Simulating the effects of climate change, economic and urban planning scenarios on urban runoff patterns of a metropolitan region

References

• Alam, S. and Willems, P., 2012. Assessing impacts of urbanization and climate change on urban flood risks: A case study on Turnhout in Belgium. Journal of Civil Engineering (IEB), 40 (1), 79–93.
   Google Scholar
• Bach, P.M., Rauch, W., Mikkelsen, P.S., McCarthy, D.T., and Deletic, A., 2014. A critical review of integrated urban water modelling – Urban drainage and beyond. Environmental Modelling & Software, 54, 88–107. doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2013.12.018.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Barron, O.V., Barr, A.D., and Donn, M.J., 2013. Effect of urbanisation on the water balance of a catchment with shallow groundwater. Journal of Hydrology, 485, 162–176. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.04.027.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Bergin, A., Conefrey, T., Duffy, D., FitzGerald, J., Kearney, I., Timoney, K., and Nuša, Ž., 2013. Medium-Term Review 2013–2020, Dublin: Economic and Social Research Institute Ireland.
   Google Scholar
• Blair, A., Lovelace, S., Sanger, D., Holland, A.F., Vandiver, L., and White, S., 2014. Exploring impacts of development and climate change on stormwater runoff. Hydological Processes, 28, 2844–2854.
   Google Scholar
• Chen, Y., Xu, Y., and Yin, Y., 2009. Impacts of land use change scenarios on storm-runoff generation in Xitiaoxi basin, China. Quaternary International, 208 (1–2), 121–128. doi:10.1016/j.quaint.2008.12.014.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Choi, W. and Deal, B.M., 2008. Assessing hydrological impact of potential land use change through hydrological and land use change modeling for the Kishwaukee River basin (USA). Journal of Environmental Management, 88 (4), 1119–1130. doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2007.06.001.
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Chung, E.-S., Park, K., and Lee, K.S., 2011. The relative impacts of climate change and urbanization on the hydrological response of a Korean urban watershed. Hydrological Processes, 25 (4), 544–560. doi:10.1002/hyp.7781.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• CSO, 2012. Census 2011 – Population Classified by Area, Dublin. Retrieved from http://www.cso.ie/en/media/csoie/census/documents/census2011vol1andprofile1/Census2011–PopulationClassifiedbyArea.pdf.
   Google Scholar
• CSO, 2014. Seasonally Adjusted Standardised Unemployment Rates (SUR). Retrieved from http://www.cso.ie/en/statistics/labourmarket/principalstatistics/seasonallyadjustedstandardisedunemploymentratessur/ [Accessed 13 March 2014].
   Google Scholar
• Davis, A.P., Stagge, J.H., Jamil, E., and Kim, H., 2012. Hydraulic performance of grass swales for managing highway runoff. Water Research, 46 (20), 6775–6786.
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• DCC, 2005. Eastern River Basin District Project – Characterisation Report, Dublin. Retrieved from http://www.erbd.ie/Reports/CR/Final_charn_report.pdf.
   Google Scholar
• Deng, Y., Cardin, M.-A., Babovic, V., Santhanakrishnan, D., Schmitter, P., and Meshgi, A., 2013. Valuing flexibilities in the design of urban water management systems. Water Research, 47 (20), 7162–7174. doi:10.1016/j.watres.2013.09.064.
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• DiDonato, G.T., Stewart, J.R., Sanger, D.M., Robinson, B.J., Thompson, B.C., Holland, A.F., and Van Dolah, R.F., 2009. Effects of changing land use on the microbial water quality of tidal creeks. Marine Pollution Bulletin, 58 (1), 97–106.
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Doyle, P., Hennelly, B., and McEntee, D., 2003. SuDS in the Greater Dublin Area. In: National Hydrology Seminar. Tullamore, Ireland: OPW (Ireland), 77–82.
   Google Scholar
• Dreelin, E.A., Fowler, L., and Carrol, R.C., 2006. A test of porous pavement effectiveness on clay soils during natural storm events. Water Research, 40 (4), 799–805.
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Du, J., Qian, L., Rui, H., Zuo, T., Zheng, D., Xu, Y., and Xu, C.-Y., 2012. Assessing the effects of urbanization on annual runoff and flood events using an integrated hydrological modeling system for Qinhuai River basin, China. Journal of Hydrology, 464–465, 127–139. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.06.057.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Dublin Drainage Consortium, 2005. Overall Policy Document. Dublin: DDC.
   Google Scholar
• Dublin Drainage Consortium, 2006. Model Preparation, Varification and System Assessment Report – City Center / Docklands Drainage Area. Dublin: DDC.
   Google Scholar
• Engelen, G., Lavalle, C., Barredo, J.I., Meulen, M. van der, and White, R., 2007. The MOLAND modelling framework for urban and regional land-use dynamics. In: Modelling Land-Use Change. New York: Springer, 297–320.
   Google Scholar
• Franczyk, J. and Chang, H., 2009. The effects of climate change and urbanization on the runoff of the Rock Creek basin in the Portland metropolitan area, Oregon, USA. Hydrological Processes, 815 (6), 805–815. doi:10.1002/hyp.
   Google Scholar
• Goonetilleke, A., Thomas, E., Ginn, S., and Gilbert, D., 2005. Understanding the role of land use in urban stormwater quality management. Journal of Environmental Management, 74 (1), 31–42. doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2004.08.006.
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Green, I.R.A. and Stephenson, D., 1986. Criteria for comparison of single event models. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 31 (3), 395–411.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hamdi, R., Termonia, P., and Baguis, P., 2011. Effects of urbanization and climate change on surface runoff of the Brussels Capital Region: a case study using an urban soil-vegetation-atmosphere-transfer model. International Journal of Climatology, 31 (13), 1959–1974. doi:10.1002/joc.2207.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• IPCC, 2000. IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios, Cambridge: IPCC.
   Google Scholar
• Jung, I.-W. and Chang, H., 2011. Assessment of future runoff trends under multiple climate change scenarios in the Willamette River Basin, Oregon, USA. Hydrological Processes, 25 (2), 258–277. doi:10.1002/hyp.7842.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Mallin, M.A., Johnson, V.L., and Ensign, S.H., 2009. Comparative impacts of stormwater runoff on water quality of an urban, a suburban, and a rural stream. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 159 (1–4), 475–491.
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Mentens, J., Raes, D., and Hermy, M., 2006. Green roofs as a tool for solving the rainwater runoff problem in the urbanized 21st century? Landscape and Urban Planning, 77 (3), 217–226. doi:10.1016/j.landurbplan.2005.02.010.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Newton, D., Jenkins, G., and Phillips, I., 2003. The Potential of Porous Pavement for Urban Stormwater Management. In M.J. Boyd, J.E. Ball, M.K. Babister, & J. Green (Eds.), 28th International Hydrology and Water Resources Symposium: About Water; Symposium Proceedings. Retrieved from http://search.informit.com.au/documentSummary;dn = 355624184857891;res = IELENG.
   Google Scholar
• Olivera, F. and DeFee, B.B., 2007. Urbanization and Its Effect On Runoff in the Whiteoak Bayou Watershed, Texas. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 43 (1), 170–182. doi:10.1111/j.1752-1688.2007.00014.x.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Petrov, L.O., Shahumyan, H., Williams, B., and Convery, S., 2011. Scenarios and Indicators Supporting Urban Regional Planning. In: Yasushi Asami, ed. Procedia Social and Behavioral Sciences, 243–252, Dublin: Elsevier Ltd.
   Google Scholar
• Praskievicz, S. and Chang, H., 2011. Impacts of Climate Change and Urban Development on Water Resources in the Tualatin River Basin. Annals of the Association of American Geographers, 101 (2), 249–271.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Sathish Kumar, D., Arya, D.S., and Vojinovic, Z., 2013. Modeling of urban growth dynamics and its impact on surface runoff characteristics. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, 41, 124–135. doi:10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2013.05.004.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Scholz, M. and Grabowiecki, P., 2007. Review of permeable pavement systems. Building and Environment, 42 (11), 3830–3836. doi:10.1016/j.buildenv.2006.11.016.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Semenov, M.A. and Barrow, E.M., 1997. Use of a stochastic weather generator in the development of climate change scenarios. Climatic Change, 35 (4), 397–414.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Semenov, M. and Stratonovitch, P., 2010. Use of multi-model ensembles from global climate models for assessment of climate change impacts. Climate Research, 41, 1–14, Retrieved from http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/cr/v41/n1/p1-14/.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Shahumyan, H., White, R., Twumasi, B.O., Convery, S., Williams, B., Critchley, M., … Brennan, M., The MOLAND Model Calibration and Validation for the Greater Dublin Region Dublin Region, Dublin. Retrieved from http://www.uep.ie/downloads/index.php?area = document&category = 35.
   Google Scholar
• Swart, R.J., Raskin, P., and Robinson, J., 2004. The problem of the future: sustainability science and scenario analysis. Global Environmental Change, 14 (2), 137–146.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Tang, Z., Engel, B.A., Lim, K.J., Pijanowski, B.C., and Harbor, J., 2005. Minimizing the impact of urbanization on long term runoff. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 41 (6), 1347–1359.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Terzakis, S., Fountoulakis, M.S., Gerorgaki, I., Albantakis, D., Sabathianakis, I., Karathanasis, A.D., and … Manios, T., 2008. Constructed wetlands treating highway runoff in the central Mediterranean region. Chemosphere, 72 (2), 141–149.
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Waters, D., Watt, E., Marsalek, J., and Anderson, B., 2003. Adaptation of a Storm Drainage System to Accommodate Increased Rainfall Resulting from Climate Change. Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, 46 (5), 755–770.
   Google Scholar
• White, R. and Engelen, G., 1997. Cellular automata as the basis of integrated dynamic regional modelling. Environment and Planning B: Planning & Design, 24 (2), 235–246
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Wijesekara, G.N., Gupta, A., Valeo, C., Hasbani, J.-G., Qiao, Y., Delaney, P., and Marceau, D.J., 2012. Assessing the impact of future land-use changes on hydrological processes in the Elbow River watershed in southern Alberta, Canada. Journal of Hydrology, 412–413, 220–232. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.04.018.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Willuweit, L. and O'Sullivan, J.J., 2013. A decision support tool for sustainable planning of urban water systems: Presenting the Dynamic Urban Water Simulation Model. Water Research, 47 (20), 7206–7220. doi:10.1016/j.watres.2013.09.060.
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Zarghami, M., Abdi, A., Babaeian, I., Hassanzadeh, Y., and Kanani, R., 2011. Impacts of climate change on runoffs in East Azerbaijan, Iran. Global and Planetary Change, 78 (3–4), 137–146. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2011.06.003.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Zheng, P.Q. and Baetz, B.W., 1999. GIS-based analysis of development options from a hydrology perspective. Journal of Urban Planning and Development, 125 (4), 164–180.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar