2,907
Views
38
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Articles

Coach decision-making and the relative age effect on talent selection in football

&
Pages 292-315 | Received 08 May 2015, Accepted 05 Dec 2015, Published online: 24 Apr 2016

References

  • Abbott, A., Button, C., Pepping, G. J., & Collins, D. (2005). Unnatural selection: Talent identification and development in sport. Nonlinear Dynamics, Psychology, and Life Sciences, 9(1), 61–88.
  • Abbott, A., & Collins, D. (2004). Eliminating the dichotomy between theory and practice in talent identification and development: Considering the role of psychology. Journal of Sports Sciences, 22(5), 395–408. doi: 10.1080/02640410410001675324
  • ABS. (2012). Australian demographic statistics. Canberra: Author.
  • Ackland, T. R., & Bloomfield, J. (1996). Stability of human proportions through adolescent growth. Australian Journal of Science and Medicine in Sport, 28(2), 57–60.
  • AFC. (2014). Coaching course information. Kuala Lumpur: Author. Retrieved September 2, 2014, from http://www.the-afc.com/en/component/content/category/1218-website/coaching-course-info.html?Itemid=104
  • Anshel, M. H., & Lidor, R. (2012). Talent detection programs in sport: The questionable use of psychological measures. Journal of Sport Behavior, 35(3), 239–266.
  • Baker, J., Schorer, J., & Cobley, S. (2010). Relative age effects. Sportwissenschaft, 40(1), 26–30. doi: 10.1007/s12662-009-0095-2
  • Balyi, I., & Hamilton, A. (2004). Long-term athlete development: Trainability in childhood and adolescence. Olympic Coach, 16(1), 4–9.
  • Bar-Eli, M., Plessner, H., & Raab, M. (2011). Judgment, decision-making and success in sport. West Sussex: John Wiley & Sons.
  • Barnsley, R. H., & Thompson, A. H. (1988). Birthdate and success in minor hockey: The key to the NHL. Canadian Journal of Behavioural Science, 20, 167–176. doi: 10.1037/h0079927
  • Barnsley, R. H., Thompson, A. H., & Barnsley, P. E. (1985). Hockey success and birthdate: The RAE. Canadian Association for Health, Physical Education, and Recreation, 51, 23–28.
  • Baxter-Jones, A. D. (1995). Growth and development of young athletes. Sports Medicine, 20(2), 59–64. doi: 10.2165/00007256-199520020-00001
  • Bazerman, M. H., Tenbrunsel, A. E., & Wade-Benzoni, K. (1998). Negotiating with yourself and losing: Making decisions with competing internal preferences. Academy of Management Review, 23(2), 225–241.
  • Bloyce, D., & Smith, A. (2010). Sport policy and development: An introduction. London: Routledge.
  • Böhlke, N., & Robinson, L. (2009). Benchmarking of élite sport systems. Management Decision, 47(1), 67–84. doi: 10.1108/00251740910929704
  • Bradbury, T., & Forsyth, D. (2012). You're in; you're out: Selection practices of coaches. Sport, Business, and Management: An International Journal, 2(1), 7–20. doi: 10.1108/20426781211207638
  • Braun, V., & Clarke, V. (2006). Using thematic analysis in psychology. Qualitative Research in Psychology, 3(2), 77–101. doi: 10.1191/1478088706qp063oa
  • Breitbach, S., Tug, S., & Simon, P. (2014). Conventional and genetic talent identification in sports: Will recent developments trace talent? Sports Medicine, 44(11), 1489–1503. doi: 10.1007/s40279-014-0221-7
  • Brouwers, J., De Bosscher, V., & Sotiriadou, P. (2012). An examination of the importance of performances in youth and junior competition as an indicator of later success in tennis. Sport Management Review, 15, 461–475. doi: 10.1016/j.smr.2012.05.002
  • Cardno, C. (2003). Action research: A developmental approach. New Zealand Council for Educational Research, PO Box 3237, Wellington, New Zealand.
  • Christensen, M. K. (2009). An eye for talent: Talent identification and practical sense of top-level soccer coaches. Sociology of Sport Journal, 26, 365–382.
  • Cobley, S., Baker, J., Wattie, N., & McKenna, J. (2009). Annual age grouping and athlete development: A meta-analytical review of relative age effects in sport. Sports Medicine, 39, 235–256. doi: 10.2165/00007256-200939030-00005
  • Cohen, J. (1988). Statistical power analysis for the behavioural sciences (2nd ed.). Hillsdale, NJ: Earlbaum.
  • Curran-Everett, D. (2013). Explorations in statistics: The analysis of ratios and normalized data. Advances in Physiology Education, 37(3), 213–219. doi:10.1152/advan.00053.2013
  • Cushion, C. J., Armour, K. M., & Jones, R. L. (2003). Coach education and continuing professional development: Experience and learning to coach. Quest, 55(3), 215–230. doi: 10.1080/00336297.2003.10491800
  • Dawson, A., & Phillips, P. (2013). Coach career development: Who is responsible? Sport Management Review, 16, 477–487. doi: 10.1016/j.smr.2013.03.003
  • De Bosscher, V., Bingham, J., Shibli, S., van Bottenburg, M., & De Knop, P. (2008). The global sporting arms race. An international comparative study on sports policy factors leading to international sporting success. Aachen: Meyer & Meyer.
  • De Bosscher, V., De Knop, P., van Bottenburg, M., & Shibli, S. (2006). A conceptual framework for analysing sports policy factors leading to international sporting success. European Sport Management Quarterly, 6(2), 185–215. doi: 10.1080/16184740600955087
  • Delorme, N., Boiché, J., & Raspaud, M. (2010). Relative age effect in elite sports: Methodological bias or real discrimination? European Journal of Sport Science, 10(2), 91–96. doi: 10.1080/17461390903271584
  • Delorme, N., & Raspaud, M. (2009). Is there an influence of relative age on participation in non-physical sports activities? The example of shooting sports. Journal of Sports Sciences, 27(10), 1035–1042. doi: 10.1080/02640410902926438
  • Edwards, W. (1954). The theory of decision making. Psychological Bulletin, 51, 380–417. doi: 10.1037/h0053870
  • Erdfelder, E., Faul, F., & Buchner, A. (1996). GPOWER: A general power analysis program. Behavior Research Methods, Instruments, & Computers, 28(1), 1–11. doi: 10.3758/BF03203630
  • Falk, B., Lidor, R., Lander, Y., & Lang, B. (2004). Talent identification and early development of elite water-polo players: A 2-year follow-up study. Journal of Sports Sciences, 22(4), 347–355. doi: 10.1080/02640410310001641566
  • FFA. (2012). National football curriculum 2013. Sydney: Author. Retrieved October 8, 2014, from http://www.klufc.org.au/publications/ffa-national-curriculum
  • Gray, H. J., & Plucker, J. A. (2010). “She's a natural”: Identifying and developing athletic talent. Journal for the Education of the Gifted, 33(3), 361–380.
  • Green, B. C. (2005). Building sport programs to optimize athlete recruitment, retention, and transition: Toward a normative theory of sport development. Journal of Sport Management, 19(3), 233–253.
  • Güllich, A., & Emrich, E. (2006). Evaluation of the support of young athletes in the elite sport system. European Journal for Sport and Society, 3(2), 85–108.
  • Güllich, A., Thees, J., & Bartz, E. (2005). Evaluation of the elite sport schools. Final Report to the German Olympic Sports Confederation. Frankfurt/Main, Germany.
  • Hancock, D. J., Adler, A. L., & Côté, J. (2013). A proposed theoretical model to explain relative age effects in sport. European Journal of Sport Science, 13, 630–637. doi: 10.1080/17461391.2013.775352
  • Hancock, D. J., Ste-Marie, D. M., & Young, B. W. (2013). Coach selections and the relative age effect in male youth ice hockey. Research Quarterly for Exercise and Sport, 84, 126–130. doi:10.1080/02701367.2013.762325
  • Hansson, S. O. (2005). Decision theory a brief introduction. Department of Philosophy and the History of Technology Royal Institute of Technology (KTH) Stockholm. Retrieved from http://people.kth.se/~soh/decisiontheory.pdf
  • Helsen, W. F., Hodges, N. J., Van Winckel, J., & Starkes, J. L. (2000). The roles of talent, physical precocity and practice in the development of soccer expertise. Journal of Sports Sciences, 18(9), 727–736. doi: 10.1080/02640410050120104
  • Helsen, W. F., Starkes, J. L., & Van Winckel, J. (1998). The influence of relative age on success and dropout in male soccer players. American Journal of Human Biology, 10, 791–798. doi: 10.1002/(SICI)1520-6300(1998)10:6<791::AID-AJHB10>3.0.CO;2-1
  • Helsen, W. F., Van Winckel, J., & Williams, A. M. (2005). The relative age effect in youth soccer across Europe. Journal of Sports Sciences, 23, 629–636. doi: 10.1080/02640410400021310
  • Hunsaker, P., & Alesandra, A. (1980). The art of managing people. Englewod Clifs, NJ: Prentice-Hal.
  • Jones, R. L., Armour, K. M., & Potrac, P. (2003). Constructing expert knowledge: A case study of a top-level professional soccer coach. Sport, Education and Society, 8(2), 213–229. doi: 10.1080/13573320309254
  • Kahneman, D., Slovic, P., & Tversky, A. (Eds.). (1982). Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. New York, NY: Cambridge University Press.
  • Klöckner, C. A., Matthies, E., & Hunecke, M. (2003). Problems of operationalizing habits and integrating habits in normative decision-making model 1. Journal of Applied Social Psychology, 33(2), 396–417. doi: 10.1111/j.1559-1816.2003.tb01902.x
  • Koz, D., Fraser-Thomas, J., & Baker, J. (2012). Accuracy of professional sports drafts in predicting career potential. Scandinavian Journal of Medicine and Science in Sports, 22(4), e64–e69. doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0838.2011.01408.x
  • Lariviére, G., & Lafond, A. (1986, October). Physical maturity in young elite ice hockey players [abstract]. Proceedings of Ottawa ’86; CASS annual meeting and SCAPPS annual meeting. Ottawa, Canada.
  • Lawrence, I. (2010). Talent identification in soccer: A critical analysis of contemporary psychological research. Soccer Journal, 24–27. Retrieved from http://sirc.ca/sites/default/files/content/docs/newsletters/archive/mid-oct12/documents/Free/Talent%20ID%20in%20Soccer.pdf
  • Lidor, R., Cote, J., & Hackfort, D. (2009). ISSP position stand: To test or not to test? The use of physical skill tests in talent detection and in early phases of sport development. International Journal of Sport and Exercise Psychology, 7, 131–146. doi: 10.1080/1612197X.2009.9671896
  • Ljach, W. I. (1997). High-performance sport in childhood in Russia. Leistungssport, 27(5), 37–40.
  • Maguire, J., & Pearton, R. (2000). The impact of elite labour migration on the identification, selection and development of European soccer players. Journal of Sports Sciences, 18(9), 759–769. doi: 10.1080/02640410050120131
  • Malina, R. M., & Bouchard, C. (1991). Growth, maturation, and physical activity. Champaign, IL: Human Kinetics.
  • Malina, R. M., Pena Reyes, M. E., Eisenmann, J. C., Horta, L., Rodrigues, J., & Miller, R. (2000). Height, mass and skeletal maturity of elite Portuguese soccer players aged 11–16 years. Journal of Sports Sciences, 18, 685–693. doi: 10.1080/02640410050120069
  • Martindale, R. J., Collins, D., & Daubney, J. (2005). Talent development: A guide for practice and research within sport. Quest, 57(4), 353–375. doi: 10.1080/00336297.2005.10491862
  • Mayer, R. E., & Massa, L. J. (2003). Three facets of visual and verbal learners: Cognitive ability, cognitive style, and learning preference. Journal of Educational Psychology, 95(4), 833–846. doi: 10.1037/0022-0663.95.4.833
  • Meehl, P. E. (1954). Clinical versus statistical prediction: A theoretical analysis and a review of the evidence. Minneapolis: University of Minnesota Press.
  • Miles, M. B., & Huberman, A. M. (1994). Qualitative data analysis (2nd ed.). Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.
  • Mohamed, H., Vaeyens, R., Matthys, S., Multael, M., Lefevre, J., Lenoir, M., & Philippaerts, R. (2009). Anthropometric and performance measures for the development of a talent detection and identification model in youth handball. Journal of Sports Sciences, 27(3), 257–266. doi: 10.1080/02640410802482417
  • Mostafavifar, A. M., Best, T. M., & Myer, G. D. (2012). Early sport specialisation, does it lead to long-term problems? British Journal of Sports Medicine, 47(17), 1060–1061. doi: 10.1136/bjsports-2012-092005
  • Musch, J., & Grondin, S. (2001). An equal competition as an impediment to personal development: A review of the relative age effect in sport. Developmental Review, 21, 147–167. doi: 10.1006/drev.2000.0516
  • O'Brien, R. (2001). Um exame da abordagem metodológica da pesquisa ação [An overview of the methodological approach of action research]. In Roberto Richardson (Ed.), Teoria e Prática da Pesquisa Ação [Theory and Practice of Action Research]. João Pessoa: Universidade Federal da Paraíba. (English version). Retrieved April 24, 2015, from http://www.web.ca/~robrien/papers/arfinal.html
  • Pitz, G. F., & Sachs, N. J. (1984). Judgment and decision: Theory and application. Annual Review of Psychology, 35(1), 139–164. doi: 10.1146/annurev.ps.35.020184.001035
  • Raab, M., & Johnson, J. G. (2008). Implicit learning as a means to intuitive decision making in sports. In H. Plessner, C. Betsch, & T. Betsch (Eds.), Intuition in judgment and decision making (pp. 119–133). Mahwah, NJ: Erlbaum.
  • Raab, M., & Laborde, S. (2011). When to blink and when to think: Preference for intuitive decisions results in faster and better tactical choices. Research Quarterly for Exercise and Sport, 82(1), 89–98. doi: 10.1080/02701367.2011.10599725
  • Regnier, G., Salmela, J., & Russell, S. J. (1993). Talent detection and development in sport. In R. N. Singer, M. Murphy, & L. K. Tennant (Eds.), Handbook of research on sport psychology (pp. 290–313). New York, NY: Macmillan.
  • Ross, L. (1977). The intuitive psychologist and his shortcomings: Distortions in the attribution process. Advances in Experimental Social Psychology, 10, 173–220. doi: 10.1016/S0065-2601(08)60357-3
  • Schmidt, G., & Wilhelm, W. E. (2000). Strategic, tactical and operational decisions in multi-national logistics networks: A review and discussion of modelling issues. International Journal of Production Research, 68(7), 151–159. doi: 10.1016/S0925-5273(00)00024-4
  • Schoemaker, P .J. H. (1980). Experiments on decisions under risk: The expected utility theorem. Boston, MA: Martinus Nijhoff Publishing.
  • Sherar, L. B., Baxter-Jones, A. D. G., Faulkner, R. A., & Russell, K. W. (2007). Do physical maturity and birth date predict talent in male youth ice hockey players? Journal of Sport Sciences, 25, 879–886. doi: 10.1080/02640410600908001
  • Simmons, C., & Paull, G. C. (2001). Season-of-birth bias in association football. Journal of Sports Sciences, 19, 677–686. doi: 10.1080/02640410152475801
  • Singh, P. C., & Surujlal, J. (2006). Factors affecting the job satisfaction of South African sports coaches. South African Journal for Research in Sport, Physical Education and Recreation, 28(1), 127–136. doi: 10.4314/sajrs.v28i1.25937
  • Sotiriadou, P., Gowthorp, L., & De Bosscher, V. (2013). Elite sport culture and policy interrelationships: The case of Sprint Canoe in Australia. Leisure Studies, 33(6), 598–617. doi: 10.1080/02614367.2013.833973
  • Sotiriadou, P., & Shilbury, D. (2009). Australian elite athlete development: An organisational perspective. Sport Management Review, 12(3), 137–148. doi: 10.1016/j.smr.2009.01.002
  • Sotiriadou, P., & Shilbury, D. (2013). Sport development in high performance sport: The process of attracting, retaining and nurturing athletes. In P. Sotiriadou & V. De Bosscher (Eds.), Managing high performance sport (pp. 139–158). London: Routledge.
  • Sotiriadou, P., Shilbury, D., & Quick, S. (2008). The attraction, retention/transition, and nurturing process of sport development: Some Australian evidence. Journal of Sport Management, 22(3), 247–272.
  • Steyerberg, E. W., Harrell, F. E., Borsboom, G. J., Eijkemans, M. J. C., Vergouwe, Y., & Habbema, J. D. F. (2001). Internal validation of predictive models: Efficiency of some procedures for logistic regression analysis. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 54(8), 774–781. doi: 10.1016/S0895-4356(01)00341-9
  • Tenenbaum, G., & Bar-Eli, M. (1993). Decision making in sport: A cognitive perspective. In R. N. Singer, M. Murphy, & L. K. Tennant (Eds.), Handbook of research on sport psychology (pp. 171–192). New York, NY: Macmillan.
  • Thunholm, P. (2004). Decision-making style: Habit, style or both? Personality and Individual Differences, 36(4), 931–944. doi: 10.1016/S0191-8869(03)00162-4
  • Vaeyens, R., Gullich, A., Warr, C. R., & Philippaerts, R. (2009). Talent identification and promotion programs of Olympic athletes. Journal of Sports Sciences, 27, 1367–1380. doi: 10.1080/02640410903110974
  • Vaeyens, R., Lenoir, M., Williams, A. M., & Philippaerts, R. M. (2008). Talent identification and development programs in sport. Sports Medicine, 38, 703–714. doi: 10.2165/00007256-200838090-00001
  • Waddell, D., & Sohal, A. S. (1998). Resistance: A constructive tool for change management. Management Decision, 36(8), 543–548. doi: 10.1108/00251749810232628
  • Wattie, N., Schorer, J., & Baker, J. (2015). The relative age effect in sport: A developmental systems model. Sports Medicine, 45(1), 83–94. doi: 10.1007/s40279-014-0248-9
  • Williams, A. M. (2000). Perceptual skill in soccer: Implications for talent identification and development. Journal of Sport Sciences, 18, 737–750. doi: 10.1080/02640410050120113
  • Zarnoth, P., & Sniezek, J. A. (1997). The social influence of confidence in group decision making. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 33(4), 345–366. doi: 10.1006/jesp.1997.1326
  • Zhang, L. F. (2002). Thinking styles and cognitive development. The Journal of Genetic Psychology, 163(2), 179–195. doi: 10.1080/00221320209598676
  • Zimmerman, M. E. (2011). Ecological validity. In J. S. Kreutzer, J. DeLuca, & B. Caplan (Eds.), Encyclopaedia of clinical neuropsychology (pp. 924–925). New York, NY: Springer.

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.