Identifying climate services needs for national planning: insights from Malawi

References

• Agrawala, S., & Van Aalst, M. (2008). Adapting development cooperation to adapt to climate change. Climate Policy, 8, 183–193. doi:10.3763/cpol.2007.0435
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Boyatzis, R. E. (1998). Transforming qualitative information: Thematic analysis and code development. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.
   Google Scholar
• Boyd, E., Cornforth, R. J., Lamb, P. J., Tarhule, A., Lele, M. I., & Brouder, A. (2013). Building resilience to face recurring environmental crisis in African Sahel. Nature Climate Change, 3, 631–637. doi:10.1038/nclimate1856
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Cash, D. W., Clark, W. C., Alcock, F., Dickson, N. M., Eckley, N., Guston, D. H., … Mitchell, R. B. (2003). Knowledge systems for sustainable development. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 100, 8086–8091. doi:10.1073/pnas.1231332100
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Conway, D., & Mustelin, J. (2014). Strategies for improving adaptation practice in developing countries. Nature Climate Change, 4, 339–342. doi:10.1038/nclimate2199
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Daron, J. (2014). Challenges in using a robust decision making approach to guide climate change adaptation in South Africa. Climatic Change, 1–15. doi:10.1007/s10584–014–1242–9
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Dessai, S., & Hulme, M. (2004). Does climate adaptation policy need probabilities? Climate Policy, 4, 107–128. doi:10.1080/14693062.2004.9685515
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Dixon, J. L., Stringer, L. C., & Challinor, A. J. (2014). Farming system evolution and adaptive capacity: Insights for adaptation support. Resources, 3, 182–214. doi: 10.3390/resources3010182
   Google Scholar
• Eisenack, K., Moser, S. C., Hoffmann, E., Klein, R. J. T., Oberlack, C., Pechan, A., … Termeer, C. J. A. M. (2014). Explaining and overcoming barriers to climate change adaptation. Nature Climate Change, 4, 867–872. doi:10.1038/nclimate2350
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hammill, A., Harvey, B., & Echeverria, D. (2013). Understanding needs, meeting demands: A user-oriented analysis of online knowledge brokering platforms for climate change and development. London: International Institute for Sustainable Development.
   Google Scholar
• James, R., Washington, R., & Rowell, D. P. (2014). African climate change uncertainty in perturbed physics ensembles: Implications of global warming to 4°C and beyond. Journal of Climate, 27, 4677–4692. doi:10.1175/jcli-d-13–00612.1
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Jones, L., Ludi, E., Beautement, P., Broener, C., & Bachofen, C. (2013). New approaches to promoting flexible forward-looking decision-making: Insights from complexity science, climate change adaptation and ‘serious gaming’. A report for the Africa climate change resilience alliance. London: Overseas Development Institution.
   Google Scholar
• Jones, L., Roux, J.-P., Scott, C., & Tanner, T. (2014). Background briefing: Opportunities and barriers to the uptake of long-term climate information in African decision-making (Future climate for Africa/CDKN report). London: Overseas Development Institute.
   Google Scholar
• Kirchhoff, C. J., Lemos, M. C., & Engle, N. L. (2013). What influences climate information use in water management? The role of boundary organizations and governance regimes in Brazil and the U.S. Environmental Science and Policy, 26, 6–18. doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2012.07.001
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Kulima Integrated Development Solutions. (2013). Report of scoping study on the potential to stimulate private sector engagement in building disaster resilience and climate change adaptation in Mozambique (Report submitted to PriceWaterhouseCoopers).
   Google Scholar
• Kusangaya, S., Warburton, M. L., Archer van Garderen, E., & Jewitt, G. P. W. (2014). Impacts of climate change on water resources in southern Africa: A review. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Parts A/B/C, 67–69, 47–54. doi:10.1016/j.pce.2013.09.014
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Lemos, M. C., Kirchhoff, C. J., & Ramprasad, V. (2012). Narrowing the climate information usability gap. Nature Climate Change, 2(11), 789–794. Retrieved from http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v2/n11/abs/nclimate1614.html#supplementary-information doi: 10.1038/nclimate1614
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Lemos, M. C., & Rood, R. B. (2010). Climate projections and their impact on policy and practice. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 1, 670–682. doi:10.1002/wcc.71
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Lindseth, G. (2005). Local level adaptation to climate change: Discursive strategies in the Norwegian context. Journal of Environmental Policy & Planning, 7, 61–84. doi:10.1080/15239080500251908
   Google Scholar
• McSweeney, C., New, M., & Lizcano, G. (2010). UNDP climate change country profiles, Malawi. UNDP. Retrieved from http://country-profiles.geog.ox.ac.uk
   Google Scholar
• Mendler de Suarez, J., Suarez, P., Bachofen, C., Fortugno, N., Goentzel, J., Gonçalves, P., … Virji, H. (2012). Games for a new climate: experiencing the complexity of future risks (Pardee Center Task Force Report). Boston, MA: The Frederick S. Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future, Boston University.
   Google Scholar
• Niang, I., Ruppel, O. C., Abdrabo, M. A., Essel, A., Lennard, C., Padgham, J., & Urquhart, P. (2014). Africa. In V. R. Barros, C. B. Field, D. J. Dokken, M. D. Mastrandrea, K. J. Mach, T. E. Bilir, … L. L. White (Eds.), Climate change 2014: Impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. Part B: Regional aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Chapter 22, pp. 1199–1265). Cambridge/New York, NY: Cambridge University Press.
   Google Scholar
• Osgood, D. E., McLaurin, M., Carriquiry, M., Mishra, A., Fiondella, F., Hansen, J. W., … Ward, M. N. (2007). Designing weather insurance contracts for farmers in Malawi, Tanzania and Kenya: Final Report to the Commodity Risk Management Group (IRI Technical Report). New York, NY: International Research Institute for Climate and Society.
   Google Scholar
• Osgood, D. E., Suarez, P., Hansen, J., Carriquiry, M., & Mishra, A. (2008). Integrating seasonal forecasts and insurance for adaptation among subsistence farmers: The case of Malawi. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper Series. Retrieved from http://ssm.com/abstract=1149603
   Google Scholar
• van Pelt, S. C., Haasnoot, M., Arts, B., Ludwig, F., Swart, R., & Biesbroek, R. (2015). Communicating climate (change) uncertainties: Simulation games as boundary objects. Environmental Science and Policy, 45, 41–52. doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2014.09.004
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Pidgeon, N., & Fischhoff, B. (2011). The role of social and decision sciences in communicating uncertain climate risks. Nature Climate Change, 1, 35–41. doi: 10.1038/nclimate1080
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Ranger, N. (2013). Topic guide. Adaptation: Decision-making under uncertainty (Evidence on Demand Report). London: Department for International Development.
   Google Scholar
• Rayner, S., Lach, D., & Ingram, H. (2005). Weather forecasts are for wimps: Why water resource managers do not use climate forecasts. Climatic Change, 69, 197–227. doi:10.1007/s10584–005–3148-z
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Rose, D. C. (2014). Five ways to enhance the impact of climate science. Nature Climate Change, 4, 522–524. doi:10.1038/nclimate2270
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Shaw, J., Danese, C., & Stocker, L. (2013). Spanning the boundary between climate science and coastal communities: Opportunities and challenges. Ocean and Coastal Management, 86, 80–87. doi:10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2012.11.008
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Shongwe, M. E., van Oldenborgh, G. J., van den Hurk, B. J. J. M., de Boer, B., Coelho, C. A. S., & van Aalst, M. K. (2009). Projected changes in mean and extreme precipitation in Africa under global warming. Part I: Southern Africa. Journal of Climate, 22, 3819–3837. doi:10.1175/2009jcli2317.1
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Simelton, E., Fraser, E. D. G., Termansen, M., Benton, T. G., Gosling, S. N., South, A., … Forster, P. (2012). The socioeconomics of food crop production and climate change vulnerability: A global scale quantitative analysis of how grain crops are sensitive to drought. Food Security, 4, 163–179. doi:10.1007/s12571-012-0173-4
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Simelton, E., Quinn, C. H., Batisani, N., Dougill, A. J., Dyer, J. C., Fraser, E. D. G., … Stringer, L. C. (2013). Is rainfall really changing? Farmers’ perceptions, meteorological data, and policy implications. Climate and Development, 5, 123–138. doi:10.1080/17565529.2012.751893
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Sternlieb, F., Bixler, R. P., Huber-Stearns, H., & Huayhuaca, C. a. (2013). A question of fit: Reflections on boundaries, organizations and social–ecological systems. Journal of Environmental Management, 130, 117–125. doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2013.08.053
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Stringer, L., Dougill, A., Dyer, J., Vincent, K., Fritzsche, F., Leventon, J., … Kalaba, G. (2014). Advancing climate compatible development: Lessons from southern Africa. Regional Environmental Change, 14, 713–725. doi:10.1007/s10113-013-0533-4
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• USAID. (2013). The value of climate services across economic and public sectors. A review of relevant literature (Technical Report). Washington, DC: United States Agency for International Development.
   Google Scholar
• Vaughan, C., & Dessai, S. (2014). Climate services for society: origins, institutional arrangements, and design elements for an evaluation framework. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 5, 587–603. doi:10.1002/wcc.290
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Vincent, K., Cull, T., Chanika, D., Hamazakaza, P., Joubert, A., Macome, E., & Mutonhodza-Davies, C. (2013). Farmers’ responses to climate variability and change in southern Africa – is it coping or adaptation? Climate and Development, 5, 194–205. doi:10.1080/17565529.2013.821052
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Vincent, K., Dougill, A. J., Dixon, J. L., Stringer, L. C., Cull, T., Mkwambisi, D. D., & Chanika, D. (2014). Actual and potential weather and climate information needs for development planning in Malawi: Results of a future climate for Africa pilot case study. In Climate Development Knowledge Network (Ed.), Future climate for Africa pilot case studies. Retrieved from http://cdkn.org/resource/climate-information-decision-making-malawi/
   Google Scholar
• Vincent, K., Dougill, A. J., Mkwambisi, D. D., Cull, T., Stringer, L. C., & Chanika, D. (2014). Analysis of existing weather and climate information for Malawi (Report). Pietermaritzburg: Kulima Integrated Development Solutions.
   Google Scholar
• Vogel, C., Moser, S. C., Kasperson, R. E., & Dabelko, G. D. (2007). Linking vulnerability, adaptation, and resilience science to practice: Pathways, players, and partnerships. Global Environmental Change, 17, 349–364. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2007.05.002
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Warner, K., & Afifi, T. (2013). Where the rain falls: Evidence from 8 countries on how vulnerable households use migration to manage the risk of rainfall variability and food insecurity. Climate and Development, 6, 1–17. doi:10.1080/17565529.2013.835707
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Washington, R., James, R., Pearce, H., Pokam, W. M., & Moufouma-Okia, W. (2013). Congo Basin rainfall climatology: Can we believe the climate models? Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 368(1625). doi:10.1098/rstb.2012.0296
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Wise, R. M., Fazey, I., Stafford Smith, M., Park, S. E., Eakin, H. C., Archer Van Garderen, E. R. M., & Campbell, B. (2014). Reconceptualising adaptation to climate change as part of pathways of change and response. Global Environmental Change. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2013.12.002
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Wood, S. A., Jina, A. S., Jain, M., Kristjanson, P., & DeFries, R. S. (2014). Smallholder farmer cropping decisions related to climate variability across multiple regions. Global Environmental Change, 25, 163–172. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2013.12.011
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Ziervogel, G., Shale, M., & Du, M. (2010). Climate change adaptation in a developing country context: The case of urban water supply in Cape Town. Climate and Development, 2, 94–110. doi:10.3763/cdev.2010.0036
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar