Managing Uncertainties in the Transition Towards Sustainability: Cases of Emerging Energy Technologies in the Netherlands

References

• ANP . 27 May 1993 . “ Bukman sceptisch over kansen bio-brandstof ” . 27 May , ANP .
   Google Scholar
• ANP . 24 February 1994 . “ Europese subsidie voor Rotterdamse verkeersprojecten ” . 24 February , ANP .
   Google Scholar
• ANP . 15 March 1996 . “ Van Aartsen wil fiscale steun bio-ethanolproject ” . 15 March , ANP .
   Google Scholar
• ANP . 4 February 1997 . “ Nedalco is wachten op accijnsvrijstelling bio-ethanol zat ” . 4 February , ANP .
   Google Scholar
• Bizz . 15 November 2002 . “ De Oliemolen (2) ” . 15 November , Bizz .
   Google Scholar
• Corrêa , H. L. 1994 . Linking Flexibility, Uncertainty and Variability in Manufacturing Systems: Managing un-planned change in the automtative industry , Aldershot : Avebury .
   Google Scholar
• Dess , G. G. and Beard , D. W. 1984 . Dimensions of Organizational Task Environments . Administrative Science Quarterly , 29 ( 1 ) : 52 – 73 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• De Volkskrant . 24 January 1998 . “ Snelle olie uit hout ” . 24 January , De Volkskrant .
   Google Scholar
• Duurzame Energie . August 1997 . “ Nedalco start commerciële productie bio-ethanol ” . August , Duurzame Energie .
   Google Scholar
• Elzen , B. , Geels , F. and Green , K. 2004 . System Innovation and the Transition to Sustainability. Theory, Evidence and Policy , Cheltenham, , UK : Edward Elgar .
   Google Scholar
• Elzen , B. and Wieczorek , A. 2005 . Transitions towards sustainability through system innovation . Technological Forecasting and Social Change , 72 ( 6 ) : 651 – 661 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Faaij , A. P. C. 2006 . Bio-energy in Europe: changing technology choices . Energy Policy , 34 ( 3 ) : 322 – 342 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Foxon , T. J. , Gross , R. , Chase , A. , Howes , J. , Arnall , A. and Anderson , D. 2005 . UK innovation systems for new and renewable energy technologies: drivers, barriers and systems failures . Energy Policy , 33 ( 16 ) : 2123 – 2137 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Geels , F. W. 2002a . Technological transitions as evolutionary reconfiguration processes: a multi-level perspective and a case-study . Research Policy , 31 ( 8–9 ) : 1257 – 1274 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Geels , F. W. 2002b . Understanding the dynamics of technological transitions: a co-evolutionary and socio-technical analysis , Enschede : Twente University: Centre for Studies of Science, Technology and Society .
   Google Scholar
• Grubler , A. 1998 . Technology and global change , Cambridge : Cambridge University Press .
   Google Scholar
• Grubler , A. , Nakicenovic , N. and Victor , D. G. 1999 . Dynamics of energy technologies and global change . Energy Policy , 27 ( 5 ) : 247 – 280 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Grunwald , A. 2007 . Working Towards Sustainable Development in the Face of Uncertainty and Incomplete Knowledge . Journal of Environmental Policy and Planning , 9 ( 3,4 ) : 245 – 262 .
   Google Scholar
• Hekkert , M. P. , Suurs , R. A. A. , Negro , S. O. , Kuhlmann , S. and Smits , R. E. H. M. 2007 . Functions of innovation systems: A new approach for analysing technological change . Technological Forecasting and Social Change , 74 ( 4 ) : 413 – 432 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Het Financieele Dagblad . 8 March 1995 . “ Biodiesel tijdelijk vrij van accijns ” . 8 March , Het Financieele Dagblad .
   Google Scholar
• Het Financieele Dagblad . 22 May 1996 . “ Suiker unie zet conserven in de etalage ” . 22 May , Het Financieele Dagblad .
   Google Scholar
• Huang , Y. H. and Wu , J. H. 2007 . Technological system and renewable energy policy: A case study of solar photovoltaic in Taiwan . Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews , 11 ( 2 ) : 345 – 356 .
   Google Scholar
• Jacobsson , S. 2005 . Formation and growth of sectoral innovation systems—‘functional analysis’ as a tool for policy makers in identifying policy issues , Gothenburg, , Sweden : RIDE, IMIT and Chalmers University of Technology: Environmental Systems Analysis .
   Google Scholar
• Jacobsson , S. and Bergek , A. 2004 . Transforming the energy sector: the evolution of technological systems in renewable energy technology . Industrial and Corporate Change , 13 ( 5 ) : 815 – 849 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Jacobsson , S. and Johnson , A. 2000 . The diffusion of renewable energy technology: an analytical framework and key issues for research . Energy Policy , 28 ( 9 ) : 625 – 640 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Jauch , L. R. and Kraft , K. L. 1986 . Strategic Management of Uncertainty . The Academy of Management Review , 11 ( 4 ) : 777 – 790 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Johnson , A. Functions in Innovation System Approaches . Aalborg, Denmark. DRUID's Nelson-Winter conference) .
   Google Scholar
• Kemp , R. and Soete , L. 1992 . The Greening of Technological-Progress—an Evolutionary Perspective . Futures , 24 ( 5 ) : 437 – 457 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Koppenjan , J. F. M. and Klijn , E. H. 2004 . Managing uncertainties in networks , London : Routledge .
   Google Scholar
• Kreiser , P. and Marino , L. 2002 . Analyzing the historical development of the environmental uncertainty construct . Management Decision , 40 ( 9 ) : 895 – 905 .
   Google Scholar
• Lange , H. and Garrelts , H. 2007 . Risk Management at the Science–Policy Interface: Two Contrasting Cases in the Field of Flood Protection in Germany . Journal of Environmental Policy and Planning , 9 ( 3,4 ) : 00 – 01 .
   Google Scholar
• Meijer , I. S. M. , Hekkert , M. P. , Faber , J. and Smits , R. E. M. H. 2006 . Perceived uncertainties regarding socio-technological transformation: towards a framework . International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy , 2 ( 2 ) : 214 – 240 .
   Google Scholar
• Meijer , I. S. M. , Hekkert , M. P. and Koppenjan , J. F. M. 2007 . How perceived uncertainties influence transitions; the case of micro-CHP in the Netherlands . Technological Forecasting and Social Change , 74 ( 4 ) : 519 – 537 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Milliken , F. 1987 . Three Types of Perceived Uncertainty about the Environment: State, Effect, and Response Uncertainty . The Academy of Management Review , 12 ( 1 ) : 133 – 143 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Ministerie van EZ . 2004 . Uitdagingen transitiepaden Nieuw Gas vastgesteld . Nieuwsbrief Energietransitie , 15
   Google Scholar
• Ministerie van EZ . 2006 . Website Energietransitie, thema Nieuw Gas . Available at www.energietransitie.nl (accessed 15 February 2006)
   Google Scholar
• NOVEM . 2002 . Mogelijkheden productie Fischer Tropsch brandstof via biomassa vergassing nader onderzocht . 9 NOVEM GAVe-mail
   Google Scholar
• NOVEM . 2005 . Nederlandse biobrandstofinitiatieven in vogelvlucht . 4 NOVEM GAVe-mail
   Google Scholar
• NRC Handelsblad . 7 October 1999 . “ ‘Groene’ olie kan aardolie vervangen ” . 7 October , NRC Handelsblad .
   Google Scholar
• Overdiep , H. 2006 . Met microWKK op weg naar een duurzamere elektriciteitsopwekking . Bode , 1 : 1 – 4 .
   Google Scholar
• Rotmans , J. 2003 . Transitiemanagement: sleutel voor een duurzame samenleving , Assen : Koninklijke Van Gorcum .
   Google Scholar
• Rotmans , J. , Kemp , R. and van Asselt , M. 2001 . More evolution than revolution: transition management in public policy . Foresight: the Journal of futures studies, strategic thinking and policy , 3 ( 1 ) : 15 – 32 .
   Google Scholar
• Rotterdams Dagblad . 20 December 2004 . “ Regio positief over schonere voertuigen; Alle gemeentelijke wagenparken over op bio-ethanol ” . 20 December , Rotterdams Dagblad .
   Google Scholar
• Sabatier , P. A. 1988 . An Advocacy Coalition Framework of Policy Change and the Role of Policy-Oriented Learning Therein . Policy Sciences , 21 ( 2–3 ) : 129 – 168 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Sabatier , P. A. 1998 . The advocacy coalition framework: revisions and relevance for Europe . Journal of European Public Policy , 5 ( 1 ) : 98 – 130 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Sagar , A. D. and Holdren , J. P. 2002 . Assessing the global energy innovation system: some key issues . Energy Policy , 30 ( 6 ) : 465 – 469 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Smith , A. , Stirling , A. and Berkhout , F. 2005 . The governance of sustainable socio-technical transitions . Research Policy , 34 ( 10 ) : 1491 – 1510 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Smits , R. E. H. M. and Kuhlmann , S. 2004 . The rise of systemic instruments in innovation policy . The International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy , 1 : 4 – 32 .
   Google Scholar
• Suurs , R. A. A. and Hekkert , M. P. 2005 . Naar een methode voor het evalueren van transitietrajecten; functies van innovatiesystemen toegepast op ‘biobrandstoffen in Nederland’ , Utrecht : Copernicus Institute .
   Google Scholar
• Suurs , R. A. A. , Hekkert , M. P. , Meeus , M. and Nieuwlaar , E. 2004 . An Actor Oriented Approach for Assessing Transition Trajectories Towards a Sustainable Energy System: An Explorative Case Study on the Dutch Transition to Climate-Neutral Transport Fuel Chains . Innovation: Management, Policy & Practice , 6 ( 2 ) : 269 – 286 .
   Google Scholar
• Trouw . 18 March 1995 . “ Milieuvriendelijk op diesel uit koolzaad door Friesland varen ” . 18 March , Trouw .
   Google Scholar
• Trouw . 23 May 2001 . “ Vracht op biodiesel ” . 23 May , Trouw .
   Google Scholar
• Unruh , G. C. 2002 . Escaping carbon lock-in . Energy Policy , 30 ( 4 ) : 317 – 325 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Van Asselt , M. B. A. 2000 . Perspectives on Uncertainty and Risk , Dordrecht : Kluwer Academic Publishers .
   Google Scholar
• Voß , J.-P. Newig , J. 2005 . “ Steering for Sustainable Development—Contexts of Ambivalence, Uncertainty and Distributed Power ” . Berlin : Partial draft for the workshop on Governance for Sustainable Development .
   Google Scholar
• Voß , J.-P. , Newig , J. , Kastens , B. , Monstadt , J. and Nölting , B. 2007 . Steering for Sustainable Development: a Typology of Problems and Strategies with Respect to Ambivalence, Uncertainty and Distributed Power . Journal of Environmental Policy and Planning , 9 ( 3,4 ) : 193 – 212 .
   Google Scholar
• Walker , W. E. , Harremoes , P. , Rotmans , J. , vander Sluijs , J. P. , van Asselt , M. B. A. , Janssen , P. and Krayer von Krauss , M. P. 2003 . Defining uncertainty: A Conceptual Basis for Uncertainty Management in Model-Based Decision Support . Integrated Assessment , 4 ( 1 ) : 5 – 17 .
   Google Scholar
• Weaver , P. , Jansen , L. , van Grootveld , G. , van Spiegel , E. and Vergragt , P. 2000 . Sustainable Technology Development , Sheffield : Greenleaf Publishing .
   Google Scholar
• Wernerfelt , B. and Karnani , A. 1987 . Competitive Strategy Under Uncertainty . Strategic Management Journal , 8 ( 2 ) : 187 – 194 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar