Publication Cover
Structure and Infrastructure Engineering
Maintenance, Management, Life-Cycle Design and Performance
Volume 13, 2017 - Issue 12
495
Views
4
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Original Articles

A combined risk analysis approach for complex dam–levee systems

ORCID Icon, , ORCID Icon & ORCID Icon
Pages 1624-1638 | Received 09 Jul 2016, Accepted 12 Feb 2017, Published online: 18 Apr 2017

References

  • ANCOLD. (2003). Guidelines on risk assessment. Melbourne: Australian National Committee on Large Dams.
  • Apel, H., Thieken, A. H., Merz, B., & Blöschl, G. (2004). Flood risk assessment and associated uncertainty. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, 4, 295–308. doi:10.5194/nhess-4-295-2004
  • Bowles, D. S., & Aboelata, M. (2005). Evacuation and life-loss estimation model for natural and dam break floods. In O. F. Vasiliev, P. H. A. J. M. van Gelder, E. J. Plate, & M. V. Bolgov (Eds.), Extreme hydrological events: New concepts for security (pp. 362–382). Novosibirsk: Springer.
  • Bowles, D. S., & Chauhan, S. S. (2003, October). Dam safety risk assessment with uncertainty analysis. Australian Committee on Large Dams Risk Workshop, Launceston, Tasmania, Australia.
  • California Department of Water Resources. (2012). Central valley flood protection plan. Sacramento, CA: California Department of Water Resources Flood Planning Office.
  • Castillo-Rodríguez, J. T., Escuder-Bueno, I., Altarejos-García, L., & Serrano-Lombillo, A. (2014). The value of integrating information from multiple hazards for flood risk analysis and management. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, 14, 379–400. doi:10.5194/nhess-14-379-2014
  • de Bruijn, K. M., Diermanse, F. L. M., & Beckers, J. V. L. (2014). An advanced method for flood risk analysis in river deltas, applied to societal flood fatality risk in the Netherlands. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, 14, 2767–2781. doi:10.5194/nhess-14-2767-2014
  • DEFRA. (2006). FD2321/TR1 the flood risks to people methodology. London. Retrieved from www.defra.gov.uk/environ/fcd/research
  • Escuder-Bueno, I., & Halpin, E. (2016). Overcoming failure in infrastructure risk governance implementation: Large dams journey. Journal of Risk Research, 1–18, doi:10.1080/13669877.2016.1215345
  • European Parliament. (2007). Directive 2007/60/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 23 October 2007 on the assessment and management of flood risks. Strasbourg, France: Official Journal of the European Union.
  • Graham, W. J. (1999). A procedure for estimating loss of life caused by dam failure. Denver, CO: U.S. Department of Interior, Bureau of Reclamation Dam Safety Office.
  • Harrald, J. R., Renda-Tanali, I., Shaw, G. L., Rubin, C. B., & Yeletaysi, S. (2006). Review of risk based prioritization/decision making methodologies for dams. Washington, DC: The George Washington University, Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management.
  • Hill, P., Bowles, D., Jordan, P., & Nathan, R. (2003). Estimating overall risk of dam failure: practical considerations in combining failure probabilities. In ANCOLD 2003 Risk Workshop (p. 10). Retrieved from http://www.engineering.usu.edu/uwrl/www/faculty/DSB/ancold03estimating.pdf
  • iPresas Risk Analysis. (2014). iPresas Calc software tool – User’s manual. Valencia. Retrieved from www.ipresas.com
  • Jonkman, S. N., Jongejan, R., & Maaskant, B. (2011). The use of individual and societal risk criteria within the dutch flood safety policy-nationwide estimates of societal risk and policy applications. Risk Analysis, 31, 282–300. doi:10.1111/j.1539-6924.2010.01502.x
  • Jonkman, S. N., Vrijling, J. K., & Vrouwenvelder, A. C. W. M. (2008). Methods for the estimation of loss of life due to floods: A literature review and a proposal for a new method. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 46, 353–389. doi:10.1007/s11069-008-9227-5
  • Kind, J. M. (2014). Economically efficient flood protection standards for the Netherlands. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 7, 103–117. doi:10.1111/jfr3.12026
  • Ligtvoet, W., Hilderink, H., Bouwman, A., van Puijenbroek, P., Lucas, P., & Witmer, M. (2014). Towards a world of cities in 2050. PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. doi:10.13140/2.1.5071.0086
  • Margo, D., Harkness, A., & Needham, J. (2009). Levee screening tool. In U.S. society on dams annual meeting and conference (pp. 869–882). Nashville, TN: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers.
  • Merz, B., Kreibich, H., Schwarze, R., & Thieken, A. (2010). Assessment of economic flood damage. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, 10, 1697–1724. doi:10.5194/nhess-10-1697-2010
  • Morales-Torres, A., Serrano-Lombillo, A., Escuder-Bueno, I., & Altarejos-García, L. (2016). The suitability of risk reduction indicators to inform dam safety management. Structure and Infrastructure Engineering, 12, 1465–1476. doi:10.1080/15732479.2015.1136830
  • Munger, D. F., Bowles, D. S., Boyer, D. D., Davis, D. W., Margo, D. A., Moser, D. A., Regan, P. J., & Snorteland, N. (2009). Interim tolerable guidelines for US Army Corps of Engineers Dams. In Proceedings of the 2009 USSD Annual Lecture. Philadelphia, PA.
  • Olsson, A., Sandberg, G., & Dahlblom, O. (2003). On Latin hypercube sampling for structural reliability analysis. Structural Safety, 25, 47–68. doi:10.1016/S0167-4730(02)00039-5
  • Penning-Rowsell, E., Floyd, P., Ramsbottom, D., & Surendran, S. (2005). Estimating injury and loss of life in floods: A deterministic framework. Natural Hazards, 36, 43–64.10.1007/s11069-004-4538-7
  • Pinter, N., Huthoff, F., Dierauer, J., Remo, J. W. F., & Damptz, A. (2016). Modeling residual flood risk behind levees, Upper Mississippi River, USA. Environmental Science & Policy, 58, 131–140. doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2016.01.003
  • Renn, O. (2008). Risk governance: Coping with uncertainty in a complex world. London: Earthscan.
  • Roscoe, K., Diermanse, F., & Vrouwenvelder, T. (2015). System reliability with correlated components: Accuracy of the Equivalent Planes method. Structural Safety, 57, 53–64. doi:10.1016/j.strusafe.2015.07.006
  • Rosqvist, T., Molarius, R., Virta, H., & Perrels, A. (2013). Event tree analysis for flood protection – An exploratory study in Finland. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 112, 1–7. doi:10.1016/j.ress.2012.11.013
  • Scawthorn, C., Flores, P., Blais, N., Seligson, H., Tate, E., Chang, S., Mifflin, E., Thomas, J., Murphy, J., Jones, C., & Lawrence, M. (2006). HAZUS-MH flood loss estimation methodology. II. Damage and loss assessment. Natural Hazards Review, 7, 72–81. doi:10.1061/(ASCE)1527-6988(2006)7:2(72)CE
  • Serrano-Lombillo, A., Escuder-Bueno, I., de Membrillera-Ortuño, M. G., & Altarejos-García, L. (2011). Methodology for the calculation of annualized incremental risks in systems of dams. Risk Analysis, 31, 1000–1015. doi:10.1111/j.1539-6924.2010.01547.x
  • SPANCOLD. (2012). Technical guide on risk analysis applied to management of dam safety. Spanish National Commitee on Large Dams, Vol. 1. Madrid: Spanish Professional Association of Civil Engineers.
  • U.S. National Committee on Levee Safety. (2009). Report to Congress on Recommendations for a National Levee Safety Program. Retrieved from http://www.leveesafety.org/rec_reporttocongress.cfm
  • USACE. (2011). Risk evaluation study (Confidential). Denver, CO: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers.
  • USACE (2014). Safety of dams – Policy and procedures. Engineering and design. Washington, DC: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers.
  • Voortman, H. G., Van Gelder a P. H. J. M., & Vrijling, J. K. (2003). Risk-based design of large-scale flood defence systems. Proceedings of the 28th International Conference Coastal Engineering 2002 Solving Coastal Conundrums. doi:10.1142/9789812791306_0199
  • Vrouwenvelder, A. C. W. M., van Mierlo, M. C. L. M., Calle, E. O. F., Markus, A. A., Schweckendiek, T., & Courage, W. M. G. (2010). Risk analysis for flood protection systems. Delft: Delft Cluster.
  • Zhang, L., Peng, M., Chang, D., & Xu, Y. (2016). Dam failure mechanisms and risk assessment. New York, NY: Wiley.10.1002/9781118558522

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.