References
- Adler, R. F., G. J. Huffman, A. Chang, et al., 2003: The Version-2 Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) monthly precipitation analysis (1979—Present), J. Hydrometeor, 4, 1147–1167.
- Chowdary, J. S., S.-P. Xie, J.-Y. Lee, et al., 2010: Predictability of summer Northwest Pacific climate in eleven coupled model hindcasts: Local and remote forcing, J. Geophys. Res., 115, D22121, doi: 10.1029/2010JD014595.
- Chowdary, J. S., S.-P. Xie, J.-J. Luo, et al., 2009: Predictability of Northwest Pacific climate during summer and the role of the tropical Indian Ocean, Climate Dyn., 36, 607–621.
- Doblas-Reyes, F. J., A. Weisheimer, M. Déqué, et al., 2009: Addressing model uncertainty in seasonal and annual dynamical ensemble forecasts, Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 135, 1538–1559.
- Doblas-Reyes, F. J., A. Weisheimer, T. N. Palmer, et al., 2010: Forecast Quality Assessment of the ENSEMBLES Seasonal-to-Decadal Stream 2 Hindcasts, ECMWF Technical Memorandum No. 621, ECMWF, Reading, 45pp.
- Huang, R., and F. Sun, 1992: Impacts of the tropical western Pacific on the East Asian summer monsoon, J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 70, 243–256.
- Kalnay, E., M. Kanamitsu, R. Kistler, et al., 1996: The NCEP/ NCAR 40-year reanalysis project, Bull. Amer. Meteor Soc., 77, 437–471.
- Ke, Z.-J., P.-Q. Zhang, L.-J. Chen, et al., 2011: An experiment of a statistical downscaling forecast model for summer precipitation over China, Atmos. Oceanic Sci. Lett., 4, 270–275.
- Lang, X.-M., 2011: An effective approach for improving the real-time prediction of summer rainfall over China, Atmos. Oceanic Sci. Lett., 4, 75–80.
- Lang, X.-M., and H.-J. Wang, 2010: Improving extraseasonal summer rainfall prediction by merging information from GCMs and observations, Wea. Forecasting, 25, 1263–1274.
- Lau, K., K. Kim, and S. Yang, 2000: Dynamical and boundary forcing characteristics of regional components of the Asian summer monsoon, J. Climate, 13, 2461–2482.
- Lee, S.-S., J.-Y. Lee, K.-J. Ha, et al., 2011: Deficiencies and possibilities for long-lead coupled climate prediction of the western North Pacific-East Asian summer monsoon, Climate Dyn., 36, 1173–1188.
- Li, C., R. Lu, and B. Dong, 2011: Predictability of the western North Pacific summer climate demonstrated by the coupled models of ENSEMBLES, Climate Dyn., doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1274-z, in press.
- Lu, R., 2001a: Atmospheric circulations and sea surface temperatures related to the convection over the western Pacific warm pool on the interannual scale, Adv. Atmos. Sci., 18, 270–282.
- Lu, R., 2001b: Interannual variability of the summertime North Pacific subtropical high and its relation to atmospheric convection over the warm pool, J. Meteor Soc. Japan, 79, 771–783.
- Lu, R., and B. Dong, 2001: Westward extension of North Pacific subtropical high in summer, J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 79, 1229–1241.
- Nitta, T., 1987: Convective activities in the tropical western Pacific and their impact on the Northern Hemisphere summer circulation, J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 65, 373–390.
- Smith, T. M., and R. W. Reynolds, 2004: Improved extended reconstruction of SST (1854–1997), J. Climate, 17, 2466–2477.
- van der Linden, P., and J. F. B. Mitchell, 2009: ENSEMBLES: Cli-mate Change and Its Impact: Summary of Research and Results from ENSEMBLES Project, Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter EX1 3PB, UK, 160pp.
- Wang, B., and Z. Fan, 1999: Choice of South Asian summer monsoon indices, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 80, 629–638.
- Wang, H. J., and K. Fan, 2009: A new scheme for improving the seasonal prediction of summer precipitation anomalies, Wea. Forecasting, 24, 548–554.
- Xie, S.-P., K. Hu, J. Hafner, et al., 2009: Indian Ocean capacitor effect on Indo-Western Pacific climate during the summer following El Nino, J. Climate, 22, 730–747.
- Zhu, C., C.-K. Park, W.-S. Lee, et al., 2008: Statistical downscaling for multi-model ensemble prediction of summer monsoon rainfall in the Asia-Pacific region using geopotential height field, Adv. Atmos. Sci., 25, 867–884, doi: 10.1007/s00376-008-0867-x.