, 28(4), 1031–1043. doi: 10.1016/j.tourman.2006.08.005
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Klijs, J., Heijman, W., Korteweg Maris, D. K., & Byron, J. (2012). Criteria for comparing economic impact models of tourism. Tourism Economics, 18(6), 1175–1202. doi: 10.5367/te.2012.0172
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Li, S., & Jago, L. (2013). Evaluating economic impacts of major sports events – a meta analysis of the key trends. Current Issues in Tourism, 16(6), 591–611. doi: 10.1080/13683500.2012.736482
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Li, S., & Song, H. (2013). Economic impacts of visa restrictions on tourism: A case of two events in China. Annals of Tourism Research, 43(0), 251–271. doi: 10.1016/j.annals.2013.07.007
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Madden, J. (2002). The economic consequences of the Sydney Olympics: The CREA/Arthur Andersen Study. Current Issues in Tourism, 5(1), 7–21. doi: 10.1080/13683500208667904
   Google Scholar
• Manzoor, D., Shahmoradi, A., & Haqiqi, I. (2012). An analysis of energy price reform: A CGE approach. OPEC Energy Review, 36(1), 35–54. doi: 10.1111/j.1753-0237.2011.00200.x
   Google Scholar
• Meng, S. (2014). The role of inbound tourism in the Singaporean economy: A computable general equilibrium (CGE) assessment. Journal of Travel & Tourism Marketing, 31(8), 1071–1089. doi: 10.1080/10548408.2014.895693
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Morakabati, Y. (2011). Deterrents to tourism development in Iran. International Journal of Tourism Research, 13(2), 103–123.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Morgan, T. C., Bapat, N., & Krustev, V. (2009). The threat and imposition of economic sanctions, 1971–2000*. Conflict Management and Peace Science, 26(1), 92–110. doi: 10.1177/0738894208097668
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Murdie, A., & Peksen, D. (2013). The impact of human rights INGO activities on economic sanctions. The Review of International Organizations, 8(1), 33–53. doi: 10.1007/s11558-012-9146-9
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Neiman, B., & Swagel, P. (2009). The impact of post-9/11 visa policies on travel to the United States. Journal of International Economics, 78(1), 86–99. doi: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2009.01.014
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Nyun, T. M. (2008). Feeling good or doing good: Inefficacy of the US unilateral sanctions against the military government of Burma/Myanmar. Washington University Global Studies Literature Review, 7(3), 455–518.
   Google Scholar
• Oechslin, M. (2014). Targeting autocrats: Economic sanctions and regime change. European Journal of Political Economy, 36, 24–40. doi: 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2014.07.003
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Orakhelashvili, A. (2015). The impact of unilateral EU economic sanctions on the UN collective security framework: The cases of Iran and Syria. In A. Z. Marossi & M. R. Bassett (Eds.), Economic sanctions under international Law (pp. 3–21). The Hague: Springer.
   Google Scholar
• Pambudi, D., McCaughey, N., & Smyth, R. (2009). Computable general equilibrium estimates of the impact of the Bali bombing on the Indonesian economy. Tourism Management, 30, 232–239. doi: 10.1016/j.tourman.2008.06.007
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Portela, C. (2012). The EU’s Sanctions against Syria: Conflict Management by Other Means. Security Policy Brief No. 38.
   Google Scholar
• Pratt, S., & Blake, A. (2009). The economic impact of Hawaii’s cruise industry. Tourism Analysis, 14(3), 337–351. doi: 10.3727/108354209789704977
   Google Scholar
• Pratt, S., & Liu, A. (2016). Does tourism really lead to Peace? A global view. International Journal of Tourism Research, 18(1), 82–90. doi: 10.1002/jtr.2035
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Pratt, S. (2014). A general equilibrium analysis of the economic impact of a devaluation on tourism: The case of Fiji. Tourism Economics, 20(2), 389–405. doi: 10.5367/te.2013.0274
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Pratt, S. (2015). The economic impact of tourism in SIDS. Annals of Tourism Research, 52(0), 148–160. doi: 10.1016/j.annals.2015.03.005
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Ranjbarian, B., Forghani, M. H., & Ghafari, M. (2013). Personality traits and the use of word of mouth communication as a source of travel information among inbound tourists who visited Isfahan. International Journal of Academic Research in Economics and Management Sciences, 2(3), 20–26.
   Google Scholar
• Reza Jalilvand, M., Samiei, N., Dini, B., & Yaghoubi Manzari, P. (2012). Examining the structural relationships of electronic word of mouth, destination image, tourist attitude toward destination and travel intention: An integrated approach. Journal of Destination Marketing & Management, 1(1–2), 134–143. doi: 10.1016/j.jdmm.2012.10.001
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Richter, L. (1989). The politics of tourism in Asia. Honolulu: University of Hawaii Press.
   Google Scholar
• Sadeghi-Boroujerdi, E. (2012). Sanctioning Iran: Implications and Consequences. Retrieved April 15, 2016, from http://www.oxfordresearchgroup.org.uk/publications/briefing_papers_and_reports/sanctioning_iran_implications_and_consequences
   Google Scholar
• Sajadifar, S. H., Khiabani, N., & Arakelyan, A. (2012). A computable general equilibrium model for evaluating the effects of value-added tax reform in Iran. World Applied Sciences Journal, 18(7), 918–924.
   Google Scholar
• Silva, C. (2011). Tourism industry wants to ease visa restrictions. USA Today. Retrieved October 17, 2016, from http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/USCP/PNI/MONEY/2011-12-29-BCUSTourist-Visas3rd-LdWritethruART_ST_U.htm
   Google Scholar
• Song, H., Dwyer, L., Li, G., & Cao, Z. (2012). Tourism economics research: A review and assessment. Annals of Tourism Research, 39(3), 1653–1682. doi: 10.1016/j.annals.2012.05.023
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Song, H., Gartner, W. C., & Tasci, A. D. A. (2012). Visa restrictions and their adverse economic and marketing implications – evidence from China. Tourism Management, 33(2), 397–412. doi: 10.1016/j.tourman.2011.05.001
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Stabler, M. J., Papatheodorou, A., & Sinclair, M. T. (2010). The economics of tourism (2nd ed.). London: Routledge.
   Google Scholar
• Suntikul, W., & Butler, R. (2010). Introduction. In R. Butler & W. Suntikul (Eds.), Tourism and political change (pp. 1–7). Oxford: Goodfellows.
   Google Scholar
• Tourism Alliance. (2012). Proposals for improving the visa system in China. Retrieved October 17, 2016, from http://www.tourismalliance.com/downloads/TA_325_351.pdf
   Google Scholar