696
Views
4
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Research Articles

Scenarios for resilient drought and water scarcity management in England and Wales

ORCID Icon
Pages 219-227 | Received 19 Sep 2017, Accepted 27 Mar 2018, Published online: 11 Apr 2018

References

  • Atkins, 2013. Future proofing the UK water sector. Positioning the UK water industry for long term success. Epsom: Atkins Ltd.
  • Atkins, n.d. Future proofing the UK water sector [online]. Available from: http://www.atkinsglobal.co.uk/en-GB/group/sectors-and-services/sectors/water/future-proofing-the-uk-water-sector [Accessed 2 Feb 2018].
  • Börjeson, L., et al., 2006. Scenario types and techniques. Towards a user’s guide. Futures, 38, 723–739. doi: 10.1016/j.futures.2005.12.002
  • Centre for Environmental Risks and Futures (CERF), et al., 2017. Delivering sustainable river basin management: plausible future scenarios for the water environment to 2030 and 2050. Report B: full scenarios. Bristol: Environment Agency.
  • Centre for Environmental Risks and Futures (CERF), et al., 2017. Delivering sustainable river basin management: plausible future scenarios for the water environment to 2030 and 2050. Report A: overview. Bristol: Environment Agency.
  • Committee on Climate Change Risk Assessment, 2016. UK climate change risk assessment 2017. Synthesis report: priorities for the next five years. London.
  • De Jouvenel, H., 2000. A brief methodological guide to scenario building. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 65, 37–48. doi:10.1016/S0040-1625(99)00123-7.
  • Durance, P. and Godet, M., 2010. Scenario building: uses and abuses. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 77 (9), 1488–1492. doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2010.06.007.
  • Environment Agency, 2011. Water company drought plan guideline. Bristol: Environment Agency.
  • Environment Agency, 2015. Drought response: our framework for England. Bristol: Environment Agency.
  • Environment Agency and Natural Resources Wales, 2016. Final water resources planning guideline. Bristol: Environment Agency.
  • Faling, M., et al., 2017. Innovative participatory research methods in earth system governance. Annual Review of Social Partnerships, 12, 76–80.
  • Flynn, M., et al., 2018. Participatory scenario planning and climate change impacts, adaptation and vulnerability research in the Arctic. Environmental Science & Policy, 79 (Suppl. C), 45–53. doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2017.10.012.
  • Garrote, L., 2017. Managing water resources to adapt to climate change: facing uncertainty and scarcity in a changing context. Water Resources Management, 31 (10), 2951–2963. doi:10.1007/s11269-017-1714-6.
  • Grecksch, K., 2017. Resilient drought and water scarcity management in England and wales in 2065. A scenario workshop report. Oxford: Centre for Socio-Legal Studies, University of Oxford.
  • Grecksch, K., et al., 2015. Regionale Governance zur Anpassung an den Klimawandel. In: B. Siebenhüner and A. v. Gleich, eds. Regionale Klimaanpassung im Küstenraum. Marburg: Metropolis, 213–239.
  • HM Government, 2018. A green future: our 25 year plan to improve the environment. London: HM Government.
  • Jiménez Cisneros, B.E, et al., 2014. Freshwater resources. In: C.B. Field, et al., eds. Climate change 2014: impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. Part A: global and sectoral aspects. Contribution of working group II to the fifth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel of climate change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 229–269.
  • Kosow, H. and Gaßner, R., 2008. Methods of future and scenario analysis: overview, assessment, and selection criteria. Bonn: DIE – Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik.
  • Krueger, T., et al., 2016. A transdisciplinary account of water research. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Water, 3 (3), 369–389. doi:10.1002/wat2.1132.
  • Lange, B. and Cook, C., 2015. Mapping a developing governance space: managing drought in the UK. Current Legal Problems, 68 (1), 229–266. doi: 10.1093/clp/cuv014
  • Lloyd-Hughes, B., 2013. The impracticality of a universal drought definition. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 117 (3), 607–611.
  • Marsh, T., Cole, G., and Wilby, R., 2007. Major droughts in England and Wales, 1800–2006. Weather, 62 (4), 87–93. doi:10.1002/wea.67.
  • Mietzner, D. and Reger, G., 2004. Scenario approaches – history, differences, advantages and disadvantages. In: Proceedings of the EU-US scientific seminar: new technology foresight, forecasting & assessment methods. Seville, 47–66.
  • Robins, L., et al., 2017. Making water policy work in the United Kingdom: a case study of practical approaches to strengthening complex, multi-tiered systems of water governance. Environmental Science & Policy, 71, 41–55. doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2017.01.008.
  • Robinson, J.B., 1988. Unlearning and backcasting: rethinking some of the questions we ask about the future. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 33 (4), 325–338. doi:10.1016/0040-1625(88)90029-7.
  • Sayers, P.B., et al., 2017. Strategic drought risk management: eight ‘golden rules’ to guide a sound approach. International Journal of River Basin Management, 15 (2), 239–255. doi:10.1080/15715124.2017.1280812.
  • van der Voorn, T., Pahl-Wostl, C., and Quist, J., 2012. Combining backcasting and adaptive management for climate adaptation in coastal regions: A methodology and a South African case study. Futures, 44 (4), 346–364. doi:10.1016/j.futures.2011.11.003.
  • Van Loon, A.F. and Van Lanen, H. a. J., 2013. Making the distinction between water scarcity and drought using an observation-modeling framework. Water Resources Research, 49 (3), 1483–1502. doi:10.1002/wrcr.20147.
  • Walker, G., 2014. Water scarcity in England and wales as a failure of (meta)governance. Water Alternatives, 7 (2), 388–413.
  • Water UK, 2016. Water resources long term planning 2015–2065. Technical Report. London.
  • Wilkinson, A. and Eidinow, E., 2008. Evolving practices in environmental scenarios: a new scenario typology. Environmental Research Letters, 3 (4), 045017. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/3/4/045017.

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.