Key references
- Deser, C., F. Lehner, K. Rodgers, T. Ault, T. Delworth, P. DiNezio, A. Fiore, C. Frankignoul, J. Fyfe, D. Horton, et al. 2020. Insights from Earth system model initial-condition large ensembles and future prospects. Nature Climate Change 10 (4):277–86. doi:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-0731-2.
- Jahn, A., J. E. Kay, M. M. Holland, and D. M. Hall. 2016. How predictable is the timing of a summer ice-free Arctic? Geophysical Research Letters 43 (17):9113–20. doi:https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL070067.
- Kay, J. E., M. M. Holland, and A. Jahn. 2011. Inter-annual to multi-decadal Arctic sea ice extent trends in a warming world. Geophysical Research Letters 38 (15):L15708. doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL048008.
- Parkinson, C. L., and J. C. Comiso. 2013. On the 2012 record low Arctic sea ice cover: Combined impact of preconditioning and an August storm. Geophysical Research Letters 40 (7):1356–61. doi:https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50349.
- Stroeve, J., M. M. Holland, W. Meier, T. Scambos, and M. Serreze. 2007. Arctic sea ice decline: Faster than forecast. Geophysical Research Letters 34 (9):L09501. doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2007GL029703.
- Tebaldi, C., and R. Knutti. 2007. The use of the multimodel ensemble in probabilistic climate projections. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A 365 (1857):2053–75. doi:https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2007.2076.