Estimating Safety Effects of Pavement Management Factors Utilizing Bayesian Random Effect Models

References

• Abdel-Aty , M A and Radwan , A E . 2000 . Modeling traffic accident occurrence and involvement . Accid Anal Prev. , 32 : 633 – 642 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Al-Masaeid , H R . 1997 . Impact of pavement condition on rural road accidents . Can J Civ Eng. , 24 : 523 – 532 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Anastasopoulos , PCh and Mannering , F L . 2009 . A note on modeling vehicle-accident frequencies with random parameter count models . Accid Anal Prev. , 41 : 153 – 159 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Anastasopoulos , PCh , Mannering , F L , Shankar , V N and Haddock , J E . 2012 . A study of factors affecting highway accident rates using the random-parameters tobit model . Accid Anal Prev. , 45 : 628 – 633 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Anastasopoulos , PCh , Tarko , A P and Mannering , F L . 2008 . Tobit analysis of vehicle accident rates on interstate highways . Accid Anal Prev. , 40 : 768 – 775 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Andrew , V and Bared , J . 1998 . Accident models for two-lane rural segments and intersections , Washington , DC : Paper presented at: 77th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board . January 11–15
   Google Scholar
• Caliendo , C , Guida , M and Parisi , A . 2007 . A crash-prediction model for multilane roads . Accid Anal Prev. , 39 : 657 – 670 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Cameron , A C and Trivedi , P K . 1998 . Regression Analysis of Count Data , Cambridge , , UK : Cambridge University Press .
   Google Scholar
• Carson , J and Mannering , F . 2001 . The effect of ice warning signs on accident frequencies and severities . Accid Anal Prev , 33 ( 1 ) : 99 – 109 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Chan , C Y , Huang , B , Yan , X and Richards , S . 2010 . Investigation effects of asphalt pavement conditions on traffic accidents in Tennessee based on the pavement management system (PMS) . J Adv Transp. , 44 ( 3 ) : 150 – 161 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Chin , H C and Quddus , M A . 2003 . “ Applying the random effect negative binomial model to examine traffic accident occurrence at signalized intersections ” . In Accid Anal Prev. Vol. 35 , 253 – 259 .
   Google Scholar
• Cleveland , D E . 1987 . “ Effect of resurfacing on highway safety ” . In Relationship Between Safety and Key Highway Features , Edited by: Crump , E T . 78 – 95 . Washington , DC : National Research Council . State of the Art Report 6
   Google Scholar
• Donnell , E T and Mason , J M Jr . 2006 . Predicting the frequency of median barrier crashes on Pennsylvania interstate highways . Accid Anal Prev. , 38 : 590 – 599 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Garber , N J and Ehrhart , A A . 2000 . Effect of speed, flow, and geometric characteristics on crash frequency for two-lane highways . Transp Res Rec. , 1717 : 76 – 83 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Greene , W. 1999 . Econometric Analysis. , 4th ed , Upper Saddle River , NJ : Prentice Hall; .
   Google Scholar
• Guero-Valverde , J and Jovanis , P P . 2006 . Spatial analysis of fatal and injury crashes in Pennsylvania . Accid Anal Prev , 38 ( 3 ) : 618 – 625 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Guo , F , Wang , X S and Abdel-Aty , M A . 2010 . Modeling signalized intersection safety with corridor-level spatial correlations . Accid Anal Prev. , 42 : 84 – 92 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hadi , M A , Aruldhas , J , Chow , L F and Wattleworth , J A . 1995 . Estimating safety effects of cross-section design for various highway types using negative binomial regression . Transp Res Rec. , 1500 : 169 – 177 .
   Google Scholar
• Hausman , J A , Hall , B H and Griliches , Z . 1984 . Econometric models for count data with an application to the patents–R&D relationship . Econometrica. , 52 : 909 – 938 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Jacobs , G D . 1976 . A study of Accident Rates on Rural Roads in Developing Countries. , Crowthorne , , UK : Transport and Road Research Laboratory . TRRL Laboratory Report 732
   Google Scholar
• Jiang , X M , Huang , B S , Zaretzki , R , Richards , S and Yan , X D . 2013 . Two-vehicle injury severity models based on integration of pavement management and traffic engineering factors . Traffic Inj Prev. , 14 : 544 – 553 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Jiang , X M , Yan , X D , Huang , B S and Richards , S . 2011 . Influence of curbs on traffic crash frequency on high-speed roadways . Traffic Inj Prev. , 12 : 412 – 421 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Joshua , S C and Garber , N J . 1990 . Estimating truck accident rate and involvements using linear and Poisson regression models . Transportation Planning and Technology , 15 ( 1 ) : 41 – 58 .
   Google Scholar
• Jovanis , P P and Chang , H L . 1986 . Modeling the relationship of accidents to miles traveled . Trans Res Rec. , 1068 : 42 – 51 .
   Google Scholar
• Kamel , N and Garshore , T . 1982 . “ Ontario's wet pavement accidents reduction program. In Hayden CM, ed. Pavement Characteristics and Materials. ” . 98 – 117 . Philadelphia , PA : American Society for Testing and Materials .
   Google Scholar
• Knuiman , M W , Council , F M and Reinfurt , D W . 1993 . Association of median width and highway accident rates . Transp Res Rec. , 1401 : 70 – 82 .
   Google Scholar
• Kweon , Y J and Kockelman , K M . 2005 . Safety effects of speed limit changes use of panel models, including speed, use, and design variables . Transp Res Rec. , 1908 : 148 – 158 .
   Google Scholar
• Lord , D . 2002 . Issues related to the application of accident prediction models for the computation of accident risk on transportation networks . Transp Res Rec. , 1784 : 17 – 26 .
   Google Scholar
• Lord , D , Manar , A and Vizioli , A . 2005 . Modeling crash-flow-density and crash-flow-v/c ratio for rural and urban freeway segments . Accid Anal Prev. , 37 : 185 – 199 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Lord , D and Mannering , F L . 2010 . The statistical analysis of crash-frequency data: a review and assessment of methodological alternatives . Transp Res Part A. , 44 ( 5 ) : 291 – 305 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Lunn , D J , Thomas , A , Best , N and Spiegelhalter , D . 2000 . WinBUGS – a Bayesian modelling framework: concepts, structure, and extensibility . Stat Comput. , 10 : 325 – 337 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Ma , J , Kockelman , K M and Damien , P A . 2008 . Multivariate Poisson-lognormal regression model for prediction of crash counts by severity, using Bayesian methods . Accid Anal Prev. , 40 : 964 – 975 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Miaou , S P and Lum , H . 1993 . Modeling vehicle accidents and highway geometric design relationships . Accid Anal Prev. , 25 ( 6 ) : 689 – 709 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Miaou , S , Song , J J and Mallick , B K . 2003 . Roadway traffic crash mapping: a space—time modeling approach . J Trans Stat. , 6 ( 1 ) : 33 – 57 .
   Google Scholar
• Milton , J and Mannering , F . 1998 . The relationship among highway geometrics, traffic-related elements and motor-vehicle accident frequencies . Transportation , 25 : 395 – 413 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Özbay , K and Laub , R . 2001 . Models for Pavement Deterioration Using LTPP: Final Report , Washington , DC : Federal Highway Administration . FHWA-NJ-1999-030
   Google Scholar
• Patterson , T L , Frith , W J , Povey , L J and Keall , M D . 2002 . The effect of increasing rural interstate speed limits in the United States . Traffic Inj Prev. , 3 : 316 – 320 .
   Google Scholar
• Quddus , M A . 2008 . Modeling area-wide count outcomes with spatial correlation and heterogeneity: an analysis of London crash data . Accid Anal Prev. , 40 ( 4 ) : 1486 – 1497 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Quinn , B E and Hilderbrand , S E . 1973 . Effect of road roughness on vehicle steering . Highway Res Rec. , 47 : 62 – 75 .
   Google Scholar
• Shankar , V , Mannering , F and Barfield , W . 1995 . Effect of roadway geometrics and environmental factors on rural accident frequencies . Accid Anal Prev. , 27 ( 3 ) : 371 – 389 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Shankar , V N , Albin , R B , Milton , J C and Mannering , F L . 1998 . Evaluating median crossover likelihoods with clustered accident counts: an empirical inquiry using the random effects negative binomial model . Transp Res Rec. , 1635 : 44 – 48 .
   Google Scholar
• Spiegelhalter , D J , Best , N G , Carlin , B P and Linde , V D . 2003 . Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit (with discussion) . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, B. , 64 ( 4 ) : 583 – 616 .
   Google Scholar
• Strat , M R , Kim , J and Berg , W D . 2004 . Potential safety cost-effectiveness of treating rutted pavements . Transp Res Rec. , 1629 : 208 – 213 .
   Google Scholar
• Tighe , S , Li , N , Falls , L C and Haas , R . 2000 . Incorporating road safety into pavement management . Transp Res Rec. , 1699 : 1 – 10 .
   Google Scholar
• Ulfarsson , G F and Shankar , V N . 2003 . Accident count model based on multiyear cross-sectional roadway data with serial correlation . Transp Res Rec. , 1840 : 193 – 197 .
   Google Scholar
• Wambold , J C , Zimmer , R A , Ivey , D L and Sicking , D L . 1984 . Roughness, holes and bumps , Washington , DC : Transportation Research Board, National Research Council . State of the Art Report 1
   Google Scholar
• Wang , X S and Abdel-Aty , M . 2006 . Temporal and spatial analyses of rear-end crashes at signalized intersections . Accid Anal Prev. , 38 : 1137 – 1150 .
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Xie , Y C , Zhang , Y L and Liang , F M . 2009 . Crash injury severity analysis using Bayesian Ordered Probit Models . J Trans Eng. , 135 ( 1 ) : 18 – 25 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Zhang , C and Ivan , J N . 2005 . Effects of geometric characteristics on head-on crash incidence on two-lane roads in Connecticut . Transp Res Rec. , 1908 : 159 – 164 .
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar