254
Views
3
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Original Articles

Road Safety Forecasts in Five European Countries Using Structural Time Series Models

, &
Pages 598-605 | Received 20 Apr 2013, Accepted 08 Oct 2013, Published online: 27 May 2014

References

  • Abbas KA. Traffic safety assessment and development of predictive models for accidents on rural roads in Egypt. Accid Anal Prev. 2004;36:149–163.
  • Al-Haji G. Road Safety Development Index (RSDI). Theory, Philosophy and Practice. Norrkoeping, Sweden: Linkoeping Studies in Science and Technology; 2007. Dissertation No. 1100.
  • Beenstock M, Gafni D. Globalization in road safety: explaining the downward trend in road accident rates in a single country (Israel). Accid Anal Prev. 2000;32:71–84.
  • Bijleveld F. Time Series Analysis in Road Safety Research Using State Space Methods [dissertation]. Amsterdam, The Netherlands: Free University; 2008.
  • Commandeur JJ, Koopman SJ. An Introduction to State Space Time Series Analysis. Oxford: Oxford University Press; 2007.
  • Hakim S, Shefer D, Hakkert AS, Hocherman I. A critical review of macro models for road accidents. Accid Anal Prev. 1991;23:379–400.
  • Harvey AC. Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter. Cambridge: University Press; 1994.
  • Harvey AC, Shephard N. Structural time series models. In: Maddala GS, Rao CS, Vinod HD, eds. Handbook of Statistics. Vol 11. Amsterdam: Elsevier Science Publishers, B.V.; 1993;261–302.
  • Koornstra MJ. The evolution of road safety and mobility. IATSS Research. 1992;16:129–148.
  • Kopits E, Cropper M. Traffic fatalities and economic growth. Accid Anal Prev. 2005;37:169–178.
  • Lassarre S. Analysis of progress in road safety in ten European countries. Accid Anal Prev. 2001;33:743–751.
  • Lassarre S, ed. Forecasting Road Traffic Fatalities in European Countries. Brussels: European Commission; 2012. Deliverable 4.7 of the EC FP7 project DaCoTA.
  • Manski CF. Public Policy in an Uncertain World: Analysis and Decisions. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press; 2013.
  • Oppe S. Macroscopic models for traffic and traffic safety. Accid Anal Prev. 1989;21:225–232.
  • Page Y. A statistical model to compare road mortality in OECD countries. Accid Anal Prev. 2001;33:371–385.
  • R Development Core Team. R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing. Vienna, Austria: R Foundation for Statistical Computing; 2013. Available at: http://www.R-project.org. Accessed July 20, 2013.
  • Stipdonk HL, ed. Time Series Applications on Road Safety Developments in Europe. Brussels: European Commission; 2008. Deliverable D7.10 of the EU FP6 project SafetyNet.
  • van Beeck EF, Borsboom GJJ, Mackenbach JP. Economic development and traffic accident mortality in the industrialized world. 1962–1990. Int J Epidemiol. 2000;29:503–509.

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.