Unstoppable climate change? The influence of fatalistic beliefs about climate change on behavioural change and willingness to pay cross-nationally

References

• Ajzen, I. (1985). From intentions to actions: A theory of planned behavior. In J. Kuhl & J. Beckmann (Eds.), Action control: From cognition to behavior (pp. 11–39). Berlin: Springer.
   Google Scholar
• Ajzen, I. (1991). The theory of planned behavior. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 50, 179–211. doi: 10.1016/0749-5978(91)90020-T
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Ajzen, I. (2002). Residual effects of past on later behavior: Habituation and reasoned action perspectives. Personality and Social Psychology Review, 6, 107–122. doi: 10.1207/S15327957PSPR0602_02
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Blake, J. (1999). Overcoming the ‘value-action gap’ in environmental policy: Tensions between national policy and local experience. Local Environment, 4, 257–278. doi: 10.1080/13549839908725599
   Google Scholar
• Bostrom, A., O’Connor, R. E., Böhm, G., Hanss, D., Bodi, O., Ekström, F., … Sælensminde, I. (2012). Causal thinking and support for climate change policies: International survey findings. Global Environmental Change, 22, 210–222. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.09.012
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Brambor, T., Clark, W. R., & Golder, M. (2006). Understanding interaction models: Improving empirical analyses. Political Analysis, 14, 63–82. doi: 10.1093/pan/mpi014
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Brulle, R. J., Carmichael, J., & Jenkins, J. C. (2012). Shifting public opinion on climate change: An empirical assessment of factors influencing concern over climate change in the U.S., 2002–2010. Climatic Change, 114, 169–188. doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0403-y
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Brysse, K., Oreskes, N., O’Reilly, J., & Oppenheimer, M. (2013). Climate change prediction: Erring on the side of least drama? Global Environmental Change, 23, 327–337. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.10.008
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Crist, E. (2007). Beyond the climate crisis: A critique of climate change discourse. Telos, 141, 29–55.
   Google Scholar
• Dake, K. (1992). Myths of nature: Culture and the social construction of risk. Journal of Social Issues, 48, 21–37. doi: 10.1111/j.1540-4560.1992.tb01943.x
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Dalbert, C., Lipkus, I. M., Sallay, H., & Goch, I. (2001). A just and an unjust world: Structure and validity of different world beliefs. Personality and Individual Differences, 30, 561–577. doi: 10.1016/S0191-8869(00)00055-6
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• de Groot, J. I. M., & Schuitema, G. (2012). How to make the unpopular popular? Policy characteristics, social norms and the acceptability of environmental policies. Environmental Science & Policy, 19–20, 100–107. doi: 10.1016/j.envsci.2012.03.004
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Diekmann, A., & Franzen, A. (1999). The wealth of nations and environmental concern. Environment and Behavior, 31, 540–549. doi: 10.1177/00139169921972227
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Djoudi, H., & Brockhaus, M. (2011). Is adaptation to climate change gender neutral? Lessons from communities dependent on livestock and forests in northern Mali. International Forestry Review, 13, 123–135. doi: 10.1505/146554811797406606
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Doherty, K. L., & Webler, T. N. (2016). Social norms and efficacy beliefs drive the alarmed segment’s public-sphere climate actions. Nature Climate Change, 6, 879–884. doi: 10.1038/nclimate3025
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Dunlap, R. E., & Mertig, A. G. (1997). Global environmental concern: An anomaly for postmaterialism. Social Science Quarterly, 78, 24–29.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Dunlap, R. E., & York, R. (2008). The globalization of environmental concern and the limits of the postmaterialist values explanation: Evidence from four multinational surveys. The Sociological Quarterly, 49, 529–563. doi: 10.1111/j.1533-8525.2008.00127.x
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Eurobarometer. (2009). Special eurobarometer 322. Brussels: European Commission.
   Google Scholar
• European Bank for Reconstruction and Development. (2011). Life in transition survey II: Draft technical report ( Technical Report). London, UK: Ipsos MORI.
   Google Scholar
• Fairbrother, M. (2013). Rich people, poor people, and environmental concern: Evidence across nations and time. European Sociological Review, 29, 910–922. doi: 10.1093/esr/jcs068
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Fairbrother, M. (2016). Trust and public support for environmental protection in diverse national contexts. Sociological Science, 3, 359–382. doi: 10.15195/v3.a17
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Feinberg, M., & Willer, R. (2011). Apocalypse soon?: Dire messages reduce belief in global warming by contradicting just-world beliefs. Psychological Science, 22, 34–38. doi: 10.1177/0956797610391911
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Feygina, I., Jost, J. T., & Goldsmith, R. E. (2010). System justification, the denial of global warming, and the possibility of “system-sanctioned change.”. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 36, 326–338. doi: 10.1177/0146167209351435
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Furnham, A. (2003). Belief in a just world: Research progress over the past decade. Personality and Individual Differences, 34, 795–817. doi: 10.1016/S0191-8869(02)00072-7
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Giddens, A. (2015). The politics of climate change. Policy & Politics, 43, 155–162. doi: 10.1332/030557315X14290856538163
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Givens, J. E., & Jorgenson, A. K. (2011). The effects of affluence, economic development, and environmental degradation on environmental concern: A multilevel analysis. Organization & Environment, 24, 74–91. doi: 10.1177/1086026611406030
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hafer, C., & Begue, L. (2005). Experimental research on just-world theory: Problems, developments, and future challenges. Psychological Bulletin, 131, 128–167. doi: 10.1037/0033-2909.131.1.128
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hansson, S. O. (2018). Dealing with climate science denialism: Experiences from confrontations with other forms of pseudoscience. Climate Policy, 18, 1094–1102. doi: 10.1080/14693062.2017.1415197
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Harring, N. (2013). Understanding the effects of corruption and political trust on willingness to make economic sacrifices for environmental protection in a cross-national perspective. Social Science Quarterly, 94, 660–671. doi: 10.1111/j.1540-6237.2012.00904.x
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Heath, Y., & Gifford, R. (2002). Extending the theory of planned behavior: Predicting the Use of public transportation. Journal of Applied Social Psychology, 32, 2154–2189. doi: 10.1111/j.1559-1816.2002.tb02068.x
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hine, D. W., Phillips, W. J., Cooksey, R., Reser, J. P., Nunn, P., Marks, A. D. G., … Watt, S. E. (2016). Preaching to different choirs: How to motivate dismissive, uncommitted, and alarmed audiences to adapt to climate change? Global Environmental Change, 36, 1–11. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.11.002
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hornsey, M. J., & Fielding, K. S. (2016). A cautionary note about messages of hope: Focusing on progress in reducing carbon emissions weakens mitigation motivation. Global Environmental Change, 39, 26–34. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.04.003
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hornsey, M. J., Harris, E. A., Bain, P. G., & Fielding, K. S. (2016). Meta-analyses of the determinants and outcomes of belief in climate change. Nature Climate Change, 6, 622–626. doi: 10.1038/nclimate2943
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Huebner, R. B., & Lipsey, M. W. (1981). The relationship of three measures of locus of control to environment activism. Basic and Applied Social Psychology, 2, 45–58. doi: 10.1207/s15324834basp0201_4
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Kaiser, F., & Gutscher, H. (2003). The proposition of a general version of the theory of planned behavior: Predicting ecological Behavior1. Journal of Applied Social Psychology, 33, 586–603. doi: 10.1111/j.1559-1816.2003.tb01914.x
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Kerr, R. A. (2007). How urgent Is climate change? Science, 318, 1230–1231. doi: 10.1126/science.318.5854.1230
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Khodyakov, D. (2007). Trust as a process: A three-dimensional approach. Sociology, 41, 115–132. doi: 10.1177/0038038507072285
   Google Scholar
• Kim, S. Y., & Wolinsky-Nahmias, Y. (2014). Cross-National public opinion on climate change: The effects of affluence and vulnerability. Global Environmental Politics, 14, 79–106. doi: 10.1162/GLEP_a_00215
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Kollmuss, A., & Agyeman, J. (2002). Mind the Gap: Why do people act environmentally and what are the barriers to pro-environmental behavior? Environmental Education Research, 8, 239–260. doi: 10.1080/13504620220145401
   Google Scholar
• Kvaløy, B., Finseraas, H., & Listhaug, O. (2012). The publics’ concern for global warming: A cross-national study of 47 countries. Journal of Peace Research, 49, 11–22. doi: 10.1177/0022343311425841
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Lee, T. M., Markowitz, E. M., Howe, P. D., Ko, C.-Y., & Leiserowitz, A. A. (2015). Predictors of public climate change awareness and risk perception around the world. Nature Climate Change, 5, 1014–1020. doi: 10.1038/nclimate2728
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Leiserowitz, A. (2005). American risk perceptions: Is climate change dangerous? Risk Analysis, 25, 1433–1442. doi: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.2005.00690.x
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Leiserowitz, A. (2006). Climate change risk perception and policy preferences: The role of affect, imagery, and values. Climatic Change, 77, 45–72. doi: 10.1007/s10584-006-9059-9
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Lerner, M. (1980). The belief in a just world. Boston, MA: Springer.
   Google Scholar
• Lerner, M., & Miller, D. (1978). Just world research and the attribution process: Looking back and ahead. Psychological Bulletin, 85, 1030–1051. doi: 10.1037/0033-2909.85.5.1030
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Linde, S. (2018). Political communication and public support for climate mitigation policies: A country-comparative perspective. Climate Policy, 18, 543–555. doi: 10.1080/14693062.2017.1327840
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Lo, A. Y., & Chow, A. T. (2015). The relationship between climate change concern and national wealth. Climatic Change, 131, 335–348. doi: 10.1007/s10584-015-1378-2
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Lorenzoni, I., Nicholson-Cole, S., & Whitmarsh, L. (2007). Barriers perceived to engaging with climate change among the UK public and their policy implications. Global Environmental Change, 17, 445–459. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2007.01.004
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Luhmann, N. (1979). Trust and power. Cambridge, UK: Polity Press.
   Google Scholar
• Mayer, A., Shelley, T. O., Chiricos, T., & Gertz, M. (2017). Environmental risk exposure, risk perception, political ideology and support for climate policy. Sociological Focus, 0, 1–20.
   Google Scholar
• Mayer, A., & Smith, E. K. (2017). Rethinking economic conditions and environmental attitudes: Macroeconomic effects, individual experiences, and subjectivity. Social Currents, 4, 342–359. doi: 10.1177/2329496516670185
   Google Scholar
• McCright, A. M., & Dunlap, R. E. (2011a). Cool dudes: The denial of climate change among conservative white males in the United States. Global Environmental Change, 21, 1163–1172. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.06.003
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• McCright, A. M., & Dunlap, R. E. (2011b). The politicization of climate change and polarization in the American public’s views of global warming, 2001–2010. The Sociological Quarterly, 52, 155–194. doi: 10.1111/j.1533-8525.2011.01198.x
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• McCright, A. M., Dunlap, R. E., & Marquart-Pyatt, S. T. (2016). Political ideology and views about climate change in the European Union. Environmental Politics, 25, 338–358. doi: 10.1080/09644016.2015.1090371
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• McCright, A. M., Marquart-Pyatt, S. T., Shwom, R. L., Brechin, S. R., & Allen, S. (2016). Ideology, capitalism, and climate: Explaining public views about climate change in the United States. Energy Research & Social Science, 21, 180–189. doi: 10.1016/j.erss.2016.08.003
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• McNeish, W. (2017). From revelation to revolution: Apocalypticism in green politics. Environmental Politics, 26, 1035–1054. doi: 10.1080/09644016.2017.1343766
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Mood, C. (2010). Logistic regression: Why We cannot Do what We think We Can Do, and what We Can Do about It. European Sociological Review, 26, 67–82. doi: 10.1093/esr/jcp006
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Mostafa, M. M. (2016). Post-materialism, religiosity, political orientation, locus of control and concern for global warming: A multilevel analysis across 40 nations. Social Indicators Research, 128, 1273–1298. doi: 10.1007/s11205-015-1079-2
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• O’Connor, R. E., Bard, R. J., & Fisher, A. (1999). Risk perceptions, general environmental beliefs, and willingness to address climate change. Risk Analysis, 19, 461–471.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• O’Neill, S. J., & Hulme, M. (2009). An iconic approach for representing climate change. Global Environmental Change, 19, 402–410. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2009.07.004
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Pendergraft, C. A. (1998). Human dimensions of climate change: Cultural theory and collective action. Climatic Change, 39, 643–666. doi: 10.1023/A:1005323809980
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Peters, A., Haan, P. d., & Scholz, R. W. (2015). Understanding Car-buying behavior: Psychological determinants of energy efficiency and practical implications. International Journal of Sustainable Transportation, 9, 59–72. doi: 10.1080/15568318.2012.732672
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Sandvik, H. (2008). Public concern over global warming correlates negatively with national wealth. Climatic Change, 90, 333–341. doi: 10.1007/s10584-008-9429-6
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Schleich, J., Schwirplies, C., & Ziegler, A. (2018). Do perceptions of international climate policy stimulate or discourage voluntary climate protection activities? A study of German and US households. Climate Policy, 18, 568–580. doi: 10.1080/14693062.2017.1409189
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Shi, J., Visschers, V. H., & Siegrist, M. (2015). Public perception of climate change: The importance of knowledge and cultural worldviews. Risk Analysis, 35, 2183–2201. doi: 10.1111/risa.12406
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Simonet, G., & Fatorić, S. (2016). Does “adaptation to climate change” mean resignation or opportunity? Regional Environmental Change, 16, 789–799. doi: 10.1007/s10113-015-0792-3
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Smith, N., & Leiserowitz, A. (2014). The role of emotion in global warming policy support and opposition. Risk Analysis, 34, 937–948. doi: 10.1111/risa.12140
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Smith, E. K., & Mayer, A. (2018). A social trap for the climate? Collective action, trust and climate change risk perception in 35 countries. Global Environmental Change, 49, 140–153. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2018.02.014
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• StataCorp. (2017). Stata statistical software: Release 15. College Station, TX: StataCorp LLC.
   Google Scholar
• Stoutenborough, J., Bromley-Trujillo, R., & Vedlitz, A. (2014). Public support for climate change policy: Consistency in the influence of values and attitudes over time and across specific policy alternatives. Review of Policy Research, 31, 555–583. doi: 10.1111/ropr.12104
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Summers, N., & VanHeuvelen, T. (2017). Heterogeneity in the relationship between country-level affluence and environmental concern. Social Forces, 96, 329–360. doi: 10.1093/sf/sox038
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Suthirat, K., & Takashi, K. (2013). “Everyone will die anyway”: managing the cultural bias towards fatalistic thinking about global climate change in the Thai context. Asian Journal of Social Sciences and Humanities, 2, 5–17.
   Google Scholar
• Sztompka, P. (1999). Trust: A sociological theory. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
   Google Scholar
• Tjernström, E., & Tietenberg, T. (2008). Do differences in attitudes explain differences in national climate change policies? Ecological Economics, 65, 315–324. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2007.06.019
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• van der Linden, S. (2015). The social-psychological determinants of climate change risk perceptions: Towards a comprehensive model. Journal of Environmental Psychology, 41, 112–124. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvp.2014.11.012
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Wang, S., Fan, J., Zhao, D., Yang, S., & Fu, Y. (2016). Predicting consumers’ intention to adopt hybrid electric vehicles: Using an extended version of the theory of planned behavior model. Transportation, 43, 123–143. doi: 10.1007/s11116-014-9567-9
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Waters, E. A., Hay, J. L., Orom, H., Kiviniemi, M. T., & Drake, B. F. (2013). “Don’t know” responses to risk perception measures: Implications for underserved populations. Medical Decision Making, 33, 271–281. doi: 10.1177/0272989X12464435
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Whitmarsh, L., & Corner, A. (2017). Tools for a new climate conversation: A mixed-methods study of language for public engagement across the political spectrum. Global Environmental Change, 42, 122–135. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.12.008
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Whitmarsh, L., & O’Neill, S. (2010). Green identity, green living? The role of pro-environmental self-identity in determining consistency across diverse pro-environmental behaviours. Journal of Environmental Psychology, 30, 305–314. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvp.2010.01.003
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Wolske, K. S., Stern, P. C., & Dietz, T. (2017). Explaining interest in adopting residential solar photovoltaic systems in the United States: Toward an integration of behavioral theories. Energy Research & Social Science, 25, 134–151. doi: 10.1016/j.erss.2016.12.023
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Xue, W., Hine, D. W., Loi, N. M., Thorsteinsson, E. B., & Phillips, W. J. (2014). Cultural worldviews and environmental risk perceptions: A meta-analysis. Journal of Environmental Psychology, 40, 249–258. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvp.2014.07.002
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Zahran, S., Brody, S. D., Grover, H., & Vedlitz, A. (2006). Climate change vulnerability and policy support. Society & Natural Resources, 19, 771–789. doi: 10.1080/08941920600835528
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar