Did exposure to asylum seeking migration affect the electoral outcome of the ‘Alternative für Deutschland’ in Berlin? Evidence from the 2019 European elections

References

• Aldén, L., M. Hammarstedt, and E. Neuman. 2015. “Ethnic Segregation, Tipping Behavior, and Native Residential Mobility.” International Migration Review 49 (1): 36–69.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Alessandrini, A., F. Natale, F. Sermi, and M. Vespe. 2017. High resolution map of migrants in the EU. JRC Technical Report EUR No.28770.
   Google Scholar
• Allport, G. 1954. The Nature of Prejudice. Boston, MA: Beacon Press.
   Google Scholar
• Altındağ, O., and N. Kaushal. 2021. “Do Refugees Impact Voting Behavior in the Host Country? Evidence from Syrian Refugee Inflows to Turkey.” Public Choice, doi:10.1007/s11127-019-00768-3.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg. 2019. Berlin-Statistik 2019. https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de.
   Google Scholar
• Arzheimer, K., and C. C. Berning. 2019. “How the Alternative for Germany (AfD) and Their Voters Veered to the Radical Right, 2013–2017.” Electoral Studies 60: 102040–102010.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Ayed, N. 2019. For Far-Right Populists, EU Election a Battle to “save Europe”. CBC News. https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/for-far-right-populists-eu-election-a-battle-to-save-europe-1.5134073.
   Google Scholar
• Bansak, K., J. Hainmueller, and D. Hangartner. 2016. “How Economic, Humanitarian, and Religious Concerns Shape European Attitudes Toward Asylum Seekers.” Science 354 (6309): 217–222. doi:10.1126/science.aag2147.
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Barone, G., A. D’Ignazio, G. De Blasio, and P. Naticchioni. 2016. “Mr. Rossi, Mr. Hu and Politics. The Role of Immigration in Shaping Natives’ Voting Behavior.” Journal of Public Economics 136: 1–13. doi:10.1016/j.jpubeco.2016.03.002.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Becker, S. O., and T. Fetzer. 2016. Does migration cause extreme voting?. CAGE Working Paper 306.
   Google Scholar
• Bennhold, K. 2019. German Elections Reveal, and Deepen, a New East-West Divide. The New York Times. https://www.nytimes.com/2019/08/31/world/europe/east-germany-afd-elections-saxony-brandenburg-merkel.html.
   Google Scholar
• Berlin Hilft. 2019. Unterkünfte Berlin. Netzwerk Berlin Hilft. Informieren - Vernetzen - Helfen. http://berlin-hilft.com/unterkuenfte-berlin/.
   Google Scholar
• Bezirksamt Pankow. 2019. Flüchtlingsunterkünfte in Pankow (Stand November 2018). Politik und Verwaltung. Integration. https://www.berlin.de/ba-pankow/politik-und-verwaltung/beauftragte/integration/themen/artikel.364348.php.
   Google Scholar
• Blalock, H. M. 1957. “Per Cent Non-White and Discrimination in the South.” American Sociological Review 22 (6): 677–682. doi:10.2307/2089197.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Bolet, D. 2020. “Local Labour Market Competition and Radical Right Voting: Evidence from France.” European Journal of Political Research 59 (4): 817–841. doi:10.1111/1475-6765.12378.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Bundeswahlleiter. 2019. Europawahl 2019. https://www.bundeswahlleiter.de/europawahlen/2019/ergebnisse/bund-99.html.
   Google Scholar
• Charitopoulou, E., and J. García-Manglano. 2018. “Fear of Small Numbers? Immigrant Population Size and Electoral Support for the Populist Radical Right in Switzerland.” Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies 44 (5): 849–869. doi:10.1080/1369183X.2017.1337505.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Coenders, M., M. Lubbers, P. Scheepers, and M. Verkuyten. 2008. “More Than two Decades of Changing Ethnic Attitudes in the Netherlands.” Journal of Social Issues 64 (2): 269–285. doi:10.1111/j.1540-4560.2008.00561.x.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• DeFina, R., and L. Hannon. 2009. “Diversity, Racial Threat, and Metropolitan Housing Segregation.” Social Forces 88: 373–394.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Della Posta, D. J. 2013. “Competitive Threat, Intergroup Contact, or Both? Immigration and the Dynamics of Front National Voting in France.” Social Forces 92 (1): 249–273.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Dinas, E., K. Matakos, D. Xefteris, and D. Hangartner. 2019. “Waking Up the Golden Dawn: Does Exposure to the Refugee Crisis Increase Support for Extreme-Right Parties?” Political Analysis 27 (2): 244–254. doi:10.1017/pan.2018.48.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Drouhot, L., E. Deutschmann, C. V. Zuccotti, and E. Zagheni. 2023. Computational Approaches to Migration and Integration Research: Promises and Challenges.” Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies 49 (2): 389–407. doi:10.1080/1369183X.2022.2100542.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Dustmann, C., K. Vasiljeva, and A. P. Damm. 2019. “Refugee Migration and Electoral Outcomes.” The Review of Economic Studies 86 (5): 2035–2091. doi:10.1093/restud/rdy047.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Ellison, C. G., and D. A. Powers. 1994. “The Contact Hypothesis and Racial Attitudes among Black Americans.” Social Science Quarterly 75: 385–400.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Enos, R. D. 2017. The Space Between US: Social Geography and Politics. University Press: Cambridge.
   Google Scholar
• Gamalerio, M., M. Luca, A. Romarri, and M. Viskanic. 2018. “Finding the Warmth of Other Suns? Refugee Reception, Extreme Votes and Hate Crimes.” SSRN Electronic Journal, doi:10.2139/ssrn.3277550.
   Google Scholar
• Genovese, F., M. Belgioioso, and F. G. Kern. 2016. The Political Geography of Migrant Reception and Public Opinion on Immigration: Evidence from Italy. http://federica-genovese.com/downloads/GBK_itmigr_231017.pdf.
   Google Scholar
• Gessler, T., G. Tóth, and J. Wachs. 2019. “No country for asylum seekers? How short-term exposure to refugees influences attitudes and voting behavior in hungary.” Political Behavior, doi:10.31235/osf.io/qgpve.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Grasso, M. T., S. Farrall, E. Gray, C. Hay, and W. Jennings. 2019. “Thatcher's Children, Blair's Babies, Political Socialization and Trickle-Down Value Change: An Age, Period and Cohort Analysis.” British Journal of Political Science 49 (1): 17–36. doi:10.1017/S0007123416000375.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Gundelach, B., and M. Freitag. 2014. “Neighbourhood Diversity and Social Trust: An Empirical Analysis of Interethnic Contact and Group-Specific Effects.” Urban Studies 51 (6): 1236–1256. doi:10.1177/0042098013495578.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hainmueller, J., and D. J. Hopkins. 2014. “Public Attitudes Toward Immigration.” Annual Review of Political Science 17 (1): 225–249. doi:10.1146/annurev-polisci-102512-194818.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Halla, M., A. F. Wagner, and J. Zweimüller. 2017. “Immigration and Voting for the Far Right.” Journal of the European Economic Association 15 (6): 1341–1385. doi:10.1093/jeea/jvx003.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hoxhaj, R., and C. V. Zuccotti. 2021. “The Complex Relationship Between Immigrants’ Concentration, Socioeconomic Environment and Attitudes Towards Immigrants in Europe.” Ethnic and Racial Studies 44 (2): 272–292. doi:10.1080/01419870.2020.1730926.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Jeannet, A., and L. Dražanová. 2019. Cast in the same mould: How politics during the impressionable years shapes attitudes towards immigration in later life.” RSCAS Research Paper N.2019/79.
   Google Scholar
• Juran, S., and P. N. Broer. 2017. “A Profile of Germany’s Refugee Populations.” Population and Development Review 43 (1): 149–157. doi:10.1111/padr.12042.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Kenny, P. D., and C. Miller. 2022. “Does Asylum Seeker Immigration Increase Support for the far Right? Evidence from the United Kingdom, 2000–2015.” Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies 48 (7): 1629–1646. doi:10.1080/1369183X.2020.1776596.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Lahav, G. 2004. “Public Opinion Toward Immigration in the European Union.” Comparative Political Studies 37 (10): 1151–1183. doi:10.1177/0010414004269826.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Lee, J., and F. D. Bean. 2010. Diversity Paradox: Immigration and the Color Line in Twenty-First Century America. New York: Russel Sage Foundation.
   Google Scholar
• Lonsky, J. 2021. “Does Immigration Decrease far-Right Popularity? Evidence from Finnish Municipalities.” Journal of Population Economics 34 (1): 97–139. doi:10.1007/s00148-020-00784-4.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Mader, M., and H. Schoen. 2019. “The European Refugee Crisis, Party Competition, and Voters’ Responses in Germany.” West European Politics 42 (1): 67–90. doi:10.1080/01402382.2018.1490484.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Novotný, L., and P. Maškarinec. 2018. “More to the People, Less to Brussels! Alternative for Germany and the 2014 European Parliament Elections.” Politologicka Revue 2: 5–21.
   Google Scholar
• Observatory of Public Attitudes to Migration. 2020. https://www.migrationpolicycentre.eu/opam/.
   Google Scholar
• Otto, A. H., and M. F. Steinhardt. 2014. “Immigration and Election Outcomes — Evidence from City Districts in Hamburg.” Regional Science and Urban Economics 45: 67–79. doi:10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2014.01.004.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Putnam, R. D. 2007. “E Pluribus Unum: Diversity and Community in the Twenty-First Century The 2006 Johan Skytte Prize Lecture.” Scandinavian Political Studies 30 (2): 137–174. doi:10.1111/j.1467-9477.2007.00176.x.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Quillian, L. 1995. “Prejudice as a Response to Perceived Group Threat: Population Composition and Anti-Immigrant and Racial Prejudice in Europe.” American Sociological Review 60 (4): 586–611. doi:10.2307/2096296.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Schelling, T. 1971. “Dynamic Models of Segregation†.” The Journal of Mathematical Sociology 1 (2): 143–186. doi:10.1080/0022250X.1971.9989794.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Schneider-Strawczynski, S. 2020. Hosting Refugees and Voting for the Far-Right. https://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-02982827/document.
   Google Scholar
• Senatsverwaltung für Stadtentwicklung und Wohnen (SenStadtWohn). 2019. Stadtwissen und Daten. https://www.stadtentwicklung.berlin.de/planen/basisdaten_stadtentwicklung/.
   Google Scholar
• Sørensen, R. J. 2016. “After the Immigration Shock: The Causal Effect of Immigration on Electoral Preferences.” Electoral Studies 44: 1–14. doi:10.1016/j.electstud.2016.06.009.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Sozialpädagogisches Institut Berlin (SPI). 2017. Häufig gestellte Fragen zu Flucht und Asyl in Berlin. https://mbt-berlin.de/mbt/publikationen/Broschueren/9-MBT-Berlin-Haeufig-gestellte-Fragen-zu-Flucht-und-Asyl-in-Berlin_2017.pdf.
   Google Scholar
• Statistisches Bundesamt (Destatis). 2020. Persons Seeking Protection. Table 12521-0110. Database of the Federal Statistical Office of Germany. https://www.genesis.destatis.de/genesis/online/en.
   Google Scholar
• Steinmayr, A. 2016. Exposure to Refugees and Voting for the Far-Right: (Unexpected) Results from Austria. IZA Discussion Paper No.9790. http://ftp.iza.org/dp9790.pdf.
   Google Scholar
• Talò, T. 2017. Public attitudes to immigration in Germany in the aftermath of the migration crisis. RSCAS Policy Briefs No.2017/23.
   Google Scholar
• Vertier, P., and M. Viskanic. 2018. Dismantling the ‘jungle’: Migrant relocation and extreme voting in France. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3170838.
   Google Scholar
• Walker, S. 2019. European_Elections:_Far-Right_“surge”_Ends_in_a_Ripple. The Guardian. http://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/may/27/european-elections-far-right-surge-ends-in-a-ripple.
   Google Scholar
• Zuccotti, C. V., J. Lorenz, R. Paolillo, A. R. Sánchez, and S. Serka. 2023. “Exploring the Dynamics of Neighborhood Ethnic Segregation With Agent-Based Modelling: An Empirical Application to Bradford, UK.” Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies 49 (2): 554–575. doi:10.1080/1369183X.2022.2100554.
   Google Scholar