That’s Why the Lady Lost to the Trump: Demographics and the 2016 Presidential Election

References

• Erikson, Robert. 1995. “State Turnout and Presidential Voting: A Closer Look.” American Politics Research 23 (4): 387–96.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Erikson, Robert, and Wlezien Christopher. 2012. The Timeline of Presidential Elections. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
   Google Scholar
• Erikson, Robert, Panagopoulos Costas, and Wlezien Christopher. 2010. “The Crystallization of Voter Preferences During the 2008 Presidential Campaign.” Presidential Studies Quarterly 40 (3): 482–96. doi:10.1111/j.1741-5705.2010.03782.x.
   Google Scholar
• Fraga, Bernard, McElwee Sean, Rhodes Jesse, and Shaffner Brian. 2017. “Why did Trump win? More whites—and fewer blacks—actually voted. The Monkey Cage.” Accessed July 10, 2017. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2017/05/08/why-did-trump-win-more-whites-and-fewer-blacks-than-normal-actually-voted/?utm_term=.82710dba5d7a
   Google Scholar
• Gimpel, James, and Karnes Kimberly. 2006. “The Rural Side of the Urban-rural Gap.” PS: Political Science and Politics 39 (3): 467–72.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Gomez, Brad T., Hansford Thomas G., and Krause George A. 2007. “The Republicans should Pray for ain: Weather, Turnout, and Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections.” Journal of Politics 69 (August): 649–63. doi:10.1111/j.1468-2508.2007.00565.x
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hansford, Thomas G., and Gomez Brad T. 2010. “Estimating the Electoral Effects of Voter Turnout.” American Political Science Review 104 (May): 268–88. doi:10.1017/S0003055410000109
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hillygus, D. Sunshine, and Jackman Simon. 2003. “Voter Decision Making in Election 2000: Campaign Effects, Partisan Activation, and the Clinton Legacy.” American Journal of Political Science 47 (4): 583–97. doi:10.1111/1540-5907.00041
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Holbrook, Thomas. 2016. Altered States: Changing Populations, Changing Parties, and the Transformation of the American Political Landscape. New York: Oxford University Press.
   Google Scholar
• Kaplan, Noah, Park David, and Gelman Andrew. 2012. “Understanding Persuasion and Activation in Presidential Campaigns: The Random Walk and mean Revision Models.” Presidential Studies Quarterly 42 (4): 843–66.
   Google Scholar
• Kaufmann, Karen. 2006. “The Gender Gap.” PS: Political Science & Politics 39 (3): 447–53. doi:10.1017/S1049096506060884
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• McClurg, Scott, and Holbrook Thomas. 2009. “Living in a Battleground: Presidential Campaigns and Fundamental Predictors of Vote Choice.” Political Research Quarterly 62 (3): 495–506.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Olson, Laura, and Green John. 2006. “The Religion Gap.” PS: Political Science & Politics 39 (3): 455–9. doi:10.1017/S1049096506060860
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Osborn, Tracy, McClurg Scott, and Knoll Benjamin. 2010. “Voter Mobilization and the Obama Victory.” American Politics Research 38 (2): 211–32. doi:10.1177/1532673X09359131
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Panagopoulos, Costas. 2012. “Campaign Context and Preference Dynamics in U.S. Presidential Elections.” Journal of Election, Public Opinion & Parties 22 (2): 123–37. doi:10.1080/17457289.2012.662232
   Google Scholar
• Panagopoulos, Costas. 2013. “Campaign Effects and Dynamics in the 2012 Election.” The Forum 10 (4): 36–9. doi:10.1515/forum-2013-0010
   Google Scholar
• Radcliff, Benjamin. 1994. “Turnout and the Democratic Vote.” American Politics Quarterly 22 (July): 259–76.
   Google Scholar
• Radcliff, Benjamin. 1995. “Turnout and the Vote Revisited.” American Politics Research 23 (4): 397–403.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Stonecash, Jeffrey. 2006. “The Income Gap.” PS: Political Science & Politics 39 (3): 461–5.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Teixeira, Roy, Halpin John, and Griffin Rob. 2015. The path to 270 in 2016: Can the Obama coalition survive? Center for American Progress. Accessed July 10, 2017. https://cdn.americanprogress.org/wp- content/uploads/2015/12/16133227/Pathto270_2016.pdf
   Google Scholar
• Tucker, Harvey J., Vedlitz Arnold, and DeNardo James. 1986. “Does Heavy Turnout help the Democrats in Presidential Elections?” American Political Science Review 80 (December): 1291–304.
   Google Scholar